---    UPDATED: 07-28-25 23:49 PDT

safe3step boys Carmel 1
  
Carmel                
W-L: ( 5-13) PR = 77.8518

Schedule/Results All Games

Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 305 H Live Oak (14- 5, 82.8) 3-14 306 A Los Gatos (13- 9, 84.2) 3-15 311 A Scotts Valley ( 0- 1, 72.6) 13- 7 313 H Salinas ( 8- 5, 82.4) 9-21 317 A Mountain View (12- 7, 82.5) 5-15 320 H Palma ( 5- 7, 79.0) 10-16 325 A Live Oak (14- 5, 82.8) 3-12 327 H Stevenson School (16- 3, 87.7) 4-18 402 H Campolindo (12- 5, 84.6) 4-17 403 A Soquel ( 6-11, 75.6) 13-12 408 A Palma ( 5- 7, 79.0) 4-11 412 A Pacific Grove (11- 3, 76.3) 12- 8 422 A Monterey ( 7- 6, 75.0) 18- 9 423 A Salinas ( 8- 5, 82.4) 4-19 425 H Los Gatos (13- 9, 84.2) 5- 9 501 A Stevenson School (16- 3, 87.7) 4-17 502 A Live Oak (14- 5, 82.8) 4-18 508 H Soquel ( 6-11, 75.6) 14- 5

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction. N/A when ten  |
               |         goal limit is exceeded    |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   305 H Live Oak                3-14     -11    -5          -0.43
   306 A Los Gatos               3-15     -12    -7           0.00
   311 A Scotts Valley          13- 7       6     5           0.11
   313 H Salinas                 9-21     -12    -4          -0.78
   317 A Mountain View           5-15     -10    -5           0.00
   320 H Palma                  10-16      -6    -1    --    -4.20
   325 A Live Oak                3-12      -9    -5           0.00
   327 H Stevenson School        4-18     -14    -9           0.00
   402 H Campolindo              4-17     -13    -6           0.00
   403 A Soquel                 13-12       1     2          -0.92
   408 A Palma                   4-11      -7    -2    -     -3.48
   412 A Pacific Grove          12- 8       4     1    +      2.84
   422 A Monterey               18- 9       9     2    +      2.53
   423 A Salinas                 4-19     -15    -5          -0.06
   425 H Los Gatos               5- 9      -4    -6           1.00
   501 A Stevenson School        4-17     -13   -10           0.00
   502 A Live Oak                4-18     -14    -5           0.00
   508 H Soquel                 14- 5       9     3    +      2.36

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   320 H Palma                  10-16      -6    -1    --    -4.20
   408 A Palma                   4-11      -7    -2    -     -3.48

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   412 A Pacific Grove          12- 8       4     1    +      2.84
   422 A Monterey               18- 9       9     2    +      2.53
   508 H Soquel                 14- 5       9     3    +      2.36

Carmel Evaluation

The team that earns the point in the pair-wise comparison is based on three criteria: 
first is head-to-head, the winner gets the point, however, if they did not play each
other, than it considers w-l versus common opponents. If their records are tied or they
have no common opponents, than the tie-breaker becomes the better power rating.
The Common Opponent Point list in the table below has the record of the winner followed by the
record of the loser for all common opponents
Opponent Who Gets
the Point?
Head-2-Head
Point
Common Opponent
Point
Power Rating
Point
Acalanes Acalanes tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Acalanes
Alhambra Carmel tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Carmel
Amador Valley Amador Valley tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Amador Valley
Archie Williams Carmel   Carmel
Bay School Carmel   Carmel
Bentley School Bentley School   Bentley School
Berean Christian Berean Christian   Berean Christian
Berkeley Berkeley insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Berkeley
Bishop ODowd Bishop ODowd insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Bishop ODowd
Branson Carmel   Carmel
California California   California
Campolindo Campolindo Campolindo  
Cardinal Newman Cardinal Newman   Cardinal Newman
Casa Grande Casa Grande   Casa Grande
Clayton Valley Chart Clayton Valley Chart tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Clayton Valley Chart
College Park College Park tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) College Park
De LaSalle De LaSalle   De LaSalle
Dougherty Valley Carmel   Carmel
Drew Drew   Drew
Dublin Carmel   Carmel
Foothill Pleasanton Foothill Pleasanton   Foothill Pleasanton
George Washington SF George Washington SF   George Washington SF
Granada Granada   Granada
Head-Royce Head-Royce   Head-Royce
Justin Siena Justin Siena   Justin Siena
Las Lomas Carmel tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Carmel
Lick Wilmerding Lick Wilmerding   Lick Wilmerding
Livermore Carmel   Carmel
Lowell Carmel   Carmel
Marin Academy Marin Academy insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Marin Academy
Marin Catholic Marin Catholic   Marin Catholic
Miramonte Miramonte tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Miramonte
Monte Vista Danville Monte Vista Danville   Monte Vista Danville
Moreau Catholic Carmel   Carmel
Napa Carmel   Carmel
Newark Memorial Newark Memorial   Newark Memorial
Northgate Northgate tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Northgate
Novato Novato   Novato
Petaluma Petaluma tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Petaluma
Piedmont Piedmont tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Piedmont
Rancho Cotate Rancho Cotate   Rancho Cotate
Redwood Redwood   Redwood
San Marin San Marin   San Marin
San Rafael Carmel   Carmel
San Ramon Valley San Ramon Valley insuffient: ( 0- 2)( 1- 1) San Ramon Valley
Sonoma Academy Sonoma Academy   Sonoma Academy
Sonoma Valley Carmel   Carmel
St Vincent de Paul St Vincent de Paul   St Vincent de Paul
Stuart Hall Stuart Hall   Stuart Hall
Tamalpais Tamalpais   Tamalpais
Terra Linda Terra Linda   Terra Linda
University SF University SF tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) University SF
Urban School Carmel   Carmel
Vintage Carmel   Carmel
Washington Fremont Carmel tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Carmel
Windsor Carmel insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Carmel
Birmingham Charter Carmel   Carmel
El Camino Real Chart Carmel   Carmel
North Valley Militar North Valley Militar   North Valley Militar
Palisades Charter Palisades Charter   Palisades Charter
University Los Angel Carmel   Carmel
Aptos Carmel Carmel   3- 1 vs 1- 3
Aragon Carmel   Carmel
Archbishop Mitty Archbishop Mitty Archbishop Mitty   2- 1 vs 0- 3
Archbishop Riordan Carmel   Carmel
Bellarmine Prep Bellarmine Prep insuffient: ( 0- 2)( 1- 1) Bellarmine Prep
Burlingame Burlingame insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Burlingame
Carlmont Carlmont tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Carlmont
Christopher Christopher insuffient: ( 0- 3)( 1- 2) Christopher
Gunn Carmel   Carmel
Harbor Carmel Carmel   2- 1 vs 0- 3
Hillsdale Hillsdale tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Hillsdale
Hollister-San Benito Carmel Carmel   3- 0 vs 0- 3
Latino College Prep Carmel   Carmel
Leland Carmel tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Carmel
Live Oak Live Oak Live Oak  
Los Altos Carmel tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Carmel
Los Gatos Los Gatos Los Gatos  
Menlo School Menlo School tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Menlo School
Menlo-Atherton Menlo-Atherton Menlo-Atherton   3- 0 vs 0- 3
Monte Vista Christia Carmel Carmel   3- 2 vs 0- 5
Monterey Carmel Carmel  
Mountain View Mountain View Mountain View  
Pacific Grove Carmel Carmel  
Palma Palma Palma  
Palo Alto Palo Alto Palo Alto   2- 0 vs 0- 2
Pioneer Carmel tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Carmel
Priory Priory   Priory
Sacred Heart Cathedr Sacred Heart Cathedr   Sacred Heart Cathedr
Sacred Heart Prep Sacred Heart Prep insuffient: ( 0- 2)( 1- 0) Sacred Heart Prep
Salinas Salinas Salinas  
Santa Cruz Carmel Carmel   2- 0 vs 0- 2
Saratoga Carmel Carmel   2- 0 vs 0- 2
Scotts Valley Carmel Carmel  
Sequoia Carmel tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Carmel
Serra San Mateo Serra San Mateo Serra San Mateo   2- 0 vs 0- 2
Sobrato Carmel tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Carmel
Soquel Carmel Carmel  
St Francis-Mtn View St Francis-Mtn View St Francis-Mtn View   2- 0 vs 0- 2
St Ignatius Prep St Ignatius Prep   St Ignatius Prep
Stevenson School Stevenson School Stevenson School  
Valley Christian Valley Christian tied - ( 0- 2) ( 0- 2) Valley Christian
Woodside Carmel tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Carmel
Agoura Agoura   Agoura
Aliso Niguel Aliso Niguel   Aliso Niguel
Beckman Beckman   Beckman
Beverly Hills Carmel   Carmel
Brentwood School Brentwood School   Brentwood School
Calabasas Carmel   Carmel
Canyon Canyon   Canyon
Capistrano Valley Carmel   Carmel
Castaic Castaic   Castaic
Cate School Cate School   Cate School
Centennial Centennial   Centennial
Chaminade Prep Carmel   Carmel
Chaparral Chaparral   Chaparral
Compton Carmel   Carmel
Corona Corona   Corona
Corona Del Mar Corona Del Mar   Corona Del Mar
Crean Lutheran Crean Lutheran   Crean Lutheran
Crescenta Valley Crescenta Valley   Crescenta Valley
Crespi Crespi   Crespi
Culver City Carmel   Carmel
Damien Carmel   Carmel
Dana Hills Dana Hills   Dana Hills
Dos Pueblos Dos Pueblos   Dos Pueblos
Downey Carmel   Carmel
Edison Edison   Edison
El Dorado El Dorado   El Dorado
El Modena Carmel   Carmel
El Segundo El Segundo   El Segundo
Eleanor Roosevelt Eleanor Roosevelt   Eleanor Roosevelt
Esperanza Carmel   Carmel
Foothill Santa Ana Foothill Santa Ana   Foothill Santa Ana
Glendale Carmel   Carmel
Grace Brethren Grace Brethren   Grace Brethren
Great Oak Great Oak   Great Oak
Hart Hart   Hart
Harvard-Westlake Harvard-Westlake   Harvard-Westlake
Hemet Hemet   Hemet
Heritage Christian Heritage Christian   Heritage Christian
Heritage HS Carmel   Carmel
Huntington Beach Huntington Beach   Huntington Beach
Irvine Carmel   Carmel
JSerra Catholic JSerra Catholic   JSerra Catholic
King King   King
La Canada Carmel   Carmel
Laguna Hills Carmel   Carmel
Lakewood Carmel   Carmel
Liberty Carmel   Carmel
Linfield Christian Linfield Christian   Linfield Christian
Long Beach Poly Long Beach Poly   Long Beach Poly
Los Alamitos Los Alamitos   Los Alamitos
Loyola Los Angeles Loyola Los Angeles   Loyola Los Angeles
Lynwood Carmel   Carmel
Mater Dei Santa Ana Mater Dei Santa Ana   Mater Dei Santa Ana
Millikan Millikan   Millikan
Mira Costa Mira Costa   Mira Costa
Mission Viejo Mission Viejo   Mission Viejo
Murrieta Mesa Carmel   Carmel
Murrieta Valley Carmel   Carmel
Newbury Park Newbury Park   Newbury Park
Newport Harbor Newport Harbor   Newport Harbor
Norco Carmel   Carmel
Northwood Carmel   Carmel
Notre Dame Sherman Notre Dame Sherman   Notre Dame Sherman
Oak Park Oak Park   Oak Park
Oaks Christian Oaks Christian   Oaks Christian
Orange Lutheran Orange Lutheran   Orange Lutheran
Paloma Valley Carmel   Carmel
Palos Verdes Palos Verdes   Palos Verdes
Peninsula Peninsula   Peninsula
Portola Carmel   Carmel
Redondo Union Redondo Union   Redondo Union
Riverside Poly Carmel   Carmel
San Clemente San Clemente   San Clemente
San Juan Hills San Juan Hills   San Juan Hills
San Marcos SB San Marcos SB   San Marcos SB
Santa Barbara Santa Barbara   Santa Barbara
Santa Margarita Cath Santa Margarita Cath   Santa Margarita Cath
Santa Monica Santa Monica   Santa Monica
Santiago Santiago   Santiago
Saugus Saugus   Saugus
Segerstrom Carmel   Carmel
Servite Servite   Servite
Sierra Canyon Sierra Canyon   Sierra Canyon
Simi Royal Carmel   Carmel
Simi Valley Simi Valley   Simi Valley
St Francis-La Canada St Francis-La Canada   St Francis-La Canada
St John Bosco St John Bosco   St John Bosco
St Margarets Episcop St Margarets Episcop   St Margarets Episcop
Temecula Valley Temecula Valley   Temecula Valley
Tesoro Tesoro   Tesoro
Thacher School Thacher School   Thacher School
Trabuco Hills Trabuco Hills   Trabuco Hills
University Irvine University Irvine   University Irvine
Valencia Santa Clari Valencia Santa Clari   Valencia Santa Clari
Viewpoint School Viewpoint School   Viewpoint School
Village Christian Village Christian   Village Christian
Vista Murrieta Vista Murrieta   Vista Murrieta
West Ranch West Ranch   West Ranch
Westlake Westlake   Westlake
Woodbridge Carmel   Carmel
Woodrow Wilson Woodrow Wilson   Woodrow Wilson
Yorba Linda Yorba Linda   Yorba Linda
Army-Navy Academy Carmel   Carmel
Bishops School Bishops School   Bishops School
Bonita Vista Carmel   Carmel
Canyon Crest Canyon Crest   Canyon Crest
Canyon Hills Carmel   Carmel
Carlsbad Carlsbad   Carlsbad
Castle Park Carmel   Carmel
Cathedral Catholic Cathedral Catholic   Cathedral Catholic
Clairemont Carmel   Carmel
Classical Academy Carmel   Carmel
Coronado Coronado   Coronado
Del Lago Academy Carmel   Carmel
Del Norte Del Norte   Del Norte
Eastlake Carmel   Carmel
El Capitan El Capitan   El Capitan
Fallbrook Carmel   Carmel
Foothills Christian Carmel   Carmel
Francis Parker Francis Parker   Francis Parker
Granite Hills Granite Hills   Granite Hills
Grossmont Carmel   Carmel
Helix Charter Helix Charter   Helix Charter
Hilltop Carmel   Carmel
La Costa Canyon La Costa Canyon   La Costa Canyon
La Jolla CDS La Jolla CDS   La Jolla CDS
La Jolla HS La Jolla HS   La Jolla HS
Lincoln San Diego Carmel   Carmel
Mar Vista Carmel   Carmel
Mater Dei Chula Vist Carmel   Carmel
Mira Mesa Carmel   Carmel
Mission Bay Carmel   Carmel
Mission Hills Mission Hills   Mission Hills
Monte Vista Spring V Carmel   Carmel
Morse Carmel   Carmel
Mt Carmel Mt Carmel   Mt Carmel
Olympian Carmel   Carmel
Otay Ranch Carmel   Carmel
Pacific Ridge Carmel   Carmel
Patrick Henry Patrick Henry   Patrick Henry
Point Loma Point Loma   Point Loma
Poway Poway   Poway
Preuss School Carmel   Carmel
Rancho Bernardo Rancho Bernardo   Rancho Bernardo
Rancho Buena Vista Carmel   Carmel
Sage Creek Carmel   Carmel
San Diego Carmel   Carmel
San Dieguito San Dieguito   San Dieguito
San Marcos SD San Marcos SD   San Marcos SD
San Ysidro Carmel   Carmel
Santa Fe Christian Santa Fe Christian   Santa Fe Christian
Santana Santana   Santana
Scripps Ranch Scripps Ranch   Scripps Ranch
St Augustine St Augustine   St Augustine
Torrey Pines Torrey Pines   Torrey Pines
University City University City   University City
Valhalla Carmel   Carmel
Valley Center Valley Center   Valley Center
West Hills West Hills   West Hills
Westview Westview   Westview
Bear River Carmel   Carmel
Bella Vista Bella Vista   Bella Vista
Christian Brothers Christian Brothers   Christian Brothers
Davis Davis tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Davis
Del Oro Del Oro   Del Oro
Folsom Folsom   Folsom
Granite Bay Granite Bay tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Granite Bay
Grant Union Carmel   Carmel
Jesuit Sacramento Jesuit Sacramento   Jesuit Sacramento
Lincoln Stockton Lincoln Stockton   Lincoln Stockton
Lincoln Sacramento Carmel   Carmel
Nevada Union Nevada Union   Nevada Union
Oak Ridge Oak Ridge   Oak Ridge
Oakmont Carmel   Carmel
Rio Americano Carmel   Carmel
Rocklin Carmel   Carmel
Roseville Roseville   Roseville
St Marys Stockton St Marys Stockton   St Marys Stockton
Vista del Lago Vista del Lago   Vista del Lago
West Park West Park   West Park
Whitney Whitney   Whitney
Woodcreek Woodcreek   Woodcreek

PowerWise = 102


division Games Only
Average number of games used in Games Correction = 16.63

 Date  Opponent          (W-L  PR)      SCORE       SAFE        SAFE       Home       No Games           SCI              
                                                    Loss        Win       Field      Correction         Points            
                                                    SLP         SWP     Advantage      Factor                       
                                                      
   0 H Live Oak        (14- 5, 82.8)     3-14      -17.12      23.02      -0.36         0.92           -16.15
   0 A Los Gatos       (13- 9, 84.2)     3-15      -15.73      24.41       0.36         0.92           -14.20
   0 A Scotts Valley   ( 0- 1, 72.6)    13- 7      -27.30      12.84       0.36         0.92            12.20
   0 H Salinas         ( 8- 5, 82.4)     9-21      -17.47      22.67      -0.36         0.92           -16.47
   0 A Mountain View   (12- 7, 82.5)     5-15      -17.39      22.75       0.36         0.92           -15.74
   0 H Palma           ( 5- 7, 79.0)    10-16      -20.89      19.25      -0.36         0.92           -19.63
   0 A Live Oak        (14- 5, 82.8)     3-12      -17.12      23.02       0.36         0.92           -15.49
   0 H Stevenson Scho  (16- 3, 87.7)     4-18      -12.23      27.91      -0.36         0.92           -11.63
   0 H Campolindo      (12- 5, 84.6)     4-17      -15.28      24.86      -0.36         0.92           -14.45
   0 A Soquel          ( 6-11, 75.6)    13-12      -24.33      15.81       0.36         0.92            14.94
   0 A Palma           ( 5- 7, 79.0)     4-11      -20.89      19.25       0.36         0.92           -18.97
   0 A Pacific Grove   (11- 3, 76.3)    12- 8      -23.57      16.57       0.36         0.92            15.64
   0 A Monterey        ( 7- 6, 75.0)    18- 9      -24.87      15.27       0.36         0.92            14.44
   0 A Salinas         ( 8- 5, 82.4)     4-19      -17.47      22.67       0.36         0.92           -15.81
   0 H Los Gatos       (13- 9, 84.2)     5- 9      -15.73      24.41      -0.36         0.92           -14.86
   0 A Stevenson Scho  (16- 3, 87.7)     4-17      -12.23      27.91       0.36         0.92           -10.97
   0 A Live Oak        (14- 5, 82.8)     4-18      -17.12      23.02       0.36         0.92           -15.49
   0 H Soquel          ( 6-11, 75.6)    14- 5      -24.33      15.81      -0.36         0.92            14.27
                                                                                                        ------
                                                                                                      -128.34

winning pts = 71.4927 losing points = -199.8368

             SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.

------------------------------------------------------------------------
| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
------------------------------------------------------------------------