---    UPDATED: 07-28-25 23:49 PDT

safe3step boys Downey 1
  
Downey                
W-L: ( 4-10) PR = 74.4947

Schedule/Results All Games

Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 218 H Esperanza ( 7-13, 75.3) 4- 5 227 A Segerstrom ( 1-17, 69.5) 11- 1 306 H Lynwood ( 1-17, 70.6) 10- 5 313 H Compton ( 7-10, 75.2) 1- 6 318 A Long Beach Poly (14- 5, 80.6) 0-15 320 H Millikan (11- 8, 79.4) 1-21 325 H Lakewood ( 5- 9, 74.9) 7- 8 327 A Woodrow Wilson (13- 2, 80.2) 0-12 328 A Lynwood ( 1-17, 70.6) 16- 1 401 A Compton ( 7-10, 75.2) 11- 5 403 H Long Beach Poly (14- 5, 80.6) 4-18 408 A Millikan (11- 8, 79.4) 7-12 410 A Lakewood ( 5- 9, 74.9) 6- 9 422 H Woodrow Wilson (13- 2, 80.2) 1-14

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction. N/A when ten  |
               |         goal limit is exceeded    |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   218 H Esperanza               4- 5      -1     0          -0.59
   227 A Segerstrom             11- 1      10     5           0.33
   306 H Lynwood                10- 5       5     4           0.74
   313 H Compton                 1- 6      -5     0    --    -4.65
   318 A Long Beach Poly         0-15     -15    -6           0.00
   320 H Millikan                1-21     -20    -5          -0.44
   325 H Lakewood                7- 8      -1     0          -0.91
   327 A Woodrow Wilson          0-12     -12    -6           0.00
   328 A Lynwood                16- 1      15     4           1.46
   401 A Compton                11- 5       6    -1    +++    6.07
   403 H Long Beach Poly         4-18     -14    -6           0.00
   408 A Millikan                7-12      -5    -5           0.00
   410 A Lakewood                6- 9      -3    -1    -     -2.19
   422 H Woodrow Wilson          1-14     -13    -5           0.00

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   313 H Compton                 1- 6      -5     0    --    -4.65
   410 A Lakewood                6- 9      -3    -1    -     -2.19

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   401 A Compton                11- 5       6    -1    +++    6.07

Downey Evaluation

The team that earns the point in the pair-wise comparison is based on three criteria: 
first is head-to-head, the winner gets the point, however, if they did not play each
other, than it considers w-l versus common opponents. If their records are tied or they
have no common opponents, than the tie-breaker becomes the better power rating.
The Common Opponent Point list in the table below has the record of the winner followed by the
record of the loser for all common opponents
Opponent Who Gets
the Point?
Head-2-Head
Point
Common Opponent
Point
Power Rating
Point
Acalanes Acalanes   Acalanes
Alhambra Alhambra   Alhambra
Amador Valley Amador Valley   Amador Valley
Archie Williams Downey   Downey
Bay School Downey   Downey
Bentley School Bentley School   Bentley School
Berean Christian Berean Christian   Berean Christian
Berkeley Berkeley   Berkeley
Bishop ODowd Bishop ODowd   Bishop ODowd
Branson Downey   Downey
California California   California
Campolindo Campolindo   Campolindo
Cardinal Newman Cardinal Newman   Cardinal Newman
Casa Grande Casa Grande   Casa Grande
Clayton Valley Chart Clayton Valley Chart   Clayton Valley Chart
College Park College Park   College Park
De LaSalle De LaSalle   De LaSalle
Dougherty Valley Dougherty Valley   Dougherty Valley
Drew Drew   Drew
Dublin Dublin   Dublin
Foothill Pleasanton Foothill Pleasanton   Foothill Pleasanton
George Washington SF George Washington SF   George Washington SF
Granada Granada   Granada
Head-Royce Head-Royce   Head-Royce
Justin Siena Justin Siena   Justin Siena
Las Lomas Las Lomas   Las Lomas
Lick Wilmerding Lick Wilmerding   Lick Wilmerding
Livermore Livermore   Livermore
Lowell Downey   Downey
Marin Academy Marin Academy   Marin Academy
Marin Catholic Marin Catholic   Marin Catholic
Miramonte Miramonte   Miramonte
Monte Vista Danville Monte Vista Danville   Monte Vista Danville
Moreau Catholic Downey   Downey
Napa Downey   Downey
Newark Memorial Newark Memorial   Newark Memorial
Northgate Northgate   Northgate
Novato Novato   Novato
Petaluma Petaluma   Petaluma
Piedmont Piedmont   Piedmont
Rancho Cotate Rancho Cotate   Rancho Cotate
Redwood Redwood   Redwood
San Marin San Marin   San Marin
San Rafael Downey   Downey
San Ramon Valley San Ramon Valley   San Ramon Valley
Sonoma Academy Sonoma Academy   Sonoma Academy
Sonoma Valley Sonoma Valley   Sonoma Valley
St Vincent de Paul St Vincent de Paul   St Vincent de Paul
Stuart Hall Stuart Hall   Stuart Hall
Tamalpais Tamalpais   Tamalpais
Terra Linda Terra Linda   Terra Linda
University SF University SF   University SF
Urban School Urban School   Urban School
Vintage Vintage   Vintage
Washington Fremont Downey   Downey
Windsor Downey   Downey
Birmingham Charter Downey   Downey
El Camino Real Chart Downey   Downey
North Valley Militar North Valley Militar   North Valley Militar
Palisades Charter Palisades Charter   Palisades Charter
University Los Angel Downey   Downey
Aptos Aptos   Aptos
Aragon Downey   Downey
Archbishop Mitty Archbishop Mitty   Archbishop Mitty
Archbishop Riordan Archbishop Riordan   Archbishop Riordan
Bellarmine Prep Bellarmine Prep   Bellarmine Prep
Burlingame Burlingame   Burlingame
Carlmont Carlmont   Carlmont
Carmel Carmel   Carmel
Christopher Christopher   Christopher
Gunn Gunn   Gunn
Harbor Downey   Downey
Hillsdale Hillsdale   Hillsdale
Hollister-San Benito Downey   Downey
Latino College Prep Downey   Downey
Leland Downey   Downey
Live Oak Live Oak   Live Oak
Los Altos Los Altos   Los Altos
Los Gatos Los Gatos   Los Gatos
Menlo School Menlo School   Menlo School
Menlo-Atherton Menlo-Atherton   Menlo-Atherton
Monte Vista Christia Downey   Downey
Monterey Monterey   Monterey
Mountain View Mountain View   Mountain View
Pacific Grove Pacific Grove   Pacific Grove
Palma Palma   Palma
Palo Alto Palo Alto   Palo Alto
Pioneer Pioneer   Pioneer
Priory Priory   Priory
Sacred Heart Cathedr Sacred Heart Cathedr   Sacred Heart Cathedr
Sacred Heart Prep Sacred Heart Prep   Sacred Heart Prep
Salinas Salinas   Salinas
Santa Cruz Downey   Downey
Saratoga Downey   Downey
Scotts Valley Downey   Downey
Sequoia Sequoia   Sequoia
Serra San Mateo Serra San Mateo   Serra San Mateo
Sobrato Downey   Downey
Soquel Soquel   Soquel
St Francis-Mtn View St Francis-Mtn View   St Francis-Mtn View
St Ignatius Prep St Ignatius Prep   St Ignatius Prep
Stevenson School Stevenson School   Stevenson School
Valley Christian Valley Christian   Valley Christian
Woodside Downey   Downey
Agoura Agoura   Agoura
Aliso Niguel Aliso Niguel   Aliso Niguel
Beckman Beckman   Beckman
Beverly Hills Downey   Downey
Brentwood School Brentwood School   Brentwood School
Calabasas Calabasas   Calabasas
Canyon Canyon insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Canyon
Capistrano Valley Capistrano Valley   Capistrano Valley
Castaic Castaic   Castaic
Cate School Cate School tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Cate School
Centennial Centennial Centennial   3- 0 vs 0- 3
Chaminade Prep Chaminade Prep tied - ( 1- 1) ( 1- 0) Chaminade Prep
Chaparral Chaparral   Chaparral
Compton Compton insuffient: ( 2- 4)( 3- 3) Compton
Corona Corona tied - ( 2- 1) ( 2- 0) Corona
Corona Del Mar Corona Del Mar   Corona Del Mar
Crean Lutheran Crean Lutheran insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Crean Lutheran
Crescenta Valley Crescenta Valley   Crescenta Valley
Crespi Crespi   Crespi
Culver City Culver City insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 2- 0) Culver City
Damien Downey tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Downey
Dana Hills Dana Hills insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 2- 0) Dana Hills
Dos Pueblos Dos Pueblos   Dos Pueblos
Edison Edison   Edison
El Dorado El Dorado El Dorado   4- 0 vs 2- 2
El Modena El Modena tied - ( 1- 1) ( 1- 1) El Modena
El Segundo El Segundo   El Segundo
Eleanor Roosevelt Eleanor Roosevelt insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 2- 0) Eleanor Roosevelt
Esperanza Esperanza Esperanza  
Foothill Santa Ana Foothill Santa Ana insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Foothill Santa Ana
Glendale Downey Downey   2- 1 vs 0- 2
Grace Brethren Grace Brethren   Grace Brethren
Great Oak Great Oak   Great Oak
Hart Hart   Hart
Harvard-Westlake Harvard-Westlake   Harvard-Westlake
Hemet Hemet   Hemet
Heritage Christian Heritage Christian   Heritage Christian
Heritage HS Downey   Downey
Huntington Beach Huntington Beach   Huntington Beach
Irvine Downey tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Downey
JSerra Catholic JSerra Catholic   JSerra Catholic
King King   King
La Canada La Canada   La Canada
Laguna Hills Downey tied - ( 1- 1) ( 1- 1) Downey
Lakewood Lakewood Lakewood  
Liberty Downey tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) Downey
Linfield Christian Linfield Christian tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Linfield Christian
Long Beach Poly Long Beach Poly Long Beach Poly  
Los Alamitos Los Alamitos insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Los Alamitos
Loyola Los Angeles Loyola Los Angeles   Loyola Los Angeles
Lynwood Downey Downey  
Mater Dei Santa Ana Mater Dei Santa Ana   Mater Dei Santa Ana
Millikan Millikan Millikan  
Mira Costa Mira Costa   Mira Costa
Mission Viejo Mission Viejo insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 2- 0) Mission Viejo
Murrieta Mesa Murrieta Mesa   Murrieta Mesa
Murrieta Valley Downey   Downey
Newbury Park Newbury Park tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Newbury Park
Newport Harbor Newport Harbor   Newport Harbor
Norco Norco tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) Norco
Northwood Northwood   Northwood
Notre Dame Sherman Notre Dame Sherman   Notre Dame Sherman
Oak Park Oak Park   Oak Park
Oaks Christian Oaks Christian   Oaks Christian
Orange Lutheran Orange Lutheran insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Orange Lutheran
Paloma Valley Downey insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Downey
Palos Verdes Palos Verdes   Palos Verdes
Peninsula Peninsula tied - ( 0- 3) ( 0- 3) Peninsula
Portola Portola tied - ( 2- 1) ( 2- 1) Portola
Redondo Union Redondo Union   Redondo Union
Riverside Poly Riverside Poly   Riverside Poly
San Clemente San Clemente   San Clemente
San Juan Hills San Juan Hills   San Juan Hills
San Marcos SB San Marcos SB   San Marcos SB
Santa Barbara Santa Barbara   Santa Barbara
Santa Margarita Cath Santa Margarita Cath   Santa Margarita Cath
Santa Monica Santa Monica   Santa Monica
Santiago Santiago insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 2- 0) Santiago
Saugus Saugus   Saugus
Segerstrom Downey Downey  
Servite Servite   Servite
Sierra Canyon Sierra Canyon   Sierra Canyon
Simi Royal Simi Royal   Simi Royal
Simi Valley Simi Valley   Simi Valley
St Francis-La Canada St Francis-La Canada   St Francis-La Canada
St John Bosco St John Bosco St John Bosco   2- 0 vs 0- 2
St Margarets Episcop St Margarets Episcop   St Margarets Episcop
Temecula Valley Temecula Valley   Temecula Valley
Tesoro Tesoro   Tesoro
Thacher School Thacher School   Thacher School
Trabuco Hills Trabuco Hills   Trabuco Hills
University Irvine University Irvine tied - ( 1- 1) ( 1- 0) University Irvine
Valencia Santa Clari Valencia Santa Clari   Valencia Santa Clari
Viewpoint School Viewpoint School   Viewpoint School
Village Christian Village Christian   Village Christian
Vista Murrieta Vista Murrieta   Vista Murrieta
West Ranch West Ranch insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) West Ranch
Westlake Westlake   Westlake
Woodbridge Woodbridge insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Woodbridge
Woodrow Wilson Woodrow Wilson Woodrow Wilson  
Yorba Linda Yorba Linda insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Yorba Linda
Army-Navy Academy Downey   Downey
Bishops School Bishops School   Bishops School
Bonita Vista Downey   Downey
Canyon Crest Canyon Crest   Canyon Crest
Canyon Hills Downey   Downey
Carlsbad Carlsbad   Carlsbad
Castle Park Downey   Downey
Cathedral Catholic Cathedral Catholic   Cathedral Catholic
Clairemont Downey   Downey
Classical Academy Classical Academy   Classical Academy
Coronado Coronado   Coronado
Del Lago Academy Downey   Downey
Del Norte Del Norte   Del Norte
Eastlake Eastlake   Eastlake
El Capitan El Capitan   El Capitan
Fallbrook Downey   Downey
Foothills Christian Downey   Downey
Francis Parker Francis Parker   Francis Parker
Granite Hills Granite Hills   Granite Hills
Grossmont Downey   Downey
Helix Charter Helix Charter   Helix Charter
Hilltop Downey   Downey
La Costa Canyon La Costa Canyon   La Costa Canyon
La Jolla CDS La Jolla CDS   La Jolla CDS
La Jolla HS La Jolla HS   La Jolla HS
Lincoln San Diego Downey   Downey
Mar Vista Downey   Downey
Mater Dei Chula Vist Mater Dei Chula Vist   Mater Dei Chula Vist
Mira Mesa Downey   Downey
Mission Bay Downey   Downey
Mission Hills Mission Hills   Mission Hills
Monte Vista Spring V Downey   Downey
Morse Downey   Downey
Mt Carmel Mt Carmel   Mt Carmel
Olympian Downey   Downey
Otay Ranch Downey   Downey
Pacific Ridge Pacific Ridge   Pacific Ridge
Patrick Henry Patrick Henry   Patrick Henry
Point Loma Point Loma   Point Loma
Poway Poway   Poway
Preuss School Downey   Downey
Rancho Bernardo Rancho Bernardo   Rancho Bernardo
Rancho Buena Vista Rancho Buena Vista   Rancho Buena Vista
Sage Creek Downey   Downey
San Diego San Diego   San Diego
San Dieguito San Dieguito   San Dieguito
San Marcos SD San Marcos SD   San Marcos SD
San Ysidro Downey   Downey
Santa Fe Christian Santa Fe Christian   Santa Fe Christian
Santana Santana   Santana
Scripps Ranch Scripps Ranch   Scripps Ranch
St Augustine St Augustine   St Augustine
Torrey Pines Torrey Pines   Torrey Pines
University City University City   University City
Valhalla Valhalla   Valhalla
Valley Center Valley Center   Valley Center
West Hills West Hills   West Hills
Westview Westview   Westview
Bear River Bear River   Bear River
Bella Vista Bella Vista   Bella Vista
Christian Brothers Christian Brothers   Christian Brothers
Davis Davis   Davis
Del Oro Del Oro   Del Oro
Folsom Folsom   Folsom
Granite Bay Granite Bay   Granite Bay
Grant Union Downey   Downey
Jesuit Sacramento Jesuit Sacramento   Jesuit Sacramento
Lincoln Stockton Lincoln Stockton   Lincoln Stockton
Lincoln Sacramento Downey   Downey
Nevada Union Nevada Union   Nevada Union
Oak Ridge Oak Ridge   Oak Ridge
Oakmont Oakmont   Oakmont
Rio Americano Rio Americano   Rio Americano
Rocklin Downey   Downey
Roseville Roseville   Roseville
St Marys Stockton St Marys Stockton   St Marys Stockton
Vista del Lago Vista del Lago   Vista del Lago
West Park West Park   West Park
Whitney Whitney   Whitney
Woodcreek Woodcreek   Woodcreek

PowerWise = 58


division Games Only
Average number of games used in Games Correction = 16.63

 Date  Opponent          (W-L  PR)      SCORE       SAFE        SAFE       Home       No Games           SCI              
                                                    Loss        Win       Field      Correction         Points            
                                                    SLP         SWP     Advantage      Factor                       
                                                      
   0 H Esperanza       ( 7-13, 75.3)     4- 5      -24.63      15.51      -0.36         1.19           -29.69
   0 A Segerstrom      ( 1-17, 69.5)    11- 1      -30.44       9.70       0.36         1.19            11.95
   0 H Lynwood         ( 1-17, 70.6)    10- 5      -29.31      10.84      -0.36         1.19            12.44
   0 H Compton         ( 7-10, 75.2)     1- 6      -24.70      15.45      -0.36         1.19           -29.76
   0 A Long Beach Pol  (14- 5, 80.6)     0-15      -19.27      20.87       0.36         1.19           -22.47
   0 H Millikan        (11- 8, 79.4)     1-21      -20.49      19.65      -0.36         1.19           -24.77
   0 H Lakewood        ( 5- 9, 74.9)     7- 8      -24.95      15.19      -0.36         1.19           -30.07
   0 A Woodrow Wilson  (13- 2, 80.2)     0-12      -19.74      20.40       0.36         1.19           -23.02
   0 A Lynwood         ( 1-17, 70.6)    16- 1      -29.31      10.84       0.36         1.19            13.30
   0 A Compton         ( 7-10, 75.2)    11- 5      -24.70      15.45       0.36         1.19            18.77
   0 H Long Beach Pol  (14- 5, 80.6)     4-18      -19.27      20.87      -0.36         1.19           -23.32
   0 A Millikan        (11- 8, 79.4)     7-12      -20.49      19.65       0.36         1.19           -23.91
   0 A Lakewood        ( 5- 9, 74.9)     6- 9      -24.95      15.19       0.36         1.19           -29.21
   0 H Woodrow Wilson  (13- 2, 80.2)     1-14      -19.74      20.40      -0.36         1.19           -23.88
                                                                                                        ------
                                                                                                      -203.63

winning pts = 56.4655 losing points = -260.0953

             SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.

------------------------------------------------------------------------
| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
------------------------------------------------------------------------