---    UPDATED: 07-28-25 17:13 PDT

safe3step boys Douglas Freeman 1
  
Douglas Freeman       
W-L: (14- 6) PR = 91.7082

Schedule/Results All Games

Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 320 A Mills Godwin ( 5-11, 79.6) 22- 1 324 H Atlee (10- 9, 90.9) 6- 7 326 H Glen Allen ( 6-10, 82.7) 19- 6 410 H Deep Run ( 9- 8, 90.3) 11- 6 416 A Albemarle ( 9- 7, 84.6) 13- 4 419 H Kellam (16- 3, 87.2) 1- 0 423 H Collegiate School (12- 6, 94.6) 8-10 426 H EC Glass (11- 5, 88.7) 12- 6 429 A St Annes-Belfield (14- 1, 99.9) 4-17 501 H Mills Godwin ( 5-11, 79.6) 18- 2 508 A Deep Run ( 9- 8, 90.3) 9-11 512 A Glen Allen ( 6-10, 82.7) 14- 3 515 H Midlothian ( 7- 9, 86.5) 13- 3 520 H Cosby (18- 2, 93.4) 3- 8 521 H Patrick Henry Roano (10- 5, 88.2) 14- 5 527 H Mills Godwin ( 5-11, 79.6) 22- 2 529 H James River (10- 7, 85.9) 16- 4 602 A Patrick Henry Roano (10- 5, 88.2) 12- 5 610 H Briar Woods (16- 6, 91.2) 11- 7 614 A Independence (19- 2, 93.8) 9-13

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction. N/A when ten  |
               |         goal limit is exceeded    |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   320 A Mills Godwin           22- 1      21    11           0.00
   324 H Atlee                   6- 7      -1     1    -     -2.46
   326 H Glen Allen             19- 6      13    10           0.00
   410 H Deep Run               11- 6       5     2    +      2.96
   416 A Albemarle              13- 4       9     6           0.00
   423 H Collegiate School       8-10      -2    -2           0.28
   426 H EC Glass               12- 6       6     4           1.37
   429 A St Annes-Belfield       4-17     -13    -9           0.00
   501 H Mills Godwin           18- 2      16    13           0.00
   508 A Deep Run                9-11      -2     1    -     -2.82
   512 A Glen Allen             14- 3      11     8           0.00
   515 H Midlothian             13- 3      10     6           0.00
   520 H Cosby                   3- 8      -5    -1    -     -3.95
   521 H Patrick Henry  Roano   14- 5       9     4           0.92
   527 H Mills Godwin           22- 2      20    13           0.00
   529 H James River            16- 4      12     6           0.00
   602 A Patrick Henry  Roano   12- 5       7     3    +      2.14
   610 H Briar Woods            11- 7       4     1    +      2.91
   614 A Independence            9-13      -4    -3          -1.26

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   324 H Atlee                   6- 7      -1     1    -     -2.46
   508 A Deep Run                9-11      -2     1    -     -2.82
   520 H Cosby                   3- 8      -5    -1    -     -3.95

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   410 H Deep Run               11- 6       5     2    +      2.96
   602 A Patrick Henry  Roano   12- 5       7     3    +      2.14
   610 H Briar Woods            11- 7       4     1    +      2.91

Douglas Freeman Evaluation

The team that earns the point in the pair-wise comparison is based on three criteria: 
first is head-to-head, the winner gets the point, however, if they did not play each
other, than it considers w-l versus common opponents. If their records are tied or they
have no common opponents, than the tie-breaker becomes the better power rating.
The Common Opponent Point list in the table below has the record of the winner followed by the
record of the loser for all common opponents
Opponent Who Gets
the Point?
Head-2-Head
Point
Common Opponent
Point
Power Rating
Point
Albemarle Douglas Freeman Douglas Freeman  
Alexandria City Douglas Freeman   Douglas Freeman
Annandale Douglas Freeman   Douglas Freeman
Atlee Atlee Atlee  
Battlefield Battlefield insuffient: ( 2- 3)( 1- 2) Battlefield
Bayside Douglas Freeman insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Douglas Freeman
Benedictine Douglas Freeman tied - ( 1- 1) ( 1- 1) Douglas Freeman
Bishop Ireton Douglas Freeman   Douglas Freeman
Bishop OConnell Douglas Freeman   Douglas Freeman
Blacksburg Douglas Freeman Douglas Freeman   2- 0 vs 0- 2
Blue Ridge School Blue Ridge School Blue Ridge School   2- 0 vs 0- 2
Brentsville Douglas Freeman   Douglas Freeman
Briar Woods Douglas Freeman Douglas Freeman  
Broad Run Douglas Freeman insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Douglas Freeman
Brooke Point Douglas Freeman   Douglas Freeman
Cape Henry Collegiat Douglas Freeman   Douglas Freeman
Catholic HS Catholic HS tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Catholic HS
Cave Spring Douglas Freeman Douglas Freeman   2- 0 vs 0- 2
Centreville Douglas Freeman   Douglas Freeman
Chantilly Douglas Freeman   Douglas Freeman
Charlottesville Douglas Freeman insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Douglas Freeman
Christchurch Christchurch insuffient: ( 0- 3)( 1- 2) Christchurch
Christiansburg Douglas Freeman Douglas Freeman   2- 0 vs 0- 2
Clover Hill Douglas Freeman Douglas Freeman   3- 1 vs 0- 4
Colgan Douglas Freeman   Douglas Freeman
Collegiate School Collegiate School Collegiate School  
Colonial Forge Douglas Freeman   Douglas Freeman
Cosby Cosby Cosby  
Covenant School Douglas Freeman   Douglas Freeman
Cox Douglas Freeman insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 0- 2) Douglas Freeman
Culpeper County Douglas Freeman   Douglas Freeman
Deep Run Douglas Freeman tied - ( 3- 3) ( 3- 3) Douglas Freeman
Dominion Douglas Freeman Douglas Freeman   2- 0 vs 0- 2
Eastern View Douglas Freeman insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Douglas Freeman
EC Glass Douglas Freeman Douglas Freeman  
Edison Douglas Freeman   Douglas Freeman
Episcopal Episcopal tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Episcopal
Eukarya Christian Douglas Freeman   Douglas Freeman
Fairfax Douglas Freeman   Douglas Freeman
Falls Church Douglas Freeman   Douglas Freeman
Fauquier Douglas Freeman tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Douglas Freeman
First Colonial Douglas Freeman insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Douglas Freeman
Fishburne Military A Douglas Freeman   Douglas Freeman
Flint Hill Douglas Freeman   Douglas Freeman
Fluvanna County Douglas Freeman insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Douglas Freeman
Forest Park Douglas Freeman   Douglas Freeman
Fork Union Military Douglas Freeman tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Douglas Freeman
Franklin County Douglas Freeman Douglas Freeman   3- 0 vs 0- 3
Fredericksburg Acade Douglas Freeman   Douglas Freeman
Fredericksburg Chris Douglas Freeman   Douglas Freeman
Freedom South Ridin Douglas Freeman insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Douglas Freeman
Freedom Woodbridge Douglas Freeman   Douglas Freeman
Gainesville Douglas Freeman tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Douglas Freeman
Gar-field Douglas Freeman   Douglas Freeman
Glen Allen Douglas Freeman Douglas Freeman  
Goochland Douglas Freeman insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Douglas Freeman
Grafton LC Douglas Freeman   Douglas Freeman
Grassfield LC Douglas Freeman   Douglas Freeman
Green Run Douglas Freeman insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Douglas Freeman
Handley Douglas Freeman   Douglas Freeman
Hanover Douglas Freeman insuffient: ( 4- 3)( 3- 3) Douglas Freeman
Hayfield Douglas Freeman   Douglas Freeman
Heritage Leesburg Douglas Freeman tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Douglas Freeman
Herndon Douglas Freeman   Douglas Freeman
Hickory LC Douglas Freeman   Douglas Freeman
Hidden Valley Douglas Freeman Douglas Freeman   2- 0 vs 0- 2
Highland School Douglas Freeman   Douglas Freeman
Highland Springs Douglas Freeman Douglas Freeman   2- 0 vs 0- 2
Hylton Douglas Freeman   Douglas Freeman
Independence Independence Independence  
James Monroe Douglas Freeman   Douglas Freeman
James River Douglas Freeman Douglas Freeman  
Jamestown LC Douglas Freeman   Douglas Freeman
Jefferson Forest Douglas Freeman tied - ( 2- 0) ( 2- 0) Douglas Freeman
John Champe Douglas Freeman   Douglas Freeman
Justice Douglas Freeman   Douglas Freeman
Kellam Douglas Freeman Douglas Freeman  
Kempsville Douglas Freeman insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Douglas Freeman
Kettle Run Douglas Freeman   Douglas Freeman
Lafayette LC Douglas Freeman   Douglas Freeman
Lake Braddock Douglas Freeman tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Douglas Freeman
Landstown Douglas Freeman insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Douglas Freeman
Langley Langley   Langley
Lewis Douglas Freeman   Douglas Freeman
Liberty Bealeton Douglas Freeman insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Douglas Freeman
Lightridge Douglas Freeman insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 0- 2) Douglas Freeman
Lloyd C Bird Douglas Freeman   Douglas Freeman
Lord Botetourt Douglas Freeman   Douglas Freeman
Loudoun County Douglas Freeman insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 0- 2) Douglas Freeman
Loudoun Valley Douglas Freeman tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Douglas Freeman
Madison Madison   Madison
Manchester Douglas Freeman insuffient: ( 5- 2)( 4- 2) Douglas Freeman
Marshall Douglas Freeman   Douglas Freeman
Massaponax Douglas Freeman   Douglas Freeman
Matoaca Douglas Freeman Douglas Freeman   5- 0 vs 0- 5
Maury LC Douglas Freeman   Douglas Freeman
McLean Douglas Freeman   Douglas Freeman
Mechanicsville Douglas Freeman Douglas Freeman   3- 1 vs 0- 4
Menchville LC Douglas Freeman   Douglas Freeman
Meridian Douglas Freeman   Douglas Freeman
Midlothian Douglas Freeman Douglas Freeman  
Mills Godwin Douglas Freeman Douglas Freeman  
Monacan Douglas Freeman Douglas Freeman   3- 2 vs 1- 4
Monticello Douglas Freeman tied - ( 2- 0) ( 2- 0) Douglas Freeman
Mount Vernon Douglas Freeman   Douglas Freeman
Mountain View Douglas Freeman   Douglas Freeman
Nansemond-Suffolk Ac Douglas Freeman insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Douglas Freeman
New Covenant School Douglas Freeman   Douglas Freeman
Norfolk Academy Norfolk Academy insuffient: ( 0- 2)( 1- 1) Norfolk Academy
Norfolk Christian Douglas Freeman   Douglas Freeman
Norfolk Collegiate Douglas Freeman   Douglas Freeman
North Cross School Douglas Freeman insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Douglas Freeman
North Stafford Douglas Freeman   Douglas Freeman
Northern VA Home Sch Douglas Freeman   Douglas Freeman
Oakton Douglas Freeman   Douglas Freeman
Ocean Lakes Douglas Freeman insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Douglas Freeman
Orange County Douglas Freeman insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Douglas Freeman
Osbourn Douglas Freeman   Douglas Freeman
Osbourn Park Douglas Freeman   Douglas Freeman
Park View Douglas Freeman   Douglas Freeman
Patrick Henry Ashla Douglas Freeman Douglas Freeman   2- 1 vs 0- 3
Patrick Henry Roano Douglas Freeman Douglas Freeman  
Patriot Douglas Freeman insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 0- 2) Douglas Freeman
Paul VI Paul VI insuffient: ( 0- 2)( 1- 1) Paul VI
Potomac Falls Douglas Freeman insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 0- 2) Douglas Freeman
Potomac School Douglas Freeman tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Douglas Freeman
Potomac-Dumfries Douglas Freeman   Douglas Freeman
Powhatan Douglas Freeman Douglas Freeman   2- 1 vs 0- 3
Princess Anne Douglas Freeman insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Douglas Freeman
Riverbend Douglas Freeman insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Douglas Freeman
Riverside Riverside Riverside   3- 0 vs 1- 2
Robinson Robinson insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Robinson
Rock Ridge Douglas Freeman   Douglas Freeman
Rockbridge County Douglas Freeman Douglas Freeman   3- 0 vs 0- 3
Rockingham LC Douglas Freeman   Douglas Freeman
Salem Salem tied - ( 3- 2) ( 3- 2) Salem
Salem Virginia Beach Douglas Freeman insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Douglas Freeman
Seton School Douglas Freeman   Douglas Freeman
South County Douglas Freeman   Douglas Freeman
South Lakes Douglas Freeman insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Douglas Freeman
St Annes-Belfield St Annes-Belfield St Annes-Belfield  
St Christophers St Christophers St Christophers   3- 1 vs 1- 4
St John Paul the Gre Douglas Freeman   Douglas Freeman
St Stephen-St Agnes St Stephen-St Agnes tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) St Stephen-St Agnes
Stafford Douglas Freeman   Douglas Freeman
Steward School Douglas Freeman   Douglas Freeman
Stone Bridge Douglas Freeman insuffient: ( 1- 2)( 0- 3) Douglas Freeman
Strasburg LC Douglas Freeman   Douglas Freeman
Tabb LC Douglas Freeman   Douglas Freeman
Tallwood Douglas Freeman insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Douglas Freeman
Tandem Friends Douglas Freeman   Douglas Freeman
Thomas Dale Douglas Freeman   Douglas Freeman
Thomas Jefferson Douglas Freeman   Douglas Freeman
Trinity Christian Douglas Freeman   Douglas Freeman
Trinity Episcopal Douglas Freeman insuffient: ( 1- 2)( 0- 3) Douglas Freeman
Trinity Meadow View Douglas Freeman   Douglas Freeman
Tuscarora Douglas Freeman insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Douglas Freeman
Unity Reed Douglas Freeman   Douglas Freeman
Veritas School Douglas Freeman   Douglas Freeman
Virginia Academy Douglas Freeman   Douglas Freeman
Virginia Episcopal S Douglas Freeman insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Douglas Freeman
Wakefield HS Douglas Freeman   Douglas Freeman
Wakefield School Douglas Freeman   Douglas Freeman
Washington-Liberty Douglas Freeman   Douglas Freeman
West Potomac West Potomac insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) West Potomac
West Springfield Douglas Freeman   Douglas Freeman
Western Albemarle Douglas Freeman tied - ( 3- 1) ( 3- 1) Douglas Freeman
Westfield Douglas Freeman insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Douglas Freeman
William Byrd Douglas Freeman Douglas Freeman   2- 0 vs 0- 2
William Fleming Douglas Freeman   Douglas Freeman
Woodberry Forest Woodberry Forest insuffient: ( 0- 3)( 1- 2) Woodberry Forest
Woodbridge Douglas Freeman   Douglas Freeman
Woodgrove Douglas Freeman insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 0- 2) Douglas Freeman
Woodson Douglas Freeman   Douglas Freeman
York LC Douglas Freeman   Douglas Freeman
Yorktown Douglas Freeman tied - ( 1- 1) ( 1- 0) Douglas Freeman

PowerWise = 155


division Games Only
Average number of games used in Games Correction = 13.94

 Date  Opponent          (W-L  PR)      SCORE       SAFE        SAFE       Home       No Games           SCI              
                                                    Loss        Win       Field      Correction         Points            
                                                    SLP         SWP     Advantage      Factor                       
                                                      
   0 A Mills Godwin    ( 5-11, 79.6)    22- 1      -20.30      14.70       0.61         0.70            10.68
   0 H Atlee           (10- 9, 90.9)     6- 7       -9.04      25.96      -0.61         0.70            -6.73
   0 H Glen Allen      ( 6-10, 82.7)    19- 6      -17.23      17.77      -0.61         0.70            11.97
   0 H Deep Run        ( 9- 8, 90.3)    11- 6       -9.62      25.38      -0.61         0.70            17.27
   0 A Albemarle       ( 9- 7, 84.6)    13- 4      -15.30      19.70       0.61         0.70            14.16
   0 H Kellam          (16- 3, 87.2)     1- 0      -12.65      22.35      -0.61         0.70            15.16
   0 H Collegiate Sch  (12- 6, 94.6)     8-10       -5.31      29.70      -0.61         0.70            -4.12
   0 H EC Glass        (11- 5, 88.7)    12- 6      -11.22      23.78      -0.61         0.70            16.16
   0 A St Annes-Belfi  (14- 1, 99.9)     4-17       -0.00      35.00       0.61         0.70            -0.42
   0 H Mills Godwin    ( 5-11, 79.6)    18- 2      -20.30      14.70      -0.61         0.70             9.83
   0 A Deep Run        ( 9- 8, 90.3)     9-11       -9.62      25.38       0.61         0.70            -6.28
   0 A Glen Allen      ( 6-10, 82.7)    14- 3      -17.23      17.77       0.61         0.70            12.82
   0 H Midlothian      ( 7- 9, 86.5)    13- 3      -13.40      21.60      -0.61         0.70            14.64
   0 H Cosby           (18- 2, 93.4)     3- 8       -6.53      28.47      -0.61         0.70            -4.98
   0 H Patrick Henry   (10- 5, 88.2)    14- 5      -11.66      23.34      -0.61         0.70            15.85
   0 H Mills Godwin    ( 5-11, 79.6)    22- 2      -20.30      14.70      -0.61         0.70             9.83
   0 H James River     (10- 7, 85.9)    16- 4      -14.01      21.00      -0.61         0.70            14.21
   0 A Patrick Henry   (10- 5, 88.2)    12- 5      -11.66      23.34       0.61         0.70            16.70
   0 H Briar Woods     (16- 6, 91.2)    11- 7       -8.67      26.33      -0.61         0.70            17.93
   0 A Independence    (19- 2, 93.8)     9-13       -6.07      28.94       0.61         0.70            -3.80
                                                                                                        ------
                                                                                                       170.85

winning pts = 197.1857 losing points = -26.3403

             SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.

------------------------------------------------------------------------
| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
------------------------------------------------------------------------