---    UPDATED: 07-28-25 17:07 PDT

safe3step boys Cary HS 1
  
Cary HS               
W-L: ( 7-17) PR = 79.1751

Schedule/Results All Games

Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 227 H Sanderson ( 8-13, 85.2) 3-14 228 A South Garner ( 5-14, 80.0) 4-12 304 H Athens Drive (13- 8, 91.1) 2-13 307 H Voyager Academy (10- 9, 76.8) 2- 3 308 A Watauga ( 6-15, 78.9) 8- 6 310 H Panther Creek ( 2-18, 79.4) 4- 6 312 A Jack Britt ( 5-16, 75.1) 12- 4 313 A Apex (18- 5, 95.5) 0-18 317 H Green Level (13- 7, 94.0) 3-16 320 H Middle Creek (21- 4, 97.7) 2-15 325 A Holly Springs (12- 9, 93.6) 2-16 326 A Northern Durham ( 2-13, 71.9) 10- 1 328 H Apex Friendship (16- 7, 94.4) 3-18 408 A Green Hope (10-11, 91.9) 2-19 415 H Apex (18- 5, 95.5) 1-16 416 H Riverside Durham ( 9- 8, 80.1) 7- 3 422 A Green Level (13- 7, 94.0) 1-13 424 A Voyager Academy (10- 9, 76.8) 4- 3 425 A Middle Creek (21- 4, 97.7) 0-19 428 A Panther Creek ( 2-18, 79.4) 5- 4 429 H Holly Springs (12- 9, 93.6) 1-23 506 H Green Hope (10-11, 91.9) 2-13 507 A Apex Friendship (16- 7, 94.4) 2-19 508 H Wake Prep ( 5- 7, 75.9) 8- 2

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction. N/A when ten  |
               |         goal limit is exceeded    |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   227 H Sanderson               3-14     -11    -6           0.00
   228 A South Garner            4-12      -8    -1    -     -3.94
   304 H Athens Drive            2-13     -11   -12           0.00
   307 H Voyager Academy         2- 3      -1     3    -     -3.67
   308 A Watauga                 8- 6       2     0           1.96
   310 H Panther Creek           4- 6      -2     0    -     -2.09
   312 A Jack Britt             12- 4       8     4           1.24
   313 A Apex                    0-18     -18   -17           0.00
   317 H Green Level             3-16     -13   -15           0.00
   320 H Middle Creek            2-15     -13   -18           0.00
   325 A Holly Springs           2-16     -14   -15           0.00
   326 A Northern Durham        10- 1       9     7           0.00
   328 H Apex Friendship         3-18     -15   -15           0.00
   408 A Green Hope              2-19     -17   -13           0.00
   415 H Apex                    1-16     -15   -16           0.00
   416 H Riverside Durham        7- 3       4    -1    ++     4.70
   422 A Green Level             1-13     -12   -15           0.00
   424 A Voyager Academy         4- 3       1     2          -1.13
   425 A Middle Creek            0-19     -19   -19           0.00
   428 A Panther Creek           5- 4       1     0           1.45
   429 H Holly Springs           1-23     -22   -14           0.00
   506 H Green Hope              2-13     -11   -12           0.00
   507 A Apex Friendship         2-19     -17   -16           0.00
   508 H Wake Prep               8- 2       6     4           1.47

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   228 A South Garner            4-12      -8    -1    -     -3.94
   307 H Voyager Academy         2- 3      -1     3    -     -3.67
   310 H Panther Creek           4- 6      -2     0    -     -2.09

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   416 H Riverside Durham        7- 3       4    -1    ++     4.70

Cary HS Evaluation

The team that earns the point in the pair-wise comparison is based on three criteria: 
first is head-to-head, the winner gets the point, however, if they did not play each
other, than it considers w-l versus common opponents. If their records are tied or they
have no common opponents, than the tie-breaker becomes the better power rating.
The Common Opponent Point list in the table below has the record of the winner followed by the
record of the loser for all common opponents
Opponent Who Gets
the Point?
Head-2-Head
Point
Common Opponent
Point
Power Rating
Point
Apex Apex Apex  
Apex Friendship Apex Friendship Apex Friendship  
Ardrey Kell Ardrey Kell tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Ardrey Kell
Arendell Parrott Aca Arendell Parrott Aca   Arendell Parrott Aca
Asheville HS Asheville HS tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) Asheville HS
Asheville School Cary HS insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Cary HS
Ashley Ashley tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Ashley
Athens Drive Athens Drive Athens Drive  
Atkins Atkins   Atkins
Ballantyne Ridge Ballantyne Ridge   Ballantyne Ridge
Bishop McGuinness Bishop McGuinness   Bishop McGuinness
Bradford Prep Bradford Prep   Bradford Prep
Broughton Broughton Broughton   5- 1 vs 1- 7
Butler Cary HS   Cary HS
Cannon School Cannon School tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Cannon School
Cape Fear Academy Cape Fear Academy   Cape Fear Academy
Cape Fear HS Cary HS tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) Cary HS
Cardinal Gibbons Cardinal Gibbons Cardinal Gibbons   4- 0 vs 0- 4
Carrboro Carrboro tied - ( 2- 0) ( 2- 0) Carrboro
Cary Academy Cary Academy   Cary Academy
Cary Christian Cary Christian   Cary Christian
Cedar Ridge Cedar Ridge tied - ( 2- 1) ( 2- 0) Cedar Ridge
Chapel Hill Chapel Hill tied - ( 2- 3) ( 2- 3) Chapel Hill
Charlotte Catholic Charlotte Catholic   Charlotte Catholic
Charlotte CDS Charlotte CDS   Charlotte CDS
Charlotte Christian Charlotte Christian   Charlotte Christian
Charlotte Latin Charlotte Latin   Charlotte Latin
Christ School Christ School insuffient: ( 0- 2)( 1- 1) Christ School
Christ The King Christ The King   Christ The King
Clayton Clayton insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Clayton
Cleveland Cleveland insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 2- 1) Cleveland
Community School-Dav Community School-Dav   Community School-Dav
Corinth Holders Corinth Holders insuffient: ( 0- 2)( 1- 1) Corinth Holders
Cornerstone Charter Cornerstone Charter   Cornerstone Charter
Croatan Croatan tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Croatan
Cuthbertson Cuthbertson   Cuthbertson
Davie Davie   Davie
DH Conley Cary HS   Cary HS
Durham Academy Durham Academy   Durham Academy
East Chapel Hill East Chapel Hill tied - ( 3- 3) ( 3- 2) East Chapel Hill
East Forsyth East Forsyth   East Forsyth
Eastern Alamance Cary HS tied - ( 1- 1) ( 1- 0) Cary HS
Eastern Guilford Cary HS   Cary HS
Enloe Enloe Enloe   2- 1 vs 0- 3
Fike Cary HS   Cary HS
First Flight First Flight   First Flight
Forsyth Country Day Forsyth Country Day   Forsyth Country Day
Fuquay-Varina Fuquay-Varina insuffient: ( 0- 2)( 1- 0) Fuquay-Varina
Garner Garner insuffient: ( 0- 2)( 1- 1) Garner
Glenn Glenn   Glenn
Grays Creek Cary HS tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) Cary HS
Green Hope Green Hope Green Hope  
Green Level Green Level Green Level  
Greensboro Day Greensboro Day   Greensboro Day
Grimsley Grimsley   Grimsley
Havelock Havelock   Havelock
Heritage Heritage Heritage   2- 0 vs 0- 2
Hickory Hickory tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) Hickory
High Point Central Cary HS   Cary HS
Hillsborough Orange Hillsborough Orange insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 0- 1) Hillsborough Orange
Hoggard Hoggard insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Hoggard
Holly Springs Holly Springs Holly Springs  
Hough Hough   Hough
Hunt Cary HS insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Cary HS
Independence Independence   Independence
Jack Britt Cary HS Cary HS  
Jacksonville Jacksonville   Jacksonville
JF Webb JF Webb   JF Webb
JH Rose JH Rose   JH Rose
John Paul II Catholi Cary HS   Cary HS
Jordan Jordan insuffient: ( 2- 2)( 3- 1) Jordan
Lake Norman Charter Lake Norman Charter   Lake Norman Charter
Lake Norman HS Lake Norman HS insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Lake Norman HS
Laney Laney tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Laney
Leesville Road Leesville Road insuffient: ( 1- 4)( 2- 2) Leesville Road
Lincoln Charter Lincoln Charter   Lincoln Charter
Marvin Ridge Marvin Ridge   Marvin Ridge
Middle Creek Middle Creek Middle Creek  
Millbrook Millbrook insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Millbrook
Mooresville Mooresville   Mooresville
Mount Tabor Mount Tabor tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) Mount Tabor
Mountain Island Char Cary HS   Cary HS
Myers Park Myers Park   Myers Park
New Bern New Bern   New Bern
New Hanover New Hanover   New Hanover
North Brunswick Cary HS tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) Cary HS
North Davidson Cary HS   Cary HS
North Lincoln North Lincoln tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) North Lincoln
North Raleigh Christ North Raleigh Christ   North Raleigh Christ
Northern Durham Cary HS Cary HS  
Northern Guilford Northern Guilford   Northern Guilford
Northside Northside   Northside
Northwest Guilford Northwest Guilford insuffient: ( 0- 3)( 1- 2) Northwest Guilford
Northwood Northwood tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Northwood
Page Page   Page
Panther Creek Panther Creek tied - ( 1- 8) ( 1- 8) Panther Creek
Parkwood Parkwood   Parkwood
Patton Morganton Cary HS insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Cary HS
Pine Forest Cary HS insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Cary HS
Pine Lake Prep Pine Lake Prep   Pine Lake Prep
Pinecrest Pinecrest insuffient: ( 1- 3)( 2- 1) Pinecrest
Porter Ridge Cary HS   Cary HS
Providence Providence tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Providence
Providence Day Providence Day insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Providence Day
Queens Grant Queens Grant   Queens Grant
Rabun Gap-Nocoochee Rabun Gap-Nocoochee   Rabun Gap-Nocoochee
Ragsdale Cary HS insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 0- 1) Cary HS
Ravenscroft School Ravenscroft School   Ravenscroft School
Reagan Reagan   Reagan
Riverside Durham Cary HS Cary HS  
RJ Reynolds RJ Reynolds   RJ Reynolds
Rolesville Cary HS tied - ( 1- 2) ( 1- 2) Cary HS
Roxboro Community Cary HS Cary HS   3- 1 vs 0- 4
Sanderson Sanderson Sanderson  
Seaforth Seaforth   Seaforth
South Brunswick Cary HS   Cary HS
South Garner South Garner South Garner  
South Iredell Cary HS insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Cary HS
South Mecklenburg South Mecklenburg   South Mecklenburg
South View South View   South View
Southeast Alamance Cary HS Cary HS   2- 1 vs 0- 2
Southeast Guilford Southeast Guilford   Southeast Guilford
Southern Alamance Southern Alamance tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) Southern Alamance
Southlake Christian Southlake Christian   Southlake Christian
Southwest Guilford Cary HS   Cary HS
St Davids School St Davids School   St Davids School
St Stephens St Stephens tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) St Stephens
Sun Valley Sun Valley   Sun Valley
Swansboro Cary HS   Cary HS
TC Roberson TC Roberson tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) TC Roberson
Terry Sanford Terry Sanford tied - ( 2- 0) ( 2- 1) Terry Sanford
Topsail Topsail tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Topsail
Union Pines Union Pines tied - ( 1- 1) ( 1- 1) Union Pines
Vance Charter Cary HS Cary HS   3- 1 vs 0- 4
Voyager Academy Cary HS Cary HS   3- 0 vs 1- 3
Wake Forest Wake Forest tied - ( 1- 2) ( 1- 2) Wake Forest
Wake Prep Cary HS Cary HS  
Wakefield Wakefield tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Wakefield
Walter M Williams Walter M Williams   Walter M Williams
Watauga Cary HS Cary HS  
Weddington Weddington tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Weddington
West Brunswick Cary HS   Cary HS
West Carteret Cary HS   Cary HS
West Forsyth West Forsyth tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) West Forsyth
West Stokes Cary HS tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) Cary HS
Western Alamance Cary HS   Cary HS
Western Guilford Cary HS   Cary HS
Willow Spring Willow Spring insuffient: ( 0- 5)( 1- 4) Willow Spring

PowerWise = 37


division Games Only
Average number of games used in Games Correction = 17.93

 Date  Opponent          (W-L  PR)      SCORE       SAFE        SAFE       Home       No Games           SCI              
                                                    Loss        Win       Field      Correction         Points            
                                                    SLP         SWP     Advantage      Factor                       
                                                      
   0 H Sanderson       ( 8-13, 85.2)     3-14      -14.73      19.08      -0.27         0.75           -11.21
   0 A South Garner    ( 5-14, 80.0)     4-12      -19.94      13.87       0.27         0.75           -14.70
   0 H Athens Drive    (13- 8, 91.1)     2-13       -8.76      25.05      -0.27         0.75            -6.75
   0 H Voyager Academ  (10- 9, 76.8)     2- 3      -23.13      10.68      -0.27         0.75           -17.48
   0 A Watauga         ( 6-15, 78.9)     8- 6      -21.04      12.77       0.27         0.75             9.75
   0 H Panther Creek   ( 2-18, 79.4)     4- 6      -20.55      13.26      -0.27         0.75           -15.56
   0 A Jack Britt      ( 5-16, 75.1)    12- 4      -24.76       9.05       0.27         0.75             6.96
   0 A Apex            (18- 5, 95.5)     0-18       -4.36      29.45       0.27         0.75            -3.06
   0 H Green Level     (13- 7, 94.0)     3-16       -5.94      27.87      -0.27         0.75            -4.64
   0 H Middle Creek    (21- 4, 97.7)     2-15       -2.23      31.58      -0.27         0.75            -1.87
   0 A Holly Springs   (12- 9, 93.6)     2-16       -6.28      27.53       0.27         0.75            -4.49
   0 A Northern Durha  ( 2-13, 71.9)    10- 1      -27.95       5.86       0.27         0.75             4.58
   0 H Apex Friendshi  (16- 7, 94.4)     3-18       -5.48      28.32      -0.27         0.75            -4.30
   0 A Green Hope      (10-11, 91.9)     2-19       -7.96      25.85       0.27         0.75            -5.74
   0 H Apex            (18- 5, 95.5)     1-16       -4.36      29.45      -0.27         0.75            -3.46
   0 H Riverside Durh  ( 9- 8, 80.1)     7- 3      -19.75      14.06      -0.27         0.75            10.30
   0 A Green Level     (13- 7, 94.0)     1-13       -5.94      27.87       0.27         0.75            -4.23
   0 A Voyager Academ  (10- 9, 76.8)     4- 3      -23.13      10.68       0.27         0.75             8.18
   0 A Middle Creek    (21- 4, 97.7)     0-19       -2.23      31.58       0.27         0.75            -1.46
   0 A Panther Creek   ( 2-18, 79.4)     5- 4      -20.55      13.26       0.27         0.75            10.11
   0 H Holly Springs   (12- 9, 93.6)     1-23       -6.28      27.53      -0.27         0.75            -4.89
   0 H Green Hope      (10-11, 91.9)     2-13       -7.96      25.85      -0.27         0.75            -6.15
   0 A Apex Friendshi  (16- 7, 94.4)     2-19       -5.48      28.32       0.27         0.75            -3.90
   0 H Wake Prep       ( 5- 7, 75.9)     8- 2      -23.98       9.83      -0.27         0.75             7.14
                                                                                                        ------
                                                                                                       -56.85

winning pts = 57.0279 losing points = -113.8814

             SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.

------------------------------------------------------------------------
| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
------------------------------------------------------------------------