---    UPDATED: 07-28-25 17:07 PDT

safe3step boys Croatan 1
  
Croatan               
W-L: (21- 2) PR = 94.3779

Schedule/Results All Games

Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 226 A Northside (11- 8, 83.4) 13- 3 228 A JH Rose (17- 5, 85.9) 20- 7 304 A Laney (17- 3, 93.2) 18-13 307 A Apex Friendship (16- 7, 94.4) 8-10 308 A First Flight (14- 3, 90.4) 11- 6 311 H Topsail (15- 6, 91.1) 17- 8 314 H Chapel Hill (12- 8, 89.5) 10- 3 319 H New Bern (12-10, 85.3) 15- 2 321 A Leesville Road (10-11, 88.8) 18- 4 325 A Broughton (17- 5, 92.7) 9- 4 328 H Ashley (10-13, 90.9) 18-15 329 H Hoggard (15- 6, 91.9) 9- 7 404 H Swansboro ( 6-14, 78.7) 21- 0 408 H West Carteret ( 4-12, 77.6) 17- 4 425 A Heritage (19- 2, 92.6) 11-12 428 A Ashley (10-13, 90.9) 14-12 429 A Swansboro ( 6-14, 78.7) 16- 2 506 A West Carteret ( 4-12, 77.6) 18- 9 516 H Jacksonville ( 6-12, 80.4) 23- 1 520 H Southern Alamance (19- 5, 84.6) 19- 2 523 H Union Pines (16- 9, 83.6) 20- 3 528 H First Flight (14- 3, 90.4) 8- 7 530 H Lake Norman Charter (17- 7, 93.5) 13-12

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction. N/A when ten  |
               |         goal limit is exceeded    |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   226 A Northside              13- 3      10    11           0.00
   228 A JH Rose                20- 7      13     8           0.00
   304 A Laney                  18-13       5     1    ++     4.05
   307 A Apex Friendship         8-10      -2     0          -1.69
   308 A First Flight           11- 6       5     4           1.29
   311 H Topsail                17- 8       9     3           1.50
   314 H Chapel Hill            10- 3       7     5           0.00
   319 H New Bern               15- 2      13     9           0.00
   321 A Leesville Road         18- 4      14     5           0.00
   325 A Broughton               9- 4       5     1    +      3.56
   328 H Ashley                 18-15       3     4          -0.79
   329 H Hoggard                 9- 7       2     3          -0.80
   404 H Swansboro              21- 0      21    16           0.00
   408 H West Carteret          17- 4      13    17           0.00
   425 A Heritage               11-12      -1     2    -     -2.50
   428 A Ashley                 14-12       2     3          -1.24
   429 A Swansboro              16- 2      14    15           0.00
   506 A West Carteret          18- 9       9    17           0.00
   516 H Jacksonville           23- 1      22    14           0.00
   520 H Southern Alamance      19- 2      17    10           0.00
   523 H Union Pines            20- 3      17    11           0.00
   528 H First Flight            8- 7       1     4    -     -3.25
   530 H Lake Norman Charter    13-12       1     1          -0.12

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   425 A Heritage               11-12      -1     2    -     -2.50
   528 H First Flight            8- 7       1     4    -     -3.25

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   304 A Laney                  18-13       5     1    ++     4.05
   325 A Broughton               9- 4       5     1    +      3.56

Croatan Evaluation

The team that earns the point in the pair-wise comparison is based on three criteria: 
first is head-to-head, the winner gets the point, however, if they did not play each
other, than it considers w-l versus common opponents. If their records are tied or they
have no common opponents, than the tie-breaker becomes the better power rating.
The Common Opponent Point list in the table below has the record of the winner followed by the
record of the loser for all common opponents
Opponent Who Gets
the Point?
Head-2-Head
Point
Common Opponent
Point
Power Rating
Point
Apex Apex insuffient: ( 3- 1)( 4- 0) Apex
Apex Friendship Apex Friendship Apex Friendship  
Ardrey Kell Croatan tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) Croatan
Arendell Parrott Aca Croatan   Croatan
Asheville HS Croatan   Croatan
Asheville School Croatan   Croatan
Ashley Croatan Croatan  
Athens Drive Croatan insuffient: ( 2- 0)( 1- 1) Croatan
Atkins Croatan   Croatan
Ballantyne Ridge Croatan   Croatan
Bishop McGuinness Croatan   Croatan
Bradford Prep Croatan tied - ( 0- 0) ( 0- 1) Croatan
Broughton Croatan Croatan  
Butler Croatan   Croatan
Cannon School Croatan tied - ( 0- 0) ( 0- 1) Croatan
Cape Fear Academy Croatan tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) Croatan
Cape Fear HS Croatan Croatan   2- 0 vs 0- 3
Cardinal Gibbons Cardinal Gibbons insuffient: ( 3- 1)( 4- 0) Cardinal Gibbons
Carrboro Croatan tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 1) Croatan
Cary Academy Croatan   Croatan
Cary Christian Croatan   Croatan
Cary HS Croatan tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Croatan
Cedar Ridge Croatan insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Croatan
Chapel Hill Croatan Croatan  
Charlotte Catholic Charlotte Catholic insuffient: ( 2- 0)( 1- 1) Charlotte Catholic
Charlotte CDS Croatan insuffient: ( 0- 0)( 1- 0) Croatan
Charlotte Christian Croatan tied - ( 0- 0) ( 0- 1) Croatan
Charlotte Latin Croatan   Croatan
Christ School Christ School   Christ School
Christ The King Croatan insuffient: ( 0- 0)( 1- 0) Croatan
Clayton Croatan insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 2- 1) Croatan
Cleveland Croatan tied - ( 0- 0) ( 0- 1) Croatan
Community School-Dav Croatan   Croatan
Corinth Holders Croatan insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Croatan
Cornerstone Charter Croatan   Croatan
Cuthbertson Croatan   Croatan
Davie Croatan   Croatan
DH Conley Croatan Croatan   4- 0 vs 0- 4
Durham Academy Durham Academy tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) Durham Academy
East Chapel Hill Croatan insuffient: ( 2- 1)( 1- 2) Croatan
East Forsyth Croatan   Croatan
Eastern Alamance Croatan Croatan   2- 0 vs 0- 2
Eastern Guilford Croatan   Croatan
Enloe Croatan Croatan   2- 0 vs 0- 3
Fike Croatan Croatan   2- 1 vs 0- 3
First Flight Croatan Croatan  
Forsyth Country Day Croatan   Croatan
Fuquay-Varina Croatan Croatan   4- 1 vs 1- 3
Garner Croatan tied - ( 0- 0) ( 0- 1) Croatan
Glenn Croatan   Croatan
Grays Creek Croatan insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 2) Croatan
Green Hope Croatan insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 0- 1) Croatan
Green Level Croatan insuffient: ( 1- 2)( 2- 1) Croatan
Greensboro Day Croatan   Croatan
Grimsley Croatan   Croatan
Havelock Croatan Croatan   7- 0 vs 3- 4
Heritage Heritage Heritage  
Hickory Croatan tied - ( 0- 0) ( 0- 1) Croatan
High Point Central Croatan   Croatan
Hillsborough Orange Croatan insuffient: ( 2- 1)( 1- 2) Croatan
Hoggard Croatan Croatan  
Holly Springs Croatan insuffient: ( 2- 1)( 1- 2) Croatan
Hough Hough insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 2- 0) Hough
Hunt Croatan tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Croatan
Independence Croatan   Croatan
Jack Britt Croatan tied - ( 0- 0) ( 0- 1) Croatan
Jacksonville Croatan Croatan  
JF Webb Croatan   Croatan
JH Rose Croatan Croatan  
John Paul II Catholi Croatan Croatan   3- 0 vs 0- 3
Jordan Croatan Croatan   3- 1 vs 1- 3
Lake Norman Charter Croatan Croatan  
Lake Norman HS Lake Norman HS insuffient: ( 0- 0)( 1- 0) Lake Norman HS
Laney Croatan Croatan  
Leesville Road Croatan Croatan  
Lincoln Charter Croatan tied - ( 0- 0) ( 0- 1) Croatan
Marvin Ridge Croatan insuffient: ( 0- 0)( 1- 0) Croatan
Middle Creek Middle Creek tied - ( 1- 1) ( 1- 0) Middle Creek
Millbrook Croatan Croatan   3- 1 vs 0- 3
Mooresville Croatan tied - ( 0- 0) ( 0- 1) Croatan
Mount Tabor Croatan   Croatan
Mountain Island Char Croatan tied - ( 0- 0) ( 0- 1) Croatan
Myers Park Croatan tied - ( 0- 0) ( 0- 1) Croatan
New Bern Croatan Croatan  
New Hanover Croatan Croatan   7- 0 vs 1- 6
North Brunswick Croatan Croatan   8- 0 vs 2- 6
North Davidson Croatan   Croatan
North Lincoln Croatan tied - ( 0- 0) ( 0- 1) Croatan
North Raleigh Christ Croatan tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 1) Croatan
Northern Durham Croatan insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Croatan
Northern Guilford Croatan   Croatan
Northside Croatan Croatan  
Northwest Guilford Northwest Guilford insuffient: ( 0- 0)( 1- 0) Northwest Guilford
Northwood Croatan insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 2) Croatan
Page Croatan insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Croatan
Panther Creek Croatan Croatan   2- 1 vs 0- 3
Parkwood Croatan tied - ( 0- 0) ( 0- 1) Croatan
Patton Morganton Croatan   Croatan
Pine Forest Croatan tied - ( 0- 0) ( 0- 1) Croatan
Pine Lake Prep Croatan tied - ( 0- 0) ( 0- 1) Croatan
Pinecrest Croatan Croatan   5- 0 vs 2- 4
Porter Ridge Croatan   Croatan
Providence Croatan   Croatan
Providence Day Croatan tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) Croatan
Queens Grant Croatan   Croatan
Rabun Gap-Nocoochee Rabun Gap-Nocoochee   Rabun Gap-Nocoochee
Ragsdale Croatan   Croatan
Ravenscroft School Croatan   Croatan
Reagan Croatan tied - ( 0- 0) ( 0- 1) Croatan
Riverside Durham Croatan Croatan   2- 0 vs 0- 2
RJ Reynolds Croatan   Croatan
Rolesville Croatan tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Croatan
Roxboro Community Croatan   Croatan
Sanderson Croatan insuffient: ( 2- 1)( 1- 3) Croatan
Seaforth Croatan insuffient: ( 2- 0)( 3- 0) Croatan
South Brunswick Croatan Croatan   4- 0 vs 0- 4
South Garner Croatan   Croatan
South Iredell Croatan   Croatan
South Mecklenburg Croatan   Croatan
South View Croatan   Croatan
Southeast Alamance Croatan insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Croatan
Southeast Guilford Croatan insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Croatan
Southern Alamance Croatan Croatan  
Southlake Christian Croatan tied - ( 0- 0) ( 0- 1) Croatan
Southwest Guilford Croatan insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Croatan
St Davids School Croatan   Croatan
St Stephens Croatan   Croatan
Sun Valley Croatan   Croatan
Swansboro Croatan Croatan  
TC Roberson Croatan   Croatan
Terry Sanford Croatan insuffient: ( 3- 0)( 2- 2) Croatan
Topsail Croatan Croatan  
Union Pines Croatan Croatan  
Vance Charter Croatan   Croatan
Voyager Academy Croatan   Croatan
Wake Forest Croatan tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Croatan
Wake Prep Croatan   Croatan
Wakefield Croatan insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 0- 2) Croatan
Walter M Williams Croatan Croatan   3- 0 vs 0- 2
Watauga Croatan   Croatan
Weddington Croatan   Croatan
West Brunswick Croatan Croatan   5- 0 vs 0- 5
West Carteret Croatan Croatan  
West Forsyth Croatan   Croatan
West Stokes Croatan   Croatan
Western Alamance Croatan insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Croatan
Western Guilford Croatan insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Croatan
Willow Spring Croatan Croatan   3- 1 vs 0- 4

PowerWise = 136


division Games Only
Average number of games used in Games Correction = 17.93

 Date  Opponent          (W-L  PR)      SCORE       SAFE        SAFE       Home       No Games           SCI              
                                                    Loss        Win       Field      Correction         Points            
                                                    SLP         SWP     Advantage      Factor                       
                                                      
   0 A Northside       (11- 8, 83.4)    13- 3      -16.55      17.26       0.27         0.78            13.67
   0 A JH Rose         (17- 5, 85.9)    20- 7      -14.00      19.81       0.27         0.78            15.66
   0 A Laney           (17- 3, 93.2)    18-13       -6.75      27.06       0.27         0.78            21.31
   0 A Apex Friendshi  (16- 7, 94.4)     8-10       -5.48      28.32       0.27         0.78            -4.06
   0 A First Flight    (14- 3, 90.4)    11- 6       -9.50      24.31       0.27         0.78            19.17
   0 H Topsail         (15- 6, 91.1)    17- 8       -8.75      25.06      -0.27         0.78            19.33
   0 H Chapel Hill     (12- 8, 89.5)    10- 3      -10.38      23.43      -0.27         0.78            18.05
   0 H New Bern        (12-10, 85.3)    15- 2      -14.60      19.21      -0.27         0.78            14.77
   0 A Leesville Road  (10-11, 88.8)    18- 4      -11.06      22.75       0.27         0.78            17.95
   0 A Broughton       (17- 5, 92.7)     9- 4       -7.23      26.58       0.27         0.78            20.93
   0 H Ashley          (10-13, 90.9)    18-15       -9.04      24.77      -0.27         0.78            19.10
   0 H Hoggard         (15- 6, 91.9)     9- 7       -8.05      25.76      -0.27         0.78            19.88
   0 H Swansboro       ( 6-14, 78.7)    21- 0      -21.24      12.57      -0.27         0.78             9.59
   0 H West Carteret   ( 4-12, 77.6)    17- 4      -22.35      11.46      -0.27         0.78             8.73
   0 A Heritage        (19- 2, 92.6)    11-12       -7.30      26.51       0.27         0.78            -5.48
   0 A Ashley          (10-13, 90.9)    14-12       -9.04      24.77       0.27         0.78            19.53
   0 A Swansboro       ( 6-14, 78.7)    16- 2      -21.24      12.57       0.27         0.78            10.01
   0 A West Carteret   ( 4-12, 77.6)    18- 9      -22.35      11.46       0.27         0.78             9.15
   0 H Jacksonville    ( 6-12, 80.4)    23- 1      -19.49      14.32      -0.27         0.78            10.95
   0 H Southern Alama  (19- 5, 84.6)    19- 2      -15.26      18.55      -0.27         0.78            14.25
   0 H Union Pines     (16- 9, 83.6)    20- 3      -16.30      17.51      -0.27         0.78            13.44
   0 H First Flight    (14- 3, 90.4)     8- 7       -9.50      24.31      -0.27         0.78            18.74
   0 H Lake Norman Ch  (17- 7, 93.5)    13-12       -6.37      27.44      -0.27         0.78            21.18
                                                                                                        ------
                                                                                                       325.84

winning pts = 335.3832 losing points = -9.5424

             SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.

------------------------------------------------------------------------
| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
------------------------------------------------------------------------