---    UPDATED: 07-28-25 17:07 PDT

safe3step boys Durham Academy 1
  
Durham Academy        
W-L: (16- 2) PR = 94.8528

Schedule/Results All Games

Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 228 A Charlotte Latin (10- 7, 92.9) 12- 9 304 H Jordan (12- 9, 87.3) 21- 7 307 H Providence Day ( 7-12, 92.9) 12-11 319 H East Chapel Hill (13- 8, 88.8) 16- 6 321 H Lake Norman HS (18- 2, 98.9) 8-17 325 A Chapel Hill (12- 8, 89.5) 13-10 328 A Ravenscroft School ( 7- 6, 86.8) 16- 3 401 H North Raleigh Christ ( 4-12, 84.3) 15- 3 404 H Charlotte CDS (17- 6, 94.1) 7- 4 408 H Cary Academy ( 6- 6, 87.0) 16- 6 415 A North Raleigh Christ ( 4-12, 84.3) 21- 7 425 H Ravenscroft School ( 7- 6, 86.8) 15- 4 428 H Cannon School ( 6-11, 91.9) 11- 7 429 A Cary Academy ( 6- 6, 87.0) 14- 6 502 A Christ School (11- 4, 95.5) 7- 6 509 H Providence Day ( 7-12, 92.9) 13- 4 515 H Rabun Gap-Nocoochee ( 4- 4, 94.5) 7- 6 517 H Christ School (11- 4, 95.5) 4-12

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction. N/A when ten  |
               |         goal limit is exceeded    |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   228 A Charlotte Latin        12- 9       3     2           1.30
   304 H Jordan                 21- 7      14     8           0.00
   307 H Providence Day         12-11       1     2          -1.20
   319 H East Chapel Hill       16- 6      10     6           0.00
   321 H Lake Norman HS          8-17      -9    -4          -1.21
   325 A Chapel Hill            13-10       3     5    -     -2.00
   328 A Ravenscroft School     16- 3      13     8           0.00
   401 H North Raleigh Christ   15- 3      12    11           0.00
   404 H Charlotte CDS           7- 4       3     1           1.98
   408 H Cary Academy           16- 6      10     8           0.00
   415 A North Raleigh Christ   21- 7      14    10           0.00
   425 H Ravenscroft School     15- 4      11     8           0.00
   428 H Cannon School          11- 7       4     3           0.77
   429 A Cary Academy           14- 6       8     8           0.00
   502 A Christ School           7- 6       1    -1           1.91
   509 H Providence Day         13- 4       9     2    +      2.80
   515 H Rabun Gap-Nocoochee     7- 6       1     1           0.38
   517 H Christ School           4-12      -8     0    --    -4.63

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   517 H Christ School           4-12      -8     0    --    -4.63
   325 A Chapel Hill            13-10       3     5    -     -2.00

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   509 H Providence Day         13- 4       9     2    +      2.80

Durham Academy Evaluation

The team that earns the point in the pair-wise comparison is based on three criteria: 
first is head-to-head, the winner gets the point, however, if they did not play each
other, than it considers w-l versus common opponents. If their records are tied or they
have no common opponents, than the tie-breaker becomes the better power rating.
The Common Opponent Point list in the table below has the record of the winner followed by the
record of the loser for all common opponents
Opponent Who Gets
the Point?
Head-2-Head
Point
Common Opponent
Point
Power Rating
Point
Apex Apex tied - ( 2- 1) ( 2- 0) Apex
Apex Friendship Durham Academy tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) Durham Academy
Ardrey Kell Durham Academy tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 0) Durham Academy
Arendell Parrott Aca Durham Academy   Durham Academy
Asheville HS Durham Academy   Durham Academy
Asheville School Durham Academy Durham Academy   2- 1 vs 0- 2
Ashley Durham Academy insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Durham Academy
Athens Drive Durham Academy tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) Durham Academy
Atkins Durham Academy   Durham Academy
Ballantyne Ridge Durham Academy   Durham Academy
Bishop McGuinness Durham Academy   Durham Academy
Bradford Prep Durham Academy   Durham Academy
Broughton Durham Academy tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) Durham Academy
Butler Durham Academy   Durham Academy
Cannon School Durham Academy Durham Academy  
Cape Fear Academy Durham Academy Durham Academy   2- 0 vs 0- 2
Cape Fear HS Durham Academy   Durham Academy
Cardinal Gibbons Cardinal Gibbons insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 2- 0) Cardinal Gibbons
Carrboro Durham Academy Durham Academy   5- 0 vs 1- 4
Cary Academy Durham Academy Durham Academy  
Cary Christian Durham Academy Durham Academy   2- 0 vs 0- 2
Cary HS Durham Academy   Durham Academy
Cedar Ridge Durham Academy   Durham Academy
Chapel Hill Durham Academy Durham Academy  
Charlotte Catholic Charlotte Catholic tied - ( 3- 2) ( 3- 1) Charlotte Catholic
Charlotte CDS Durham Academy Durham Academy  
Charlotte Christian Durham Academy Durham Academy   4- 0 vs 1- 3
Charlotte Latin Durham Academy Durham Academy  
Christ School Christ School insuffient: ( 5- 0)( 4- 1) Christ School
Christ The King Durham Academy Durham Academy   2- 0 vs 0- 2
Clayton Durham Academy Durham Academy   2- 0 vs 0- 2
Cleveland Durham Academy   Durham Academy
Community School-Dav Durham Academy insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 0) Durham Academy
Corinth Holders Durham Academy insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Durham Academy
Cornerstone Charter Durham Academy   Durham Academy
Croatan Durham Academy tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) Durham Academy
Cuthbertson Durham Academy insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 0- 2) Durham Academy
Davie Durham Academy   Durham Academy
DH Conley Durham Academy   Durham Academy
East Chapel Hill Durham Academy Durham Academy  
East Forsyth Durham Academy   Durham Academy
Eastern Alamance Durham Academy   Durham Academy
Eastern Guilford Durham Academy   Durham Academy
Enloe Durham Academy insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Durham Academy
Fike Durham Academy   Durham Academy
First Flight Durham Academy tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) Durham Academy
Forsyth Country Day Durham Academy Durham Academy   5- 0 vs 3- 2
Fuquay-Varina Durham Academy Durham Academy   2- 0 vs 0- 1
Garner Durham Academy   Durham Academy
Glenn Durham Academy   Durham Academy
Grays Creek Durham Academy   Durham Academy
Green Hope Durham Academy tied - ( 2- 0) ( 2- 0) Durham Academy
Green Level Durham Academy tied - ( 3- 1) ( 3- 1) Durham Academy
Greensboro Day Durham Academy insuffient: ( 4- 0)( 3- 1) Durham Academy
Grimsley Durham Academy insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Durham Academy
Havelock Durham Academy   Durham Academy
Heritage Durham Academy tied - ( 2- 0) ( 2- 0) Durham Academy
Hickory Durham Academy   Durham Academy
High Point Central Durham Academy   Durham Academy
Hillsborough Orange Durham Academy insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 0) Durham Academy
Hoggard Durham Academy   Durham Academy
Holly Springs Durham Academy   Durham Academy
Hough Hough tied - ( 1- 1) ( 1- 1) Hough
Hunt Durham Academy   Durham Academy
Independence Durham Academy   Durham Academy
Jack Britt Durham Academy   Durham Academy
Jacksonville Durham Academy   Durham Academy
JF Webb Durham Academy   Durham Academy
JH Rose Durham Academy   Durham Academy
John Paul II Catholi Durham Academy   Durham Academy
Jordan Durham Academy Durham Academy  
Lake Norman Charter Durham Academy insuffient: ( 2- 1)( 1- 2) Durham Academy
Lake Norman HS Lake Norman HS Lake Norman HS  
Laney Durham Academy   Durham Academy
Leesville Road Durham Academy   Durham Academy
Lincoln Charter Durham Academy   Durham Academy
Marvin Ridge Durham Academy Durham Academy   2- 1 vs 0- 3
Middle Creek Durham Academy Durham Academy   2- 1 vs 0- 2
Millbrook Durham Academy insuffient: ( 3- 0)( 2- 1) Durham Academy
Mooresville Durham Academy insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 0- 2) Durham Academy
Mount Tabor Durham Academy   Durham Academy
Mountain Island Char Durham Academy   Durham Academy
Myers Park Durham Academy Durham Academy   2- 1 vs 0- 3
New Bern Durham Academy insuffient: ( 2- 0)( 1- 1) Durham Academy
New Hanover Durham Academy   Durham Academy
North Brunswick Durham Academy   Durham Academy
North Davidson Durham Academy   Durham Academy
North Lincoln Durham Academy   Durham Academy
North Raleigh Christ Durham Academy Durham Academy  
Northern Durham Durham Academy Durham Academy   3- 0 vs 0- 3
Northern Guilford Durham Academy insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Durham Academy
Northside Durham Academy   Durham Academy
Northwest Guilford Durham Academy tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Durham Academy
Northwood Durham Academy insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Durham Academy
Page Durham Academy insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Durham Academy
Panther Creek Durham Academy insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Durham Academy
Parkwood Durham Academy   Durham Academy
Patton Morganton Durham Academy   Durham Academy
Pine Forest Durham Academy   Durham Academy
Pine Lake Prep Durham Academy   Durham Academy
Pinecrest Durham Academy Durham Academy   2- 0 vs 0- 2
Porter Ridge Durham Academy   Durham Academy
Providence Durham Academy insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Durham Academy
Providence Day Durham Academy Durham Academy  
Queens Grant Durham Academy   Durham Academy
Rabun Gap-Nocoochee Durham Academy Durham Academy  
Ragsdale Durham Academy   Durham Academy
Ravenscroft School Durham Academy Durham Academy  
Reagan Durham Academy   Durham Academy
Riverside Durham Durham Academy Durham Academy   3- 0 vs 0- 3
RJ Reynolds Durham Academy tied - ( 1- 1) ( 1- 1) Durham Academy
Rolesville Durham Academy insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Durham Academy
Roxboro Community Durham Academy   Durham Academy
Sanderson Durham Academy   Durham Academy
Seaforth Durham Academy insuffient: ( 2- 0)( 1- 1) Durham Academy
South Brunswick Durham Academy   Durham Academy
South Garner Durham Academy   Durham Academy
South Iredell Durham Academy tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Durham Academy
South Mecklenburg Durham Academy insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Durham Academy
South View Durham Academy   Durham Academy
Southeast Alamance Durham Academy   Durham Academy
Southeast Guilford Durham Academy   Durham Academy
Southern Alamance Durham Academy   Durham Academy
Southlake Christian Durham Academy Durham Academy   2- 0 vs 0- 2
Southwest Guilford Durham Academy   Durham Academy
St Davids School Durham Academy tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) Durham Academy
St Stephens Durham Academy   Durham Academy
Sun Valley Durham Academy   Durham Academy
Swansboro Durham Academy   Durham Academy
TC Roberson Durham Academy   Durham Academy
Terry Sanford Durham Academy insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Durham Academy
Topsail Durham Academy tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) Durham Academy
Union Pines Durham Academy insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Durham Academy
Vance Charter Durham Academy   Durham Academy
Voyager Academy Durham Academy   Durham Academy
Wake Forest Durham Academy   Durham Academy
Wake Prep Durham Academy insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Durham Academy
Wakefield Durham Academy Durham Academy   3- 0 vs 0- 3
Walter M Williams Durham Academy insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Durham Academy
Watauga Durham Academy   Durham Academy
Weddington Durham Academy tied - ( 1- 1) ( 1- 1) Durham Academy
West Brunswick Durham Academy   Durham Academy
West Carteret Durham Academy   Durham Academy
West Forsyth Durham Academy   Durham Academy
West Stokes Durham Academy   Durham Academy
Western Alamance Durham Academy   Durham Academy
Western Guilford Durham Academy   Durham Academy
Willow Spring Durham Academy   Durham Academy

PowerWise = 142


division Games Only
Average number of games used in Games Correction = 17.93

 Date  Opponent          (W-L  PR)      SCORE       SAFE        SAFE       Home       No Games           SCI              
                                                    Loss        Win       Field      Correction         Points            
                                                    SLP         SWP     Advantage      Factor                       
                                                      
   0 A Charlotte Lati  (10- 7, 92.9)    12- 9       -7.02      26.79       0.27         1.00            26.96
   0 H Jordan          (12- 9, 87.3)    21- 7      -12.59      21.22      -0.27         1.00            20.87
   0 H Providence Day  ( 7-12, 92.9)    12-11       -6.98      26.83      -0.27         1.00            26.46
   0 H East Chapel Hi  (13- 8, 88.8)    16- 6      -11.10      22.71      -0.27         1.00            22.35
   0 H Lake Norman HS  (18- 2, 98.9)     8-17       -0.99      32.82      -0.27         1.00            -1.25
   0 A Chapel Hill     (12- 8, 89.5)    13-10      -10.38      23.43       0.27         1.00            23.61
   0 A Ravenscroft Sc  ( 7- 6, 86.8)    16- 3      -13.12      20.69       0.27         1.00            20.88
   0 H North Raleigh   ( 4-12, 84.3)    15- 3      -15.58      18.23      -0.27         1.00            17.89
   0 H Charlotte CDS   (17- 6, 94.1)     7- 4       -5.80      28.01      -0.27         1.00            27.64
   0 H Cary Academy    ( 6- 6, 87.0)    16- 6      -12.94      20.87      -0.27         1.00            20.52
   0 A North Raleigh   ( 4-12, 84.3)    21- 7      -15.58      18.23       0.27         1.00            18.43
   0 H Ravenscroft Sc  ( 7- 6, 86.8)    15- 4      -13.12      20.69      -0.27         1.00            20.34
   0 H Cannon School   ( 6-11, 91.9)    11- 7       -8.01      25.80      -0.27         1.00            25.43
   0 A Cary Academy    ( 6- 6, 87.0)    14- 6      -12.94      20.87       0.27         1.00            21.06
   0 A Christ School   (11- 4, 95.5)     7- 6       -4.41      29.40       0.27         1.00            29.56
   0 H Providence Day  ( 7-12, 92.9)    13- 4       -6.98      26.83      -0.27         1.00            26.46
   0 H Rabun Gap-Noco  ( 4- 4, 94.5)     7- 6       -5.39      28.41      -0.27         1.00            28.04
   0 H Christ School   (11- 4, 95.5)     4-12       -4.41      29.40      -0.27         1.00            -4.66
                                                                                                        ------
                                                                                                       370.60

winning pts = 376.5092 losing points = -5.9122

             SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.

------------------------------------------------------------------------
| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
------------------------------------------------------------------------