Cary Academy
W-L: ( 6- 6) PR = 86.9589Schedule/Results All Games
Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 228 H North Raleigh Christ ( 4-12, 84.3) 8- 9 306 H Cary Christian ( 1- 6, 79.9) 17- 8 311 A Forsyth Country Day (13- 4, 89.7) 7-17 313 A Carrboro ( 7- 9, 85.6) 10- 6 321 A Jordan (12- 9, 87.3) 13-12 326 H Ravenscroft School ( 7- 6, 86.8) 13-16 328 H Greensboro Day (10- 8, 88.9) 11-16 408 A Durham Academy (16- 2, 94.9) 6-16 411 H Carrboro ( 7- 9, 85.6) 16- 8 417 A North Raleigh Christ ( 4-12, 84.3) 14- 5 428 A Ravenscroft School ( 7- 6, 86.8) 9- 7 429 H Durham Academy (16- 2, 94.9) 6-14
PREDICTION LIST
-------------------------------------
|Real = actual goal margin |
|Pred = predicted goal margin |
|+ = slightly above prediction |
|++ = above prediction |
|+++ = well above prediction |
|- = slightly below prediction |
|-- = below prediction |
|--- = well below prediction |
|Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) |
| prediction. N/A when ten |
| goal limit is exceeded |
|n/a = Outside division |
-------------------------------------
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
228 H North Raleigh Christ 8- 9 -1 3 - -3.91
306 H Cary Christian 17- 8 9 7 0.00
311 A Forsyth Country Day 7-17 -10 -3 -1.97
313 A Carrboro 10- 6 4 1 + 2.94
321 A Jordan 13-12 1 -1 1.62
326 H Ravenscroft School 13-16 -3 0 - -3.45
328 H Greensboro Day 11-16 -5 -2 - -3.36
408 A Durham Academy 6-16 -10 -8 0.00
411 H Carrboro 16- 8 8 2 + 3.40
417 A North Raleigh Christ 14- 5 9 2 + 2.63
428 A Ravenscroft School 9- 7 2 0 + 2.10
429 H Durham Academy 6-14 -8 -8 0.00
|
UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 228 H North Raleigh Christ 8- 9 -1 3 - -3.91 326 H Ravenscroft School 13-16 -3 0 - -3.45 328 H Greensboro Day 11-16 -5 -2 - -3.36 |
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 313 A Carrboro 10- 6 4 1 + 2.94 411 H Carrboro 16- 8 8 2 + 3.40 417 A North Raleigh Christ 14- 5 9 2 + 2.63 428 A Ravenscroft School 9- 7 2 0 + 2.10 |
Cary Academy Evaluation
The team that earns the point in the pair-wise comparison is based on three criteria:
first is head-to-head, the winner gets the point, however, if they did not play each
other, than it considers w-l versus common opponents. If their records are tied or they
have no common opponents, than the tie-breaker becomes the better power rating.
The Common Opponent Point list in the table below has the record of the winner followed by the
record of the loser for all common opponents
| Opponent | Who Gets the Point? | Head-2-Head Point |
Common Opponent Point |
Power Rating Point |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apex | Apex | Apex | ||
| Apex Friendship | Apex Friendship | Apex Friendship | ||
| Ardrey Kell | Ardrey Kell | Ardrey Kell | ||
| Arendell Parrott Aca | Cary Academy | Cary Academy | ||
| Asheville HS | Cary Academy | Cary Academy | ||
| Asheville School | Cary Academy | tied - ( 0- 2) ( 0- 2) | Cary Academy | |
| Ashley | Ashley | Ashley | ||
| Athens Drive | Athens Drive | Athens Drive | ||
| Atkins | Cary Academy | Cary Academy | ||
| Ballantyne Ridge | Cary Academy | Cary Academy | ||
| Bishop McGuinness | Cary Academy | tied - ( 0- 2) ( 0- 2) | Cary Academy | |
| Bradford Prep | Cary Academy | Cary Academy | ||
| Broughton | Broughton | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | Broughton | |
| Butler | Cary Academy | Cary Academy | ||
| Cannon School | Cannon School | insuffient: ( 0- 2)( 1- 1) | Cannon School | |
| Cape Fear Academy | Cary Academy | insuffient: ( 2- 3)( 1- 3) | Cary Academy | |
| Cape Fear HS | Cary Academy | Cary Academy | ||
| Cardinal Gibbons | Cardinal Gibbons | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | Cardinal Gibbons | |
| Carrboro | Cary Academy | Cary Academy | ||
| Cary Christian | Cary Academy | Cary Academy | ||
| Cary HS | Cary Academy | Cary Academy | ||
| Cedar Ridge | Cary Academy | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Cary Academy | |
| Chapel Hill | Chapel Hill | tied - ( 2- 1) ( 2- 1) | Chapel Hill | |
| Charlotte Catholic | Charlotte Catholic | Charlotte Catholic | ||
| Charlotte CDS | Charlotte CDS | insuffient: ( 1- 3)( 2- 1) | Charlotte CDS | |
| Charlotte Christian | Charlotte Christian | Charlotte Christian 2- 0 vs 0- 2 | ||
| Charlotte Latin | Charlotte Latin | insuffient: ( 0- 2)( 1- 1) | Charlotte Latin | |
| Christ School | Christ School | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Christ School | |
| Christ The King | Christ The King | Christ The King | ||
| Clayton | Cary Academy | insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 0- 1) | Cary Academy | |
| Cleveland | Cary Academy | Cary Academy | ||
| Community School-Dav | Community School-Dav | Community School-Dav | ||
| Corinth Holders | Cary Academy | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Cary Academy | |
| Cornerstone Charter | Cary Academy | Cary Academy | ||
| Croatan | Croatan | Croatan | ||
| Cuthbertson | Cuthbertson | Cuthbertson | ||
| Davie | Davie | Davie | ||
| DH Conley | Cary Academy | Cary Academy | ||
| Durham Academy | Durham Academy | Durham Academy | ||
| East Chapel Hill | East Chapel Hill | tied - ( 2- 1) ( 2- 1) | East Chapel Hill | |
| East Forsyth | Cary Academy | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Cary Academy | |
| Eastern Alamance | Cary Academy | Cary Academy | ||
| Eastern Guilford | Cary Academy | Cary Academy | ||
| Enloe | Cary Academy | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Cary Academy | |
| Fike | Cary Academy | Cary Academy | ||
| First Flight | First Flight | First Flight | ||
| Forsyth Country Day | Forsyth Country Day | Forsyth Country Day | ||
| Fuquay-Varina | Cary Academy | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 0) | Cary Academy | |
| Garner | Cary Academy | Cary Academy | ||
| Glenn | Cary Academy | Cary Academy | ||
| Grays Creek | Cary Academy | Cary Academy | ||
| Green Hope | Green Hope | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | Green Hope | |
| Green Level | Green Level | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | Green Level | |
| Greensboro Day | Greensboro Day | Greensboro Day | ||
| Grimsley | Cary Academy | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Cary Academy | |
| Havelock | Cary Academy | Cary Academy | ||
| Heritage | Heritage | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | Heritage | |
| Hickory | Cary Academy | Cary Academy | ||
| High Point Central | Cary Academy | Cary Academy | ||
| Hillsborough Orange | Hillsborough Orange | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | Hillsborough Orange | |
| Hoggard | Hoggard | Hoggard | ||
| Holly Springs | Holly Springs | Holly Springs | ||
| Hough | Hough | Hough | ||
| Hunt | Cary Academy | Cary Academy | ||
| Independence | Cary Academy | Cary Academy | ||
| Jack Britt | Cary Academy | Cary Academy | ||
| Jacksonville | Cary Academy | Cary Academy | ||
| JF Webb | Cary Academy | Cary Academy | ||
| JH Rose | Cary Academy | Cary Academy | ||
| John Paul II Catholi | Cary Academy | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Cary Academy | |
| Jordan | Cary Academy | Cary Academy | ||
| Lake Norman Charter | Lake Norman Charter | Lake Norman Charter | ||
| Lake Norman HS | Lake Norman HS | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | Lake Norman HS | |
| Laney | Laney | Laney | ||
| Leesville Road | Leesville Road | Leesville Road | ||
| Lincoln Charter | Cary Academy | Cary Academy | ||
| Marvin Ridge | Marvin Ridge | Marvin Ridge | ||
| Middle Creek | Middle Creek | Middle Creek | ||
| Millbrook | Millbrook | tied - ( 2- 1) ( 2- 0) | Millbrook | |
| Mooresville | Cary Academy | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Cary Academy | |
| Mount Tabor | Cary Academy | Cary Academy | ||
| Mountain Island Char | Cary Academy | Cary Academy | ||
| Myers Park | Myers Park | Myers Park | ||
| New Bern | Cary Academy | insuffient: ( 2- 1)( 1- 1) | Cary Academy | |
| New Hanover | Cary Academy | Cary Academy | ||
| North Brunswick | Cary Academy | Cary Academy | ||
| North Davidson | Cary Academy | Cary Academy | ||
| North Lincoln | North Lincoln | North Lincoln | ||
| North Raleigh Christ | Cary Academy | Cary Academy 2- 4 vs 0- 5 | ||
| Northern Durham | Cary Academy | Cary Academy 2- 0 vs 0- 2 | ||
| Northern Guilford | Northern Guilford | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | Northern Guilford | |
| Northside | Cary Academy | Cary Academy | ||
| Northwest Guilford | Northwest Guilford | Northwest Guilford | ||
| Northwood | Cary Academy | Cary Academy | ||
| Page | Page | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | Page | |
| Panther Creek | Cary Academy | Cary Academy | ||
| Parkwood | Cary Academy | Cary Academy | ||
| Patton Morganton | Cary Academy | Cary Academy | ||
| Pine Forest | Cary Academy | Cary Academy | ||
| Pine Lake Prep | Cary Academy | Cary Academy | ||
| Pinecrest | Cary Academy | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Cary Academy | |
| Porter Ridge | Cary Academy | Cary Academy | ||
| Providence | Cary Academy | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Cary Academy | |
| Providence Day | Providence Day | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Providence Day | |
| Queens Grant | Cary Academy | Cary Academy | ||
| Rabun Gap-Nocoochee | Rabun Gap-Nocoochee | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Rabun Gap-Nocoochee | |
| Ragsdale | Cary Academy | Cary Academy | ||
| Ravenscroft School | Cary Academy | insuffient: ( 3- 4)( 2- 4) | Cary Academy | |
| Reagan | Cary Academy | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Cary Academy | |
| Riverside Durham | Cary Academy | Cary Academy 2- 0 vs 0- 2 | ||
| RJ Reynolds | RJ Reynolds | RJ Reynolds | ||
| Rolesville | Cary Academy | insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 0- 1) | Cary Academy | |
| Roxboro Community | Cary Academy | Cary Academy | ||
| Sanderson | Cary Academy | Cary Academy | ||
| Seaforth | Seaforth | Seaforth | ||
| South Brunswick | Cary Academy | Cary Academy | ||
| South Garner | Cary Academy | Cary Academy | ||
| South Iredell | Cary Academy | Cary Academy | ||
| South Mecklenburg | Cary Academy | Cary Academy | ||
| South View | Cary Academy | Cary Academy | ||
| Southeast Alamance | Cary Academy | Cary Academy | ||
| Southeast Guilford | Cary Academy | Cary Academy | ||
| Southern Alamance | Cary Academy | Cary Academy | ||
| Southlake Christian | Southlake Christian | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | Southlake Christian | |
| Southwest Guilford | Cary Academy | Cary Academy | ||
| St Davids School | Cary Academy | tied - ( 2- 3) ( 2- 2) | Cary Academy | |
| St Stephens | Cary Academy | Cary Academy | ||
| Sun Valley | Cary Academy | Cary Academy | ||
| Swansboro | Cary Academy | Cary Academy | ||
| TC Roberson | TC Roberson | TC Roberson | ||
| Terry Sanford | Cary Academy | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Cary Academy | |
| Topsail | Topsail | Topsail | ||
| Union Pines | Cary Academy | Cary Academy 2- 1 vs 0- 2 | ||
| Vance Charter | Cary Academy | Cary Academy | ||
| Voyager Academy | Cary Academy | Cary Academy | ||
| Wake Forest | Cary Academy | Cary Academy | ||
| Wake Prep | Cary Academy | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Cary Academy | |
| Wakefield | Cary Academy | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Cary Academy | |
| Walter M Williams | Cary Academy | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Cary Academy | |
| Watauga | Cary Academy | Cary Academy | ||
| Weddington | Weddington | Weddington | ||
| West Brunswick | Cary Academy | Cary Academy | ||
| West Carteret | Cary Academy | Cary Academy | ||
| West Forsyth | Cary Academy | Cary Academy | ||
| West Stokes | Cary Academy | Cary Academy | ||
| Western Alamance | Cary Academy | Cary Academy | ||
| Western Guilford | Cary Academy | Cary Academy | ||
| Willow Spring | Willow Spring | Willow Spring |
PowerWise = 96
division Games OnlyAverage number of games used in Games Correction = 17.93
Date Opponent (W-L PR) SCORE SAFE SAFE Home No Games SCI
Loss Win Field Correction Points
SLP SWP Advantage Factor
0 H North Raleigh ( 4-12, 84.3) 8- 9 -15.58 18.23 -0.27 1.49 -23.69
0 H Cary Christian ( 1- 6, 79.9) 17- 8 -20.01 13.80 -0.27 1.49 20.22
0 A Forsyth Countr (13- 4, 89.7) 7-17 -10.18 23.63 0.27 1.49 -14.80
0 A Carrboro ( 7- 9, 85.6) 10- 6 -14.27 19.54 0.27 1.49 29.60
0 A Jordan (12- 9, 87.3) 13-12 -12.59 21.22 0.27 1.49 32.12
0 H Ravenscroft Sc ( 7- 6, 86.8) 13-16 -13.12 20.69 -0.27 1.49 -20.01
0 H Greensboro Day (10- 8, 88.9) 11-16 -11.03 22.78 -0.27 1.49 -16.89
0 A Durham Academy (16- 2, 94.9) 6-16 -5.05 28.76 0.27 1.49 -7.14
0 H Carrboro ( 7- 9, 85.6) 16- 8 -14.27 19.54 -0.27 1.49 28.79
0 A North Raleigh ( 4-12, 84.3) 14- 5 -15.58 18.23 0.27 1.49 27.65
0 A Ravenscroft Sc ( 7- 6, 86.8) 9- 7 -13.12 20.69 0.27 1.49 31.33
0 H Durham Academy (16- 2, 94.9) 6-14 -5.05 28.76 -0.27 1.49 -7.95
------
79.23
|
winning pts = 169.7073 losing points = -90.4745
SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.
------------------------------------------------------------------------
| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
------------------------------------------------------------------------