Desert Vista
W-L: ( 9- 3) PR = 95.5003Schedule/Results All Games
Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 204 H Brophy Prep (13- 0, 99.9) 8-12 214 A Scottsdale ( 3- 9, 87.9) 14- 7 221 H Corona del Sol ( 8- 6, 91.2) 11- 6 225 H Notre Dame Prep ( 7- 4, 93.7) 9- 1 306 A Arcadia ( 6- 7, 91.2) 12-11 322 H Pinnacle ( 9- 6, 92.0) 10- 5 328 A Boulder Creek ( 4- 8, 89.4) 13- 6 404 A Higley ( 2- 9, 88.4) 18- 7 410 A Oro Valley ( 1-11, 87.4) 18- 9 415 H Chandler (12- 2, 95.7) 5- 7 425 H Arcadia ( 6- 7, 91.2) 11- 3 429 A Chandler (12- 2, 95.7) 8- 9
PREDICTION LIST
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|Real = actual goal margin |
|Pred = predicted goal margin |
|+ = slightly above prediction |
|++ = above prediction |
|+++ = well above prediction |
|- = slightly below prediction |
|-- = below prediction |
|--- = well below prediction |
|Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) |
| prediction. N/A when ten |
| goal limit is exceeded |
|n/a = Outside division |
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Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
204 H Brophy Prep 8-12 -4 -4 0.28
214 A Scottsdale 14- 7 7 7 0.00
221 H Corona del Sol 11- 6 5 4 0.57
225 H Notre Dame Prep 9- 1 8 2 + 3.06
306 A Arcadia 12-11 1 4 - -3.18
322 H Pinnacle 10- 5 5 4 1.40
328 A Boulder Creek 13- 6 7 6 0.00
404 A Higley 18- 7 11 7 0.00
410 A Oro Valley 18- 9 9 8 0.00
415 H Chandler 5- 7 -2 0 -1.95
425 H Arcadia 11- 3 8 4 0.57
429 A Chandler 8- 9 -1 0 -0.70
|
UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 306 A Arcadia 12-11 1 4 - -3.18 |
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 225 H Notre Dame Prep 9- 1 8 2 + 3.06 |
Desert Vista Evaluation
The team that earns the point in the pair-wise comparison is based on three criteria:
first is head-to-head, the winner gets the point, however, if they did not play each
other, than it considers w-l versus common opponents. If their records are tied or they
have no common opponents, than the tie-breaker becomes the better power rating.
The Common Opponent Point list in the table below has the record of the winner followed by the
record of the loser for all common opponents
| Opponent | Who Gets the Point? | Head-2-Head Point |
Common Opponent Point |
Power Rating Point |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Arcadia | Desert Vista | Desert Vista | ||
| Boulder Creek | Desert Vista | Desert Vista | ||
| Brophy Prep | Brophy Prep | Brophy Prep | ||
| Brophy Prep II | Desert Vista | Desert Vista | ||
| Cactus | Desert Vista | Desert Vista 2- 0 vs 0- 2 | ||
| Cactus Shadows | Desert Vista | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Desert Vista | |
| Catalina Foothills | Desert Vista | Desert Vista | ||
| Chandler | Chandler | Chandler | ||
| Corona del Sol | Desert Vista | Desert Vista | ||
| Desert Vista II | Desert Vista | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Desert Vista | |
| Higley | Desert Vista | Desert Vista | ||
| Notre Dame Prep | Desert Vista | Desert Vista | ||
| Notre Dame Prep II | Desert Vista | Desert Vista | ||
| Oro Valley | Desert Vista | Desert Vista | ||
| Pinnacle | Desert Vista | Desert Vista | ||
| Salpointe Catholic | Desert Vista | Desert Vista 2- 0 vs 0- 2 | ||
| Scottsdale | Desert Vista | Desert Vista | ||
| West Valley | Desert Vista | Desert Vista 2- 1 vs 0- 3 |
PowerWise = 16
division Games OnlyAverage number of games used in Games Correction = 13.68
Date Opponent (W-L PR) SCORE SAFE SAFE Home No Games SCI
Loss Win Field Correction Points
SLP SWP Advantage Factor
0 H Brophy Prep (13- 0, 99.9) 8-12 -0.00 18.13 -0.12 1.14 -0.14
0 A Scottsdale ( 3- 9, 87.9) 14- 7 -11.99 6.15 0.12 1.14 7.15
0 H Corona del Sol ( 8- 6, 91.2) 11- 6 -8.71 9.43 -0.12 1.14 10.61
0 H Notre Dame Pre ( 7- 4, 93.7) 9- 1 -6.21 11.92 -0.12 1.14 13.45
0 A Arcadia ( 6- 7, 91.2) 12-11 -8.70 9.43 0.12 1.14 10.90
0 H Pinnacle ( 9- 6, 92.0) 10- 5 -7.87 10.26 -0.12 1.14 11.56
0 A Boulder Creek ( 4- 8, 89.4) 13- 6 -10.47 7.66 0.12 1.14 8.88
0 A Higley ( 2- 9, 88.4) 18- 7 -11.50 6.64 0.12 1.14 7.71
0 A Oro Valley ( 1-11, 87.4) 18- 9 -12.51 5.63 0.12 1.14 6.56
0 H Chandler (12- 2, 95.7) 5- 7 -4.23 13.90 -0.12 1.14 -4.96
0 H Arcadia ( 6- 7, 91.2) 11- 3 -8.70 9.43 -0.12 1.14 10.61
0 A Chandler (12- 2, 95.7) 8- 9 -4.23 13.90 0.12 1.14 -4.68
------
77.64
|
winning pts = 87.4191 losing points = -9.7841
SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.
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| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
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