---    UPDATED: 07-28-25 23:59 PDT

safe3step boys Chisago Lakes 1
  
Chisago Lakes         
W-L: ( 7- 8) PR = 90.5538

Schedule/Results All Games

Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 411 A Farmington (14- 1, 97.9) 2-12 415 A Becker ( 4-11, 84.4) 15-11 422 H Hill-Murray (13- 1, 94.0) 11-12 424 A Duluth East/Denfield ( 7- 7, 90.4) 11-10 429 H Rogers (10- 4, 92.7) 8-10 501 H Big Lake/Princeton ( 6- 7, 84.5) 18- 6 503 A Minnetonka (14- 5, 97.3) 5-18 506 H Monticello ( 8- 7, 88.8) 13- 8 512 H Anoka (12- 3, 92.4) 5-16 516 A Andover (12- 3, 92.5) 12-14 519 H Hastings ( 7- 7, 89.1) 16- 3 521 H Forest Lake ( 1-13, 85.0) 14- 8 522 A Mounds View ( 7- 7, 93.0) 4-15 527 H Grand Rapids/Greenwa ( 6- 7, 84.7) 17- 6 529 A Centennial (10- 4, 93.3) 8-18

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction. N/A when ten  |
               |         goal limit is exceeded    |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   411 A Farmington              2-12     -10    -8           0.00
   415 A Becker                 15-11       4     5          -1.00
   422 H Hill-Murray            11-12      -1    -3           1.70
   424 A Duluth East/Denfield   11-10       1    -1           1.60
   429 H Rogers                  8-10      -2    -1          -0.62
   501 H Big Lake/Princeton     18- 6      12     7           0.00
   503 A Minnetonka              5-18     -13    -8           0.00
   506 H Monticello             13- 8       5     2    +      2.50
   512 H Anoka                   5-16     -11    -1    -     -3.94
   516 A Andover                12-14      -2    -3           0.73
   519 H Hastings               16- 3      13     2    +      2.82
   521 H Forest Lake            14- 8       6     6           0.00
   522 A Mounds View             4-15     -11    -3          -1.84
   527 H Grand Rapids/Greenwa   17- 6      11     7           0.00
   529 A Centennial              8-18     -10    -4          -1.49

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   512 H Anoka                   5-16     -11    -1    -     -3.94

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   506 H Monticello             13- 8       5     2    +      2.50
   519 H Hastings               16- 3      13     2    +      2.82

Chisago Lakes Evaluation

The team that earns the point in the pair-wise comparison is based on three criteria: 
first is head-to-head, the winner gets the point, however, if they did not play each
other, than it considers w-l versus common opponents. If their records are tied or they
have no common opponents, than the tie-breaker becomes the better power rating.
The Common Opponent Point list in the table below has the record of the winner followed by the
record of the loser for all common opponents
Opponent Who Gets
the Point?
Head-2-Head
Point
Common Opponent
Point
Power Rating
Point
Andover Andover Andover  
Anoka Anoka Anoka  
Becker Chisago Lakes Chisago Lakes  
Benilde-St Margarets Benilde-St Margarets insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Benilde-St Margarets
Big Lake/Princeton Chisago Lakes Chisago Lakes  
Blaine Blaine insuffient: ( 1- 4)( 2- 3) Blaine
Blake School Chisago Lakes insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Chisago Lakes
Bloomington Jefferso Bloomington Jefferso tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Bloomington Jefferso
Bloomington Kennedy/ Chisago Lakes   Chisago Lakes
Brainerd Chisago Lakes Chisago Lakes   4- 0 vs 2- 2
Breck School Chisago Lakes tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Chisago Lakes
Buffalo Buffalo tied - ( 1- 1) ( 1- 1) Buffalo
Centennial Centennial Centennial  
Champlin Park Champlin Park tied - ( 1- 4) ( 1- 4) Champlin Park
Chanhassen Chanhassen tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Chanhassen
Chaska Chisago Lakes   Chisago Lakes
Cloquet/Esko/Carlton Chisago Lakes Chisago Lakes   3- 0 vs 0- 3
Cretin-Derham Hall Cretin-Derham Hall insuffient: ( 2- 2)( 3- 1) Cretin-Derham Hall
Delano/Rockford Chisago Lakes tied - ( 2- 0) ( 2- 0) Chisago Lakes
Duluth East/Denfield Chisago Lakes Chisago Lakes  
Duluth Marshall Chisago Lakes Chisago Lakes   3- 0 vs 0- 3
Eagan Chisago Lakes tied - ( 1- 1) ( 1- 1) Chisago Lakes
East Ridge East Ridge insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 2- 0) East Ridge
Eastview/Apple Valle Eastview/Apple Valle insuffient: ( 1- 2)( 0- 3) Eastview/Apple Valle
Eden Prairie Eden Prairie insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Eden Prairie
Edina Edina Edina   2- 0 vs 0- 2
Elk River/Zimmerman Chisago Lakes tied - ( 2- 3) ( 2- 3) Chisago Lakes
Farmington Farmington Farmington  
Forest Lake Chisago Lakes Chisago Lakes  
Grand Rapids/Greenwa Chisago Lakes Chisago Lakes  
Hastings Chisago Lakes Chisago Lakes  
Hermantown/Proctor Chisago Lakes insuffient: ( 2- 1)( 1- 2) Chisago Lakes
Hill-Murray Hill-Murray Hill-Murray  
Holy Angels Chisago Lakes tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Chisago Lakes
Holy Family Catholic Chisago Lakes tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Chisago Lakes
Hopkins/St Louis Par Chisago Lakes tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Chisago Lakes
Hutchinson Chisago Lakes insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 0- 2) Chisago Lakes
Irondale Irondale tied - ( 2- 2) ( 2- 2) Irondale
Lakeville North Lakeville North insuffient: ( 0- 2)( 1- 1) Lakeville North
Lakeville South Lakeville South tied - ( 0- 2) ( 0- 2) Lakeville South
Mahtomedi Mahtomedi tied - ( 2- 2) ( 2- 2) Mahtomedi
Mankato United Chisago Lakes tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Chisago Lakes
Maple Grove Chisago Lakes tied - ( 0- 3) ( 0- 3) Chisago Lakes
Minneapolis United Chisago Lakes tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Chisago Lakes
Minnetonka Minnetonka Minnetonka  
Monticello Chisago Lakes Chisago Lakes  
Moorhead Moorhead tied - ( 3- 1) ( 3- 1) Moorhead
Mound Westonka Chisago Lakes   Chisago Lakes
Mounds View Mounds View Mounds View  
New Prague New Prague   New Prague
Northfield Chisago Lakes tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Chisago Lakes
Orono Orono tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Orono
Osseo/Park Center Chisago Lakes insuffient: ( 1- 2)( 0- 3) Chisago Lakes
Owatonna Chisago Lakes tied - ( 0- 2) ( 0- 2) Chisago Lakes
Park Cottage Grove Chisago Lakes insuffient: ( 2- 1)( 1- 2) Chisago Lakes
Prior Lake Prior Lake tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Prior Lake
Providence Academy Chisago Lakes tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) Chisago Lakes
Robbinsdale Armstron Chisago Lakes tied - ( 0- 3) ( 0- 3) Chisago Lakes
Rochester United Chisago Lakes insuffient: ( 1- 2)( 0- 3) Chisago Lakes
Rocori Chisago Lakes Chisago Lakes   3- 1 vs 1- 3
Rogers Rogers Rogers  
Rosemount Rosemount tied - ( 1- 1) ( 1- 1) Rosemount
Roseville Chisago Lakes tied - ( 1- 3) ( 1- 3) Chisago Lakes
Sartell/Sauk Rapids Chisago Lakes insuffient: ( 3- 1)( 2- 2) Chisago Lakes
Shakopee Shakopee tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Shakopee
Simley Chisago Lakes insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 0- 2) Chisago Lakes
Southwest Christian Chisago Lakes   Chisago Lakes
Spring Lake Park/Coo Chisago Lakes insuffient: ( 2- 3)( 1- 4) Chisago Lakes
St Cloud Unified Chisago Lakes Chisago Lakes   4- 0 vs 0- 4
St Michael-Albertvil St Michael-Albertvil tied - ( 1- 3) ( 1- 3) St Michael-Albertvil
St Paul/Two Rivers Chisago Lakes tied - ( 1- 1) ( 1- 1) Chisago Lakes
St Thomas Academy St Thomas Academy tied - ( 1- 1) ( 1- 1) St Thomas Academy
Stillwater Stillwater Stillwater   3- 0 vs 1- 2
Totino Grace Chisago Lakes tied - ( 0- 2) ( 0- 2) Chisago Lakes
TriMAC Academy Chisago Lakes insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Chisago Lakes
Waconia Chisago Lakes   Chisago Lakes
Wayzata Wayzata tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Wayzata
White Bear Lake White Bear Lake White Bear Lake   4- 0 vs 2- 2
Woodbury Woodbury insuffient: ( 2- 1)( 3- 0) Woodbury

PowerWise = 44


division Games Only
Average number of games used in Games Correction = 14.62

 Date  Opponent          (W-L  PR)      SCORE       SAFE        SAFE       Home       No Games           SCI              
                                                    Loss        Win       Field      Correction         Points            
                                                    SLP         SWP     Advantage      Factor                       
                                                      
   0 A Farmington      (14- 1, 97.9)     2-12       -2.04      23.03       0.74         0.98            -1.27
   0 A Becker          ( 4-11, 84.4)    15-11      -15.54       9.53       0.74         0.98            10.01
   0 H Hill-Murray     (13- 1, 94.0)    11-12       -5.91      19.16      -0.74         0.98            -6.48
   0 A Duluth East/De  ( 7- 7, 90.4)    11-10       -9.49      15.58       0.74         0.98            15.91
   0 H Rogers          (10- 4, 92.7)     8-10       -7.22      17.85      -0.74         0.98            -7.76
   0 H Big Lake/Princ  ( 6- 7, 84.5)    18- 6      -15.41       9.66      -0.74         0.98             8.69
   0 A Minnetonka      (14- 5, 97.3)     5-18       -2.57      22.50       0.74         0.98            -1.78
   0 H Monticello      ( 8- 7, 88.8)    13- 8      -11.10      13.96      -0.74         0.98            12.89
   0 H Anoka           (12- 3, 92.4)     5-16       -7.54      17.52      -0.74         0.98            -8.08
   0 A Andover         (12- 3, 92.5)    12-14       -7.36      17.71       0.74         0.98            -6.45
   0 H Hastings        ( 7- 7, 89.1)    16- 3      -10.79      14.28      -0.74         0.98            13.20
   0 H Forest Lake     ( 1-13, 85.0)    14- 8      -14.93      10.14      -0.74         0.98             9.16
   0 A Mounds View     ( 7- 7, 93.0)     4-15       -6.93      18.14       0.74         0.98            -6.04
   0 H Grand Rapids/G  ( 6- 7, 84.7)    17- 6      -15.15       9.92      -0.74         0.98             8.95
   0 A Centennial      (10- 4, 93.3)     8-18       -6.58      18.49       0.74         0.98            -5.69
                                                                                                        ------
                                                                                                        35.26

winning pts = 78.8174 losing points = -43.5557

             SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.

------------------------------------------------------------------------
| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
------------------------------------------------------------------------