Eastern
W-L: ( 7- 6) PR = 86.5627
Schedule/Results All Games
Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score
306 H Sayre (11- 5, 87.4) 4-11
311 A Tates Creek ( 3-13, 79.2) 14- 1
313 H DuPont Manual (11- 8, 83.8) 10- 6
318 H Louisville Collegiat ( 6- 8, 84.2) 11- 6
325 H North Oldham ( 9-10, 84.5) 7- 3
410 N Trinity Louisville (13- 1, 99.9) 3-19
415 H Ballard Louisville (10- 6, 86.5) 17- 7
417 A Ryle ( 8- 9, 82.8) 9-13
422 H Kentucky Country Day ( 8- 7, 88.3) 8- 7
428 H Christian Academy-Lo ( 9- 5, 86.6) 8- 9
506 A Lexington Christian (10- 6, 85.7) 10-11
508 N Ballard Louisville (10- 6, 86.5) 18-12
510 N Trinity Louisville (13- 1, 99.9) 2-19
PREDICTION LIST
-------------------------------------
|Real = actual goal margin |
|Pred = predicted goal margin |
|+ = slightly above prediction |
|++ = above prediction |
|+++ = well above prediction |
|- = slightly below prediction |
|-- = below prediction |
|--- = well below prediction |
|Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) |
| prediction. N/A when ten |
| goal limit is exceeded |
|n/a = Outside division |
-------------------------------------
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
306 H Sayre 4-11 -7 0 -- -4.92
311 A Tates Creek 14- 1 13 7 0.00
313 H DuPont Manual 10- 6 4 4 0.46
318 H Louisville Collegiat 11- 6 5 3 1.90
325 H North Oldham 7- 3 4 3 1.20
410 N Trinity Louisville 3-19 -16 -13 0.00
415 H Ballard Louisville 17- 7 10 1 ++ 4.20
417 A Ryle 9-13 -4 3 --- -7.01
422 H Kentucky Country Day 8- 7 1 -1 + 2.02
428 H Christian Academy-Lo 8- 9 -1 1 -1.67
506 A Lexington Christian 10-11 -1 0 -1.15
508 N Ballard Louisville 18-12 6 0 ++ 4.95
510 N Trinity Louisville 2-19 -17 -13 0.00
|
UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
417 A Ryle 9-13 -4 3 --- -7.01
306 H Sayre 4-11 -7 0 -- -4.92
|
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
415 H Ballard Louisville 17- 7 10 1 ++ 4.20
508 N Ballard Louisville 18-12 6 0 ++ 4.95
422 H Kentucky Country Day 8- 7 1 -1 + 2.02
|
Eastern Evaluation
The team that earns the point in the pair-wise comparison is based on three criteria:
first is head-to-head, the winner gets the point, however, if they did not play each
other, than it considers w-l versus common opponents. If their records are tied or they
have no common opponents, than the tie-breaker becomes the better power rating.
The Common Opponent Point list in the table below has the record of the winner followed by the
record of the loser for all common opponents
Opponent |
Who Gets the Point?
| Head-2-Head Point |
Common Opponent Point |
Power Rating Point |
Anderson County |
Eastern |
|
 
| Eastern |
Atherton |
Eastern |
|
Eastern   3- 0 vs 0- 3 |
|
Ballard Louisville |
Eastern |
Eastern |
 
| |
Bluegrass |
Eastern |
|
 
| Eastern |
Bowling Green |
Eastern |
|
Eastern   2- 1 vs 0- 3 |
|
Bryan Station |
Eastern |
|
insuffient: ( 1- 2)( 0- 3) |
Eastern |
Central Hardin |
Eastern |
|
insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 0- 2) |
Eastern |
Christian Academy-Lo |
Christian Academy-Lo |
Christian Academy-Lo |
 
|
Collins |
Eastern |
|
Eastern   2- 2 vs 0- 4 |
|
Cooper |
Eastern |
|
tied - ( 1- 1) ( 1- 1) |
Eastern |
Covington Catholic |
Eastern |
|
insuffient: ( 1- 2)( 0- 3) |
Eastern |
DeSales |
Eastern |
|
insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) |
Eastern |
Dixie Heights |
Eastern |
|
insuffient: ( 3- 2)( 2- 3) |
Eastern |
DuPont Manual |
Eastern |
Eastern |
 
| |
Frederick Douglass |
Frederick Douglass |
|
Frederick Douglass   6- 0 vs 3- 3 |
|
Great Crossing |
Eastern |
|
tied - ( 1- 2) ( 1- 2) |
Eastern |
Greenwood |
Eastern |
|
insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) |
Eastern |
Henry Clay |
Henry Clay |
|
tied - ( 4- 2) ( 4- 2) |
Henry Clay |
Kentucky Country Day |
Eastern |
Eastern |
 
| |
Lafayette |
Eastern |
|
tied - ( 1- 2) ( 1- 2) |
Eastern |
Lexington Catholic |
Lexington Catholic |
|
Lexington Catholic   5- 2 vs 3- 4 |
|
Lexington Christian |
Lexington Christian |
Lexington Christian |
 
| |
Louisville Collegiat |
Eastern |
Eastern |
 
| |
Male |
Eastern |
|
Eastern   2- 1 vs 0- 3 |
|
North Hardin |
Eastern |
|
insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) |
Eastern |
North Oldham |
Eastern |
Eastern |
 
| |
Oldham County |
Eastern |
|
insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 0- 2) |
Eastern |
Owensboro |
Eastern |
|
 
| Eastern |
Paul Laurence Dunbar |
Eastern |
|
insuffient: ( 2- 1)( 1- 2) |
Eastern |
Ryle |
Ryle |
Ryle |
 
|
Sayre |
Sayre |
Sayre |
 
| |
Scott County |
Eastern |
|
insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 0- 2) |
Eastern |
Shelby County |
Eastern |
|
insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) |
Eastern |
South Oldham |
South Oldham |
|
insuffient: ( 2- 2)( 3- 1) |
South Oldham |
South Warren |
Eastern |
|
insuffient: ( 2- 1)( 1- 2) |
Eastern |
St Henry |
Eastern |
|
tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) |
Eastern |
St Xavier Louisville |
St Xavier Louisville |
|
insuffient: ( 2- 1)( 3- 0) |
St Xavier Louisville |
Tates Creek |
Eastern |
Eastern |
 
| |
Trinity Louisville |
Trinity Louisville |
Trinity Louisville |
 
| |
Walton-Verona |
Eastern |
|
Eastern   2- 1 vs 0- 3 |
|
Woodford County |
Woodford County |
|
Woodford County   5- 1 vs 2- 4 |
|
PowerWise = 30

division Games Only
Average number of games used in Games Correction = 13.62
Date Opponent (W-L PR) SCORE SAFE SAFE Home No Games SCI
Loss Win Field Correction Points
SLP SWP Advantage Factor
0 H Sayre (11- 5, 87.4) 4-11 -12.50 19.48 -0.75 1.05 -13.88
0 A Tates Creek ( 3-13, 79.2) 14- 1 -20.74 11.24 0.75 1.05 12.57
0 H DuPont Manual (11- 8, 83.8) 10- 6 -16.12 15.86 -0.75 1.05 15.83
0 H Louisville Col ( 6- 8, 84.2) 11- 6 -15.68 16.30 -0.75 1.05 16.29
0 H North Oldham ( 9-10, 84.5) 7- 3 -15.38 16.60 -0.75 1.05 16.60
0 N Trinity Louisv (13- 1, 99.9) 3-19 -0.00 31.98 -0.00 1.05 -0.00
0 H Ballard Louisv (10- 6, 86.5) 17- 7 -13.39 18.60 -0.75 1.05 18.70
0 A Ryle ( 8- 9, 82.8) 9-13 -17.10 14.88 0.75 1.05 -17.13
0 H Kentucky Count ( 8- 7, 88.3) 8- 7 -11.57 20.42 -0.75 1.05 20.60
0 H Christian Acad ( 9- 5, 86.6) 8- 9 -13.25 18.73 -0.75 1.05 -14.67
0 A Lexington Chri (10- 6, 85.7) 10-11 -14.24 17.75 0.75 1.05 -14.13
0 N Ballard Louisv (10- 6, 86.5) 18-12 -13.39 18.60 -0.00 1.05 19.48
0 N Trinity Louisv (13- 1, 99.9) 2-19 -0.00 31.98 -0.00 1.05 -0.00
------
60.26
|
winning pts = 120.0730 losing points = -59.8166
SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction. ------------------------------------------------------------------------
| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
------------------------------------------------------------------------