Deep Run
W-L: ( 9- 8) PR = 90.2790Schedule/Results All Games
Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 318 H St Christophers (15- 4, 96.2) 3-10 325 A Collegiate School (12- 6, 94.6) 1-13 327 A Hanover (10- 6, 86.5) 14- 5 410 A Douglas Freeman (14- 6, 91.7) 6-11 415 A Atlee (10- 9, 90.9) 6- 9 417 H Midlothian ( 7- 9, 86.5) 13- 3 422 H Glen Allen ( 6-10, 82.7) 11- 3 424 H Mills Godwin ( 5-11, 79.6) 18- 1 428 A Cosby (18- 2, 93.4) 3- 7 501 A Glen Allen ( 6-10, 82.7) 15- 3 503 N Yorktown (12- 7, 90.1) 6-10 506 A Manchester (12- 3, 86.1) 14- 7 508 H Douglas Freeman (14- 6, 91.7) 11- 9 514 A Mills Godwin ( 5-11, 79.6) 15- 3 523 A Manchester (12- 3, 86.1) 15- 5 528 A Cosby (18- 2, 93.4) 3- 5 606 A Battlefield (18- 4, 92.3) 9-12
PREDICTION LIST
-------------------------------------
|Real = actual goal margin |
|Pred = predicted goal margin |
|+ = slightly above prediction |
|++ = above prediction |
|+++ = well above prediction |
|- = slightly below prediction |
|-- = below prediction |
|--- = well below prediction |
|Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) |
| prediction. N/A when ten |
| goal limit is exceeded |
|n/a = Outside division |
-------------------------------------
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
318 H St Christophers 3-10 -7 -5 0.00
325 A Collegiate School 1-13 -12 -5 -0.08
327 A Hanover 14- 5 9 3 1.79
410 A Douglas Freeman 6-11 -5 -2 - -2.96
415 A Atlee 6- 9 -3 -1 -1.81
417 H Midlothian 13- 3 10 4 0.61
422 H Glen Allen 11- 3 8 8 0.00
424 H Mills Godwin 18- 1 17 11 0.00
428 A Cosby 3- 7 -4 -4 -0.30
501 A Glen Allen 15- 3 12 7 0.00
503 N Yorktown 6-10 -4 0 -- -4.20
506 A Manchester 14- 7 7 4 1.46
508 H Douglas Freeman 11- 9 2 -1 + 2.82
514 A Mills Godwin 15- 3 12 10 0.00
523 A Manchester 15- 5 10 4 1.46
528 A Cosby 3- 5 -2 -4 1.70
606 A Battlefield 9-12 -3 -3 -0.40
|
UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 503 N Yorktown 6-10 -4 0 -- -4.20 410 A Douglas Freeman 6-11 -5 -2 - -2.96 |
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 508 H Douglas Freeman 11- 9 2 -1 + 2.82 |
Deep Run Evaluation
The team that earns the point in the pair-wise comparison is based on three criteria:
first is head-to-head, the winner gets the point, however, if they did not play each
other, than it considers w-l versus common opponents. If their records are tied or they
have no common opponents, than the tie-breaker becomes the better power rating.
The Common Opponent Point list in the table below has the record of the winner followed by the
record of the loser for all common opponents
| Opponent | Who Gets the Point? | Head-2-Head Point |
Common Opponent Point |
Power Rating Point |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Albemarle | Deep Run | Deep Run 3- 1 vs 1- 2 | ||
| Alexandria City | Deep Run | Deep Run | ||
| Annandale | Deep Run | Deep Run | ||
| Atlee | Atlee | Atlee | ||
| Battlefield | Battlefield | Battlefield | ||
| Bayside | Deep Run | Deep Run | ||
| Benedictine | Deep Run | tied - ( 0- 2) ( 0- 2) | Deep Run | |
| Bishop Ireton | Deep Run | Deep Run | ||
| Bishop OConnell | Deep Run | Deep Run | ||
| Blacksburg | Deep Run | Deep Run | ||
| Blue Ridge School | Blue Ridge School | insuffient: ( 0- 2)( 1- 1) | Blue Ridge School | |
| Brentsville | Deep Run | Deep Run | ||
| Briar Woods | Briar Woods | insuffient: ( 1- 2)( 0- 1) | Briar Woods | |
| Broad Run | Deep Run | Deep Run | ||
| Brooke Point | Deep Run | Deep Run | ||
| Cape Henry Collegiat | Deep Run | Deep Run | ||
| Catholic HS | Catholic HS | tied - ( 0- 2) ( 0- 2) | Catholic HS | |
| Cave Spring | Deep Run | Deep Run | ||
| Centreville | Deep Run | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Deep Run | |
| Chantilly | Chantilly | Chantilly | ||
| Charlottesville | Deep Run | Deep Run | ||
| Christchurch | Christchurch | Christchurch 2- 1 vs 0- 3 | ||
| Christiansburg | Deep Run | Deep Run | ||
| Clover Hill | Deep Run | Deep Run 3- 1 vs 0- 4 | ||
| Colgan | Deep Run | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Deep Run | |
| Collegiate School | Collegiate School | Collegiate School | ||
| Colonial Forge | Deep Run | Deep Run | ||
| Cosby | Cosby | Cosby | ||
| Covenant School | Deep Run | Deep Run | ||
| Cox | Deep Run | Deep Run | ||
| Culpeper County | Deep Run | Deep Run | ||
| Dominion | Deep Run | Deep Run | ||
| Douglas Freeman | Douglas Freeman | tied - ( 3- 3) ( 3- 3) | Douglas Freeman | |
| Eastern View | Deep Run | Deep Run | ||
| EC Glass | Deep Run | insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 0- 1) | Deep Run | |
| Edison | Deep Run | Deep Run | ||
| Episcopal | Episcopal | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | Episcopal | |
| Eukarya Christian | Deep Run | Deep Run | ||
| Fairfax | Deep Run | Deep Run | ||
| Falls Church | Deep Run | Deep Run | ||
| Fauquier | Deep Run | Deep Run | ||
| First Colonial | Deep Run | Deep Run | ||
| Fishburne Military A | Deep Run | Deep Run | ||
| Flint Hill | Deep Run | Deep Run | ||
| Fluvanna County | Deep Run | Deep Run | ||
| Forest Park | Deep Run | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Deep Run | |
| Fork Union Military | Deep Run | tied - ( 0- 2) ( 0- 2) | Deep Run | |
| Franklin County | Deep Run | Deep Run | ||
| Fredericksburg Acade | Deep Run | Deep Run | ||
| Fredericksburg Chris | Deep Run | Deep Run | ||
| Freedom South Ridin | Deep Run | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Deep Run | |
| Freedom Woodbridge | Deep Run | Deep Run | ||
| Gainesville | Deep Run | tied - ( 0- 2) ( 0- 2) | Deep Run | |
| Gar-field | Deep Run | Deep Run | ||
| Glen Allen | Deep Run | Deep Run | ||
| Goochland | Deep Run | Deep Run | ||
| Grafton LC | Deep Run | Deep Run | ||
| Grassfield LC | Deep Run | Deep Run | ||
| Green Run | Deep Run | Deep Run | ||
| Handley | Deep Run | Deep Run | ||
| Hanover | Deep Run | Deep Run | ||
| Hayfield | Deep Run | Deep Run | ||
| Heritage Leesburg | Deep Run | Deep Run | ||
| Herndon | Deep Run | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | Deep Run | |
| Hickory LC | Deep Run | Deep Run | ||
| Hidden Valley | Deep Run | Deep Run | ||
| Highland School | Deep Run | Deep Run | ||
| Highland Springs | Deep Run | Deep Run 4- 0 vs 0- 4 | ||
| Hylton | Deep Run | Deep Run | ||
| Independence | Independence | insuffient: ( 1- 3)( 2- 0) | Independence | |
| James Monroe | Deep Run | Deep Run | ||
| James River | Deep Run | Deep Run 5- 2 vs 2- 4 | ||
| Jamestown LC | Deep Run | Deep Run | ||
| Jefferson Forest | Deep Run | Deep Run | ||
| John Champe | Deep Run | Deep Run | ||
| Justice | Deep Run | Deep Run | ||
| Kellam | Deep Run | insuffient: ( 2- 1)( 1- 1) | Deep Run | |
| Kempsville | Deep Run | Deep Run | ||
| Kettle Run | Deep Run | Deep Run | ||
| Lafayette LC | Deep Run | Deep Run | ||
| Lake Braddock | Deep Run | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Deep Run | |
| Landstown | Deep Run | Deep Run | ||
| Langley | Langley | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | Langley | |
| Lewis | Deep Run | Deep Run | ||
| Liberty Bealeton | Deep Run | Deep Run | ||
| Lightridge | Deep Run | Deep Run | ||
| Lloyd C Bird | Deep Run | Deep Run | ||
| Lord Botetourt | Deep Run | Deep Run | ||
| Loudoun County | Loudoun County | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Loudoun County | |
| Loudoun Valley | Deep Run | Deep Run | ||
| Madison | Madison | Madison 2- 0 vs 0- 2 | ||
| Manchester | Deep Run | Deep Run | ||
| Marshall | Deep Run | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Deep Run | |
| Massaponax | Deep Run | Deep Run | ||
| Matoaca | Deep Run | Deep Run 2- 0 vs 0- 2 | ||
| Maury LC | Deep Run | Deep Run | ||
| McLean | Deep Run | tied - ( 0- 2) ( 0- 2) | Deep Run | |
| Mechanicsville | Deep Run | Deep Run 3- 1 vs 0- 4 | ||
| Menchville LC | Deep Run | Deep Run | ||
| Meridian | Deep Run | Deep Run | ||
| Midlothian | Deep Run | Deep Run | ||
| Mills Godwin | Deep Run | Deep Run | ||
| Monacan | Deep Run | Deep Run 3- 2 vs 1- 4 | ||
| Monticello | Deep Run | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | Deep Run | |
| Mount Vernon | Deep Run | Deep Run | ||
| Mountain View | Deep Run | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Deep Run | |
| Nansemond-Suffolk Ac | Deep Run | Deep Run | ||
| New Covenant School | Deep Run | Deep Run | ||
| Norfolk Academy | Norfolk Academy | insuffient: ( 0- 2)( 1- 1) | Norfolk Academy | |
| Norfolk Christian | Deep Run | Deep Run | ||
| Norfolk Collegiate | Deep Run | Deep Run | ||
| North Cross School | Deep Run | Deep Run | ||
| North Stafford | Deep Run | Deep Run | ||
| Northern VA Home Sch | Deep Run | Deep Run | ||
| Oakton | Oakton | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | Oakton | |
| Ocean Lakes | Deep Run | Deep Run | ||
| Orange County | Deep Run | Deep Run | ||
| Osbourn | Deep Run | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Deep Run | |
| Osbourn Park | Deep Run | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Deep Run | |
| Park View | Deep Run | Deep Run | ||
| Patrick Henry Ashla | Deep Run | Deep Run 3- 1 vs 0- 4 | ||
| Patrick Henry Roano | Deep Run | insuffient: ( 2- 1)( 1- 1) | Deep Run | |
| Patriot | Deep Run | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Deep Run | |
| Paul VI | Paul VI | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | Paul VI | |
| Potomac Falls | Deep Run | Deep Run | ||
| Potomac School | Potomac School | tied - ( 0- 2) ( 0- 2) | Potomac School | |
| Potomac-Dumfries | Deep Run | Deep Run | ||
| Powhatan | Deep Run | Deep Run 3- 1 vs 0- 4 | ||
| Princess Anne | Deep Run | Deep Run | ||
| Riverbend | Deep Run | Deep Run | ||
| Riverside | Riverside | insuffient: ( 0- 2)( 1- 1) | Riverside | |
| Robinson | Robinson | Robinson 2- 0 vs 0- 2 | ||
| Rock Ridge | Deep Run | Deep Run | ||
| Rockbridge County | Deep Run | Deep Run | ||
| Rockingham LC | Deep Run | Deep Run | ||
| Salem | Salem | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | Salem | |
| Salem Virginia Beach | Deep Run | Deep Run | ||
| Seton School | Deep Run | Deep Run | ||
| South County | Deep Run | Deep Run | ||
| South Lakes | Deep Run | Deep Run | ||
| St Annes-Belfield | St Annes-Belfield | St Annes-Belfield 4- 0 vs 1- 4 | ||
| St Christophers | St Christophers | St Christophers | ||
| St John Paul the Gre | Deep Run | Deep Run | ||
| St Stephen-St Agnes | St Stephen-St Agnes | tied - ( 0- 2) ( 0- 2) | St Stephen-St Agnes | |
| Stafford | Deep Run | Deep Run | ||
| Steward School | Deep Run | Deep Run | ||
| Stone Bridge | Deep Run | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Deep Run | |
| Strasburg LC | Deep Run | Deep Run | ||
| Tabb LC | Deep Run | Deep Run | ||
| Tallwood | Deep Run | Deep Run | ||
| Tandem Friends | Deep Run | Deep Run | ||
| Thomas Dale | Deep Run | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Deep Run | |
| Thomas Jefferson | Deep Run | Deep Run | ||
| Trinity Christian | Deep Run | Deep Run | ||
| Trinity Episcopal | Deep Run | tied - ( 0- 2) ( 0- 2) | Deep Run | |
| Trinity Meadow View | Deep Run | Deep Run | ||
| Tuscarora | Deep Run | Deep Run | ||
| Unity Reed | Deep Run | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Deep Run | |
| Veritas School | Deep Run | Deep Run | ||
| Virginia Academy | Deep Run | Deep Run | ||
| Virginia Episcopal S | Deep Run | Deep Run | ||
| Wakefield HS | Deep Run | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Deep Run | |
| Wakefield School | Deep Run | Deep Run | ||
| Washington-Liberty | Deep Run | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Deep Run | |
| West Potomac | West Potomac | West Potomac 2- 1 vs 0- 3 | ||
| West Springfield | Deep Run | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Deep Run | |
| Western Albemarle | Deep Run | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Deep Run | |
| Westfield | Deep Run | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Deep Run | |
| William Byrd | Deep Run | Deep Run | ||
| William Fleming | Deep Run | Deep Run | ||
| Woodberry Forest | Woodberry Forest | insuffient: ( 0- 3)( 1- 2) | Woodberry Forest | |
| Woodbridge | Deep Run | Deep Run | ||
| Woodgrove | Deep Run | Deep Run | ||
| Woodson | Deep Run | Deep Run | ||
| York LC | Deep Run | Deep Run | ||
| Yorktown | Yorktown | Yorktown |
PowerWise = 148
division Games OnlyAverage number of games used in Games Correction = 13.94
Date Opponent (W-L PR) SCORE SAFE SAFE Home No Games SCI
Loss Win Field Correction Points
SLP SWP Advantage Factor
0 H St Christopher (15- 4, 96.2) 3-10 -3.74 31.26 -0.61 0.82 -3.57
0 A Collegiate Sch (12- 6, 94.6) 1-13 -5.31 29.70 0.61 0.82 -3.85
0 A Hanover (10- 6, 86.5) 14- 5 -13.44 21.56 0.61 0.82 18.18
0 A Douglas Freema (14- 6, 91.7) 6-11 -8.19 26.81 0.61 0.82 -6.22
0 A Atlee (10- 9, 90.9) 6- 9 -9.04 25.96 0.61 0.82 -6.91
0 H Midlothian ( 7- 9, 86.5) 13- 3 -13.40 21.60 -0.61 0.82 17.22
0 H Glen Allen ( 6-10, 82.7) 11- 3 -17.23 17.77 -0.61 0.82 14.08
0 H Mills Godwin ( 5-11, 79.6) 18- 1 -20.30 14.70 -0.61 0.82 11.56
0 A Cosby (18- 2, 93.4) 3- 7 -6.53 28.47 0.61 0.82 -4.86
0 A Glen Allen ( 6-10, 82.7) 15- 3 -17.23 17.77 0.61 0.82 15.08
0 N Yorktown (12- 7, 90.1) 6-10 -9.82 25.18 -0.00 0.82 -8.06
0 A Manchester (12- 3, 86.1) 14- 7 -13.78 21.23 0.61 0.82 17.91
0 H Douglas Freema (14- 6, 91.7) 11- 9 -8.19 26.81 -0.61 0.82 21.49
0 A Mills Godwin ( 5-11, 79.6) 15- 3 -20.30 14.70 0.61 0.82 12.56
0 A Manchester (12- 3, 86.1) 15- 5 -13.78 21.23 0.61 0.82 17.91
0 A Cosby (18- 2, 93.4) 3- 5 -6.53 28.47 0.61 0.82 -4.86
0 A Battlefield (18- 4, 92.3) 9-12 -7.63 27.37 0.61 0.82 -5.76
------
101.91
|
winning pts = 145.9898 losing points = -44.0839
SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.
------------------------------------------------------------------------
| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
------------------------------------------------------------------------