Duluth
W-L: ( 7- 9) PR = 74.6932Schedule/Results All Games
Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 219 H Parkview ( 4-10, 74.9) 9- 8 224 A Wheeler ( 7-10, 78.8) 4-12 225 A Gainesville ( 0-15, 69.1) 18- 0 226 H Jackson ( 4- 7, 69.1) 13- 5 303 H Flowery Branch ( 3-12, 75.6) 4- 5 305 H Archer ( 0-13, 65.9) 17- 0 307 H Grayson ( 3-13, 72.6) 9- 0 312 A Collins Hill ( 3-14, 73.1) 9- 4 314 H Northview ( 3-16, 74.7) 3- 4 321 H Peachtree Ridge ( 1-14, 70.9) 11- 8 328 H Norcross ( 8- 9, 75.8) 5- 6 402 H Brookwood (14- 4, 84.6) 6-14 403 A Jackson County ( 8- 8, 76.8) 0- 9 418 A Mountain View ( 8-10, 79.0) 3-10 424 A Dacula (12- 6, 80.0) 4-12 428 A Mill Creek (16- 3, 91.7) 1-15
PREDICTION LIST
-------------------------------------
|Real = actual goal margin |
|Pred = predicted goal margin |
|+ = slightly above prediction |
|++ = above prediction |
|+++ = well above prediction |
|- = slightly below prediction |
|-- = below prediction |
|--- = well below prediction |
|Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) |
| prediction. N/A when ten |
| goal limit is exceeded |
|n/a = Outside division |
-------------------------------------
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
219 H Parkview 9- 8 1 0 0.62
224 A Wheeler 4-12 -8 -5 -0.37
225 A Gainesville 18- 0 18 5 0.00
226 H Jackson 13- 5 8 6 0.00
303 H Flowery Branch 4- 5 -1 0 -0.69
305 H Archer 17- 0 17 9 0.00
307 H Grayson 9- 0 9 3 + 2.37
312 A Collins Hill 9- 4 5 1 + 3.92
314 H Northview 3- 4 -1 1 -1.59
321 H Peachtree Ridge 11- 8 3 4 -1.34
328 H Norcross 5- 6 -1 -1 -0.50
402 H Brookwood 6-14 -8 -9 0.00
403 A Jackson County 0- 9 -9 -3 - -2.29
418 A Mountain View 3-10 -7 -5 -0.16
424 A Dacula 4-12 -8 -6 0.00
428 A Mill Creek 1-15 -14 -18 0.00
|
UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 403 A Jackson County 0- 9 -9 -3 - -2.29 |
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 307 H Grayson 9- 0 9 3 + 2.37 312 A Collins Hill 9- 4 5 1 + 3.92 |
Duluth Evaluation
The team that earns the point in the pair-wise comparison is based on three criteria:
first is head-to-head, the winner gets the point, however, if they did not play each
other, than it considers w-l versus common opponents. If their records are tied or they
have no common opponents, than the tie-breaker becomes the better power rating.
The Common Opponent Point list in the table below has the record of the winner followed by the
record of the loser for all common opponents
| Opponent | Who Gets the Point? | Head-2-Head Point |
Common Opponent Point |
Power Rating Point |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Allatoona | Allatoona | Allatoona | ||
| Alpharetta | Alpharetta | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Alpharetta | |
| Archer | Duluth | Duluth | ||
| Benedictine Military | Benedictine Military | Benedictine Military | ||
| Blessed Trinity | Blessed Trinity | Blessed Trinity | ||
| Bremen | Bremen | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | Bremen | |
| Brookwood | Brookwood | Brookwood | ||
| Buford | Buford | Buford 5- 0 vs 2- 3 | ||
| Calvary Day | Calvary Day | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Calvary Day | |
| Cambridge | Cambridge | Cambridge | ||
| Campbell | Campbell | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Campbell | |
| Carrollton | Carrollton | insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 2- 0) | Carrollton | |
| Centennial | Centennial | insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 2- 0) | Centennial | |
| Chamblee Charter | Chamblee Charter | Chamblee Charter 4- 1 vs 1- 4 | ||
| Chattahoochee | Chattahoochee | insuffient: ( 1- 2)( 2- 1) | Chattahoochee | |
| Cherokee | Cherokee | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | Cherokee | |
| Cherokee Bluff | Cherokee Bluff | Cherokee Bluff 4- 1 vs 1- 4 | ||
| Collins Hill | Duluth | Duluth | ||
| Creekview | Creekview | Creekview | ||
| Dacula | Dacula | Dacula | ||
| Dalton | Dalton | tied - ( 1- 1) ( 1- 1) | Dalton | |
| Darlington | Darlington | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | Darlington | |
| Decatur | Decatur | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | Decatur | |
| Denmark | Denmark | insuffient: ( 0- 2)( 1- 1) | Denmark | |
| Druid Hills | Duluth | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | Duluth | |
| Dunwoody | Dunwoody | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | Dunwoody | |
| Dutchtown | Duluth | Duluth | ||
| Eagles Landing Chris | Duluth | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | Duluth | |
| East Coweta | East Coweta | East Coweta | ||
| East Forsyth | East Forsyth | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | East Forsyth | |
| East Paulding | Duluth | tied - ( 1- 1) ( 1- 1) | Duluth | |
| Effingham County | Duluth | Duluth | ||
| Etowah | Etowah | Etowah 2- 0 vs 0- 2 | ||
| Evans | Evans | Evans 3- 0 vs 1- 2 | ||
| Fayette County | Duluth | Duluth | ||
| Fellowship Christian | Fellowship Christian | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Fellowship Christian | |
| Flowery Branch | Flowery Branch | Flowery Branch | ||
| Forsyth Central | Forsyth Central | Forsyth Central 4- 1 vs 2- 3 | ||
| Gainesville | Duluth | Duluth | ||
| George Walton Academ | George Walton Academ | George Walton Academ 2- 1 vs 0- 3 | ||
| Grayson | Duluth | Duluth | ||
| Greater Atlanta Chri | Greater Atlanta Chri | Greater Atlanta Chri 2- 1 vs 0- 3 | ||
| Greenbrier | Greenbrier | Greenbrier | ||
| Grovetown | Grovetown | tied - ( 1- 1) ( 1- 1) | Grovetown | |
| Harrison | Harrison | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | Harrison | |
| Hebron Christian | Hebron Christian | Hebron Christian 9- 0 vs 4- 5 | ||
| Hillgrove | Hillgrove | Hillgrove | ||
| Holy Innocents | Holy Innocents | Holy Innocents | ||
| Islands | Islands | Islands | ||
| Jackson | Duluth | Duluth | ||
| Jackson County | Jackson County | Jackson County | ||
| Johns Creek | Johns Creek | Johns Creek | ||
| Johnson Savannah | Johnson Savannah | Johnson Savannah | ||
| Kell | Duluth | Duluth | ||
| Kennesaw Mountain | Duluth | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Duluth | |
| Kings Ridge Christia | Kings Ridge Christia | Kings Ridge Christia | ||
| Lakeside-DeKalb | Lakeside-DeKalb | Lakeside-DeKalb 3- 0 vs 1- 2 | ||
| Lakeside-Evans | Lakeside-Evans | Lakeside-Evans | ||
| Lambert | Lambert | Lambert | ||
| Lanier | Lanier | Lanier 7- 3 vs 4- 6 | ||
| Lassiter | Lassiter | Lassiter | ||
| Lovett | Lovett | Lovett | ||
| Marietta | Marietta | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | Marietta | |
| Marist | Marist | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | Marist | |
| Mays | Duluth | Duluth 2- 0 vs 0- 2 | ||
| McEachern | Duluth | Duluth 2- 0 vs 0- 2 | ||
| McIntosh | McIntosh | McIntosh | ||
| Midtown | Midtown | insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 2- 0) | Midtown | |
| Mill Creek | Mill Creek | Mill Creek | ||
| Milton | Milton | Milton | ||
| Mount Bethel Christi | Duluth | Duluth | ||
| Mount Paran Christia | Mount Paran Christia | Mount Paran Christia | ||
| Mount Pisgah Christi | Mount Pisgah Christi | insuffient: ( 2- 1)( 3- 0) | Mount Pisgah Christi | |
| Mount Vernon Presbyt | Mount Vernon Presbyt | Mount Vernon Presbyt | ||
| Mountain View | Mountain View | Mountain View | ||
| Newnan | Duluth | tied - ( 1- 1) ( 1- 1) | Duluth | |
| Norcross | Norcross | Norcross | ||
| North Atlanta | North Atlanta | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | North Atlanta | |
| North Cobb | North Cobb | North Cobb | ||
| North Cobb Christian | Duluth | Duluth | ||
| North Forsyth | North Forsyth | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | North Forsyth | |
| North Gwinnett | North Gwinnett | North Gwinnett 4- 2 vs 2- 4 | ||
| North Oconee | North Oconee | North Oconee 3- 1 vs 1- 3 | ||
| North Paulding | North Paulding | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | North Paulding | |
| North Springs | North Springs | North Springs 2- 1 vs 0- 3 | ||
| Northgate | Northgate | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | Northgate | |
| Northview | Northview | Northview | ||
| Oconee County | Oconee County | Oconee County 4- 1 vs 2- 3 | ||
| Ola | Duluth | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Duluth | |
| Pace Academy | Pace Academy | Pace Academy | ||
| Parkview | Duluth | Duluth | ||
| Peachtree Ridge | Duluth | Duluth | ||
| Pope | Pope | Pope | ||
| Richmond Hill | Richmond Hill | Richmond Hill | ||
| River Ridge | River Ridge | River Ridge | ||
| Riverwood | Riverwood | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | Riverwood | |
| Roswell | Roswell | Roswell | ||
| Savannah Christian | Savannah Christian | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Savannah Christian | |
| Savannah Country Day | Savannah Country Day | Savannah Country Day | ||
| Seckinger | Seckinger | Seckinger 8- 2 vs 4- 6 | ||
| Sequoyah | Sequoyah | Sequoyah | ||
| South Effingham | Duluth | Duluth | ||
| South Forsyth | South Forsyth | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 0) | South Forsyth | |
| Southwest DeKalb | Duluth | insuffient: ( 2- 0)( 1- 1) | Duluth | |
| Sprayberry | Duluth | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Duluth | |
| St Pius X | St Pius X | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | St Pius X | |
| Starrs Mill | Starrs Mill | Starrs Mill | ||
| Strong Rock Christia | Strong Rock Christia | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | Strong Rock Christia | |
| Trinity Christian | Trinity Christian | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Trinity Christian | |
| Union Grove | Duluth | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | Duluth | |
| Walker School | Walker School | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | Walker School | |
| Walton | Walton | Walton 3- 0 vs 0- 3 | ||
| Wesleyan School | Wesleyan School | Wesleyan School 2- 0 vs 0- 2 | ||
| West Forsyth | West Forsyth | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | West Forsyth | |
| Westminster | Westminster | Westminster | ||
| Wheeler | Wheeler | Wheeler | ||
| Whitefield Academy | Whitefield Academy | Whitefield Academy | ||
| Whitewater | Whitewater | Whitewater | ||
| Woodstock | Woodstock | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | Woodstock | |
| Woodward Academy | Woodward Academy | Woodward Academy |
PowerWise = 25
division Games OnlyAverage number of games used in Games Correction = 15.16
Date Opponent (W-L PR) SCORE SAFE SAFE Home No Games SCI
Loss Win Field Correction Points
SLP SWP Advantage Factor
0 H Parkview ( 4-10, 74.9) 9- 8 -25.02 13.64 -0.56 0.95 12.39
0 A Wheeler ( 7-10, 78.8) 4-12 -21.13 17.53 0.56 0.95 -19.49
0 A Gainesville ( 0-15, 69.1) 18- 0 -30.77 7.89 0.56 0.95 8.01
0 H Jackson ( 4- 7, 69.1) 13- 5 -30.78 7.88 -0.56 0.95 6.93
0 H Flowery Branch ( 3-12, 75.6) 4- 5 -24.34 14.32 -0.56 0.95 -23.59
0 H Archer ( 0-13, 65.9) 17- 0 -33.98 4.68 -0.56 0.95 3.90
0 H Grayson ( 3-13, 72.6) 9- 0 -27.28 11.38 -0.56 0.95 10.25
0 A Collins Hill ( 3-14, 73.1) 9- 4 -26.85 11.81 0.56 0.95 11.72
0 H Northview ( 3-16, 74.7) 3- 4 -25.24 13.42 -0.56 0.95 -24.44
0 H Peachtree Ridg ( 1-14, 70.9) 11- 8 -28.99 9.67 -0.56 0.95 8.63
0 H Norcross ( 8- 9, 75.8) 5- 6 -24.15 14.51 -0.56 0.95 -23.40
0 H Brookwood (14- 4, 84.6) 6-14 -15.34 23.32 -0.56 0.95 -15.07
0 A Jackson County ( 8- 8, 76.8) 0- 9 -23.06 15.60 0.56 0.95 -21.31
0 A Mountain View ( 8-10, 79.0) 3-10 -20.92 17.73 0.56 0.95 -19.29
0 A Dacula (12- 6, 80.0) 4-12 -19.92 18.74 0.56 0.95 -18.34
0 A Mill Creek (16- 3, 91.7) 1-15 -8.18 30.48 0.56 0.95 -7.22
------
-110.31
|
winning pts = 61.8372 losing points = -172.1463
SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.
------------------------------------------------------------------------
| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
------------------------------------------------------------------------