Catoctin
W-L: ( 9- 5) PR = 83.4857Schedule/Results All Games
Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 321 A Liberty ( 8- 8, 84.5) 8-12 325 H Gov Thomas Johnson ( 0-12, 73.7) 18- 0 329 A St Johns Catholic Pr ( 5- 7, 82.4) 13-11 403 H Brunswick ( 4- 8, 78.8) 18- 3 407 H North Hagerstown ( 4- 9, 76.7) 13- 4 408 A Boonsboro ( 9- 5, 83.2) 11- 8 410 A Smithsburg ( 8- 5, 83.3) 10-11 415 A South Hagerstown ( 5- 7, 76.0) 17- 2 417 H Walkersville (10- 4, 86.2) 9- 8 422 H Middletown (12- 4, 87.3) 4-17 424 H Francis Scott Key ( 2-10, 80.3) 17- 3 429 H Oakdale ( 4-10, 81.5) 9-12 501 A South Carroll ( 4-10, 83.9) 11-10 509 A Middletown (12- 4, 87.3) 7-21
PREDICTION LIST
-------------------------------------
|Real = actual goal margin |
|Pred = predicted goal margin |
|+ = slightly above prediction |
|++ = above prediction |
|+++ = well above prediction |
|- = slightly below prediction |
|-- = below prediction |
|--- = well below prediction |
|Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) |
| prediction. N/A when ten |
| goal limit is exceeded |
|n/a = Outside division |
-------------------------------------
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
321 A Liberty 8-12 -4 -1 - -2.52
325 H Gov Thomas Johnson 18- 0 18 10 0.00
329 A St Johns Catholic Pr 13-11 2 1 1.33
403 H Brunswick 18- 3 15 5 0.00
407 H North Hagerstown 13- 4 9 7 0.00
408 A Boonsboro 11- 8 3 0 + 3.21
410 A Smithsburg 10-11 -1 0 -0.70
415 A South Hagerstown 17- 2 15 7 0.00
417 H Walkersville 9- 8 1 -2 + 3.26
422 H Middletown 4-17 -13 -3 -1.59
424 H Francis Scott Key 17- 3 14 4 1.33
429 H Oakdale 9-12 -3 2 -- -5.39
501 A South Carroll 11-10 1 -1 1.87
509 A Middletown 7-21 -14 -4 -0.70
|
UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 429 H Oakdale 9-12 -3 2 -- -5.39 321 A Liberty 8-12 -4 -1 - -2.52 |
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 408 A Boonsboro 11- 8 3 0 + 3.21 417 H Walkersville 9- 8 1 -2 + 3.26 |
Catoctin Evaluation
The team that earns the point in the pair-wise comparison is based on three criteria:
first is head-to-head, the winner gets the point, however, if they did not play each
other, than it considers w-l versus common opponents. If their records are tied or they
have no common opponents, than the tie-breaker becomes the better power rating.
The Common Opponent Point list in the table below has the record of the winner followed by the
record of the loser for all common opponents
| Opponent | Who Gets the Point? | Head-2-Head Point |
Common Opponent Point |
Power Rating Point |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Annapolis Area Chris | Catoctin | Catoctin | ||
| Archbishop Curley | Archbishop Curley | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | Archbishop Curley | |
| Archbishop Spalding | Archbishop Spalding | Archbishop Spalding | ||
| Beth TFiloh | Catoctin | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Catoctin | |
| Bishop McNamara | Catoctin | Catoctin | ||
| Boys Latin | Boys Latin | Boys Latin | ||
| Bullis | Bullis | Bullis | ||
| Calvert Hall | Calvert Hall | Calvert Hall | ||
| Chapelgate Christian | Catoctin | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Catoctin | |
| Concordia Prep | Concordia Prep | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | Concordia Prep | |
| Cristo Rey Jesuit | Catoctin | Catoctin | ||
| DeMatha | DeMatha | DeMatha | ||
| FCA LC | Catoctin | Catoctin | ||
| Friends | Catoctin | Catoctin | ||
| Garrett County LC | Catoctin | Catoctin | ||
| Georgetown Day | Catoctin | Catoctin | ||
| Georgetown Prep | Georgetown Prep | Georgetown Prep | ||
| Gerstell Academy | Gerstell Academy | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | Gerstell Academy | |
| Gilman | Gilman | Gilman | ||
| Glenelg Country | Catoctin | Catoctin | ||
| Gonzaga | Gonzaga | Gonzaga | ||
| Good Counsel | Good Counsel | Good Counsel | ||
| Gunston School | Catoctin | Catoctin | ||
| Heights | Heights | Heights | ||
| Indian Creek School | Catoctin | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Catoctin | |
| Jemicy School | Catoctin | Catoctin | ||
| John Carroll | John Carroll | John Carroll | ||
| Key School | Catoctin | Catoctin | ||
| Landon | Landon | Landon | ||
| Loyola-Blakefield | Loyola-Blakefield | Loyola-Blakefield | ||
| Maret | Catoctin | Catoctin | ||
| McDonogh | McDonogh | McDonogh | ||
| Mercersburg Academy | Mercersburg Academy | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | Mercersburg Academy | |
| Mount Carmel | Catoctin | Catoctin | ||
| Mount St Joseph | Mount St Joseph | Mount St Joseph | ||
| Park School | Catoctin | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Catoctin | |
| Salisbury School | Catoctin | Catoctin | ||
| Sandy Spring Friends | Catoctin | Catoctin | ||
| Severn School | Severn School | Severn School | ||
| Sidwell Friends | Sidwell Friends | Sidwell Friends | ||
| St Albans | St Albans | St Albans | ||
| St Andrews Episcopal | St Andrews Episcopal | St Andrews Episcopal | ||
| St James | St James | insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 2- 0) | St James | |
| St Johns Catholic Pr | Catoctin | Catoctin | ||
| St Johns College HS | St Johns College HS | St Johns College HS | ||
| St Marys Annapolis | St Marys Annapolis | St Marys Annapolis | ||
| St Marys Ryken | St Marys Ryken | St Marys Ryken | ||
| St Pauls | St Pauls | St Pauls | ||
| St Vincent Pallotti | Catoctin | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Catoctin | |
| Sts Peter & Paul | Sts Peter & Paul | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | Sts Peter & Paul | |
| Tome School | Catoctin | Catoctin | ||
| Worcester Prep | Worcester Prep | Worcester Prep | ||
| Aberdeen | Catoctin | Catoctin | ||
| Academy for College | Catoctin | Catoctin | ||
| Annapolis | Annapolis | Annapolis | ||
| Arundel | Catoctin | Catoctin | ||
| Atholton | Catoctin | Catoctin | ||
| Baltimore Polytechni | Catoctin | Catoctin | ||
| Bel Air | Bel Air | Bel Air | ||
| Bethesda-Chevy Chase | Catoctin | Catoctin | ||
| Bladensburg | Catoctin | Catoctin | ||
| Blair | Catoctin | Catoctin | ||
| Blake | Catoctin | Catoctin | ||
| Bohemia Manor | Catoctin | Catoctin | ||
| Boonsboro | Catoctin | Catoctin | ||
| Bowie | Catoctin | Catoctin | ||
| Broadneck | Broadneck | Broadneck | ||
| Brunswick | Catoctin | Catoctin | ||
| Calvert | Catoctin | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Catoctin | |
| Cambridge SD | Catoctin | Catoctin | ||
| Carver A&T | Catoctin | Catoctin | ||
| Catonsville | Catonsville | Catonsville | ||
| Centennial | Centennial | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Centennial | |
| Century | Century | insuffient: ( 3- 1)( 4- 0) | Century | |
| CH Flowers | Catoctin | Catoctin | ||
| Chesapeake AA | Chesapeake AA | Chesapeake AA | ||
| Chesapeake BC | Catoctin | Catoctin | ||
| Chopticon | Chopticon | Chopticon | ||
| City College | Catoctin | Catoctin | ||
| Clarksburg | Catoctin | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | Catoctin | |
| CM Wright | CM Wright | CM Wright | ||
| Crofton | Crofton | Crofton | ||
| Damascus | Damascus | Damascus | ||
| Digital Harbor | Catoctin | Catoctin | ||
| Dr Henry Wise | Catoctin | Catoctin | ||
| Dulaney | Dulaney | Dulaney | ||
| Dunbar | Catoctin | Catoctin | ||
| Dundalk | Catoctin | Catoctin | ||
| DuVal | Catoctin | Catoctin | ||
| Eastern Tech | Catoctin | Catoctin | ||
| Easton | Easton | Easton | ||
| Edgewood | Catoctin | Catoctin | ||
| Edmondson-Westside | Catoctin | Catoctin | ||
| Einstein | Catoctin | Catoctin | ||
| Eleanor Roosevelt | Catoctin | Catoctin | ||
| Elkton | Catoctin | Catoctin | ||
| Fairmont Heights | Catoctin | Catoctin | ||
| Fallston | Fallston | insuffient: ( 0- 2)( 1- 0) | Fallston | |
| Forest Park | Catoctin | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Catoctin | |
| Francis Scott Key | Catoctin | Catoctin | ||
| Franklin | Catoctin | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | Catoctin | |
| Frederick | Catoctin | Catoctin 7- 2 vs 1- 8 | ||
| Frederick Douglass B | Catoctin | Catoctin | ||
| Frederick Douglass P | Catoctin | Catoctin | ||
| Friendly | Catoctin | Catoctin | ||
| Gaithersburg | Catoctin | Catoctin | ||
| Glen Burnie | Catoctin | Catoctin | ||
| Glenelg HS | Glenelg HS | Glenelg HS | ||
| Gov Thomas Johnson | Catoctin | Catoctin | ||
| Great Mills | Catoctin | Catoctin | ||
| Guilford Park | Catoctin | Catoctin | ||
| Gwynn Park | Catoctin | Catoctin | ||
| Hammond | Catoctin | Catoctin | ||
| Harford Tech | Catoctin | Catoctin | ||
| Havre De Grace | Catoctin | Catoctin | ||
| Hereford | Hereford | Hereford | ||
| High Point | Catoctin | Catoctin | ||
| Howard | Howard | Howard | ||
| Huntingtown | Huntingtown | Huntingtown | ||
| JM Bennett | JM Bennett | JM Bennett | ||
| Joppatowne | Catoctin | Catoctin | ||
| Kennedy | Catoctin | Catoctin | ||
| Kent County | Catoctin | Catoctin | ||
| Kent Island | Kent Island | Kent Island | ||
| Kenwood | Catoctin | Catoctin | ||
| La Plata | Catoctin | Catoctin | ||
| Lackey | Catoctin | Catoctin | ||
| Lake Clifton | Catoctin | Catoctin | ||
| Lansdowne | Catoctin | Catoctin | ||
| Laurel | Catoctin | Catoctin | ||
| Leonardtown | Leonardtown | Leonardtown | ||
| Liberty | Liberty | Liberty | ||
| Linganore | Linganore | Linganore 8- 0 vs 5- 3 | ||
| Loch Raven | Catoctin | Catoctin | ||
| Long Reach | Catoctin | Catoctin | ||
| Magruder | Catoctin | Catoctin | ||
| Manchester Valley | Manchester Valley | Manchester Valley 5- 0 vs 2- 3 | ||
| Marriotts Ridge | Marriotts Ridge | insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 2- 0) | Marriotts Ridge | |
| Meade | Catoctin | Catoctin | ||
| Mergenthaler | Catoctin | Catoctin | ||
| Middletown | Middletown | Middletown | ||
| Milford Mill | Catoctin | Catoctin | ||
| MJ McDonough | Catoctin | Catoctin | ||
| Mount Hebron | Mount Hebron | Mount Hebron | ||
| National Academy Fou | Catoctin | Catoctin | ||
| New Town | Catoctin | Catoctin | ||
| North Caroline | Catoctin | Catoctin | ||
| North County | Catoctin | Catoctin | ||
| North Dorchester | Catoctin | Catoctin | ||
| North East Cecil | Catoctin | Catoctin | ||
| North Hagerstown | Catoctin | Catoctin | ||
| North Harford | North Harford | North Harford | ||
| North Point | Catoctin | Catoctin | ||
| Northeast AA | Northeast AA | Northeast AA | ||
| Northern Calvert | Northern Calvert | Northern Calvert | ||
| Northwest | Catoctin | Catoctin | ||
| Northwestern PG | Catoctin | Catoctin | ||
| Northwood | Catoctin | Catoctin | ||
| Oakdale | Oakdale | Oakdale | ||
| Oakland Mills | Catoctin | Catoctin | ||
| Old Mill | Catoctin | Catoctin | ||
| Overlea | Catoctin | Catoctin | ||
| Owings Mills | Catoctin | Catoctin | ||
| Oxon Hill | Catoctin | Catoctin | ||
| Paint Branch | Catoctin | Catoctin | ||
| Parkdale | Catoctin | Catoctin | ||
| Parkside | Parkside | Parkside | ||
| Parkville | Catoctin | Catoctin | ||
| Patapsco | Catoctin | Catoctin | ||
| Patterson HS | Catoctin | Catoctin | ||
| Patterson Mill | Catoctin | Catoctin | ||
| Patuxent | Catoctin | Catoctin | ||
| Perry Hall | Catoctin | Catoctin | ||
| Perryville | Catoctin | Catoctin | ||
| Pikesville | Catoctin | Catoctin | ||
| Poolesville | Catoctin | Catoctin | ||
| Queen Annes County | Queen Annes County | Queen Annes County | ||
| Quince Orchard | Catoctin | Catoctin | ||
| Randallstown | Catoctin | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Catoctin | |
| Reginald F Lewis | Catoctin | Catoctin | ||
| Reservoir | Catoctin | Catoctin | ||
| Richard Montgomery | Catoctin | Catoctin | ||
| Rising Sun | Catoctin | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Catoctin | |
| River Hill | River Hill | River Hill | ||
| Rockville | Catoctin | Catoctin | ||
| Seneca Valley | Catoctin | Catoctin | ||
| Severn Run | Catoctin | Catoctin | ||
| Severna Park | Severna Park | Severna Park | ||
| Sherwood | Sherwood | Sherwood | ||
| Smithsburg | Smithsburg | Smithsburg | ||
| South Carroll | Catoctin | Catoctin | ||
| South Hagerstown | Catoctin | Catoctin | ||
| South River | South River | South River | ||
| Southern AA | Catoctin | Catoctin | ||
| Sparrows Point | Sparrows Point | Sparrows Point | ||
| Springbrook | Catoctin | Catoctin | ||
| St Charles | Catoctin | Catoctin | ||
| Stephen Decatur | Stephen Decatur | Stephen Decatur | ||
| Suitland | Catoctin | Catoctin | ||
| Surrattsville | Catoctin | Catoctin | ||
| Thomas Stone | Catoctin | Catoctin | ||
| Towson | Towson | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | Towson | |
| Tuscarora | Catoctin | Catoctin | ||
| Urbana | Urbana | Urbana 3- 0 vs 1- 2 | ||
| Walkersville | Catoctin | Catoctin | ||
| Walt Whitman | Walt Whitman | Walt Whitman | ||
| Walter Johnson | Catoctin | Catoctin | ||
| Watkins Mill | Catoctin | Catoctin | ||
| Western STES | Catoctin | Catoctin | ||
| Westlake | Catoctin | Catoctin | ||
| Westminster | Westminster | insuffient: ( 2- 1)( 3- 0) | Westminster | |
| Wheaton | Catoctin | Catoctin | ||
| Wicomico | Catoctin | Catoctin | ||
| Wilde Lake | Catoctin | Catoctin | ||
| Winston Churchill | Winston Churchill | Winston Churchill | ||
| Winters Mill | Catoctin | tied - ( 3- 3) ( 3- 3) | Catoctin | |
| Woodlawn | Catoctin | Catoctin | ||
| Wootton | Catoctin | Catoctin | ||
| Archbishop Carroll | Catoctin | Catoctin | ||
| DC International PCS | Catoctin | Catoctin | ||
| Jackson Reed | Catoctin | Catoctin |
PowerWise = 146
division Games OnlyAverage number of games used in Games Correction = 12.14
Date Opponent (W-L PR) SCORE SAFE SAFE Home No Games SCI
Loss Win Field Correction Points
SLP SWP Advantage Factor
0 A Liberty ( 8- 8, 84.5) 8-12 -15.38 20.21 0.45 0.87 -12.95
0 H Gov Thomas Joh ( 0-12, 73.7) 18- 0 -26.23 9.36 -0.45 0.87 7.73
0 A St Johns Catho ( 5- 7, 82.4) 13-11 -17.53 18.06 0.45 0.87 16.04
0 H Brunswick ( 4- 8, 78.8) 18- 3 -21.07 14.52 -0.45 0.87 12.20
0 H North Hagersto ( 4- 9, 76.7) 13- 4 -23.24 12.35 -0.45 0.87 10.32
0 A Boonsboro ( 9- 5, 83.2) 11- 8 -16.65 18.94 0.45 0.87 16.80
0 A Smithsburg ( 8- 5, 83.3) 10-11 -16.56 19.03 0.45 0.87 -13.97
0 A South Hagersto ( 5- 7, 76.0) 17- 2 -23.87 11.72 0.45 0.87 10.55
0 H Walkersville (10- 4, 86.2) 9- 8 -13.71 21.89 -0.45 0.87 18.59
0 H Middletown (12- 4, 87.3) 4-17 -12.56 23.03 -0.45 0.87 -11.27
0 H Francis Scott ( 2-10, 80.3) 17- 3 -19.63 15.96 -0.45 0.87 13.45
0 H Oakdale ( 4-10, 81.5) 9-12 -18.36 17.23 -0.45 0.87 -16.30
0 A South Carroll ( 4-10, 83.9) 11-10 -15.99 19.60 0.45 0.87 17.38
0 A Middletown (12- 4, 87.3) 7-21 -12.56 23.03 0.45 0.87 -10.50
------
58.06
|
winning pts = 123.0498 losing points = -64.9899
SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.
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| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
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