All ratings/rankings on this page are based on the state (not league) championships.
Conf =
GAME LIST
Team Power Rating = 81.4599991 home-field advantage = -0.64 Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 405 A Trumbull ( 9- 8, 78.4) 10- 5 408 H North Haven ( 5-11, 65.6) 18- 1 411 A Conard (16- 5, 80.9) 13-11 416 A Avon HS ( 4-12, 69.5) 19- 2 419 H Fairfield Ludlowe (15- 6, 87.1) 5-12 422 A Fairfield Prep (14- 6, 92.8) 2-20 424 A Amity Regional (10- 7, 74.8) 17- 4 429 A Notre Dame-West Haven (12- 8, 83.9) 6-11 501 A Weston ( 9-10, 74.4) 15- 5 503 H Joel Barlow (15- 6, 81.7) 6- 8 506 H Cheshire HS (15- 6, 86.5) 4- 7 508 H Xavier ( 6-10, 74.2) 10- 4 510 H New Fairfield (21- 2, 84.2) 5-15 513 H Hall ( 7- 9, 73.0) 15- 3 515 H Guilford (13- 8, 78.5) 11- 9 519 A Shelton ( 6-10, 64.9) 20- 4 524 H Guilford (13- 8, 78.5) 8- 5 527 A Fairfield Prep (14- 6, 92.8) 4-16 607 H RHAM (15- 5, 73.3) 19- 4 611 N Brookfield (12- 8, 75.3) 18- 5 614 N Guilford (13- 8, 78.5) 11-12
PREDICTION LIST
------------------------------------- |Real = actual goal margin | |Pred = predicted goal margin | |+ = slightly above prediction | |++ = above prediction | |+++ = well above prediction | |- = slightly below prediction | |-- = below prediction | |--- = well below prediction | |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) | | prediction. N/A when ten | | goal limit is exceeded | |n/a = Outside division | ------------------------------------- Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 405 A Trumbull 10- 5 5 2 + 2.60 408 H North Haven 18- 1 17 16 0.00 411 A Conard 13-11 2 0 + 2.13 416 A Avon HS 19- 2 17 11 0.00 419 H Fairfield Ludlowe 5-12 -7 -5 -1.96 422 A Fairfield Prep 2-20 -18 -12 0.00 424 A Amity Regional 17- 4 13 5 1.03 429 A Notre Dame-West Haven 6-11 -5 -3 -1.95 501 A Weston 15- 5 10 6 0.63 503 H Joel Barlow 6- 8 -2 0 - -2.40 506 H Cheshire HS 4- 7 -3 -4 1.43 508 H Xavier 10- 4 6 7 -1.00 510 H New Fairfield 5-15 -10 -2 -- -4.88 513 H Hall 15- 3 12 9 0.00 515 H Guilford 11- 9 2 3 -1.61 519 A Shelton 20- 4 16 15 0.00 524 H Guilford 8- 5 3 3 -0.61 527 A Fairfield Prep 4-16 -12 -12 0.00 607 H RHAM 19- 4 15 8 0.00 611 N Brookfield 18- 5 13 6 0.83 614 N Guilford 11-12 -1 2 - -3.97UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 510 H New Fairfield 5-15 -10 -2 -- -4.88 503 H Joel Barlow 6- 8 -2 0 - -2.40 614 N Guilford 11-12 -1 2 - -3.97OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 405 A Trumbull 10- 5 5 2 + 2.60 411 A Conard 13-11 2 0 + 2.13
RATING BASED ON POWER RATING Power Rating............. 81.46 Power Rank................. 15 SOS (PR) Rating.......... 55.58 SOS (PR) Rank.............. 14 SOS (RPI) Rating......... .7104 SOS (RPI) Rank............. 2 RPI Rating............... .6135 RPI Rank................... 13 Champ. Probability ...... 0.0 Championship Rank ......... 26 Selection sum ........... 36 Selection Rank ............ 8 Qual Win (PR) Rating..... -10. Qual Win (PR) Rank......... 20 Qual Win (RPI) Rating.... -10. Qual Win (RPI) Rank........ 21 PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING Ave Offensive Goals ..... 11.2 Ave Defensive Goals ....... 7.8 Wins/Losses(all )...... 13- 8 Ave Goal diff (all )..... 3.5 Wins/Losses(top 5)...... 0- 2 Ave Goal diff (top 5)..... -15.0 Wins/Losses(top 10)...... 0- 3 Ave Goal diff (top 10)..... -12.3 Wins/Losses(top 20)...... 4- 8 Ave Goal diff (top 20)..... -3.8 Wins/Losses(last 3)...... 2- 1 Ave Goal diff (last 3)..... 9.0