---    UPDATED: 07-28-25 23:49 PDT

safe3step boys Douglas County 1
  
Douglas County        
W-L: ( 4-11) PR = 81.1246

Schedule/Results All Games

Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 306 A Rangeview ( 6- 9, 74.9) 12- 4 313 H Middle Park (13- 4, 83.2) 6- 7 326 H Chaparral ( 1-13, 79.8) 13- 6 329 A Pueblo West (11- 5, 82.3) 7-13 331 H Columbine ( 6-10, 86.7) 3-12 402 H Boulder ( 7- 6, 86.0) 8- 6 404 A Air Academy (16- 2, 90.5) 7-14 409 H Lewis Palmer ( 9- 5, 88.0) 3-15 412 A Northfield ( 9- 7, 88.5) 4-16 421 A Eaglecrest ( 8- 7, 83.6) 4-10 423 H Arvada West ( 2-13, 78.0) 19- 6 425 A Pine Creek ( 5- 9, 84.2) 2-19 428 H Ponderosa ( 7- 8, 79.3) 3- 5 430 A Heritage ( 9- 6, 85.0) 7-12 502 A Castle View ( 6- 8, 89.7) 4-12

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction. N/A when ten  |
               |         goal limit is exceeded    |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   306 A Rangeview              12- 4       8     6           0.00
   313 H Middle Park             6- 7      -1    -2           0.70
   326 H Chaparral              13- 6       7     2    +      3.32
   329 A Pueblo West             7-13      -6    -2    -     -3.48
   331 H Columbine               3-12      -9    -5           0.00
   402 H Boulder                 8- 6       2    -5    +++    6.54
   404 A Air Academy             7-14      -7   -10           0.00
   409 H Lewis Palmer            3-15     -12    -6           0.00
   412 A Northfield              4-16     -12    -8           0.00
   421 A Eaglecrest              4-10      -6    -3    -     -2.14
   423 H Arvada West            19- 6      13     3           1.51
   425 A Pine Creek              2-19     -17    -3          -1.57
   428 H Ponderosa               3- 5      -2     2    --    -4.17
   430 A Heritage                7-12      -5    -4          -0.72
   502 A Castle View             4-12      -8    -9           0.00

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   428 H Ponderosa               3- 5      -2     2    --    -4.17
   329 A Pueblo West             7-13      -6    -2    -     -3.48
   421 A Eaglecrest              4-10      -6    -3    -     -2.14

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   402 H Boulder                 8- 6       2    -5    +++    6.54
   326 H Chaparral              13- 6       7     2    +      3.32

Douglas County Evaluation

The team that earns the point in the pair-wise comparison is based on three criteria: 
first is head-to-head, the winner gets the point, however, if they did not play each
other, than it considers w-l versus common opponents. If their records are tied or they
have no common opponents, than the tie-breaker becomes the better power rating.
The Common Opponent Point list in the table below has the record of the winner followed by the
record of the loser for all common opponents
Opponent Who Gets
the Point?
Head-2-Head
Point
Common Opponent
Point
Power Rating
Point
Air Academy Air Academy Air Academy  
Arapahoe Arapahoe   Arapahoe
Arvada West Douglas County Douglas County  
Aspen Aspen tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Aspen
Battle Mountain Battle Mountain   Battle Mountain
Boulder Douglas County Douglas County  
Castle View Castle View Castle View  
Chaparral Douglas County Douglas County  
Chatfield Chatfield Chatfield   4- 0 vs 1- 3
Cherokee Trail Cherokee Trail Cherokee Trail   2- 0 vs 0- 2
Cherry Creek Cherry Creek   Cherry Creek
Cheyenne Mountain Cheyenne Mountain Cheyenne Mountain   3- 1 vs 1- 3
Colorado Academy Colorado Academy insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Colorado Academy
Columbine Columbine Columbine  
Conifer Douglas County tied - ( 0- 2) ( 0- 2) Douglas County
Crested Butte Douglas County tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Douglas County
Dakota Ridge Dakota Ridge Dakota Ridge   2- 0 vs 0- 2
Denver East Denver East Denver East   2- 0 vs 0- 2
Denver North Douglas County tied - ( 1- 3) ( 1- 3) Douglas County
Denver South Denver South insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 2- 0) Denver South
Durango Durango tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Durango
Eagle Valley Douglas County   Douglas County
Eaglecrest Eaglecrest Eaglecrest  
Erie Erie Erie   3- 0 vs 1- 2
Evergreen Evergreen insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Evergreen
Fairview Fairview insuffient: ( 2- 1)( 3- 0) Fairview
Fountain Valley Douglas County insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 0- 2) Douglas County
Fruita Monument Fruita Monument   Fruita Monument
Glenwood Springs Glenwood Springs   Glenwood Springs
Golden Golden tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Golden
Grand Junction Grand Junction   Grand Junction
Grandview Grandview Grandview   3- 0 vs 0- 3
Green Mountain Green Mountain tied - ( 1- 3) ( 1- 3) Green Mountain
Heritage Heritage Heritage  
Holy Family Douglas County tied - ( 1- 2) ( 1- 2) Douglas County
Jefferson Academy Douglas County insuffient: ( 2- 0)( 1- 1) Douglas County
Kent Denver Kent Denver   Kent Denver
Lakewood Lakewood Lakewood   2- 0 vs 0- 2
Legend Legend Legend   3- 0 vs 1- 2
Lewis Palmer Lewis Palmer Lewis Palmer  
Littleton Douglas County insuffient: ( 1- 3)( 0- 4) Douglas County
Lutheran Lutheran Lutheran   3- 2 vs 1- 4
Middle Park Middle Park Middle Park  
Monarch Monarch insuffient: ( 1- 2)( 2- 1) Monarch
Montrose Douglas County   Douglas County
Mountain Range Mountain Range insuffient: ( 1- 2)( 0- 3) Mountain Range
Mountain Vista Mountain Vista Mountain Vista   4- 0 vs 1- 3
Mullen Mullen tied - ( 1- 1) ( 1- 1) Mullen
Northfield Northfield Northfield  
Palmer Douglas County insuffient: ( 1- 3)( 0- 4) Douglas County
Pine Creek Pine Creek Pine Creek  
Ponderosa Ponderosa Ponderosa  
Poudre District Poudre District Poudre District   2- 0 vs 0- 2
Prairie View Douglas County insuffient: ( 1- 2)( 0- 3) Douglas County
Pueblo West Pueblo West Pueblo West  
Ralston Valley Ralston Valley Ralston Valley   3- 0 vs 0- 3
Rangeview Douglas County Douglas County  
Regis Jesuit Regis Jesuit insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 2- 0) Regis Jesuit
Resurrection Christi Resurrection Christi insuffient: ( 0- 2)( 1- 1) Resurrection Christi
Rock Canyon Rock Canyon Rock Canyon   3- 1 vs 1- 3
Smoky Hill Douglas County tied - ( 1- 3) ( 1- 3) Douglas County
St Marys HS Douglas County insuffient: ( 1- 3)( 0- 4) Douglas County
Steamboat Springs Steamboat Springs tied - ( 0- 2) ( 0- 2) Steamboat Springs
Summit Douglas County   Douglas County
Telluride Telluride   Telluride
Thomas Jefferson Douglas County Douglas County   2- 2 vs 0- 4
Thompson Valley Douglas County tied - ( 0- 3) ( 0- 3) Douglas County
ThunderRidge Douglas County insuffient: ( 2- 5)( 3- 4) Douglas County
Vail Mountain Vail Mountain insuffient: ( 0- 2)( 1- 1) Vail Mountain
Valor Christian Valor Christian insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 2- 0) Valor Christian
Vanguard School Douglas County tied - ( 0- 3) ( 0- 3) Douglas County
Windsor Windsor insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 2- 0) Windsor

PowerWise = 22


division Games Only
Average number of games used in Games Correction = 15.04

 Date  Opponent          (W-L  PR)      SCORE       SAFE        SAFE       Home       No Games           SCI              
                                                    Loss        Win       Field      Correction         Points            
                                                    SLP         SWP     Advantage      Factor                       
                                                      
   0 A Rangeview       ( 6- 9, 74.9)    12- 4      -24.99       8.51       0.37         1.00             8.90
   0 H Middle Park     (13- 4, 83.2)     6- 7      -16.71      16.80      -0.37         1.00           -17.12
   0 H Chaparral       ( 1-13, 79.8)    13- 6      -20.09      13.42      -0.37         1.00            13.08
   0 A Pueblo West     (11- 5, 82.3)     7-13      -17.62      15.88       0.37         1.00           -17.30
   0 H Columbine       ( 6-10, 86.7)     3-12      -13.19      20.32      -0.37         1.00           -13.59
   0 H Boulder         ( 7- 6, 86.0)     8- 6      -13.87      19.63      -0.37         1.00            19.32
   0 A Air Academy     (16- 2, 90.5)     7-14       -9.36      24.14       0.37         1.00            -9.02
   0 H Lewis Palmer    ( 9- 5, 88.0)     3-15      -11.92      21.59      -0.37         1.00           -12.32
   0 A Northfield      ( 9- 7, 88.5)     4-16      -11.37      22.13       0.37         1.00           -11.03
   0 A Eaglecrest      ( 8- 7, 83.6)     4-10      -16.28      17.22       0.37         1.00           -15.95
   0 H Arvada West     ( 2-13, 78.0)    19- 6      -21.89      11.61      -0.37         1.00            11.27
   0 A Pine Creek      ( 5- 9, 84.2)     2-19      -15.71      17.79       0.37         1.00           -15.38
   0 H Ponderosa       ( 7- 8, 79.3)     3- 5      -20.57      12.93      -0.37         1.00           -21.00
   0 A Heritage        ( 9- 6, 85.0)     7-12      -14.87      18.64       0.37         1.00           -14.54
   0 A Castle View     ( 6- 8, 89.7)     4-12      -10.24      23.26       0.37         1.00            -9.90
                                                                                                        ------
                                                                                                      -104.58

winning pts = 52.5744 losing points = -157.1537

             SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.

------------------------------------------------------------------------
| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
------------------------------------------------------------------------