Cherokee Trail
W-L: ( 8- 7) PR = 92.1415Schedule/Results All Games
Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 307 A Ralston Valley (13- 3, 92.0) 6- 9 312 A Monarch ( 3-11, 86.6) 20-11 314 H Lakewood ( 8- 7, 89.6) 16- 5 326 A Castle View ( 6- 8, 89.7) 12- 5 328 H Rock Canyon ( 6- 9, 89.3) 6- 7 404 H Colorado Academy (12- 4, 95.4) 5-11 409 A Denver East (11- 6, 93.6) 10-11 411 H Arapahoe (12- 3, 95.6) 7-11 416 A Kent Denver ( 2-11, 87.9) 12- 5 418 H Grandview ( 6-10, 89.0) 14- 9 423 A Denver South ( 7-11, 90.4) 14- 2 426 A Cherry Creek (15- 0, 99.9) 7-17 430 H Northfield ( 9- 7, 88.5) 10- 5 507 H Erie ( 5- 9, 87.3) 15- 9 510 A Denver East (11- 6, 93.6) 11-18
PREDICTION LIST
-------------------------------------
|Real = actual goal margin |
|Pred = predicted goal margin |
|+ = slightly above prediction |
|++ = above prediction |
|+++ = well above prediction |
|- = slightly below prediction |
|-- = below prediction |
|--- = well below prediction |
|Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) |
| prediction. N/A when ten |
| goal limit is exceeded |
|n/a = Outside division |
-------------------------------------
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
307 A Ralston Valley 6- 9 -3 0 - -2.78
312 A Monarch 20-11 9 5 0.00
314 H Lakewood 16- 5 11 3 + 2.08
326 A Castle View 12- 5 7 2 + 2.89
328 H Rock Canyon 6- 7 -1 3 -- -4.17
404 H Colorado Academy 5-11 -6 -3 - -2.07
409 A Denver East 10-11 -1 -2 0.83
411 H Arapahoe 7-11 -4 -3 -0.95
416 A Kent Denver 12- 5 7 4 1.17
418 H Grandview 14- 9 5 3 1.54
423 A Denver South 14- 2 12 1 + 3.65
426 A Cherry Creek 7-17 -10 -8 0.00
430 H Northfield 10- 5 5 4 1.02
507 H Erie 15- 9 6 5 0.00
510 A Denver East 11-18 -7 -2 - -3.17
|
UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 328 H Rock Canyon 6- 7 -1 3 -- -4.17 307 A Ralston Valley 6- 9 -3 0 - -2.78 404 H Colorado Academy 5-11 -6 -3 - -2.07 510 A Denver East 11-18 -7 -2 - -3.17 |
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 314 H Lakewood 16- 5 11 3 + 2.08 326 A Castle View 12- 5 7 2 + 2.89 423 A Denver South 14- 2 12 1 + 3.65 |
Cherokee Trail Evaluation
The team that earns the point in the pair-wise comparison is based on three criteria:
first is head-to-head, the winner gets the point, however, if they did not play each
other, than it considers w-l versus common opponents. If their records are tied or they
have no common opponents, than the tie-breaker becomes the better power rating.
The Common Opponent Point list in the table below has the record of the winner followed by the
record of the loser for all common opponents
| Opponent | Who Gets the Point? | Head-2-Head Point |
Common Opponent Point |
Power Rating Point |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Air Academy | Cherokee Trail | Cherokee Trail | ||
| Arapahoe | Arapahoe | Arapahoe | ||
| Arvada West | Cherokee Trail | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Cherokee Trail | |
| Aspen | Cherokee Trail | Cherokee Trail | ||
| Battle Mountain | Cherokee Trail | Cherokee Trail | ||
| Boulder | Cherokee Trail | Cherokee Trail 4- 0 vs 1- 3 | ||
| Castle View | Cherokee Trail | Cherokee Trail | ||
| Chaparral | Cherokee Trail | insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 0- 2) | Cherokee Trail | |
| Chatfield | Cherokee Trail | tied - ( 5- 4) ( 5- 4) | Cherokee Trail | |
| Cherry Creek | Cherry Creek | Cherry Creek | ||
| Cheyenne Mountain | Cherokee Trail | insuffient: ( 2- 1)( 1- 2) | Cherokee Trail | |
| Colorado Academy | Colorado Academy | Colorado Academy | ||
| Columbine | Cherokee Trail | Cherokee Trail 4- 1 vs 0- 5 | ||
| Conifer | Cherokee Trail | Cherokee Trail | ||
| Crested Butte | Cherokee Trail | Cherokee Trail | ||
| Dakota Ridge | Cherokee Trail | tied - ( 1- 1) ( 1- 1) | Cherokee Trail | |
| Denver East | Denver East | Denver East | ||
| Denver North | Cherokee Trail | Cherokee Trail | ||
| Denver South | Cherokee Trail | Cherokee Trail | ||
| Douglas County | Cherokee Trail | Cherokee Trail 2- 0 vs 0- 2 | ||
| Durango | Cherokee Trail | Cherokee Trail | ||
| Eagle Valley | Cherokee Trail | Cherokee Trail | ||
| Eaglecrest | Cherokee Trail | Cherokee Trail 2- 0 vs 0- 2 | ||
| Erie | Cherokee Trail | Cherokee Trail | ||
| Evergreen | Cherokee Trail | Cherokee Trail | ||
| Fairview | Cherokee Trail | tied - ( 3- 3) ( 3- 3) | Cherokee Trail | |
| Fountain Valley | Cherokee Trail | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Cherokee Trail | |
| Fruita Monument | Cherokee Trail | Cherokee Trail | ||
| Glenwood Springs | Cherokee Trail | Cherokee Trail | ||
| Golden | Cherokee Trail | tied - ( 1- 1) ( 1- 1) | Cherokee Trail | |
| Grand Junction | Cherokee Trail | Cherokee Trail | ||
| Grandview | Cherokee Trail | Cherokee Trail | ||
| Green Mountain | Cherokee Trail | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Cherokee Trail | |
| Heritage | Cherokee Trail | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Cherokee Trail | |
| Holy Family | Cherokee Trail | Cherokee Trail | ||
| Jefferson Academy | Cherokee Trail | Cherokee Trail | ||
| Kent Denver | Cherokee Trail | Cherokee Trail | ||
| Lakewood | Cherokee Trail | Cherokee Trail | ||
| Legend | Legend | insuffient: ( 4- 3)( 5- 2) | Legend | |
| Lewis Palmer | Cherokee Trail | Cherokee Trail 2- 1 vs 0- 3 | ||
| Littleton | Cherokee Trail | Cherokee Trail | ||
| Lutheran | Cherokee Trail | Cherokee Trail | ||
| Middle Park | Cherokee Trail | Cherokee Trail | ||
| Monarch | Cherokee Trail | Cherokee Trail | ||
| Montrose | Cherokee Trail | Cherokee Trail | ||
| Mountain Range | Cherokee Trail | Cherokee Trail 5- 2 vs 1- 6 | ||
| Mountain Vista | Mountain Vista | Mountain Vista 6- 2 vs 4- 4 | ||
| Mullen | Cherokee Trail | Cherokee Trail | ||
| Northfield | Cherokee Trail | Cherokee Trail | ||
| Palmer | Cherokee Trail | Cherokee Trail | ||
| Pine Creek | Cherokee Trail | Cherokee Trail 3- 2 vs 0- 5 | ||
| Ponderosa | Cherokee Trail | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Cherokee Trail | |
| Poudre District | Cherokee Trail | tied - ( 3- 4) ( 3- 4) | Cherokee Trail | |
| Prairie View | Cherokee Trail | Cherokee Trail | ||
| Pueblo West | Cherokee Trail | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Cherokee Trail | |
| Ralston Valley | Ralston Valley | Ralston Valley | ||
| Rangeview | Cherokee Trail | Cherokee Trail | ||
| Regis Jesuit | Regis Jesuit | Regis Jesuit 6- 2 vs 4- 4 | ||
| Resurrection Christi | Cherokee Trail | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | Cherokee Trail | |
| Rock Canyon | Rock Canyon | Rock Canyon | ||
| Smoky Hill | Cherokee Trail | Cherokee Trail | ||
| St Marys HS | Cherokee Trail | Cherokee Trail | ||
| Steamboat Springs | Cherokee Trail | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Cherokee Trail | |
| Summit | Cherokee Trail | Cherokee Trail | ||
| Telluride | Cherokee Trail | Cherokee Trail | ||
| Thomas Jefferson | Cherokee Trail | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Cherokee Trail | |
| Thompson Valley | Cherokee Trail | Cherokee Trail | ||
| ThunderRidge | Cherokee Trail | insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 0- 2) | Cherokee Trail | |
| Vail Mountain | Cherokee Trail | Cherokee Trail | ||
| Valor Christian | Valor Christian | Valor Christian 6- 1 vs 2- 5 | ||
| Vanguard School | Cherokee Trail | Cherokee Trail | ||
| Windsor | Cherokee Trail | Cherokee Trail |
PowerWise = 62
division Games OnlyAverage number of games used in Games Correction = 15.04
Date Opponent (W-L PR) SCORE SAFE SAFE Home No Games SCI
Loss Win Field Correction Points
SLP SWP Advantage Factor
0 A Ralston Valley (13- 3, 92.0) 6- 9 -7.91 25.59 0.37 1.00 -7.56
0 A Monarch ( 3-11, 86.6) 20-11 -13.29 20.21 0.37 1.00 20.64
0 H Lakewood ( 8- 7, 89.6) 16- 5 -10.31 23.19 -0.37 1.00 22.89
0 A Castle View ( 6- 8, 89.7) 12- 5 -10.24 23.26 0.37 1.00 23.70
0 H Rock Canyon ( 6- 9, 89.3) 6- 7 -10.56 22.94 -0.37 1.00 -10.96
0 H Colorado Acade (12- 4, 95.4) 5-11 -4.46 29.04 -0.37 1.00 -4.84
0 A Denver East (11- 6, 93.6) 10-11 -6.30 27.20 0.37 1.00 -5.95
0 H Arapahoe (12- 3, 95.6) 7-11 -4.34 29.16 -0.37 1.00 -4.72
0 A Kent Denver ( 2-11, 87.9) 12- 5 -11.96 21.54 0.37 1.00 21.97
0 H Grandview ( 6-10, 89.0) 14- 9 -10.85 22.65 -0.37 1.00 22.34
0 A Denver South ( 7-11, 90.4) 14- 2 -9.47 24.03 0.37 1.00 24.47
0 A Cherry Creek (15- 0, 99.9) 7-17 -0.00 33.50 0.37 1.00 -0.37
0 H Northfield ( 9- 7, 88.5) 10- 5 -11.37 22.13 -0.37 1.00 21.82
0 H Erie ( 5- 9, 87.3) 15- 9 -12.62 20.88 -0.37 1.00 20.57
0 A Denver East (11- 6, 93.6) 11-18 -6.30 27.20 0.37 1.00 -5.95
------
138.05
|
winning pts = 178.3932 losing points = -40.3439
SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.
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| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
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