Douglas County
W-L: ( 4-11) PR = 81.1246
Schedule/Results All Games
Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score
306 A Rangeview ( 6- 9, 74.9) 12- 4
313 H Middle Park (13- 4, 83.2) 6- 7
326 H Chaparral ( 1-13, 79.8) 13- 6
329 A Pueblo West (11- 5, 82.3) 7-13
331 H Columbine ( 6-10, 86.7) 3-12
402 H Boulder ( 7- 6, 86.0) 8- 6
404 A Air Academy (16- 2, 90.5) 7-14
409 H Lewis Palmer ( 9- 5, 88.0) 3-15
412 A Northfield ( 9- 7, 88.5) 4-16
421 A Eaglecrest ( 8- 7, 83.6) 4-10
423 H Arvada West ( 2-13, 78.0) 19- 6
425 A Pine Creek ( 5- 9, 84.2) 2-19
428 H Ponderosa ( 7- 8, 79.3) 3- 5
430 A Heritage ( 9- 6, 85.0) 7-12
502 A Castle View ( 6- 8, 89.7) 4-12
PREDICTION LIST
-------------------------------------
|Real = actual goal margin |
|Pred = predicted goal margin |
|+ = slightly above prediction |
|++ = above prediction |
|+++ = well above prediction |
|- = slightly below prediction |
|-- = below prediction |
|--- = well below prediction |
|Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) |
| prediction. N/A when ten |
| goal limit is exceeded |
|n/a = Outside division |
-------------------------------------
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
306 A Rangeview 12- 4 8 6 0.00
313 H Middle Park 6- 7 -1 -2 0.70
326 H Chaparral 13- 6 7 2 + 3.32
329 A Pueblo West 7-13 -6 -2 - -3.48
331 H Columbine 3-12 -9 -5 0.00
402 H Boulder 8- 6 2 -5 +++ 6.54
404 A Air Academy 7-14 -7 -10 0.00
409 H Lewis Palmer 3-15 -12 -6 0.00
412 A Northfield 4-16 -12 -8 0.00
421 A Eaglecrest 4-10 -6 -3 - -2.14
423 H Arvada West 19- 6 13 3 1.51
425 A Pine Creek 2-19 -17 -3 -1.57
428 H Ponderosa 3- 5 -2 2 -- -4.17
430 A Heritage 7-12 -5 -4 -0.72
502 A Castle View 4-12 -8 -9 0.00
|
UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
428 H Ponderosa 3- 5 -2 2 -- -4.17
329 A Pueblo West 7-13 -6 -2 - -3.48
421 A Eaglecrest 4-10 -6 -3 - -2.14
|
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
402 H Boulder 8- 6 2 -5 +++ 6.54
326 H Chaparral 13- 6 7 2 + 3.32
|
Douglas County Evaluation
The team that earns the point in the pair-wise comparison is based on three criteria:
first is head-to-head, the winner gets the point, however, if they did not play each
other, than it considers w-l versus common opponents. If their records are tied or they
have no common opponents, than the tie-breaker becomes the better power rating.
The Common Opponent Point list in the table below has the record of the winner followed by the
record of the loser for all common opponents
Opponent |
Who Gets the Point?
| Head-2-Head Point |
Common Opponent Point |
Power Rating Point |
Air Academy |
Air Academy |
Air Academy |
 
| |
Arapahoe |
Arapahoe |
|
 
| Arapahoe |
Arvada West |
Douglas County |
Douglas County |
 
| |
Aspen |
Aspen |
|
tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) |
Aspen |
Battle Mountain |
Battle Mountain |
|
 
| Battle Mountain |
Boulder |
Douglas County |
Douglas County |
 
|
Castle View |
Castle View |
Castle View |
 
| |
Chaparral |
Douglas County |
Douglas County |
 
| |
Chatfield |
Chatfield |
|
Chatfield   4- 0 vs 1- 3 |
|
Cherokee Trail |
Cherokee Trail |
|
Cherokee Trail   2- 0 vs 0- 2 |
|
Cherry Creek |
Cherry Creek |
|
 
| Cherry Creek |
Cheyenne Mountain |
Cheyenne Mountain |
|
Cheyenne Mountain   3- 1 vs 1- 3 |
|
Colorado Academy |
Colorado Academy |
|
insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) |
Colorado Academy |
Columbine |
Columbine |
Columbine |
 
| |
Conifer |
Douglas County |
|
tied - ( 0- 2) ( 0- 2) |
Douglas County |
Crested Butte |
Douglas County |
|
tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) |
Douglas County |
Dakota Ridge |
Dakota Ridge |
|
Dakota Ridge   2- 0 vs 0- 2 |
|
Denver East |
Denver East |
|
Denver East   2- 0 vs 0- 2 |
|
Denver North |
Douglas County |
|
tied - ( 1- 3) ( 1- 3) |
Douglas County |
Denver South |
Denver South |
|
insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 2- 0) |
Denver South |
Durango |
Durango |
|
tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) |
Durango |
Eagle Valley |
Douglas County |
|
 
| Douglas County |
Eaglecrest |
Eaglecrest |
Eaglecrest |
 
| |
Erie |
Erie |
|
Erie   3- 0 vs 1- 2 |
|
Evergreen |
Evergreen |
|
insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) |
Evergreen |
Fairview |
Fairview |
|
insuffient: ( 2- 1)( 3- 0) |
Fairview |
Fountain Valley |
Douglas County |
|
insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 0- 2) |
Douglas County |
Fruita Monument |
Fruita Monument |
|
 
| Fruita Monument |
Glenwood Springs |
Glenwood Springs |
|
 
| Glenwood Springs |
Golden |
Golden |
|
tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) |
Golden |
Grand Junction |
Grand Junction |
|
 
| Grand Junction |
Grandview |
Grandview |
|
Grandview   3- 0 vs 0- 3 |
|
Green Mountain |
Green Mountain |
|
tied - ( 1- 3) ( 1- 3) |
Green Mountain |
Heritage |
Heritage |
Heritage |
 
| |
Holy Family |
Douglas County |
|
tied - ( 1- 2) ( 1- 2) |
Douglas County |
Jefferson Academy |
Douglas County |
|
insuffient: ( 2- 0)( 1- 1) |
Douglas County |
Kent Denver |
Kent Denver |
|
 
| Kent Denver |
Lakewood |
Lakewood |
|
Lakewood   2- 0 vs 0- 2 |
|
Legend |
Legend |
|
Legend   3- 0 vs 1- 2 |
|
Lewis Palmer |
Lewis Palmer |
Lewis Palmer |
 
| |
Littleton |
Douglas County |
|
insuffient: ( 1- 3)( 0- 4) |
Douglas County |
Lutheran |
Lutheran |
|
Lutheran   3- 2 vs 1- 4 |
|
Middle Park |
Middle Park |
Middle Park |
 
| |
Monarch |
Monarch |
|
insuffient: ( 1- 2)( 2- 1) |
Monarch |
Montrose |
Douglas County |
|
 
| Douglas County |
Mountain Range |
Mountain Range |
|
insuffient: ( 1- 2)( 0- 3) |
Mountain Range |
Mountain Vista |
Mountain Vista |
|
Mountain Vista   4- 0 vs 1- 3 |
|
Mullen |
Mullen |
|
tied - ( 1- 1) ( 1- 1) |
Mullen |
Northfield |
Northfield |
Northfield |
 
| |
Palmer |
Douglas County |
|
insuffient: ( 1- 3)( 0- 4) |
Douglas County |
Pine Creek |
Pine Creek |
Pine Creek |
 
| |
Ponderosa |
Ponderosa |
Ponderosa |
 
| |
Poudre District |
Poudre District |
|
Poudre District   2- 0 vs 0- 2 |
|
Prairie View |
Douglas County |
|
insuffient: ( 1- 2)( 0- 3) |
Douglas County |
Pueblo West |
Pueblo West |
Pueblo West |
 
| |
Ralston Valley |
Ralston Valley |
|
Ralston Valley   3- 0 vs 0- 3 |
|
Rangeview |
Douglas County |
Douglas County |
 
| |
Regis Jesuit |
Regis Jesuit |
|
insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 2- 0) |
Regis Jesuit |
Resurrection Christi |
Resurrection Christi |
|
insuffient: ( 0- 2)( 1- 1) |
Resurrection Christi |
Rock Canyon |
Rock Canyon |
|
Rock Canyon   3- 1 vs 1- 3 |
|
Smoky Hill |
Douglas County |
|
tied - ( 1- 3) ( 1- 3) |
Douglas County |
St Marys HS |
Douglas County |
|
insuffient: ( 1- 3)( 0- 4) |
Douglas County |
Steamboat Springs |
Steamboat Springs |
|
tied - ( 0- 2) ( 0- 2) |
Steamboat Springs |
Summit |
Douglas County |
|
 
| Douglas County |
Telluride |
Telluride |
|
 
| Telluride |
Thomas Jefferson |
Douglas County |
|
Douglas County   2- 2 vs 0- 4 |
|
Thompson Valley |
Douglas County |
|
tied - ( 0- 3) ( 0- 3) |
Douglas County |
ThunderRidge |
Douglas County |
|
insuffient: ( 2- 5)( 3- 4) |
Douglas County |
Vail Mountain |
Vail Mountain |
|
insuffient: ( 0- 2)( 1- 1) |
Vail Mountain |
Valor Christian |
Valor Christian |
|
insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 2- 0) |
Valor Christian |
Vanguard School |
Douglas County |
|
tied - ( 0- 3) ( 0- 3) |
Douglas County |
Windsor |
Windsor |
|
insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 2- 0) |
Windsor |
PowerWise = 22

division Games Only
Average number of games used in Games Correction = 15.04
Date Opponent (W-L PR) SCORE SAFE SAFE Home No Games SCI
Loss Win Field Correction Points
SLP SWP Advantage Factor
0 A Rangeview ( 6- 9, 74.9) 12- 4 -24.99 8.51 0.37 1.00 8.90
0 H Middle Park (13- 4, 83.2) 6- 7 -16.71 16.80 -0.37 1.00 -17.12
0 H Chaparral ( 1-13, 79.8) 13- 6 -20.09 13.42 -0.37 1.00 13.08
0 A Pueblo West (11- 5, 82.3) 7-13 -17.62 15.88 0.37 1.00 -17.30
0 H Columbine ( 6-10, 86.7) 3-12 -13.19 20.32 -0.37 1.00 -13.59
0 H Boulder ( 7- 6, 86.0) 8- 6 -13.87 19.63 -0.37 1.00 19.32
0 A Air Academy (16- 2, 90.5) 7-14 -9.36 24.14 0.37 1.00 -9.02
0 H Lewis Palmer ( 9- 5, 88.0) 3-15 -11.92 21.59 -0.37 1.00 -12.32
0 A Northfield ( 9- 7, 88.5) 4-16 -11.37 22.13 0.37 1.00 -11.03
0 A Eaglecrest ( 8- 7, 83.6) 4-10 -16.28 17.22 0.37 1.00 -15.95
0 H Arvada West ( 2-13, 78.0) 19- 6 -21.89 11.61 -0.37 1.00 11.27
0 A Pine Creek ( 5- 9, 84.2) 2-19 -15.71 17.79 0.37 1.00 -15.38
0 H Ponderosa ( 7- 8, 79.3) 3- 5 -20.57 12.93 -0.37 1.00 -21.00
0 A Heritage ( 9- 6, 85.0) 7-12 -14.87 18.64 0.37 1.00 -14.54
0 A Castle View ( 6- 8, 89.7) 4-12 -10.24 23.26 0.37 1.00 -9.90
------
-104.58
|
winning pts = 52.5744 losing points = -157.1537
SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction. ------------------------------------------------------------------------
| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
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