---    UPDATED: 07-28-25 23:49 PDT

safe3step boys Eaglecrest 1
  
Eaglecrest            
W-L: ( 8- 7) PR = 83.6211

Schedule/Results All Games

Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 312 H ThunderRidge ( 3-10, 80.9) 7- 5 314 A Chatfield (11- 6, 91.3) 1-19 328 A Smoky Hill ( 6- 9, 75.1) 17- 1 402 A Heritage ( 9- 6, 85.0) 3- 5 404 A Boulder ( 7- 6, 86.0) 5- 8 405 H Thompson Valley ( 3-12, 78.3) 13- 8 409 H Pine Creek ( 5- 9, 84.2) 7- 9 414 A Ponderosa ( 7- 8, 79.3) 10- 4 416 A Lewis Palmer ( 9- 5, 88.0) 1- 9 421 H Douglas County ( 4-11, 81.1) 10- 4 423 H Denver North ( 7- 8, 76.0) 14- 2 425 H Arvada West ( 2-13, 78.0) 20- 5 428 H Northfield ( 9- 7, 88.5) 4-13 429 H Grandview ( 6-10, 89.0) 2-18 503 A Chaparral ( 1-13, 79.8) 10- 3

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction. N/A when ten  |
               |         goal limit is exceeded    |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   312 H ThunderRidge            7- 5       2     3          -1.08
   314 A Chatfield               1-19     -18    -8           0.00
   328 A Smoky Hill             17- 1      16     8           0.00
   402 A Heritage                3- 5      -2    -2          -0.22
   404 A Boulder                 5- 8      -3    -3          -0.22
   405 H Thompson Valley        13- 8       5     6           0.00
   409 H Pine Creek              7- 9      -2     0          -1.80
   414 A Ponderosa              10- 4       6     4           1.07
   416 A Lewis Palmer            1- 9      -8    -5          -0.27
   421 H Douglas County         10- 4       6     3    +      2.14
   423 H Denver North           14- 2      12     8           0.00
   425 H Arvada West            20- 5      15     6           0.00
   428 H Northfield              4-13      -9    -5          -0.46
   429 H Grandview               2-18     -16    -5           0.00
   503 A Chaparral              10- 3       7     3           1.56

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   421 H Douglas County         10- 4       6     3    +      2.14

Eaglecrest Evaluation

The team that earns the point in the pair-wise comparison is based on three criteria: 
first is head-to-head, the winner gets the point, however, if they did not play each
other, than it considers w-l versus common opponents. If their records are tied or they
have no common opponents, than the tie-breaker becomes the better power rating.
The Common Opponent Point list in the table below has the record of the winner followed by the
record of the loser for all common opponents
Opponent Who Gets
the Point?
Head-2-Head
Point
Common Opponent
Point
Power Rating
Point
Air Academy Air Academy Air Academy   5- 0 vs 3- 2
Arapahoe Arapahoe insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Arapahoe
Arvada West Eaglecrest Eaglecrest  
Aspen Aspen   Aspen
Battle Mountain Battle Mountain   Battle Mountain
Boulder Boulder Boulder  
Castle View Castle View tied - ( 4- 2) ( 4- 2) Castle View
Chaparral Eaglecrest Eaglecrest  
Chatfield Chatfield Chatfield  
Cherokee Trail Cherokee Trail Cherokee Trail   2- 0 vs 0- 2
Cherry Creek Cherry Creek insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Cherry Creek
Cheyenne Mountain Cheyenne Mountain tied - ( 2- 1) ( 2- 1) Cheyenne Mountain
Colorado Academy Colorado Academy Colorado Academy   3- 0 vs 0- 3
Columbine Columbine tied - ( 3- 2) ( 3- 2) Columbine
Conifer Eaglecrest tied - ( 1- 1) ( 1- 1) Eaglecrest
Crested Butte Eaglecrest   Eaglecrest
Dakota Ridge Dakota Ridge insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Dakota Ridge
Denver East Denver East Denver East   3- 0 vs 0- 3
Denver North Eaglecrest Eaglecrest  
Denver South Denver South Denver South   3- 0 vs 0- 3
Douglas County Eaglecrest Eaglecrest  
Durango Eaglecrest   Eaglecrest
Eagle Valley Eaglecrest   Eaglecrest
Erie Erie Erie   2- 1 vs 0- 3
Evergreen Evergreen insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 2- 0) Evergreen
Fairview Fairview Fairview   3- 0 vs 1- 2
Fountain Valley Eaglecrest Eaglecrest   2- 0 vs 0- 2
Fruita Monument Fruita Monument tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) Fruita Monument
Glenwood Springs Eaglecrest   Eaglecrest
Golden Golden   Golden
Grand Junction Grand Junction tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) Grand Junction
Grandview Grandview Grandview  
Green Mountain Eaglecrest tied - ( 1- 1) ( 1- 1) Eaglecrest
Heritage Heritage Heritage  
Holy Family Eaglecrest tied - ( 2- 0) ( 2- 0) Eaglecrest
Jefferson Academy Eaglecrest Eaglecrest   4- 0 vs 1- 3
Kent Denver Kent Denver tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Kent Denver
Lakewood Lakewood insuffient: ( 0- 2)( 1- 1) Lakewood
Legend Legend insuffient: ( 2- 1)( 3- 0) Legend
Lewis Palmer Lewis Palmer Lewis Palmer  
Littleton Eaglecrest Eaglecrest   3- 0 vs 0- 3
Lutheran Lutheran tied - ( 2- 1) ( 2- 1) Lutheran
Middle Park Eaglecrest tied - ( 3- 1) ( 3- 1) Eaglecrest
Monarch Monarch insuffient: ( 0- 4)( 1- 3) Monarch
Montrose Eaglecrest   Eaglecrest
Mountain Range Mountain Range tied - ( 0- 4) ( 0- 4) Mountain Range
Mountain Vista Mountain Vista insuffient: ( 2- 1)( 3- 0) Mountain Vista
Mullen Eaglecrest tied - ( 3- 0) ( 3- 0) Eaglecrest
Northfield Northfield Northfield  
Palmer Eaglecrest Eaglecrest   3- 0 vs 0- 3
Pine Creek Pine Creek Pine Creek  
Ponderosa Eaglecrest Eaglecrest  
Poudre District Poudre District insuffient: ( 0- 2)( 1- 1) Poudre District
Prairie View Eaglecrest tied - ( 3- 1) ( 3- 1) Eaglecrest
Pueblo West Eaglecrest tied - ( 2- 0) ( 2- 0) Eaglecrest
Ralston Valley Ralston Valley Ralston Valley   3- 0 vs 0- 3
Rangeview Eaglecrest Eaglecrest   4- 0 vs 1- 3
Regis Jesuit Regis Jesuit insuffient: ( 2- 1)( 3- 0) Regis Jesuit
Resurrection Christi Resurrection Christi tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) Resurrection Christi
Rock Canyon Rock Canyon Rock Canyon   5- 0 vs 2- 3
Smoky Hill Eaglecrest Eaglecrest  
St Marys HS Eaglecrest Eaglecrest   4- 0 vs 0- 4
Steamboat Springs Steamboat Springs   Steamboat Springs
Summit Eaglecrest   Eaglecrest
Telluride Telluride   Telluride
Thomas Jefferson Eaglecrest Eaglecrest   3- 0 vs 1- 2
Thompson Valley Eaglecrest Eaglecrest  
ThunderRidge Eaglecrest Eaglecrest  
Vail Mountain Vail Mountain tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) Vail Mountain
Valor Christian Valor Christian tied - ( 2- 0) ( 2- 0) Valor Christian
Vanguard School Eaglecrest insuffient: ( 2- 0)( 1- 1) Eaglecrest
Windsor Eaglecrest tied - ( 2- 0) ( 2- 0) Eaglecrest

PowerWise = 30


division Games Only
Average number of games used in Games Correction = 15.04

 Date  Opponent          (W-L  PR)      SCORE       SAFE        SAFE       Home       No Games           SCI              
                                                    Loss        Win       Field      Correction         Points            
                                                    SLP         SWP     Advantage      Factor                       
                                                      
   0 H ThunderRidge    ( 3-10, 80.9)     7- 5      -18.99      14.51      -0.37         1.00            14.18
   0 A Chatfield       (11- 6, 91.3)     1-19       -8.64      24.86       0.37         1.00            -8.29
   0 A Smoky Hill      ( 6- 9, 75.1)    17- 1      -24.80       8.70       0.37         1.00             9.10
   0 A Heritage        ( 9- 6, 85.0)     3- 5      -14.87      18.64       0.37         1.00           -14.54
   0 A Boulder         ( 7- 6, 86.0)     5- 8      -13.87      19.63       0.37         1.00           -13.54
   0 H Thompson Valle  ( 3-12, 78.3)    13- 8      -21.62      11.88      -0.37         1.00            11.55
   0 H Pine Creek      ( 5- 9, 84.2)     7- 9      -15.71      17.79      -0.37         1.00           -16.12
   0 A Ponderosa       ( 7- 8, 79.3)    10- 4      -20.57      12.93       0.37         1.00            13.33
   0 A Lewis Palmer    ( 9- 5, 88.0)     1- 9      -11.92      21.59       0.37         1.00           -11.58
   0 H Douglas County  ( 4-11, 81.1)    10- 4      -18.78      14.73      -0.37         1.00            14.40
   0 H Denver North    ( 7- 8, 76.0)    14- 2      -23.86       9.64      -0.37         1.00             9.30
   0 H Arvada West     ( 2-13, 78.0)    20- 5      -21.89      11.61      -0.37         1.00            11.27
   0 H Northfield      ( 9- 7, 88.5)     4-13      -11.37      22.13      -0.37         1.00           -11.77
   0 H Grandview       ( 6-10, 89.0)     2-18      -10.85      22.65      -0.37         1.00           -11.25
   0 A Chaparral       ( 1-13, 79.8)    10- 3      -20.09      13.42       0.37         1.00            13.82
                                                                                                        ------
                                                                                                         9.85

winning pts = 96.9444 losing points = -87.0906

             SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.

------------------------------------------------------------------------
| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
------------------------------------------------------------------------