Davie
W-L: (17- 3) PR = 89.9000
Schedule/Results All Games
Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score
225 H Southwest Guilford ( 2-17, 77.1) 18- 0
306 A Northern Guilford ( 9- 8, 88.8) 12- 8
310 H Grimsley ( 9-12, 82.8) 18- 4
311 H Page (12-10, 87.5) 16- 8
318 H RJ Reynolds (19- 3, 92.5) 3-16
321 A East Forsyth ( 6-14, 82.5) 16- 2
325 H Reagan (12-12, 86.8) 15- 4
327 H North Davidson ( 5-13, 74.5) 19- 5
328 H Mount Tabor ( 5-14, 81.1) 19- 7
401 A West Forsyth (12-10, 84.0) 20- 3
408 H Glenn ( 5-14, 79.4) 27- 0
415 H East Forsyth ( 6-14, 82.5) 15- 2
417 A RJ Reynolds (19- 3, 92.5) 7-12
418 A Reagan (12-12, 86.8) 14-11
423 A South Iredell ( 0-18, 70.8) 24- 0
501 H West Forsyth (12-10, 84.0) 15- 6
502 A Glenn ( 5-14, 79.4) 20- 0
505 H Glenn ( 5-14, 79.4) 21- 2
507 H Reagan (12-12, 86.8) 12-10
516 H Ardrey Kell (16- 5, 94.0) 4-20
PREDICTION LIST
-------------------------------------
|Real = actual goal margin |
|Pred = predicted goal margin |
|+ = slightly above prediction |
|++ = above prediction |
|+++ = well above prediction |
|- = slightly below prediction |
|-- = below prediction |
|--- = well below prediction |
|Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) |
| prediction. N/A when ten |
| goal limit is exceeded |
|n/a = Outside division |
-------------------------------------
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
225 H Southwest Guilford 18- 0 18 13 0.00
306 A Northern Guilford 12- 8 4 1 + 3.18
310 H Grimsley 18- 4 14 7 0.00
311 H Page 16- 8 8 3 + 2.36
318 H RJ Reynolds 3-16 -13 -2 - -2.63
321 A East Forsyth 16- 2 14 7 0.00
325 H Reagan 15- 4 11 3 1.60
327 H North Davidson 19- 5 14 16 0.00
328 H Mount Tabor 19- 7 12 9 0.00
401 A West Forsyth 20- 3 17 6 0.00
408 H Glenn 27- 0 27 11 0.00
415 H East Forsyth 15- 2 13 8 0.00
417 A RJ Reynolds 7-12 -5 -3 - -2.09
418 A Reagan 14-11 3 3 0.14
423 A South Iredell 24- 0 24 19 0.00
501 H West Forsyth 15- 6 9 6 0.00
502 A Glenn 20- 0 20 10 0.00
505 H Glenn 21- 2 19 11 0.00
507 H Reagan 12-10 2 3 -1.40
516 H Ardrey Kell 4-20 -16 -4 -1.13
|
UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
318 H RJ Reynolds 3-16 -13 -2 - -2.63
417 A RJ Reynolds 7-12 -5 -3 - -2.09
|
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
306 A Northern Guilford 12- 8 4 1 + 3.18
311 H Page 16- 8 8 3 + 2.36
|
Davie Evaluation
The team that earns the point in the pair-wise comparison is based on three criteria:
first is head-to-head, the winner gets the point, however, if they did not play each
other, than it considers w-l versus common opponents. If their records are tied or they
have no common opponents, than the tie-breaker becomes the better power rating.
The Common Opponent Point list in the table below has the record of the winner followed by the
record of the loser for all common opponents
Opponent |
Who Gets the Point?
| Head-2-Head Point |
Common Opponent Point |
Power Rating Point |
Apex |
Apex |
|
 
| Apex |
Apex Friendship |
Apex Friendship |
|
 
| Apex Friendship |
Ardrey Kell |
Ardrey Kell |
Ardrey Kell |
 
| |
Arendell Parrott Aca |
Davie |
|
 
| Davie |
Asheville HS |
Davie |
|
insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) |
Davie |
Asheville School |
Davie |
|
 
| Davie |
Ashley |
Ashley |
|
 
| Ashley |
Athens Drive |
Athens Drive |
|
 
| Athens Drive |
Atkins |
Davie |
|
insuffient: ( 5- 0)( 4- 1) |
Davie |
Ballantyne Ridge |
Davie |
|
insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 0- 2) |
Davie |
Bishop McGuinness |
Davie |
|
Davie   3- 1 vs 1- 3 |
|
Bradford Prep |
Davie |
|
tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) |
Davie |
Broughton |
Broughton |
|
 
| Broughton |
Butler |
Davie |
|
tied - ( 1- 1) ( 1- 1) |
Davie |
Cannon School |
Cannon School |
|
 
| Cannon School |
Cape Fear Academy |
Davie |
|
 
| Davie |
Cape Fear HS |
Davie |
|
 
| Davie |
Cardinal Gibbons |
Cardinal Gibbons |
|
 
| Cardinal Gibbons |
Carrboro |
Davie |
|
tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) |
Davie |
Cary Academy |
Davie |
|
 
| Davie |
Cary Christian |
Davie |
|
 
| Davie |
Cary HS |
Davie |
|
 
| Davie |
Cedar Ridge |
Davie |
|
 
| Davie |
Chapel Hill |
Davie |
|
tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) |
Davie |
Charlotte Catholic |
Charlotte Catholic |
|
insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 2- 0) |
Charlotte Catholic |
Charlotte CDS |
Charlotte CDS |
|
 
| Charlotte CDS |
Charlotte Christian |
Charlotte Christian |
|
tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) |
Charlotte Christian |
Charlotte Latin |
Charlotte Latin |
|
 
| Charlotte Latin |
Christ School |
Christ School |
|
 
| Christ School |
Christ The King |
Christ The King |
|
 
| Christ The King |
Clayton |
Davie |
|
 
| Davie |
Cleveland |
Davie |
|
 
| Davie |
Community School-Dav |
Community School-Dav |
|
tied - ( 2- 1) ( 2- 1) |
Community School-Dav |
Corinth Holders |
Davie |
|
 
| Davie |
Cornerstone Charter |
Davie |
|
tied - ( 2- 0) ( 2- 0) |
Davie |
Croatan |
Croatan |
|
 
| Croatan |
Cuthbertson |
Davie |
|
tied - ( 1- 1) ( 1- 1) |
Davie |
DH Conley |
Davie |
|
 
| Davie |
Durham Academy |
Durham Academy |
|
 
| Durham Academy |
East Chapel Hill |
Davie |
|
tied - ( 2- 1) ( 2- 1) |
Davie |
East Forsyth |
Davie |
Davie |
 
| |
Eastern Alamance |
Davie |
|
 
| Davie |
Eastern Guilford |
Davie |
|
insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) |
Davie |
Enloe |
Davie |
|
 
| Davie |
Fike |
Davie |
|
 
| Davie |
First Flight |
First Flight |
|
 
| First Flight |
Forsyth Country Day |
Davie |
|
insuffient: ( 2- 0)( 1- 1) |
Davie |
Fuquay-Varina |
Davie |
|
 
| Davie |
Garner |
Davie |
|
 
| Davie |
Glenn |
Davie |
Davie |
 
| |
Grays Creek |
Davie |
|
 
| Davie |
Green Hope |
Green Hope |
|
 
| Green Hope |
Green Level |
Green Level |
|
 
| Green Level |
Greensboro Day |
Davie |
|
insuffient: ( 2- 0)( 1- 1) |
Davie |
Grimsley |
Davie |
Davie |
 
| |
Havelock |
Davie |
|
 
| Davie |
Heritage |
Heritage |
|
 
| Heritage |
Hickory |
Davie |
|
tied - ( 2- 0) ( 2- 0) |
Davie |
High Point Central |
Davie |
|
insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) |
Davie |
Hillsborough Orange |
Davie |
|
tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) |
Davie |
Hoggard |
Hoggard |
|
 
| Hoggard |
Holly Springs |
Holly Springs |
|
 
| Holly Springs |
Hough |
Hough |
|
insuffient: ( 3- 2)( 4- 1) |
Hough |
Hunt |
Davie |
|
 
| Davie |
Independence |
Davie |
|
 
| Davie |
Jack Britt |
Davie |
|
 
| Davie |
Jacksonville |
Davie |
|
 
| Davie |
JF Webb |
Davie |
|
 
| Davie |
JH Rose |
Davie |
|
 
| Davie |
John Paul II Catholi |
Davie |
|
 
| Davie |
Jordan |
Davie |
|
 
| Davie |
Lake Norman Charter |
Lake Norman Charter |
|
tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) |
Lake Norman Charter |
Lake Norman HS |
Lake Norman HS |
|
Lake Norman HS   3- 0 vs 1- 2 |
|
Laney |
Laney |
|
 
| Laney |
Leesville Road |
Davie |
|
 
| Davie |
Lincoln Charter |
Davie |
|
tied - ( 2- 0) ( 2- 0) |
Davie |
Marvin Ridge |
Davie |
|
tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) |
Davie |
Middle Creek |
Middle Creek |
|
insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) |
Middle Creek |
Millbrook |
Davie |
|
 
| Davie |
Mooresville |
Davie |
|
Davie   4- 1 vs 2- 3 |
|
Mount Tabor |
Davie |
Davie |
 
| |
Mountain Island Char |
Davie |
|
 
| Davie |
Myers Park |
Davie |
|
tied - ( 2- 2) ( 2- 2) |
Davie |
New Bern |
Davie |
|
 
| Davie |
New Hanover |
Davie |
|
 
| Davie |
North Brunswick |
Davie |
|
 
| Davie |
North Davidson |
Davie |
Davie |
 
| |
North Lincoln |
Davie |
|
insuffient: ( 2- 0)( 1- 0) |
Davie |
North Raleigh Christ |
Davie |
|
 
| Davie |
Northern Durham |
Davie |
|
 
| Davie |
Northern Guilford |
Davie |
Davie |
 
| |
Northside |
Davie |
|
 
| Davie |
Northwest Guilford |
Northwest Guilford |
|
Northwest Guilford   7- 0 vs 5- 2 |
|
Northwood |
Davie |
|
 
| Davie |
Page |
Davie |
Davie |
 
| |
Panther Creek |
Davie |
|
 
| Davie |
Parkwood |
Davie |
|
 
| Davie |
Patton Morganton |
Davie |
|
insuffient: ( 2- 0)( 1- 1) |
Davie |
Pine Forest |
Davie |
|
 
| Davie |
Pine Lake Prep |
Davie |
|
tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) |
Davie |
Pinecrest |
Davie |
|
 
| Davie |
Porter Ridge |
Davie |
|
tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) |
Davie |
Providence |
Davie |
|
tied - ( 1- 1) ( 1- 1) |
Davie |
Providence Day |
Providence Day |
|
 
| Providence Day |
Queens Grant |
Davie |
|
 
| Davie |
Rabun Gap-Nocoochee |
Rabun Gap-Nocoochee |
|
 
| Rabun Gap-Nocoochee |
Ragsdale |
Davie |
|
Davie   6- 0 vs 2- 4 |
|
Ravenscroft School |
Davie |
|
 
| Davie |
Reagan |
Davie |
Davie |
 
| |
Riverside Durham |
Davie |
|
 
| Davie |
RJ Reynolds |
RJ Reynolds |
RJ Reynolds |
 
| |
Rolesville |
Davie |
|
 
| Davie |
Roxboro Community |
Davie |
|
 
| Davie |
Sanderson |
Davie |
|
 
| Davie |
Seaforth |
Davie |
|
 
| Davie |
South Brunswick |
Davie |
|
 
| Davie |
South Garner |
Davie |
|
 
| Davie |
South Iredell |
Davie |
Davie |
 
| |
South Mecklenburg |
Davie |
|
insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 0- 2) |
Davie |
South View |
Davie |
|
 
| Davie |
Southeast Alamance |
Davie |
|
 
| Davie |
Southeast Guilford |
Davie |
|
Davie   6- 0 vs 2- 4 |
|
Southern Alamance |
Davie |
|
tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) |
Davie |
Southlake Christian |
Davie |
|
tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) |
Davie |
Southwest Guilford |
Davie |
Davie |
 
| |
St Davids School |
Davie |
|
 
| Davie |
St Stephens |
Davie |
|
tied - ( 2- 0) ( 2- 0) |
Davie |
Sun Valley |
Davie |
|
tied - ( 1- 1) ( 1- 1) |
Davie |
Swansboro |
Davie |
|
 
| Davie |
TC Roberson |
Davie |
|
tied - ( 2- 0) ( 2- 0) |
Davie |
Terry Sanford |
Davie |
|
 
| Davie |
Topsail |
Topsail |
|
tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) |
Topsail |
Union Pines |
Davie |
|
 
| Davie |
Vance Charter |
Davie |
|
 
| Davie |
Voyager Academy |
Davie |
|
 
| Davie |
Wake Forest |
Davie |
|
 
| Davie |
Wake Prep |
Davie |
|
 
| Davie |
Wakefield |
Davie |
|
 
| Davie |
Walter M Williams |
Davie |
|
insuffient: ( 2- 0)( 1- 1) |
Davie |
Watauga |
Davie |
|
Davie   3- 0 vs 1- 1 |
|
Weddington |
Weddington |
|
insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 2- 0) |
Weddington |
West Brunswick |
Davie |
|
 
| Davie |
West Carteret |
Davie |
|
 
| Davie |
West Forsyth |
Davie |
Davie |
 
| |
West Stokes |
Davie |
|
Davie   3- 0 vs 1- 2 |
|
Western Alamance |
Davie |
|
 
| Davie |
Western Guilford |
Davie |
|
Davie   7- 0 vs 1- 6 |
|
Willow Spring |
Davie |
|
 
| Davie |
PowerWise = 114

division Games Only
Average number of games used in Games Correction = 17.93
Date Opponent (W-L PR) SCORE SAFE SAFE Home No Games SCI
Loss Win Field Correction Points
SLP SWP Advantage Factor
0 H Southwest Guil ( 2-17, 77.1) 18- 0 -22.76 11.05 -0.27 0.90 9.66
0 A Northern Guilf ( 9- 8, 88.8) 12- 8 -11.09 22.71 0.27 0.90 20.61
0 H Grimsley ( 9-12, 82.8) 18- 4 -17.12 16.69 -0.27 0.90 14.72
0 H Page (12-10, 87.5) 16- 8 -12.37 21.44 -0.27 0.90 18.98
0 H RJ Reynolds (19- 3, 92.5) 3-16 -7.36 26.45 -0.27 0.90 -6.85
0 A East Forsyth ( 6-14, 82.5) 16- 2 -17.38 16.43 0.27 0.90 14.97
0 H Reagan (12-12, 86.8) 15- 4 -13.13 20.68 -0.27 0.90 18.30
0 H North Davidson ( 5-13, 74.5) 19- 5 -25.37 8.44 -0.27 0.90 7.32
0 H Mount Tabor ( 5-14, 81.1) 19- 7 -18.81 15.00 -0.27 0.90 13.20
0 A West Forsyth (12-10, 84.0) 20- 3 -15.86 17.95 0.27 0.90 16.34
0 H Glenn ( 5-14, 79.4) 27- 0 -20.49 13.32 -0.27 0.90 11.70
0 H East Forsyth ( 6-14, 82.5) 15- 2 -17.38 16.43 -0.27 0.90 14.49
0 A RJ Reynolds (19- 3, 92.5) 7-12 -7.36 26.45 0.27 0.90 -6.36
0 A Reagan (12-12, 86.8) 14-11 -13.13 20.68 0.27 0.90 18.79
0 A South Iredell ( 0-18, 70.8) 24- 0 -29.06 4.75 0.27 0.90 4.50
0 H West Forsyth (12-10, 84.0) 15- 6 -15.86 17.95 -0.27 0.90 15.85
0 A Glenn ( 5-14, 79.4) 20- 0 -20.49 13.32 0.27 0.90 12.18
0 H Glenn ( 5-14, 79.4) 21- 2 -20.49 13.32 -0.27 0.90 11.70
0 H Reagan (12-12, 86.8) 12-10 -13.13 20.68 -0.27 0.90 18.30
0 H Ardrey Kell (16- 5, 94.0) 4-20 -5.86 27.95 -0.27 0.90 -5.50
------
222.91
|
winning pts = 241.6141 losing points = -18.7024
SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction. ------------------------------------------------------------------------
| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
------------------------------------------------------------------------