safe3step boys Dracut 1

  
Dracut                
W-L: (17- 4)  PR =    94.4550
 Schedule/Results All Games 

 Date  Opponent               Conf/State      (W-L, PR)      Score  
 401 H Billerica Memorial                   (20- 1, 99.4)     5- 9   
 405 A Shrewsbury                           ( 6-13, 89.4)     8- 3   
 408 A Haverhill                            (10- 7, 88.8)    12- 5   
 411 H Methuen                              (12- 7, 89.6)    15- 5   
 415 H Lowell                               ( 6-11, 81.3)    15- 1   
 417 A Lexington                            ( 9-10, 90.3)    13- 4   
 418 H Tewksbury Memorial                   ( 9-10, 86.8)    15- 1   
 422 H Westford Academy                     (16- 4, 96.3)     5- 8   
 424 H Swampscott                           (11- 9, 88.9)     8- 1   
 430 H Haverhill                            (10- 7, 88.8)    17- 5   
 503 A Chelmsford                           ( 2-15, 89.0)    12- 5   
 506 A North Andover                        ( 9-11, 94.0)     7-13   
 509 A Tewksbury Memorial                   ( 9-10, 86.8)    18- 7   
 510 A Grafton                              ( 7-12, 90.0)     9- 2   
 514 A Lowell                               ( 6-11, 81.3)    19- 3   
 516 A Methuen                              (12- 7, 89.6)    14- 4   
 519 H Central Catholic                     ( 5-13, 91.4)    11- 3   
 521 H Lynnfield                            (13- 7, 90.5)    15- 6   
 602 H Essex Tech                           (10-10, 87.1)    18- 4   
 604 H Arlington Catholic                   (15- 5, 90.8)    14- 7   
 608 H Scituate                             (19- 5, 95.8)     9-10

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction. N/A when ten  |
               |         goal limit is exceeded    |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   401 H Billerica Memorial      5- 9      -4    -4           0.32
   405 A Shrewsbury              8- 3       5     4           0.54
   408 A Haverhill              12- 5       7     5           0.02
   411 H Methuen                15- 5      10     6           0.00
   415 H Lowell                 15- 1      14    14           0.00
   417 A Lexington              13- 4       9     4           1.48
   418 H Tewksbury Memorial     15- 1      14     8           0.00
   422 H Westford Academy        5- 8      -3    -1          -1.81
   424 H Swampscott              8- 1       7     6           0.00
   430 H Haverhill              17- 5      12     6           0.00
   503 A Chelmsford             12- 5       7     5           0.16
   506 A North Andover           7-13      -6     0    --    -4.80
   509 A Tewksbury Memorial     18- 7      11     7           0.00
   510 A Grafton                 9- 2       7     4           1.20
   514 A Lowell                 19- 3      16    12           0.00
   516 A Methuen                14- 4      10     4           0.76
   519 H Central Catholic       11- 3       8     4           1.34
   521 H Lynnfield              15- 6       9     5           0.41
   602 H Essex Tech             18- 4      14     8           0.00
   604 H Arlington Catholic     14- 7       7     4           0.70
   608 H Scituate                9-10      -1    -1          -0.30

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   506 A North Andover           7-13      -6     0    --    -4.80

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*

Dracut Evaluation

The team that earns the point in the pair-wise comparison is based on three criteria: 
first is head-to-head, the winner gets the point, however, if they did not play each 
other, than it considers w-l versus common opponents. If their records are tied or they 
have no common opponents, than the tie-breaker becomes the better power rating.
The Common Opponent Point list in the table below has the record of the winner followed by the 
record of the loser for all common opponents

Opponent	Who Gets the Point?	Head-2-Head Point	Common Opponent Point	Power Rating Point
Abington	Dracut			Dracut
Acton Boxborough	Acton Boxborough		insuffient: ( 0- 2)( 1- 1)	Acton Boxborough
Agawam	Dracut		tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1)	Dracut
Algonquin	Dracut		tied - ( 3- 0) ( 3- 0)	Dracut
Amesbury	Dracut		Dracut 4- 0 vs 0- 4
Amherst-Pelham Reg	Dracut			Dracut
AMSA Charter	Dracut			Dracut
Andover HS	Andover HS		Andover HS 4- 1 vs 2- 3
Apponequet Regional	Dracut			Dracut
Archbishop Williams	Dracut		insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1)	Dracut
Arlington Catholic	Dracut	Dracut
Arlington HS	Dracut		insuffient: ( 2- 0)( 1- 1)	Dracut
Ashland	Dracut			Dracut
Assabet Valley RVT	Dracut		insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1)	Dracut
Attleboro	Dracut			Dracut
Auburn	Dracut			Dracut
Barnstable	Dracut			Dracut
Bay Path RVT	Dracut			Dracut
Bedford	Dracut		tied - ( 1- 1) ( 1- 1)	Dracut
Belchertown	Dracut			Dracut
Bellingham	Dracut			Dracut
Belmont	Dracut		insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1)	Dracut
Beverly	Dracut		Dracut 4- 0 vs 0- 4
Billerica Memorial	Billerica Memorial	Billerica Memorial
Bishop Feehan	Bishop Feehan		insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 2- 0)	Bishop Feehan
Bishop Fenwick	Dracut		Dracut 2- 0 vs 0- 2
Bishop Stang	Dracut		insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1)	Dracut
Blackstone Valley RV	Dracut			Dracut
Blue Hills RVT	Dracut			Dracut
Boston College HS	Boston College HS		tied - ( 1- 1) ( 1- 1)	Boston College HS
Boston Latin School	Dracut		insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 0- 2)	Dracut
Bourne	Dracut		insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1)	Dracut
Braintree	Dracut			Dracut
Bridgewater-Raynham	Dracut		tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0)	Dracut
Bristol-Plymouth RVT	Dracut			Dracut
Brookline	Dracut			Dracut
Burlington	Dracut		insuffient: ( 2- 3)( 3- 2)	Dracut
Cambridge Rindge-Lat	Dracut		Dracut 3- 1 vs 1- 3
Canton	Dracut			Dracut
Cape Cod Academy	Dracut			Dracut
Cape Cod Tech	Dracut			Dracut
Cardinal Spellman	Dracut		insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1)	Dracut
Catholic Memorial	Dracut		tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0)	Dracut
Central Catholic	Dracut	Dracut
Chelmsford	Dracut	Dracut
Chicopee Comprehensi	Dracut			Dracut
Cohasset	Cohasset		tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 1)	Cohasset
Concord-Carlisle	Concord-Carlisle		insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 2- 0)	Concord-Carlisle
Danvers	Dracut		Dracut 3- 0 vs 1- 2
Dartmouth	Dracut			Dracut
Dedham	Dracut			Dracut
Dennis-Yarmouth Regi	Dracut			Dracut
Dighton-Rehoboth Reg	Dracut			Dracut
Doherty Memorial	Dracut			Dracut
Dover-Sherborn	Dracut		tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 1)	Dracut
Duxbury	Duxbury		Duxbury 2- 0 vs 0- 1
East Bridgewater	Dracut			Dracut
East Longmeadow	Dracut			Dracut
Essex Tech	Dracut	Dracut
Fairhaven	Dracut		insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1)	Dracut
Falmouth Academy	Dracut			Dracut
Falmouth HS	Falmouth HS			Falmouth HS
Foxborough	Dracut		insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1)	Dracut
Framingham	Dracut			Dracut
Franklin	Dracut		tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0)	Dracut
Gloucester	Dracut		insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1)	Dracut
Grafton	Dracut	Dracut
Granby	Dracut			Dracut
Greater Lowell RVT	Dracut			Dracut
Greater New Bedford	Dracut			Dracut
Groton-Dunstable Reg	Dracut		Dracut 2- 1 vs 0- 3
Hamilton-Wenham Regi	Dracut		Dracut 3- 0 vs 0- 3
Hanover	Dracut		tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 1)	Dracut
Haverhill	Dracut	Dracut
Hingham	Hingham		insuffient: ( 0- 0)( 1- 0)	Hingham
Holliston	Dracut			Dracut
Hoosac Valley	Dracut			Dracut
Hopkinton	Dracut			Dracut
Hudson	Dracut			Dracut
Hull	Dracut			Dracut
Ipswich	Dracut		insuffient: ( 3- 0)( 2- 1)	Dracut
King Philip Regional	Dracut			Dracut
Lenox/Lee	Dracut			Dracut
Leominster	Dracut		insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1)	Dracut
Lexington	Dracut	Dracut
Lincoln-Sudbury Regi	Lincoln-Sudbury Regi		insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0)	Lincoln-Sudbury Regi
Littleton	Dracut		tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0)	Dracut
Longmeadow	Longmeadow		tied - ( 2- 1) ( 2- 1)	Longmeadow
Lowell	Dracut	Dracut
Lowell Catholic	Dracut		Dracut 2- 0 vs 0- 2
Lunenburg	Dracut			Dracut
Lynn Classical-Engli	Dracut		insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1)	Dracut
Lynnfield	Dracut	Dracut
Malden	Dracut		insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1)	Dracut
Malden Catholic	Dracut		insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1)	Dracut
Manchester-Essex Reg	Dracut		tied - ( 3- 0) ( 3- 0)	Dracut
Mansfield	Mansfield		Mansfield 2- 0 vs 0- 2
Marblehead	Dracut		Dracut 2- 1 vs 0- 3
Marshfield	Marshfield		tied - ( 0- 0) ( 0- 1)	Marshfield
Marthas Vineyard	Dracut			Dracut
Masconomet	Dracut		insuffient: ( 3- 0)( 2- 1)	Dracut
Mashpee	Dracut			Dracut
McCann Technical	Dracut			Dracut
Medfield	Medfield			Medfield
Medford	Dracut		insuffient: ( 2- 0)( 1- 1)	Dracut
Medway	Dracut			Dracut
Melrose	Dracut		insuffient: ( 3- 0)( 2- 1)	Dracut
Methuen	Dracut	Dracut
Middleborough	Dracut			Dracut
Milford	Dracut			Dracut
Milton HS	Dracut		tied - ( 0- 0) ( 0- 1)	Dracut
Minnechaug Regional	Dracut		tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0)	Dracut
Minuteman Regional	Dracut			Dracut
Monomoy Regional	Dracut			Dracut
Monson	Dracut			Dracut
Montachusett RVT	Dracut			Dracut
Mount Greylock Regio	Dracut			Dracut
Mystic Valley Charte	Dracut			Dracut
Nantucket	Dracut		tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0)	Dracut
Nashoba Regional	Dracut		tied - ( 2- 0) ( 2- 0)	Dracut
Nashoba Valley Tech	Dracut			Dracut
Natick	Dracut			Dracut
Nauset	Nauset		tied - ( 1- 1) ( 1- 2)	Nauset
Needham	Dracut		tied - ( 0- 2) ( 0- 2)	Dracut
New Bedford	Dracut			Dracut
Newburyport	Newburyport		tied - ( 2- 0) ( 2- 0)	Newburyport
Newton North	Dracut		insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1)	Dracut
Newton South	Dracut		tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1)	Dracut
Nipmuc Regional	Dracut		insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1)	Dracut
North Andover	North Andover	North Andover
North Attleboro	Dracut			Dracut
North Middlesex	Dracut		insuffient: ( 3- 0)( 2- 1)	Dracut
North Quincy Co-op	Dracut		tied - ( 0- 0) ( 0- 1)	Dracut
North Reading	Dracut		insuffient: ( 3- 0)( 2- 1)	Dracut
Northampton	Dracut			Dracut
Northeast Metro RVT	Dracut			Dracut
Norton	Dracut			Dracut
Norwell	Norwell		tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 2)	Norwell
Norwood	Dracut			Dracut
Oakmont Regional	Dracut			Dracut
Old Colony RVT	Dracut			Dracut
Old Rochester Region	Dracut			Dracut
Oliver Ames	Dracut			Dracut
Peabody Vets Memoria	Dracut		Dracut 2- 0 vs 0- 2
Pembroke	Dracut		tied - ( 0- 0) ( 0- 1)	Dracut
Pentucket Regional	Dracut		insuffient: ( 3- 0)( 2- 1)	Dracut
Pittsfield	Dracut			Dracut
Plymouth North	Dracut		tied - ( 0- 0) ( 0- 1)	Dracut
Plymouth South	Dracut		tied - ( 0- 0) ( 0- 1)	Dracut
Pope Francis Prep	Dracut		insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1)	Dracut
Reading Memorial	Reading Memorial		Reading Memorial 3- 0 vs 1- 2
Revere	Dracut		Dracut 2- 0 vs 0- 2
Rockland	Dracut			Dracut
Salem	Dracut		insuffient: ( 2- 0)( 1- 1)	Dracut
Sandwich	Dracut		tied - ( 0- 0) ( 0- 1)	Dracut
Saugus	Dracut			Dracut
Scituate	Scituate	Scituate
Seekonk	Dracut			Dracut
Sharon	Dracut			Dracut
Shawsheen Valley RVT	Dracut		tied - ( 2- 0) ( 2- 0)	Dracut
Shepherd Hill	Dracut			Dracut
Shrewsbury	Dracut	Dracut
Silver Lake	Dracut		tied - ( 0- 0) ( 0- 1)	Dracut
Smith VoTech	Dracut			Dracut
Somerset Berkley	Dracut			Dracut
Somerville	Dracut		insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1)	Dracut
South Hadley	Dracut			Dracut
South Shore RVT	Dracut			Dracut
Southeastern RVT	Dracut			Dracut
Springfield Central	Dracut			Dracut
St Bernards	Dracut			Dracut
St John Paul II	Dracut			Dracut
St Johns Prep Danver	St Johns Prep Danver		insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0)	St Johns Prep Danver
St Johns Shrewsbury	Dracut		insuffient: ( 3- 0)( 2- 1)	Dracut
St Marys Lynn	Dracut		insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1)	Dracut
St Marys Westfield	Dracut			Dracut
Stoneham	Dracut		insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1)	Dracut
Stoughton	Dracut			Dracut
Sturgis Charter East	Dracut			Dracut
Swampscott	Dracut	Dracut
Tantasqua Regional	Dracut		Dracut 2- 1 vs 0- 3
Taunton	Dracut			Dracut
Tech Boston Academy	Dracut			Dracut
Tewksbury Memorial	Dracut	Dracut
Tri-County RVT	Dracut			Dracut
Triton Regional	Dracut		Dracut 3- 0 vs 0- 3
Tyngsborough	Dracut			Dracut
Upper Cape Cod RVT	Dracut			Dracut
Wachusett Regional	Dracut		tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0)	Dracut
Wahconah	Dracut			Dracut
Wakefield Memorial	Dracut		tied - ( 2- 0) ( 2- 0)	Dracut
Walpole	Walpole		tied - ( 1- 1) ( 1- 0)	Walpole
Waltham	Dracut		tied - ( 1- 1) ( 1- 1)	Dracut
Watertown	Dracut		Dracut 2- 0 vs 0- 2
Wayland	Dracut		insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 0- 2)	Dracut
Wellesley	Dracut			Dracut
West Springfield	Dracut			Dracut
Westborough	Dracut			Dracut
Westfield	Dracut		insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1)	Dracut
Westford Academy	Westford Academy	Westford Academy
Weston	Dracut		tied - ( 2- 1) ( 2- 1)	Dracut
Westport	Dracut			Dracut
Westwood	Westwood		tied - ( 0- 0) ( 0- 1)	Westwood
Weymouth	Dracut			Dracut
Whitman-Hanson	Dracut		tied - ( 0- 0) ( 0- 1)	Dracut
Whittier RVT	Dracut		insuffient: ( 2- 0)( 1- 1)	Dracut
Wilmington	Dracut		Dracut 2- 0 vs 0- 2
Winchester	Winchester		tied - ( 2- 1) ( 2- 1)	Winchester
Winthrop	Dracut		tied - ( 2- 0) ( 2- 0)	Dracut
Woburn Memorial	Dracut		Dracut 4- 0 vs 1- 3
Xaverian Brothers	Xaverian Brothers		insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 2- 0)	Xaverian Brothers

PowerWise = 184

division Games Only
Average number of games used in Games Correction = 18.05

 Date  Opponent          (W-L  PR)      SCORE       SAFE        SAFE       Home       No Games           SCI              
                                                    Loss        Win       Field      Correction         Points            
                                                    SLP         SWP     Advantage      Factor                       
                                                      
   0 H Billerica Memo  (20- 1, 99.4)     5- 9       -0.49      32.05      -0.63         0.86            -0.96
   0 A Shrewsbury      ( 6-13, 89.4)     8- 3      -10.54      22.00       0.63         0.86            19.45
   0 A Haverhill       (10- 7, 88.8)    12- 5      -11.06      21.48       0.63         0.86            19.01
   0 H Methuen         (12- 7, 89.6)    15- 5      -10.32      22.22      -0.63         0.86            18.55
   0 H Lowell          ( 6-11, 81.3)    15- 1      -18.55      13.99      -0.63         0.86            11.48
   0 A Lexington       ( 9-10, 90.3)    13- 4       -9.60      22.94       0.63         0.86            20.26
   0 H Tewksbury Memo  ( 9-10, 86.8)    15- 1      -13.12      19.42      -0.63         0.86            16.14
   0 H Westford Acade  (16- 4, 96.3)     5- 8       -3.62      28.92      -0.63         0.86            -3.65
   0 H Swampscott      (11- 9, 88.9)     8- 1      -11.00      21.54      -0.63         0.86            17.97
   0 H Haverhill       (10- 7, 88.8)    17- 5      -11.06      21.48      -0.63         0.86            17.92
   0 A Chelmsford      ( 2-15, 89.0)    12- 5      -10.92      21.62       0.63         0.86            19.12
   0 A North Andover   ( 9-11, 94.0)     7-13       -5.88      26.66       0.63         0.86            -4.51
   0 A Tewksbury Memo  ( 9-10, 86.8)    18- 7      -13.12      19.42       0.63         0.86            17.23
   0 A Grafton         ( 7-12, 90.0)     9- 2       -9.87      22.67       0.63         0.86            20.02
   0 A Lowell          ( 6-11, 81.3)    19- 3      -18.55      13.99       0.63         0.86            12.57
   0 A Methuen         (12- 7, 89.6)    14- 4      -10.32      22.22       0.63         0.86            19.64
   0 H Central Cathol  ( 5-13, 91.4)    11- 3       -8.47      24.07      -0.63         0.86            20.14
   0 H Lynnfield       (13- 7, 90.5)    15- 6       -9.40      23.14      -0.63         0.86            19.34
   0 H Essex Tech      (10-10, 87.1)    18- 4      -12.75      19.79      -0.63         0.86            16.46
   0 H Arlington Cath  (15- 5, 90.8)    14- 7       -9.11      23.43      -0.63         0.86            19.59
   0 H Scituate        (19- 5, 95.8)     9-10       -4.11      28.43      -0.63         0.86            -4.07
                                                                                                        ------
                                                                                                       291.70

winning pts = 304.8992 losing points = -13.2009

SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.

------------------------------------------------------------------------
| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
------------------------------------------------------------------------