List of boy Div 158 Croatan List of Team Values for NC Public


      All ratings/rankings on this page are based on the state (not league) championships.



PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction. N/A when ten  |
               |         goal limit is exceeded    |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   305 A Hoggard                 9-10      -1     2    -     -3.42
   307 H Apex Friendship        10-12      -2     0          -1.29
   310 H Ashley                  5- 9      -4     4    ---   -8.18
   312 H Laney                  13- 8       5     0    ++     4.07
   317 H Havelock               17- 4      13    18           0.00
   326 H Jacksonville           13- 4       9    18           0.00
   402 H First Flight           13- 2      11     3    +      3.09
   407 H Hough                   8-13      -5    -2    -     -2.48
   410 A Chapel Hill            16-10       6     5           0.63
   411 A Northwood              13- 7       6    15          -1.00
   420 H Swansboro              19- 6      13    20           0.00
   422 A Topsail                14-15      -1     2    -     -3.81

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   310 H Ashley                  5- 9      -4     4    ---   -8.18
   305 A Hoggard                 9-10      -1     2    -     -3.42
   407 H Hough                   8-13      -5    -2    -     -2.48
   422 A Topsail                14-15      -1     2    -     -3.81

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   312 H Laney                  13- 8       5     0    ++     4.07
   402 H First Flight           13- 2      11     3    +      3.09



 RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Power Rating............. 83.34 Power Rank.................    12
 SOS (PR) Rating.......... 51.39 SOS (PR) Rank..............    24
 SOS (RPI) Rating......... .6902 SOS (RPI) Rank.............     2
 RPI Rating............... .6302 RPI Rank...................    12
 Champ. Probability ......   4.4 Championship Rank .........     9
 Selection sum ...........    63 Selection Rank ............    16
 Qual Win (PR) Rating.....  -15. Qual Win (PR) Rank.........    41
 Qual Win (RPI) Rating....  -35. Qual Win (RPI) Rank........    49
    
 PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals .....  12.5 Ave Defensive Goals .......    8.3
 Wins/Losses(all   )......  7- 5 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....    4.2
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  0- 1 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....   -5.0
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  0- 2 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....   -3.5
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  1- 2 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....   -0.7
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  2- 1 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....    6.0