---    UPDATED: 07-28-25 23:49 PDT

safe3step boys Durango 1
  
Durango               
W-L: ( 6- 8) PR = 81.5679

Schedule/Results All Games

Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 308 A Pueblo West (11- 5, 82.3) 9-11 313 H Telluride (11- 5, 86.7) 6- 8 328 A Crested Butte ( 4-11, 79.5) 12- 9 329 A Crested Butte ( 4-11, 79.5) 11- 5 404 H Grand Junction (11- 5, 85.5) 4-10 405 H Grand Junction (11- 5, 85.5) 8-16 410 A Glenwood Springs ( 7- 8, 82.7) 7-19 419 A Fruita Monument (11- 5, 84.0) 8-12 424 A Montrose ( 3-11, 78.2) 12-10 426 H Montrose ( 3-11, 78.2) 17- 7 501 A Eagle Valley ( 0-12, 75.6) 1- 0 502 H Summit ( 3- 7, 79.0) 14- 6 503 A Telluride (11- 5, 86.7) 8-14 506 A Battle Mountain ( 8- 8, 84.9) 4-17

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction. N/A when ten  |
               |         goal limit is exceeded    |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   308 A Pueblo West             9-11      -2    -1          -0.92
   313 H Telluride               6- 8      -2    -5    +      2.77
   328 A Crested Butte          12- 9       3     2           1.27
   329 A Crested Butte          11- 5       6     2    +      3.27
   404 H Grand Junction          4-10      -6    -4          -1.42
   405 H Grand Junction          8-16      -8    -4          -1.42
   410 A Glenwood Springs        7-19     -12    -2    -     -3.49
   419 A Fruita Monument         8-12      -4    -3          -1.17
   424 A Montrose               12-10       2     3          -0.96
   426 H Montrose               17- 7      10     4           1.30
   502 H Summit                 14- 6       8     3    +      2.06
   503 A Telluride               8-14      -6    -6           0.00
   506 A Battle Mountain         4-17     -13    -4          -1.30

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   410 A Glenwood Springs        7-19     -12    -2    -     -3.49

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   313 H Telluride               6- 8      -2    -5    +      2.77
   329 A Crested Butte          11- 5       6     2    +      3.27
   502 H Summit                 14- 6       8     3    +      2.06

Durango Evaluation

The team that earns the point in the pair-wise comparison is based on three criteria: 
first is head-to-head, the winner gets the point, however, if they did not play each
other, than it considers w-l versus common opponents. If their records are tied or they
have no common opponents, than the tie-breaker becomes the better power rating.
The Common Opponent Point list in the table below has the record of the winner followed by the
record of the loser for all common opponents
Opponent Who Gets
the Point?
Head-2-Head
Point
Common Opponent
Point
Power Rating
Point
Air Academy Air Academy insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 2- 0) Air Academy
Arapahoe Arapahoe   Arapahoe
Arvada West Durango   Durango
Aspen Aspen Aspen   7- 0 vs 2- 5
Battle Mountain Battle Mountain Battle Mountain  
Boulder Boulder   Boulder
Castle View Castle View   Castle View
Chaparral Durango   Durango
Chatfield Chatfield   Chatfield
Cherokee Trail Cherokee Trail   Cherokee Trail
Cherry Creek Cherry Creek   Cherry Creek
Cheyenne Mountain Cheyenne Mountain   Cheyenne Mountain
Colorado Academy Colorado Academy   Colorado Academy
Columbine Columbine   Columbine
Conifer Durango tied - ( 1- 1) ( 1- 1) Durango
Crested Butte Durango Durango  
Dakota Ridge Dakota Ridge insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Dakota Ridge
Denver East Denver East insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Denver East
Denver North Durango tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Durango
Denver South Denver South   Denver South
Douglas County Durango tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Durango
Eagle Valley Durango Durango  
Eaglecrest Eaglecrest   Eaglecrest
Erie Erie   Erie
Evergreen Evergreen Evergreen   2- 0 vs 0- 2
Fairview Fairview   Fairview
Fountain Valley Durango   Durango
Fruita Monument Fruita Monument Fruita Monument  
Glenwood Springs Glenwood Springs Glenwood Springs  
Golden Golden tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Golden
Grand Junction Grand Junction Grand Junction  
Grandview Grandview   Grandview
Green Mountain Green Mountain insuffient: ( 0- 2)( 1- 1) Green Mountain
Heritage Heritage   Heritage
Holy Family Durango tied - ( 1- 2) ( 1- 2) Durango
Jefferson Academy Durango   Durango
Kent Denver Kent Denver   Kent Denver
Lakewood Lakewood   Lakewood
Legend Legend   Legend
Lewis Palmer Lewis Palmer   Lewis Palmer
Littleton Durango tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Durango
Lutheran Lutheran insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Lutheran
Middle Park Middle Park insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Middle Park
Monarch Monarch   Monarch
Montrose Durango Durango  
Mountain Range Mountain Range insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Mountain Range
Mountain Vista Mountain Vista   Mountain Vista
Mullen Mullen   Mullen
Northfield Northfield   Northfield
Palmer Durango tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Durango
Pine Creek Pine Creek   Pine Creek
Ponderosa Durango   Durango
Poudre District Poudre District   Poudre District
Prairie View Durango tied - ( 0- 3) ( 0- 3) Durango
Pueblo West Pueblo West Pueblo West  
Ralston Valley Ralston Valley   Ralston Valley
Rangeview Durango   Durango
Regis Jesuit Regis Jesuit   Regis Jesuit
Resurrection Christi Resurrection Christi   Resurrection Christi
Rock Canyon Rock Canyon   Rock Canyon
Smoky Hill Durango   Durango
St Marys HS Durango tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Durango
Steamboat Springs Steamboat Springs Steamboat Springs   4- 0 vs 1- 3
Summit Durango Durango  
Telluride Telluride Telluride  
Thomas Jefferson Durango insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 0- 2) Durango
Thompson Valley Durango tied - ( 0- 2) ( 0- 2) Durango
ThunderRidge Durango   Durango
Vail Mountain Vail Mountain tied - ( 2- 2) ( 2- 2) Vail Mountain
Valor Christian Valor Christian   Valor Christian
Vanguard School Durango insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 0- 2) Durango
Windsor Windsor tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Windsor

PowerWise = 23


division Games Only
Average number of games used in Games Correction = 15.04

 Date  Opponent          (W-L  PR)      SCORE       SAFE        SAFE       Home       No Games           SCI              
                                                    Loss        Win       Field      Correction         Points            
                                                    SLP         SWP     Advantage      Factor                       
                                                      
   0 A Pueblo West     (11- 5, 82.3)     9-11      -17.62      15.88       0.37         1.07           -18.54
   0 H Telluride       (11- 5, 86.7)     6- 8      -13.20      20.31      -0.37         1.07           -14.57
   0 A Crested Butte   ( 4-11, 79.5)    12- 9      -20.43      13.07       0.37         1.07            14.44
   0 A Crested Butte   ( 4-11, 79.5)    11- 5      -20.43      13.07       0.37         1.07            14.44
   0 H Grand Junction  (11- 5, 85.5)     4-10      -14.39      19.11      -0.37         1.07           -15.85
   0 H Grand Junction  (11- 5, 85.5)     8-16      -14.39      19.11      -0.37         1.07           -15.85
   0 A Glenwood Sprin  ( 7- 8, 82.7)     7-19      -17.19      16.32       0.37         1.07           -18.07
   0 A Fruita Monumen  (11- 5, 84.0)     8-12      -15.87      17.63       0.37         1.07           -16.66
   0 A Montrose        ( 3-11, 78.2)    12-10      -21.66      11.84       0.37         1.07            13.12
   0 H Montrose        ( 3-11, 78.2)    17- 7      -21.66      11.84      -0.37         1.07            12.33
   0 A Eagle Valley    ( 0-12, 75.6)     1- 0      -24.29       9.22       0.37         1.07            10.30
   0 H Summit          ( 3- 7, 79.0)    14- 6      -20.90      12.60      -0.37         1.07            13.14
   0 A Telluride       (11- 5, 86.7)     8-14      -13.20      20.31       0.37         1.07           -13.78
   0 A Battle Mountai  ( 8- 8, 84.9)     4-17      -15.00      18.50       0.37         1.07           -15.72
                                                                                                        ------
                                                                                                       -51.28

winning pts = 77.7612 losing points = -129.0422

             SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.

------------------------------------------------------------------------
| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
------------------------------------------------------------------------