East Catholic
W-L: ( 8- 9) PR = 83.0310Schedule/Results All Games
Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 408 A Farmington (10- 9, 83.0) 5-12 410 H Tolland ( 3-13, 71.9) 21- 4 422 H Glastonbury (14- 2, 95.3) 6-15 424 A Hall ( 7- 9, 82.7) 4-10 426 H Suffield ( 9- 9, 81.9) 5- 6 428 A Wethersfield ( 7-11, 80.9) 7- 5 429 H South Windsor ( 8- 9, 79.8) 14- 7 501 A Simsbury ( 8-10, 86.0) 7- 8 508 H Southington (11- 7, 88.1) 8-20 510 A Xavier ( 6-10, 83.2) 10-11 512 H Northwest Catholic ( 8- 9, 82.7) 14-10 513 A Lewis Mills ( 8- 9, 79.5) 15-12 515 A Conard (16- 5, 89.6) 4-15 517 A St Paul Catholic (11- 7, 77.5) 18- 8 519 A Avon HS ( 4-12, 80.2) 14- 7 604 H Masuk ( 8-10, 81.5) 15-10 607 A Joel Barlow (15- 5, 89.2) 4-16
PREDICTION LIST
-------------------------------------
|Real = actual goal margin |
|Pred = predicted goal margin |
|+ = slightly above prediction |
|++ = above prediction |
|+++ = well above prediction |
|- = slightly below prediction |
|-- = below prediction |
|--- = well below prediction |
|Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) |
| prediction. N/A when ten |
| goal limit is exceeded |
|n/a = Outside division |
-------------------------------------
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
408 A Farmington 5-12 -7 0 -- -4.57
410 H Tolland 21- 4 17 12 0.00
422 H Glastonbury 6-15 -9 -12 0.00
424 A Hall 4-10 -6 0 -- -4.84
426 H Suffield 5- 6 -1 2 - -2.64
428 A Wethersfield 7- 5 2 2 0.33
429 H South Windsor 14- 7 7 4 1.27
501 A Simsbury 7- 8 -1 -3 + 2.40
508 H Southington 8-20 -12 -5 -0.45
510 A Xavier 10-11 -1 -1 -0.31
512 H Northwest Catholic 14-10 4 1 + 3.20
513 A Lewis Mills 15-12 3 3 -0.04
515 A Conard 4-15 -11 -7 0.00
517 A St Paul Catholic 18- 8 10 5 0.00
519 A Avon HS 14- 7 7 2 + 2.62
604 H Masuk 15-10 5 2 + 3.04
607 A Joel Barlow 4-16 -12 -7 0.00
|
UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 408 A Farmington 5-12 -7 0 -- -4.57 424 A Hall 4-10 -6 0 -- -4.84 426 H Suffield 5- 6 -1 2 - -2.64 |
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 501 A Simsbury 7- 8 -1 -3 + 2.40 512 H Northwest Catholic 14-10 4 1 + 3.20 519 A Avon HS 14- 7 7 2 + 2.62 604 H Masuk 15-10 5 2 + 3.04 |
East Catholic Evaluation
The team that earns the point in the pair-wise comparison is based on three criteria:
first is head-to-head, the winner gets the point, however, if they did not play each
other, than it considers w-l versus common opponents. If their records are tied or they
have no common opponents, than the tie-breaker becomes the better power rating.
The Common Opponent Point list in the table below has the record of the winner followed by the
record of the loser for all common opponents
| Opponent | Who Gets the Point? | Head-2-Head Point |
Common Opponent Point |
Power Rating Point |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Amity Regional | Amity Regional | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | Amity Regional | |
| Avon HS | East Catholic | East Catholic | ||
| Bacon Academy | Bacon Academy | insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 2- 0) | Bacon Academy | |
| Berlin | East Catholic | East Catholic 4- 3 vs 1- 6 | ||
| Bethel | Bethel | insuffient: ( 1- 2)( 2- 1) | Bethel | |
| Branford | East Catholic | East Catholic | ||
| Brien McMahon | East Catholic | East Catholic | ||
| Bristol Co-Op | East Catholic | tied - ( 4- 1) ( 4- 1) | East Catholic | |
| Brookfield | Brookfield | insuffient: ( 1- 2)( 2- 1) | Brookfield | |
| Bunnell-Stratford | East Catholic | insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 0- 2) | East Catholic | |
| Canton | East Catholic | tied - ( 3- 1) ( 3- 1) | East Catholic | |
| Capital-Classical Pr | East Catholic | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | East Catholic | |
| Cheshire HS | Cheshire HS | Cheshire HS 5- 1 vs 1- 5 | ||
| Conard | Conard | Conard | ||
| Cromwell | East Catholic | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | East Catholic | |
| Danbury | East Catholic | East Catholic | ||
| Daniel Hand | Daniel Hand | Daniel Hand 4- 1 vs 1- 4 | ||
| Darien | Darien | Darien | ||
| East Lyme | East Lyme | tied - ( 1- 2) ( 1- 2) | East Lyme | |
| Ellington | East Catholic | insuffient: ( 2- 1)( 1- 2) | East Catholic | |
| Enfield | East Catholic | East Catholic 3- 1 vs 1- 3 | ||
| EO Smith | East Catholic | insuffient: ( 2- 1)( 1- 2) | East Catholic | |
| Fairfield Ludlowe | Fairfield Ludlowe | Fairfield Ludlowe 2- 0 vs 0- 2 | ||
| Fairfield Prep | Fairfield Prep | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | Fairfield Prep | |
| Fairfield Warde | East Catholic | East Catholic | ||
| Farmington | Farmington | Farmington | ||
| Fitch Groton | East Catholic | East Catholic | ||
| Foran | Foran | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Foran | |
| Glastonbury | Glastonbury | Glastonbury | ||
| Granby Memorial | East Catholic | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | East Catholic | |
| Greenwich HS | Greenwich HS | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | Greenwich HS | |
| Guilford | Guilford | Guilford 4- 0 vs 0- 4 | ||
| Haddam-Killingworth | Haddam-Killingworth | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | Haddam-Killingworth | |
| Hall | Hall | Hall | ||
| Hamden | East Catholic | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | East Catholic | |
| Holy Cross | East Catholic | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | East Catholic | |
| Immaculate Danbury | East Catholic | insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 0- 2) | East Catholic | |
| Joel Barlow | Joel Barlow | Joel Barlow | ||
| Jonathan Law | East Catholic | East Catholic | ||
| Lakeview United | East Catholic | East Catholic 2- 0 vs 0- 2 | ||
| Ledyard-Griswold | East Catholic | East Catholic | ||
| Lewis Mills | East Catholic | East Catholic | ||
| Lyman Hall | East Catholic | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | East Catholic | |
| Maloney-Platt | East Catholic | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | East Catholic | |
| Masuk | East Catholic | East Catholic | ||
| Middletown | East Catholic | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | East Catholic | |
| Montville | East Catholic | East Catholic | ||
| Morgan School | East Catholic | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | East Catholic | |
| New Canaan | New Canaan | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | New Canaan | |
| New Fairfield | New Fairfield | insuffient: ( 1- 2)( 2- 1) | New Fairfield | |
| New Milford | New Milford | insuffient: ( 1- 3)( 2- 2) | New Milford | |
| Newington | East Catholic | East Catholic 6- 3 vs 3- 6 | ||
| Newtown | Newtown | insuffient: ( 1- 3)( 2- 2) | Newtown | |
| North Branford | East Catholic | East Catholic | ||
| North Haven | East Catholic | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | East Catholic | |
| Northwest Catholic | East Catholic | East Catholic | ||
| Norwalk | East Catholic | East Catholic | ||
| Norwich Free Academy | East Catholic | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | East Catholic | |
| Norwich Tech | East Catholic | East Catholic | ||
| Notre Dame-Fairfield | East Catholic | insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 0- 2) | East Catholic | |
| Notre Dame-West Have | Notre Dame-West Have | Notre Dame-West Have 4- 0 vs 0- 4 | ||
| Old Lyme | East Catholic | East Catholic | ||
| Old Saybrook | Old Saybrook | Old Saybrook | ||
| Pomperaug | East Catholic | East Catholic 3- 2 vs 1- 4 | ||
| Prince-Cheney Tech | East Catholic | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | East Catholic | |
| RHAM | RHAM | insuffient: ( 5- 4)( 6- 3) | RHAM | |
| Ridgefield | Ridgefield | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | Ridgefield | |
| Rockville Co-op | East Catholic | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | East Catholic | |
| Rocky Hill | East Catholic | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | East Catholic | |
| Sheehan | Sheehan | Sheehan | ||
| Shelton | East Catholic | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | East Catholic | |
| Simsbury | Simsbury | Simsbury | ||
| Somers | Somers | Somers 3- 1 vs 1- 3 | ||
| South Windsor | East Catholic | East Catholic | ||
| Southington | Southington | Southington | ||
| St Bernard-Wheeler | East Catholic | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | East Catholic | |
| St Joseph Trumbull | St Joseph Trumbull | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | St Joseph Trumbull | |
| St Paul Catholic | East Catholic | East Catholic | ||
| Stamford | Stamford | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | Stamford | |
| Staples | Staples | Staples | ||
| Stonington | East Catholic | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | East Catholic | |
| Suffield | Suffield | Suffield | ||
| Tolland | East Catholic | East Catholic | ||
| Trumbull | Trumbull | tied - ( 0- 2) ( 0- 2) | Trumbull | |
| Valley Regional | East Catholic | East Catholic | ||
| Vinal/Goodwin Tech | East Catholic | East Catholic | ||
| Waterford | East Catholic | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | East Catholic | |
| Watertown | East Catholic | East Catholic 2- 0 vs 0- 2 | ||
| West Haven | East Catholic | East Catholic | ||
| Westhill | East Catholic | East Catholic | ||
| Weston | Weston | tied - ( 1- 1) ( 1- 1) | Weston | |
| Wethersfield | East Catholic | East Catholic | ||
| Wilbur Cross | East Catholic | East Catholic | ||
| Wilton | Wilton | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Wilton | |
| Windsor | East Catholic | East Catholic | ||
| Wolcott | East Catholic | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | East Catholic | |
| Woodstock Academy | East Catholic | East Catholic | ||
| Xavier | Xavier | Xavier |
PowerWise = 59
division Games OnlyAverage number of games used in Games Correction = 17.01
Date Opponent (W-L PR) SCORE SAFE SAFE Home No Games SCI
Loss Win Field Correction Points
SLP SWP Advantage Factor
0 A Farmington (10- 9, 83.0) 5-12 -16.92 23.34 0.47 1.00 -16.45
0 H Tolland ( 3-13, 71.9) 21- 4 -28.05 12.21 -0.47 1.00 11.74
0 H Glastonbury (14- 2, 95.3) 6-15 -4.61 35.64 -0.47 1.00 -5.09
0 A Hall ( 7- 9, 82.7) 4-10 -17.19 23.07 0.47 1.00 -16.72
0 H Suffield ( 9- 9, 81.9) 5- 6 -18.04 22.22 -0.47 1.00 -18.52
0 A Wethersfield ( 7-11, 80.9) 7- 5 -19.02 21.24 0.47 1.00 21.73
0 H South Windsor ( 8- 9, 79.8) 14- 7 -20.13 20.13 -0.47 1.00 19.66
0 A Simsbury ( 8-10, 86.0) 7- 8 -13.94 26.31 0.47 1.00 -13.48
0 H Southington (11- 7, 88.1) 8-20 -11.84 28.41 -0.47 1.00 -12.32
0 A Xavier ( 6-10, 83.2) 10-11 -16.65 23.60 0.47 1.00 -16.19
0 H Northwest Cath ( 8- 9, 82.7) 14-10 -17.20 23.06 -0.47 1.00 22.60
0 A Lewis Mills ( 8- 9, 79.5) 15-12 -20.38 19.88 0.47 1.00 20.36
0 A Conard (16- 5, 89.6) 4-15 -10.26 30.00 0.47 1.00 -9.79
0 A St Paul Cathol (11- 7, 77.5) 18- 8 -22.38 17.87 0.47 1.00 18.36
0 A Avon HS ( 4-12, 80.2) 14- 7 -19.72 20.54 0.47 1.00 21.02
0 H Masuk ( 8-10, 81.5) 15-10 -18.35 21.90 -0.47 1.00 21.44
0 A Joel Barlow (15- 5, 89.2) 4-16 -10.66 29.60 0.47 1.00 -10.19
------
38.15
|
winning pts = 156.9133 losing points = -118.7609
SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.
------------------------------------------------------------------------
| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
------------------------------------------------------------------------