---    UPDATED: 07-28-25 23:54 PDT

safe3step boys Eastern 1
  
Eastern               
W-L: ( 7- 6) PR = 86.5627

Schedule/Results All Games

Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 306 H Sayre (11- 5, 87.4) 4-11 311 A Tates Creek ( 3-13, 79.2) 14- 1 313 H DuPont Manual (11- 8, 83.8) 10- 6 318 H Louisville Collegiat ( 6- 8, 84.2) 11- 6 325 H North Oldham ( 9-10, 84.5) 7- 3 410 N Trinity Louisville (13- 1, 99.9) 3-19 415 H Ballard Louisville (10- 6, 86.5) 17- 7 417 A Ryle ( 8- 9, 82.8) 9-13 422 H Kentucky Country Day ( 8- 7, 88.3) 8- 7 428 H Christian Academy-Lo ( 9- 5, 86.6) 8- 9 506 A Lexington Christian (10- 6, 85.7) 10-11 508 N Ballard Louisville (10- 6, 86.5) 18-12 510 N Trinity Louisville (13- 1, 99.9) 2-19

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction. N/A when ten  |
               |         goal limit is exceeded    |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   306 H Sayre                   4-11      -7     0    --    -4.92
   311 A Tates Creek            14- 1      13     7           0.00
   313 H DuPont Manual          10- 6       4     4           0.46
   318 H Louisville Collegiat   11- 6       5     3           1.90
   325 H North Oldham            7- 3       4     3           1.20
   410 N Trinity Louisville      3-19     -16   -13           0.00
   415 H Ballard Louisville     17- 7      10     1    ++     4.20
   417 A Ryle                    9-13      -4     3    ---   -7.01
   422 H Kentucky Country Day    8- 7       1    -1    +      2.02
   428 H Christian Academy-Lo    8- 9      -1     1          -1.67
   506 A Lexington Christian    10-11      -1     0          -1.15
   508 N Ballard Louisville     18-12       6     0    ++     4.95
   510 N Trinity Louisville      2-19     -17   -13           0.00

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   417 A Ryle                    9-13      -4     3    ---   -7.01
   306 H Sayre                   4-11      -7     0    --    -4.92

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   415 H Ballard Louisville     17- 7      10     1    ++     4.20
   508 N Ballard Louisville     18-12       6     0    ++     4.95
   422 H Kentucky Country Day    8- 7       1    -1    +      2.02

Eastern Evaluation

The team that earns the point in the pair-wise comparison is based on three criteria: 
first is head-to-head, the winner gets the point, however, if they did not play each
other, than it considers w-l versus common opponents. If their records are tied or they
have no common opponents, than the tie-breaker becomes the better power rating.
The Common Opponent Point list in the table below has the record of the winner followed by the
record of the loser for all common opponents
Opponent Who Gets
the Point?
Head-2-Head
Point
Common Opponent
Point
Power Rating
Point
Anderson County Eastern   Eastern
Atherton Eastern Eastern   3- 0 vs 0- 3
Ballard Louisville Eastern Eastern  
Bluegrass Eastern   Eastern
Bowling Green Eastern Eastern   2- 1 vs 0- 3
Bryan Station Eastern insuffient: ( 1- 2)( 0- 3) Eastern
Central Hardin Eastern insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 0- 2) Eastern
Christian Academy-Lo Christian Academy-Lo Christian Academy-Lo  
Collins Eastern Eastern   2- 2 vs 0- 4
Cooper Eastern tied - ( 1- 1) ( 1- 1) Eastern
Covington Catholic Eastern insuffient: ( 1- 2)( 0- 3) Eastern
DeSales Eastern insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Eastern
Dixie Heights Eastern insuffient: ( 3- 2)( 2- 3) Eastern
DuPont Manual Eastern Eastern  
Frederick Douglass Frederick Douglass Frederick Douglass   6- 0 vs 3- 3
Great Crossing Eastern tied - ( 1- 2) ( 1- 2) Eastern
Greenwood Eastern insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Eastern
Henry Clay Henry Clay tied - ( 4- 2) ( 4- 2) Henry Clay
Kentucky Country Day Eastern Eastern  
Lafayette Eastern tied - ( 1- 2) ( 1- 2) Eastern
Lexington Catholic Lexington Catholic Lexington Catholic   5- 2 vs 3- 4
Lexington Christian Lexington Christian Lexington Christian  
Louisville Collegiat Eastern Eastern  
Male Eastern Eastern   2- 1 vs 0- 3
North Hardin Eastern insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Eastern
North Oldham Eastern Eastern  
Oldham County Eastern insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 0- 2) Eastern
Owensboro Eastern   Eastern
Paul Laurence Dunbar Eastern insuffient: ( 2- 1)( 1- 2) Eastern
Ryle Ryle Ryle  
Sayre Sayre Sayre  
Scott County Eastern insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 0- 2) Eastern
Shelby County Eastern insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Eastern
South Oldham South Oldham insuffient: ( 2- 2)( 3- 1) South Oldham
South Warren Eastern insuffient: ( 2- 1)( 1- 2) Eastern
St Henry Eastern tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Eastern
St Xavier Louisville St Xavier Louisville insuffient: ( 2- 1)( 3- 0) St Xavier Louisville
Tates Creek Eastern Eastern  
Trinity Louisville Trinity Louisville Trinity Louisville  
Walton-Verona Eastern Eastern   2- 1 vs 0- 3
Woodford County Woodford County Woodford County   5- 1 vs 2- 4

PowerWise = 30


division Games Only
Average number of games used in Games Correction = 13.62

 Date  Opponent          (W-L  PR)      SCORE       SAFE        SAFE       Home       No Games           SCI              
                                                    Loss        Win       Field      Correction         Points            
                                                    SLP         SWP     Advantage      Factor                       
                                                      
   0 H Sayre           (11- 5, 87.4)     4-11      -12.50      19.48      -0.75         1.05           -13.88
   0 A Tates Creek     ( 3-13, 79.2)    14- 1      -20.74      11.24       0.75         1.05            12.57
   0 H DuPont Manual   (11- 8, 83.8)    10- 6      -16.12      15.86      -0.75         1.05            15.83
   0 H Louisville Col  ( 6- 8, 84.2)    11- 6      -15.68      16.30      -0.75         1.05            16.29
   0 H North Oldham    ( 9-10, 84.5)     7- 3      -15.38      16.60      -0.75         1.05            16.60
   0 N Trinity Louisv  (13- 1, 99.9)     3-19       -0.00      31.98      -0.00         1.05            -0.00
   0 H Ballard Louisv  (10- 6, 86.5)    17- 7      -13.39      18.60      -0.75         1.05            18.70
   0 A Ryle            ( 8- 9, 82.8)     9-13      -17.10      14.88       0.75         1.05           -17.13
   0 H Kentucky Count  ( 8- 7, 88.3)     8- 7      -11.57      20.42      -0.75         1.05            20.60
   0 H Christian Acad  ( 9- 5, 86.6)     8- 9      -13.25      18.73      -0.75         1.05           -14.67
   0 A Lexington Chri  (10- 6, 85.7)    10-11      -14.24      17.75       0.75         1.05           -14.13
   0 N Ballard Louisv  (10- 6, 86.5)    18-12      -13.39      18.60      -0.00         1.05            19.48
   0 N Trinity Louisv  (13- 1, 99.9)     2-19       -0.00      31.98      -0.00         1.05            -0.00
                                                                                                        ------
                                                                                                        60.26

winning pts = 120.0730 losing points = -59.8166

             SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.

------------------------------------------------------------------------
| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
------------------------------------------------------------------------