Covenant School
W-L: ( 9- 7) PR = 86.5942Schedule/Results All Games
Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 314 A Seton School ( 5- 8, 81.6) 15- 8 317 H Veritas School ( 4- 6, 76.5) 14- 5 318 A Trinity Episcopal ( 1-14, 80.0) 19- 5 321 A Nansemond-Suffolk Ac ( 8- 8, 85.9) 8-14 325 H Fork Union Military ( 6- 5, 89.9) 10-16 410 A North Cross School (11- 7, 88.5) 15-18 414 A Veritas School ( 4- 6, 76.5) 22- 6 416 A Fork Union Military ( 6- 5, 89.9) 16-21 423 A Virginia Episcopal S ( 5- 9, 83.5) 16- 7 425 A Trinity Christian ( 9- 7, 82.6) 12- 4 429 H Blue Ridge School (13- 3, 97.0) 5-21 501 A New Covenant School ( 1- 8, 82.3) 17- 4 505 A North Cross School (11- 7, 88.5) 11-12 515 H Fredericksburg Chris (11- 5, 83.5) 19- 6 517 H Nansemond-Suffolk Ac ( 8- 8, 85.9) 11- 7 520 A North Cross School (11- 7, 88.5) 8-13
PREDICTION LIST
-------------------------------------
|Real = actual goal margin |
|Pred = predicted goal margin |
|+ = slightly above prediction |
|++ = above prediction |
|+++ = well above prediction |
|- = slightly below prediction |
|-- = below prediction |
|--- = well below prediction |
|Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) |
| prediction. N/A when ten |
| goal limit is exceeded |
|n/a = Outside division |
-------------------------------------
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
314 A Seton School 15- 8 7 4 0.62
317 H Veritas School 14- 5 9 11 0.00
318 A Trinity Episcopal 19- 5 14 6 0.00
321 A Nansemond-Suffolk Ac 8-14 -6 0 -- -5.06
325 H Fork Union Military 10-16 -6 -3 - -2.30
410 A North Cross School 15-18 -3 -2 -0.51
414 A Veritas School 22- 6 16 9 0.00
416 A Fork Union Military 16-21 -5 -4 -1.08
423 A Virginia Episcopal S 16- 7 9 2 + 2.51
425 A Trinity Christian 12- 4 8 3 1.65
429 H Blue Ridge School 5-21 -16 -10 0.00
501 A New Covenant School 17- 4 13 4 1.29
505 A North Cross School 11-12 -1 -2 1.49
515 H Fredericksburg Chris 19- 6 13 4 1.26
517 H Nansemond-Suffolk Ac 11- 7 4 1 + 2.72
520 A North Cross School 8-13 -5 -2 - -2.51
|
UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 321 A Nansemond-Suffolk Ac 8-14 -6 0 -- -5.06 325 H Fork Union Military 10-16 -6 -3 - -2.30 520 A North Cross School 8-13 -5 -2 - -2.51 |
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 423 A Virginia Episcopal S 16- 7 9 2 + 2.51 517 H Nansemond-Suffolk Ac 11- 7 4 1 + 2.72 |
Covenant School Evaluation
The team that earns the point in the pair-wise comparison is based on three criteria:
first is head-to-head, the winner gets the point, however, if they did not play each
other, than it considers w-l versus common opponents. If their records are tied or they
have no common opponents, than the tie-breaker becomes the better power rating.
The Common Opponent Point list in the table below has the record of the winner followed by the
record of the loser for all common opponents
| Opponent | Who Gets the Point? | Head-2-Head Point |
Common Opponent Point |
Power Rating Point |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Albemarle | Covenant School | Covenant School | ||
| Alexandria City | Covenant School | Covenant School | ||
| Annandale | Covenant School | Covenant School | ||
| Atlee | Atlee | Atlee | ||
| Battlefield | Battlefield | Battlefield | ||
| Bayside | Covenant School | Covenant School | ||
| Benedictine | Benedictine | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | Benedictine | |
| Bishop Ireton | Bishop Ireton | Bishop Ireton | ||
| Bishop OConnell | Covenant School | Covenant School | ||
| Blacksburg | Covenant School | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Covenant School | |
| Blue Ridge School | Blue Ridge School | Blue Ridge School | ||
| Brentsville | Covenant School | Covenant School | ||
| Briar Woods | Briar Woods | Briar Woods | ||
| Broad Run | Broad Run | Broad Run | ||
| Brooke Point | Covenant School | Covenant School | ||
| Cape Henry Collegiat | Cape Henry Collegiat | tied - ( 1- 1) ( 1- 0) | Cape Henry Collegiat | |
| Catholic HS | Catholic HS | insuffient: ( 2- 2)( 3- 0) | Catholic HS | |
| Cave Spring | Covenant School | Covenant School | ||
| Centreville | Covenant School | Covenant School | ||
| Chantilly | Chantilly | Chantilly | ||
| Charlottesville | Covenant School | Covenant School | ||
| Christchurch | Christchurch | insuffient: ( 1- 2)( 2- 1) | Christchurch | |
| Christiansburg | Covenant School | Covenant School | ||
| Clover Hill | Covenant School | Covenant School | ||
| Colgan | Covenant School | Covenant School | ||
| Collegiate School | Collegiate School | insuffient: ( 1- 2)( 2- 1) | Collegiate School | |
| Colonial Forge | Covenant School | Covenant School | ||
| Cosby | Cosby | Cosby | ||
| Cox | Covenant School | insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 0- 1) | Covenant School | |
| Culpeper County | Covenant School | Covenant School | ||
| Deep Run | Deep Run | Deep Run | ||
| Dominion | Covenant School | Covenant School | ||
| Douglas Freeman | Douglas Freeman | Douglas Freeman | ||
| Eastern View | Covenant School | Covenant School | ||
| EC Glass | EC Glass | insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 2- 0) | EC Glass | |
| Edison | Covenant School | Covenant School | ||
| Episcopal | Episcopal | Episcopal | ||
| Eukarya Christian | Covenant School | Covenant School | ||
| Fairfax | Covenant School | Covenant School | ||
| Falls Church | Covenant School | Covenant School | ||
| Fauquier | Covenant School | Covenant School | ||
| First Colonial | Covenant School | Covenant School | ||
| Fishburne Military A | Covenant School | Covenant School | ||
| Flint Hill | Covenant School | tied - ( 2- 0) ( 2- 0) | Covenant School | |
| Fluvanna County | Covenant School | Covenant School | ||
| Forest Park | Covenant School | Covenant School | ||
| Fork Union Military | Fork Union Military | Fork Union Military | ||
| Franklin County | Covenant School | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Covenant School | |
| Fredericksburg Acade | Covenant School | insuffient: ( 2- 0)( 1- 1) | Covenant School | |
| Fredericksburg Chris | Covenant School | Covenant School | ||
| Freedom South Ridin | Freedom South Ridin | Freedom South Ridin | ||
| Freedom Woodbridge | Covenant School | Covenant School | ||
| Gainesville | Gainesville | Gainesville | ||
| Gar-field | Covenant School | Covenant School | ||
| Glen Allen | Covenant School | Covenant School | ||
| Goochland | Covenant School | Covenant School | ||
| Grafton LC | Covenant School | Covenant School | ||
| Grassfield LC | Covenant School | Covenant School | ||
| Green Run | Covenant School | Covenant School | ||
| Handley | Covenant School | Covenant School | ||
| Hanover | Covenant School | Covenant School | ||
| Hayfield | Covenant School | Covenant School | ||
| Heritage Leesburg | Covenant School | Covenant School | ||
| Herndon | Herndon | Herndon | ||
| Hickory LC | Covenant School | Covenant School | ||
| Hidden Valley | Covenant School | Covenant School | ||
| Highland School | Covenant School | insuffient: ( 2- 0)( 1- 1) | Covenant School | |
| Highland Springs | Covenant School | Covenant School | ||
| Hylton | Covenant School | Covenant School | ||
| Independence | Independence | Independence | ||
| James Monroe | Covenant School | Covenant School | ||
| James River | Covenant School | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | Covenant School | |
| Jamestown LC | Jamestown LC | Jamestown LC | ||
| Jefferson Forest | Jefferson Forest | insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 2- 0) | Jefferson Forest | |
| John Champe | Covenant School | Covenant School | ||
| Justice | Covenant School | Covenant School | ||
| Kellam | Kellam | tied - ( 1- 1) ( 1- 0) | Kellam | |
| Kempsville | Covenant School | Covenant School | ||
| Kettle Run | Covenant School | Covenant School | ||
| Lafayette LC | Covenant School | Covenant School | ||
| Lake Braddock | Covenant School | Covenant School | ||
| Landstown | Covenant School | Covenant School | ||
| Langley | Langley | Langley | ||
| Lewis | Covenant School | Covenant School | ||
| Liberty Bealeton | Covenant School | Covenant School | ||
| Lightridge | Covenant School | Covenant School | ||
| Lloyd C Bird | Covenant School | Covenant School | ||
| Lord Botetourt | Covenant School | Covenant School | ||
| Loudoun County | Loudoun County | Loudoun County | ||
| Loudoun Valley | Covenant School | Covenant School | ||
| Madison | Madison | Madison | ||
| Manchester | Covenant School | Covenant School | ||
| Marshall | Covenant School | Covenant School | ||
| Massaponax | Covenant School | Covenant School | ||
| Matoaca | Covenant School | Covenant School | ||
| Maury LC | Covenant School | Covenant School | ||
| McLean | McLean | McLean | ||
| Mechanicsville | Covenant School | Covenant School | ||
| Menchville LC | Covenant School | Covenant School | ||
| Meridian | Meridian | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | Meridian | |
| Midlothian | Covenant School | Covenant School | ||
| Mills Godwin | Covenant School | Covenant School | ||
| Monacan | Covenant School | Covenant School | ||
| Monticello | Monticello | Monticello | ||
| Mount Vernon | Covenant School | Covenant School | ||
| Mountain View | Covenant School | Covenant School | ||
| Nansemond-Suffolk Ac | Covenant School | insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 0- 2) | Covenant School | |
| New Covenant School | Covenant School | Covenant School | ||
| Norfolk Academy | Norfolk Academy | tied - ( 2- 2) ( 2- 1) | Norfolk Academy | |
| Norfolk Christian | Covenant School | Covenant School 4- 3 vs 1- 5 | ||
| Norfolk Collegiate | Covenant School | Covenant School 2- 1 vs 0- 2 | ||
| North Cross School | North Cross School | North Cross School | ||
| North Stafford | Covenant School | Covenant School | ||
| Northern VA Home Sch | Covenant School | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Covenant School | |
| Oakton | Oakton | Oakton | ||
| Ocean Lakes | Covenant School | Covenant School | ||
| Orange County | Covenant School | Covenant School | ||
| Osbourn | Covenant School | Covenant School | ||
| Osbourn Park | Covenant School | Covenant School | ||
| Park View | Covenant School | Covenant School | ||
| Patrick Henry Ashla | Covenant School | Covenant School | ||
| Patrick Henry Roano | Patrick Henry Roano | Patrick Henry Roano | ||
| Patriot | Covenant School | Covenant School | ||
| Paul VI | Paul VI | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | Paul VI | |
| Potomac Falls | Covenant School | Covenant School | ||
| Potomac School | Potomac School | Potomac School | ||
| Potomac-Dumfries | Covenant School | Covenant School | ||
| Powhatan | Covenant School | Covenant School | ||
| Princess Anne | Covenant School | Covenant School | ||
| Riverbend | Covenant School | Covenant School | ||
| Riverside | Riverside | Riverside | ||
| Robinson | Robinson | Robinson | ||
| Rock Ridge | Covenant School | Covenant School | ||
| Rockbridge County | Covenant School | Covenant School | ||
| Rockingham LC | Covenant School | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | Covenant School | |
| Salem | Salem | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | Salem | |
| Salem Virginia Beach | Covenant School | Covenant School | ||
| Seton School | Covenant School | Covenant School | ||
| South County | Covenant School | Covenant School | ||
| South Lakes | Covenant School | Covenant School | ||
| St Annes-Belfield | St Annes-Belfield | tied - ( 1- 1) ( 1- 1) | St Annes-Belfield | |
| St Christophers | St Christophers | St Christophers 3- 0 vs 1- 2 | ||
| St John Paul the Gre | Covenant School | insuffient: ( 3- 0)( 2- 1) | Covenant School | |
| St Stephen-St Agnes | St Stephen-St Agnes | St Stephen-St Agnes | ||
| Stafford | Covenant School | Covenant School | ||
| Steward School | Covenant School | Covenant School 2- 1 vs 0- 2 | ||
| Stone Bridge | Stone Bridge | Stone Bridge | ||
| Strasburg LC | Covenant School | Covenant School | ||
| Tabb LC | Covenant School | Covenant School | ||
| Tallwood | Covenant School | Covenant School | ||
| Tandem Friends | Covenant School | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Covenant School | |
| Thomas Dale | Covenant School | Covenant School | ||
| Thomas Jefferson | Covenant School | Covenant School | ||
| Trinity Christian | Covenant School | Covenant School | ||
| Trinity Episcopal | Covenant School | Covenant School | ||
| Trinity Meadow View | Covenant School | Covenant School 5- 1 vs 3- 3 | ||
| Tuscarora | Covenant School | Covenant School | ||
| Unity Reed | Covenant School | Covenant School | ||
| Veritas School | Covenant School | Covenant School | ||
| Virginia Academy | Covenant School | Covenant School 3- 0 vs 0- 3 | ||
| Virginia Episcopal S | Covenant School | Covenant School | ||
| Wakefield HS | Covenant School | Covenant School | ||
| Wakefield School | Covenant School | Covenant School | ||
| Washington-Liberty | Washington-Liberty | Washington-Liberty | ||
| West Potomac | West Potomac | West Potomac | ||
| West Springfield | Covenant School | Covenant School | ||
| Western Albemarle | Western Albemarle | Western Albemarle | ||
| Westfield | Covenant School | Covenant School | ||
| William Byrd | Covenant School | Covenant School | ||
| William Fleming | Covenant School | Covenant School | ||
| Woodberry Forest | Woodberry Forest | Woodberry Forest 3- 1 vs 1- 3 | ||
| Woodbridge | Covenant School | Covenant School | ||
| Woodgrove | Covenant School | Covenant School | ||
| Woodson | Woodson | Woodson | ||
| York LC | Covenant School | Covenant School | ||
| Yorktown | Yorktown | Yorktown |
PowerWise = 126
division Games OnlyAverage number of games used in Games Correction = 13.94
Date Opponent (W-L PR) SCORE SAFE SAFE Home No Games SCI
Loss Win Field Correction Points
SLP SWP Advantage Factor
0 A Seton School ( 5- 8, 81.6) 15- 8 -18.30 16.70 0.61 0.87 15.09
0 H Veritas School ( 4- 6, 76.5) 14- 5 -23.36 11.64 -0.61 0.87 9.62
0 A Trinity Episco ( 1-14, 80.0) 19- 5 -19.89 15.11 0.61 0.87 13.70
0 A Nansemond-Suff ( 8- 8, 85.9) 8-14 -13.98 21.02 0.61 0.87 -11.65
0 H Fork Union Mil ( 6- 5, 89.9) 10-16 -10.00 25.00 -0.61 0.87 -9.25
0 A North Cross Sc (11- 7, 88.5) 15-18 -11.43 23.57 0.61 0.87 -9.43
0 A Veritas School ( 4- 6, 76.5) 22- 6 -23.36 11.64 0.61 0.87 10.68
0 A Fork Union Mil ( 6- 5, 89.9) 16-21 -10.00 25.00 0.61 0.87 -8.18
0 A Virginia Episc ( 5- 9, 83.5) 16- 7 -16.40 18.60 0.61 0.87 16.74
0 A Trinity Christ ( 9- 7, 82.6) 12- 4 -17.27 17.74 0.61 0.87 15.99
0 H Blue Ridge Sch (13- 3, 97.0) 5-21 -2.86 32.14 -0.61 0.87 -3.02
0 A New Covenant S ( 1- 8, 82.3) 17- 4 -17.63 17.38 0.61 0.87 15.67
0 A North Cross Sc (11- 7, 88.5) 11-12 -11.43 23.57 0.61 0.87 -9.43
0 H Fredericksburg (11- 5, 83.5) 19- 6 -16.44 18.56 -0.61 0.87 15.65
0 H Nansemond-Suff ( 8- 8, 85.9) 11- 7 -13.98 21.02 -0.61 0.87 17.79
0 A North Cross Sc (11- 7, 88.5) 8-13 -11.43 23.57 0.61 0.87 -9.43
------
70.54
|
winning pts = 130.9203 losing points = -60.3846
SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.
------------------------------------------------------------------------
| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
------------------------------------------------------------------------