--- 07-19-25 08:24 PDT
safe3step boys 405 LC 1
405 LC
W-L: ( 6-10) PR = 95.8339
Schedule/Results All Games
Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score
206 H Tulsa Alliance ( 5-10, 94.0) 12- 8
208 A Owasso ( 1-14, 92.0) 7- 6
213 A Jenks (13- 4, 97.5) 5- 7
303 A Broken Arrow ( 9- 6, 96.2) 7- 8
306 A Tulsa Alliance ( 5-10, 94.0) 7- 8
313 A Bixby ( 7- 9, 94.3) 9- 5
325 H Union ( 5-10, 94.6) 13- 8
327 A Cascia Hall (17- 0, 99.9) 4-12
329 H Owasso ( 1-14, 92.0) 10- 2
405 A Union ( 5-10, 94.6) 7- 8
408 H Bixby ( 7- 9, 94.3) 4- 5
412 H Broken Arrow ( 9- 6, 96.2) 6- 7
422 H Cascia Hall (17- 0, 99.9) 6-10
424 H Jenks (13- 4, 97.5) 9-11
506 A Broken Arrow ( 9- 6, 96.2) 7- 5
509 A Jenks (13- 4, 97.5) 9-10
PREDICTION LIST
-------------------------------------
|Real = actual goal margin |
|Pred = predicted goal margin |
|+ = slightly above prediction |
|++ = above prediction |
|+++ = well above prediction |
|- = slightly below prediction |
|-- = below prediction |
|--- = well below prediction |
|Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) |
| prediction. N/A when ten |
| goal limit is exceeded |
|n/a = Outside division |
-------------------------------------
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
206 H Tulsa Alliance 12- 8 4 2 1.80
208 A Owasso 7- 6 1 4 - -2.51
213 A Jenks 5- 7 -2 -2 -0.00
303 A Broken Arrow 7- 8 -1 -1 -0.30
306 A Tulsa Alliance 7- 8 -1 2 - -2.51
313 A Bixby 9- 5 4 1 + 2.85
325 H Union 13- 8 5 2 + 3.45
327 A Cascia Hall 4-12 -8 -4 -0.58
329 H Owasso 10- 2 8 4 0.79
405 A Union 7- 8 -1 1 -1.85
408 H Bixby 4- 5 -1 2 - -2.85
412 H Broken Arrow 6- 7 -1 0 -1.00
422 H Cascia Hall 6-10 -4 -4 -0.28
424 H Jenks 9-11 -2 -1 -0.70
506 A Broken Arrow 7- 5 2 -1 + 2.70
509 A Jenks 9-10 -1 -2 1.00
|
UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
208 A Owasso 7- 6 1 4 - -2.51
306 A Tulsa Alliance 7- 8 -1 2 - -2.51
408 H Bixby 4- 5 -1 2 - -2.85
|
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
313 A Bixby 9- 5 4 1 + 2.85
325 H Union 13- 8 5 2 + 3.45
506 A Broken Arrow 7- 5 2 -1 + 2.70
|
405 LC Evaluation
The team that earns the point in the pair-wise comparison is based on three criteria:
first is head-to-head, the winner gets the point, however, if they did not play each
other, than it considers w-l versus common opponents. If their records are tied or they
have no common opponents, than the tie-breaker becomes the better power rating.
The Common Opponent Point list in the table below has the record of the winner followed by the
record of the loser for all common opponents
| Opponent |
Who Gets
the Point?
| Head-2-Head
Point |
Common Opponent
Point |
Power Rating
Point |
| Bixby |
405 LC |
|
insuffient: ( 4- 5)( 3- 3) |
405 LC |
| Broken Arrow |
Broken Arrow |
Broken Arrow |
| |
| Cascia Hall |
Cascia Hall |
Cascia Hall |
| |
| Jenks |
Jenks |
Jenks |
| |
| Owasso |
405 LC |
405 LC |
| |
| Tulsa Alliance |
405 LC |
|
insuffient: ( 4- 5)( 3- 3) |
405 LC |
| Union |
405 LC |
|
405 LC 4- 5 vs 0- 6 |
|
PowerWise = 4
division Games Only
Average number of games used in Games Correction = 15.75
Date Opponent (W-L PR) SCORE SAFE SAFE Home No Games SCI
Loss Win Field Correction Points
SLP SWP Advantage Factor
0 H Tulsa Alliance ( 5-10, 94.0) 12- 8 -5.92 2.00 -0.35 0.98 1.63
0 A Owasso ( 1-14, 92.0) 7- 6 -7.92 1.00 0.35 0.98 1.33
0 A Jenks (13- 4, 97.5) 5- 7 -2.42 5.50 0.35 0.98 -2.04
0 A Broken Arrow ( 9- 6, 96.2) 7- 8 -3.72 4.21 0.35 0.98 -3.31
0 A Tulsa Alliance ( 5-10, 94.0) 7- 8 -5.92 2.00 0.35 0.98 -5.49
0 A Bixby ( 7- 9, 94.3) 9- 5 -5.56 2.36 0.35 0.98 2.66
0 H Union ( 5-10, 94.6) 13- 8 -5.27 2.65 -0.35 0.98 2.27
0 A Cascia Hall (17- 0, 99.9) 4-12 -0.00 7.92 0.35 0.98 -0.34
0 H Owasso ( 1-14, 92.0) 10- 2 -7.92 1.00 -0.35 0.98 0.64
0 A Union ( 5-10, 94.6) 7- 8 -5.27 2.65 0.35 0.98 -4.84
0 H Bixby ( 7- 9, 94.3) 4- 5 -5.56 2.36 -0.35 0.98 -5.82
0 H Broken Arrow ( 9- 6, 96.2) 6- 7 -3.72 4.21 -0.35 0.98 -4.00
0 H Cascia Hall (17- 0, 99.9) 6-10 -0.00 7.92 -0.35 0.98 -0.34
0 H Jenks (13- 4, 97.5) 9-11 -2.42 5.50 -0.35 0.98 -2.72
0 A Broken Arrow ( 9- 6, 96.2) 7- 5 -3.72 4.21 0.35 0.98 4.48
0 A Jenks (13- 4, 97.5) 9-10 -2.42 5.50 0.35 0.98 -2.04
------
-17.94
|
winning pts = 13.0106 losing points = -30.9489
SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.
------------------------------------------------------------------------
| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
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