All ratings/rankings on this page are based on the state (not league) championships.
Conf =
GAME LIST
Team Power Rating = 73.7799988 home-field advantage = -0.38 Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 228 H North Raleigh Christia ( 4-12, 69.4) 8- 9 306 H Cary Christian ( 1- 6, 63.6) 17- 8 307 H Nansemond-Suffolk Acad (10- 9, 77.4) 5-11 311 A Forsyth Country Day (13- 5, 77.4) 7-17 313 A Carrboro ( 7- 9, 72.5) 10- 6 321 A Jordan (12- 9, 74.7) 13-12 326 H Ravenscroft School ( 7- 7, 73.3) 13-16 328 H Greensboro Day (10- 8, 76.9) 11-16 408 A Durham Academy (16- 3, 85.0) 6-16 411 H Carrboro ( 7- 9, 72.5) 16- 8 417 A North Raleigh Christia ( 4-12, 69.4) 14- 5 428 A Ravenscroft School ( 7- 7, 73.3) 9- 7 429 H Durham Academy (16- 3, 85.0) 6-14
PREDICTION LIST
------------------------------------- |Real = actual goal margin | |Pred = predicted goal margin | |+ = slightly above prediction | |++ = above prediction | |+++ = well above prediction | |- = slightly below prediction | |-- = below prediction | |--- = well below prediction | |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) | | prediction. N/A when ten | | goal limit is exceeded | |n/a = Outside division | ------------------------------------- Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 228 H North Raleigh Christia 8- 9 -1 4 -- -5.76 306 H Cary Christian 17- 8 9 10 0.00 307 H Nansemond-Suffolk Acad 5-11 -6 -3 n/a 311 A Forsyth Country Day 7-17 -10 -4 - -2.96 313 A Carrboro 10- 6 4 0 + 3.08 321 A Jordan 13-12 1 -1 + 2.32 326 H Ravenscroft School 13-16 -3 0 - -3.85 328 H Greensboro Day 11-16 -5 -2 - -2.25 408 A Durham Academy 6-16 -10 -11 0.00 411 H Carrboro 16- 8 8 1 ++ 5.32 417 A North Raleigh Christia 14- 5 9 3 + 3.00 428 A Ravenscroft School 9- 7 2 0 1.91 429 H Durham Academy 6-14 -8 -10 0.00UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 228 H North Raleigh Christia 8- 9 -1 4 -- -5.76 307 H Nansemond-Suffolk Acad 5-11 -6 -3 - 311 A Forsyth Country Day 7-17 -10 -4 - -2.96 326 H Ravenscroft School 13-16 -3 0 - -3.85 328 H Greensboro Day 11-16 -5 -2 - -2.25OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 411 H Carrboro 16- 8 8 1 ++ 5.32 313 A Carrboro 10- 6 4 0 + 3.08 321 A Jordan 13-12 1 -1 + 2.32 417 A North Raleigh Christia 14- 5 9 3 + 3.00
RATING BASED ON POWER RATING Power Rating............. 73.78 Power Rank................. 58 SOS (PR) Rating.......... 48.67 SOS (PR) Rank.............. 45 SOS (RPI) Rating......... .5330 SOS (RPI) Rank............. 97 RPI Rating............... .5216 RPI Rank................... 60 Champ. Probability ...... 0.0 Championship Rank ......... 35 Selection sum ........... 209 Selection Rank ............ 66 Qual Win (PR) Rating..... -100. Qual Win (PR) Rank......... 54 Qual Win (RPI) Rating.... -90. Qual Win (RPI) Rank........ 52 PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING Ave Offensive Goals ..... 10.4 Ave Defensive Goals ....... 11.2 Wins/Losses(all )...... 6- 7 Ave Goal diff (all )..... -0.8 Wins/Losses(top 5)...... 0- 0 Ave Goal diff (top 5)..... Wins/Losses(top 10)...... 0- 2 Ave Goal diff (top 10)..... -9.0 Wins/Losses(top 20)...... 0- 2 Ave Goal diff (top 20)..... -9.0 Wins/Losses(last 3)...... 2- 1 Ave Goal diff (last 3)..... 1.0