Duluth East/Denfield
W-L: ( 7- 7) PR = 90.4113Schedule/Results All Games
Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 410 H Grand Rapids/Greenwa ( 6- 7, 84.7) 14- 5 414 A Cloquet/Esko/Carlton ( 2-11, 83.1) 16- 7 419 H Moorhead (15- 4, 94.8) 4-10 424 H Chisago Lakes ( 7- 8, 90.6) 10-11 426 H Spring Lake Park/Coo ( 8- 7, 90.1) 11-10 429 H Duluth Marshall ( 5- 7, 86.0) 14- 6 502 A Champlin Park ( 9- 6, 91.2) 9-12 508 H Hermantown/Proctor ( 6- 6, 87.7) 13- 4 510 A Rosemount (11- 4, 96.0) 6-20 513 A Mahtomedi ( 9- 5, 93.6) 3- 9 517 H Irondale ( 7- 7, 93.7) 10- 9 521 H White Bear Lake (10- 5, 96.1) 8-17 527 H Duluth Marshall ( 5- 7, 86.0) 11- 7 529 A Anoka (12- 3, 92.4) 11-12
PREDICTION LIST
-------------------------------------
|Real = actual goal margin |
|Pred = predicted goal margin |
|+ = slightly above prediction |
|++ = above prediction |
|+++ = well above prediction |
|- = slightly below prediction |
|-- = below prediction |
|--- = well below prediction |
|Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) |
| prediction. N/A when ten |
| goal limit is exceeded |
|n/a = Outside division |
-------------------------------------
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
410 H Grand Rapids/Greenwa 14- 5 9 6 0.00
414 A Cloquet/Esko/Carlton 16- 7 9 7 0.00
419 H Moorhead 4-10 -6 -4 -1.34
424 H Chisago Lakes 10-11 -1 1 -1.60
426 H Spring Lake Park/Coo 11-10 1 1 -0.08
429 H Duluth Marshall 14- 6 8 5 0.00
502 A Champlin Park 9-12 -3 -1 -1.51
508 H Hermantown/Proctor 13- 4 9 3 1.54
510 A Rosemount 6-20 -14 -6 0.00
513 A Mahtomedi 3- 9 -6 -4 -1.06
517 H Irondale 10- 9 1 -3 + 3.55
521 H White Bear Lake 8-17 -9 -5 -0.04
527 H Duluth Marshall 11- 7 4 5 -1.00
529 A Anoka 11-12 -1 -3 1.69
|
UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* |
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 517 H Irondale 10- 9 1 -3 + 3.55 |
Duluth East/Denfield Evaluation
The team that earns the point in the pair-wise comparison is based on three criteria:
first is head-to-head, the winner gets the point, however, if they did not play each
other, than it considers w-l versus common opponents. If their records are tied or they
have no common opponents, than the tie-breaker becomes the better power rating.
The Common Opponent Point list in the table below has the record of the winner followed by the
record of the loser for all common opponents
| Opponent | Who Gets the Point? | Head-2-Head Point |
Common Opponent Point |
Power Rating Point |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Andover | Andover | Andover 3- 1 vs 1- 3 | ||
| Anoka | Anoka | Anoka | ||
| Becker | Duluth East/Denfield | insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 0- 2) | Duluth East/Denfield | |
| Benilde-St Margarets | Benilde-St Margarets | insuffient: ( 0- 2)( 1- 1) | Benilde-St Margarets | |
| Big Lake/Princeton | Duluth East/Denfield | tied - ( 1- 1) ( 1- 1) | Duluth East/Denfield | |
| Blaine | Blaine | tied - ( 3- 2) ( 3- 2) | Blaine | |
| Blake School | Duluth East/Denfield | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Duluth East/Denfield | |
| Bloomington Jefferso | Bloomington Jefferso | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Bloomington Jefferso | |
| Bloomington Kennedy/ | Duluth East/Denfield | Duluth East/Denfield 3- 0 vs 0- 3 | ||
| Brainerd | Duluth East/Denfield | tied - ( 1- 1) ( 1- 1) | Duluth East/Denfield | |
| Breck School | Duluth East/Denfield | Duluth East/Denfield | ||
| Buffalo | Buffalo | Buffalo | ||
| Centennial | Centennial | Centennial 4- 0 vs 1- 3 | ||
| Champlin Park | Champlin Park | Champlin Park | ||
| Chanhassen | Chanhassen | Chanhassen | ||
| Chaska | Duluth East/Denfield | Duluth East/Denfield | ||
| Chisago Lakes | Chisago Lakes | Chisago Lakes | ||
| Cloquet/Esko/Carlton | Duluth East/Denfield | Duluth East/Denfield | ||
| Cretin-Derham Hall | Cretin-Derham Hall | insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 2- 0) | Cretin-Derham Hall | |
| Delano/Rockford | Duluth East/Denfield | Duluth East/Denfield | ||
| Duluth Marshall | Duluth East/Denfield | Duluth East/Denfield | ||
| Eagan | Duluth East/Denfield | tied - ( 0- 3) ( 0- 3) | Duluth East/Denfield | |
| East Ridge | East Ridge | tied - ( 1- 1) ( 1- 1) | East Ridge | |
| Eastview/Apple Valle | Eastview/Apple Valle | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Eastview/Apple Valle | |
| Eden Prairie | Eden Prairie | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | Eden Prairie | |
| Edina | Edina | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | Edina | |
| Elk River/Zimmerman | Duluth East/Denfield | insuffient: ( 1- 2)( 0- 3) | Duluth East/Denfield | |
| Farmington | Farmington | Farmington 2- 0 vs 0- 2 | ||
| Forest Lake | Duluth East/Denfield | Duluth East/Denfield 3- 3 vs 1- 5 | ||
| Grand Rapids/Greenwa | Duluth East/Denfield | Duluth East/Denfield | ||
| Hastings | Duluth East/Denfield | tied - ( 1- 2) ( 1- 2) | Duluth East/Denfield | |
| Hermantown/Proctor | Duluth East/Denfield | Duluth East/Denfield | ||
| Hill-Murray | Hill-Murray | Hill-Murray 3- 1 vs 0- 4 | ||
| Holy Angels | Duluth East/Denfield | Duluth East/Denfield | ||
| Holy Family Catholic | Duluth East/Denfield | Duluth East/Denfield | ||
| Hopkins/St Louis Par | Duluth East/Denfield | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Duluth East/Denfield | |
| Hutchinson | Duluth East/Denfield | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Duluth East/Denfield | |
| Irondale | Duluth East/Denfield | Duluth East/Denfield | ||
| Lakeville North | Lakeville North | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | Lakeville North | |
| Lakeville South | Lakeville South | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Lakeville South | |
| Mahtomedi | Mahtomedi | Mahtomedi | ||
| Mankato United | Duluth East/Denfield | Duluth East/Denfield | ||
| Maple Grove | Duluth East/Denfield | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Duluth East/Denfield | |
| Minneapolis United | Duluth East/Denfield | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | Duluth East/Denfield | |
| Minnetonka | Minnetonka | insuffient: ( 1- 2)( 2- 1) | Minnetonka | |
| Monticello | Duluth East/Denfield | insuffient: ( 0- 2)( 1- 1) | Duluth East/Denfield | |
| Moorhead | Moorhead | Moorhead | ||
| Mound Westonka | Duluth East/Denfield | Duluth East/Denfield | ||
| Mounds View | Mounds View | insuffient: ( 1- 3)( 2- 2) | Mounds View | |
| New Prague | New Prague | tied - ( 0- 2) ( 0- 2) | New Prague | |
| Northfield | Duluth East/Denfield | Duluth East/Denfield | ||
| Orono | Orono | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Orono | |
| Osseo/Park Center | Duluth East/Denfield | Duluth East/Denfield 2- 2 vs 0- 4 | ||
| Owatonna | Duluth East/Denfield | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Duluth East/Denfield | |
| Park Cottage Grove | Duluth East/Denfield | insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 0- 2) | Duluth East/Denfield | |
| Prior Lake | Prior Lake | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | Prior Lake | |
| Providence Academy | Duluth East/Denfield | Duluth East/Denfield | ||
| Robbinsdale Armstron | Duluth East/Denfield | insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 0- 2) | Duluth East/Denfield | |
| Rochester United | Duluth East/Denfield | Duluth East/Denfield | ||
| Rocori | Duluth East/Denfield | tied - ( 1- 1) ( 1- 1) | Duluth East/Denfield | |
| Rogers | Rogers | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | Rogers | |
| Rosemount | Rosemount | Rosemount | ||
| Roseville | Duluth East/Denfield | insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 0- 2) | Duluth East/Denfield | |
| Sartell/Sauk Rapids | Duluth East/Denfield | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Duluth East/Denfield | |
| Shakopee | Shakopee | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Shakopee | |
| Simley | Duluth East/Denfield | insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 0- 2) | Duluth East/Denfield | |
| Southwest Christian | Duluth East/Denfield | Duluth East/Denfield | ||
| Spring Lake Park/Coo | Duluth East/Denfield | Duluth East/Denfield | ||
| St Cloud Unified | Duluth East/Denfield | insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 0- 2) | Duluth East/Denfield | |
| St Michael-Albertvil | St Michael-Albertvil | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | St Michael-Albertvil | |
| St Paul/Two Rivers | Duluth East/Denfield | tied - ( 1- 1) ( 1- 1) | Duluth East/Denfield | |
| St Thomas Academy | St Thomas Academy | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | St Thomas Academy | |
| Stillwater | Stillwater | Stillwater 4- 0 vs 1- 3 | ||
| Totino Grace | Duluth East/Denfield | Duluth East/Denfield 2- 2 vs 0- 4 | ||
| TriMAC Academy | Duluth East/Denfield | insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 0- 2) | Duluth East/Denfield | |
| Waconia | Duluth East/Denfield | Duluth East/Denfield | ||
| Wayzata | Wayzata | Wayzata 2- 1 vs 0- 3 | ||
| White Bear Lake | White Bear Lake | White Bear Lake | ||
| Woodbury | Woodbury | tied - ( 1- 1) ( 1- 1) | Woodbury |
PowerWise = 44
division Games OnlyAverage number of games used in Games Correction = 14.62
Date Opponent (W-L PR) SCORE SAFE SAFE Home No Games SCI
Loss Win Field Correction Points
SLP SWP Advantage Factor
0 H Grand Rapids/G ( 6- 7, 84.7) 14- 5 -15.15 9.92 -0.74 1.04 9.59
0 A Cloquet/Esko/C ( 2-11, 83.1) 16- 7 -16.80 8.27 0.74 1.04 9.41
0 H Moorhead (15- 4, 94.8) 4-10 -5.09 19.98 -0.74 1.04 -6.09
0 H Chisago Lakes ( 7- 8, 90.6) 10-11 -9.35 15.72 -0.74 1.04 -10.54
0 H Spring Lake Pa ( 8- 7, 90.1) 11-10 -9.83 15.24 -0.74 1.04 15.14
0 H Duluth Marshal ( 5- 7, 86.0) 14- 6 -13.89 11.17 -0.74 1.04 10.90
0 A Champlin Park ( 9- 6, 91.2) 9-12 -8.74 16.33 0.74 1.04 -8.35
0 H Hermantown/Pro ( 6- 6, 87.7) 13- 4 -12.21 12.86 -0.74 1.04 12.66
0 A Rosemount (11- 4, 96.0) 6-20 -3.89 21.18 0.74 1.04 -3.29
0 A Mahtomedi ( 9- 5, 93.6) 3- 9 -6.28 18.78 0.74 1.04 -5.79
0 H Irondale ( 7- 7, 93.7) 10- 9 -6.20 18.87 -0.74 1.04 18.93
0 H White Bear Lak (10- 5, 96.1) 8-17 -3.79 21.28 -0.74 1.04 -4.73
0 H Duluth Marshal ( 5- 7, 86.0) 11- 7 -13.89 11.17 -0.74 1.04 10.90
0 A Anoka (12- 3, 92.4) 11-12 -7.54 17.52 0.74 1.04 -7.11
------
41.64
|
winning pts = 87.5343 losing points = -45.8972
SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.
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| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
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