Chatfield
W-L: (11- 6) PR = 91.2620Schedule/Results All Games
Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 314 H Eaglecrest ( 8- 7, 83.6) 19- 1 326 A Dakota Ridge (14- 2, 91.2) 5-17 327 A Grandview ( 6-10, 89.0) 17-12 401 H Castle View ( 6- 8, 89.7) 6- 5 407 H Denver East (11- 6, 93.6) 9-11 409 H Fairview (11- 5, 91.7) 10-11 414 H Erie ( 5- 9, 87.3) 10- 5 416 H Poudre District (10- 6, 91.7) 7- 5 417 A Monarch ( 3-11, 86.6) 13- 8 421 A Ralston Valley (13- 3, 92.0) 12-16 423 A Columbine ( 6-10, 86.7) 15-10 425 H Mountain Range ( 3-12, 85.5) 15- 8 430 A Lakewood ( 8- 7, 89.6) 13- 8 502 H Chaparral ( 1-13, 79.8) 13- 4 503 A Rock Canyon ( 6- 9, 89.3) 7- 9 507 H Grandview ( 6-10, 89.0) 11- 5 510 A Colorado Academy (12- 4, 95.4) 6-16
PREDICTION LIST
-------------------------------------
|Real = actual goal margin |
|Pred = predicted goal margin |
|+ = slightly above prediction |
|++ = above prediction |
|+++ = well above prediction |
|- = slightly below prediction |
|-- = below prediction |
|--- = well below prediction |
|Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) |
| prediction. N/A when ten |
| goal limit is exceeded |
|n/a = Outside division |
-------------------------------------
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
314 H Eaglecrest 19- 1 18 8 0.00
326 A Dakota Ridge 5-17 -12 0 -- -4.68
327 A Grandview 17-12 5 2 + 3.15
401 H Castle View 6- 5 1 2 -0.97
407 H Denver East 9-11 -2 -2 -0.03
409 H Fairview 10-11 -1 0 -0.91
414 H Erie 10- 5 5 4 0.65
416 H Poudre District 7- 5 2 0 + 2.08
417 A Monarch 13- 8 5 4 0.72
421 A Ralston Valley 12-16 -4 -1 - -2.90
423 A Columbine 15-10 5 4 0.82
425 H Mountain Range 15- 8 7 6 0.00
430 A Lakewood 13- 8 5 1 + 3.70
502 H Chaparral 13- 4 9 12 0.00
503 A Rock Canyon 7- 9 -2 2 - -3.55
507 H Grandview 11- 5 6 3 + 2.42
510 A Colorado Academy 6-16 -10 -5 -0.46
|
UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 326 A Dakota Ridge 5-17 -12 0 -- -4.68 421 A Ralston Valley 12-16 -4 -1 - -2.90 503 A Rock Canyon 7- 9 -2 2 - -3.55 |
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 327 A Grandview 17-12 5 2 + 3.15 416 H Poudre District 7- 5 2 0 + 2.08 430 A Lakewood 13- 8 5 1 + 3.70 507 H Grandview 11- 5 6 3 + 2.42 |
Chatfield Evaluation
The team that earns the point in the pair-wise comparison is based on three criteria:
first is head-to-head, the winner gets the point, however, if they did not play each
other, than it considers w-l versus common opponents. If their records are tied or they
have no common opponents, than the tie-breaker becomes the better power rating.
The Common Opponent Point list in the table below has the record of the winner followed by the
record of the loser for all common opponents
| Opponent | Who Gets the Point? | Head-2-Head Point |
Common Opponent Point |
Power Rating Point |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Air Academy | Chatfield | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Chatfield | |
| Arapahoe | Arapahoe | Arapahoe 5- 1 vs 3- 3 | ||
| Arvada West | Chatfield | Chatfield 3- 1 vs 0- 4 | ||
| Aspen | Chatfield | Chatfield | ||
| Battle Mountain | Chatfield | Chatfield | ||
| Boulder | Chatfield | insuffient: ( 4- 1)( 3- 2) | Chatfield | |
| Castle View | Chatfield | Chatfield | ||
| Chaparral | Chatfield | Chatfield | ||
| Cherokee Trail | Cherokee Trail | tied - ( 5- 4) ( 5- 4) | Cherokee Trail | |
| Cherry Creek | Cherry Creek | Cherry Creek 5- 0 vs 3- 2 | ||
| Cheyenne Mountain | Chatfield | tied - ( 1- 1) ( 1- 1) | Chatfield | |
| Colorado Academy | Colorado Academy | Colorado Academy | ||
| Columbine | Chatfield | Chatfield | ||
| Conifer | Chatfield | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Chatfield | |
| Crested Butte | Chatfield | Chatfield | ||
| Dakota Ridge | Dakota Ridge | Dakota Ridge | ||
| Denver East | Denver East | Denver East | ||
| Denver North | Chatfield | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Chatfield | |
| Denver South | Chatfield | tied - ( 1- 3) ( 1- 3) | Chatfield | |
| Douglas County | Chatfield | Chatfield 4- 0 vs 1- 3 | ||
| Durango | Chatfield | Chatfield | ||
| Eagle Valley | Chatfield | Chatfield | ||
| Eaglecrest | Chatfield | Chatfield | ||
| Erie | Chatfield | Chatfield | ||
| Evergreen | Chatfield | tied - ( 0- 2) ( 0- 2) | Chatfield | |
| Fairview | Fairview | Fairview | ||
| Fountain Valley | Chatfield | Chatfield | ||
| Fruita Monument | Chatfield | Chatfield | ||
| Glenwood Springs | Chatfield | Chatfield | ||
| Golden | Chatfield | insuffient: ( 2- 2)( 1- 3) | Chatfield | |
| Grand Junction | Chatfield | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Chatfield | |
| Grandview | Chatfield | Chatfield | ||
| Green Mountain | Chatfield | insuffient: ( 1- 2)( 0- 3) | Chatfield | |
| Heritage | Chatfield | insuffient: ( 3- 0)( 2- 1) | Chatfield | |
| Holy Family | Chatfield | Chatfield | ||
| Jefferson Academy | Chatfield | Chatfield | ||
| Kent Denver | Chatfield | insuffient: ( 2- 3)( 1- 4) | Chatfield | |
| Lakewood | Chatfield | Chatfield | ||
| Legend | Legend | Legend 6- 0 vs 4- 2 | ||
| Lewis Palmer | Chatfield | insuffient: ( 3- 1)( 2- 2) | Chatfield | |
| Littleton | Chatfield | Chatfield | ||
| Lutheran | Chatfield | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Chatfield | |
| Middle Park | Chatfield | Chatfield | ||
| Monarch | Chatfield | Chatfield | ||
| Montrose | Chatfield | Chatfield | ||
| Mountain Range | Chatfield | Chatfield | ||
| Mountain Vista | Mountain Vista | Mountain Vista 5- 1 vs 3- 3 | ||
| Mullen | Chatfield | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Chatfield | |
| Northfield | Chatfield | tied - ( 3- 3) ( 3- 3) | Chatfield | |
| Palmer | Chatfield | Chatfield | ||
| Pine Creek | Chatfield | Chatfield 4- 2 vs 2- 4 | ||
| Ponderosa | Chatfield | Chatfield 2- 0 vs 0- 2 | ||
| Poudre District | Chatfield | Chatfield | ||
| Prairie View | Chatfield | Chatfield | ||
| Pueblo West | Chatfield | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Chatfield | |
| Ralston Valley | Ralston Valley | Ralston Valley | ||
| Rangeview | Chatfield | Chatfield | ||
| Regis Jesuit | Regis Jesuit | Regis Jesuit 5- 0 vs 3- 2 | ||
| Resurrection Christi | Chatfield | insuffient: ( 3- 1)( 2- 2) | Chatfield | |
| Rock Canyon | Rock Canyon | Rock Canyon | ||
| Smoky Hill | Chatfield | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Chatfield | |
| St Marys HS | Chatfield | Chatfield | ||
| Steamboat Springs | Chatfield | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Chatfield | |
| Summit | Chatfield | Chatfield | ||
| Telluride | Chatfield | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Chatfield | |
| Thomas Jefferson | Chatfield | Chatfield | ||
| Thompson Valley | Chatfield | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Chatfield | |
| ThunderRidge | Chatfield | Chatfield 4- 1 vs 1- 4 | ||
| Vail Mountain | Chatfield | Chatfield | ||
| Valor Christian | Valor Christian | Valor Christian 5- 0 vs 2- 3 | ||
| Vanguard School | Chatfield | Chatfield | ||
| Windsor | Chatfield | Chatfield 2- 1 vs 0- 3 |
PowerWise = 59
division Games OnlyAverage number of games used in Games Correction = 15.04
Date Opponent (W-L PR) SCORE SAFE SAFE Home No Games SCI
Loss Win Field Correction Points
SLP SWP Advantage Factor
0 H Eaglecrest ( 8- 7, 83.6) 19- 1 -16.28 17.22 -0.37 0.88 14.91
0 A Dakota Ridge (14- 2, 91.2) 5-17 -8.69 24.81 0.37 0.88 -7.36
0 A Grandview ( 6-10, 89.0) 17-12 -10.85 22.65 0.37 0.88 20.37
0 H Castle View ( 6- 8, 89.7) 6- 5 -10.24 23.26 -0.37 0.88 20.26
0 H Denver East (11- 6, 93.6) 9-11 -6.30 27.20 -0.37 0.88 -5.90
0 H Fairview (11- 5, 91.7) 10-11 -8.18 25.33 -0.37 0.88 -7.56
0 H Erie ( 5- 9, 87.3) 10- 5 -12.62 20.88 -0.37 0.88 18.15
0 H Poudre Distric (10- 6, 91.7) 7- 5 -8.19 25.31 -0.37 0.88 22.07
0 A Monarch ( 3-11, 86.6) 13- 8 -13.29 20.21 0.37 0.88 18.21
0 A Ralston Valley (13- 3, 92.0) 12-16 -7.91 25.59 0.37 0.88 -6.67
0 A Columbine ( 6-10, 86.7) 15-10 -13.19 20.32 0.37 0.88 18.30
0 H Mountain Range ( 3-12, 85.5) 15- 8 -14.37 19.13 -0.37 0.88 16.60
0 A Lakewood ( 8- 7, 89.6) 13- 8 -10.31 23.19 0.37 0.88 20.85
0 H Chaparral ( 1-13, 79.8) 13- 4 -20.09 13.42 -0.37 0.88 11.54
0 A Rock Canyon ( 6- 9, 89.3) 7- 9 -10.56 22.94 0.37 0.88 -9.02
0 H Grandview ( 6-10, 89.0) 11- 5 -10.85 22.65 -0.37 0.88 19.72
0 A Colorado Acade (12- 4, 95.4) 6-16 -4.46 29.04 0.37 0.88 -3.62
------
160.84
|
winning pts = 200.9716 losing points = -40.1331
SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.
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| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
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