---    UPDATED: 07-28-25 17:00 PDT

safe3step boys ConVal 1
  
ConVal                
W-L: ( 9- 6) PR = 87.0060

Schedule/Results All Games

Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 416 H Trinity Manchester ( 3-11, 82.2) 14- 3 418 A Hopkinton (12- 4, 90.7) 8-23 423 H Gilford ( 6- 9, 82.9) 18- 5 425 H John Stark ( 3-11, 81.5) 17- 4 509 A Bishop Brady (10- 6, 86.4) 7- 8 512 H Laconia (11- 5, 88.6) 9- 6 514 H Stevens ( 0-14, 73.3) 12- 0 519 A Pelham ( 7- 8, 85.6) 16- 8 521 A Milford ( 1-13, 78.5) 15- 1 523 H Inter-Lakes-Moultonb ( 1-13, 82.3) 20- 6 527 A Campbell (12- 6, 88.8) 5- 8 528 H Bow (11- 4, 89.9) 10- 9 529 A Lebanon ( 8- 8, 85.5) 6-10 531 A Coe-Brown (17- 1, 93.1) 0- 1 605 H Kearsarge (10- 6, 88.1) 6-12

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction. N/A when ten  |
               |         goal limit is exceeded    |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   416 H Trinity Manchester     14- 3      11     5           0.00
   418 A Hopkinton               8-23     -15    -4          -0.93
   423 H Gilford                18- 5      13     4           0.55
   425 H John Stark             17- 4      13     6           0.00
   509 A Bishop Brady            7- 8      -1     0          -1.27
   512 H Laconia                 9- 6       3    -1    ++     4.26
   514 H Stevens                12- 0      12    14           0.00
   519 A Pelham                 16- 8       8     1    +      3.97
   521 A Milford                15- 1      14     8           0.00
   523 H Inter-Lakes-Moultonb   20- 6      14     5           0.00
   527 A Campbell                5- 8      -3    -2          -0.83
   528 H Bow                    10- 9       1    -2    +      3.50
   529 A Lebanon                 6-10      -4     1    --    -5.11
   605 H Kearsarge               6-12      -6    -1    --    -4.30

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   529 A Lebanon                 6-10      -4     1    --    -5.11
   605 H Kearsarge               6-12      -6    -1    --    -4.30

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   512 H Laconia                 9- 6       3    -1    ++     4.26
   519 A Pelham                 16- 8       8     1    +      3.97
   528 H Bow                    10- 9       1    -2    +      3.50

ConVal Evaluation

The team that earns the point in the pair-wise comparison is based on three criteria: 
first is head-to-head, the winner gets the point, however, if they did not play each
other, than it considers w-l versus common opponents. If their records are tied or they
have no common opponents, than the tie-breaker becomes the better power rating.
The Common Opponent Point list in the table below has the record of the winner followed by the
record of the loser for all common opponents
Opponent Who Gets
the Point?
Head-2-Head
Point
Common Opponent
Point
Power Rating
Point
Alvirne ConVal   ConVal
Bedford Bedford   Bedford
Bishop Brady Bishop Brady Bishop Brady  
Bishop Guertin Bishop Guertin   Bishop Guertin
Bow ConVal ConVal  
Campbell Campbell Campbell  
Coe-Brown Coe-Brown Coe-Brown  
Concord Concord   Concord
Derryfield Derryfield   Derryfield
Dover Dover   Dover
Exeter HS Exeter HS   Exeter HS
Gilford ConVal ConVal  
Goffstown Goffstown   Goffstown
Hanover ConVal   ConVal
Hollis-Brookline Hollis-Brookline   Hollis-Brookline
Hopkinton Hopkinton Hopkinton  
Inter-Lakes-Moultonb ConVal ConVal  
John Stark ConVal ConVal  
Kearsarge Kearsarge Kearsarge  
Keene-Monadnock ConVal   ConVal
Kennett ConVal ConVal   8- 5 vs 4- 9
Kingswood ConVal   ConVal
Laconia ConVal ConVal  
Lebanon Lebanon Lebanon  
Londonderry Londonderry   Londonderry
Manchester Memorial- ConVal   ConVal
Merrimack Merrimack   Merrimack
Merrimack Valley ConVal   ConVal
Milford ConVal ConVal  
Nashua North ConVal   ConVal
Nashua South ConVal   ConVal
Oyster River-Newmark Oyster River-Newmark   Oyster River-Newmark
Pelham ConVal ConVal  
Pembroke Academy ConVal tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) ConVal
Pinkerton Academy Pinkerton Academy   Pinkerton Academy
Plymouth Regional Plymouth Regional Plymouth Regional  12- 2 vs 8- 6
Portsmouth Portsmouth   Portsmouth
Salem ConVal   ConVal
Souhegan ConVal tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) ConVal
Spaulding ConVal tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) ConVal
St Thomas Aquinas St Thomas Aquinas   St Thomas Aquinas
Stevens ConVal ConVal  
Timberlane Timberlane   Timberlane
Trinity Manchester ConVal ConVal  
Windham Windham   Windham
Winnacunnet Winnacunnet   Winnacunnet

PowerWise = 22


division Games Only
Average number of games used in Games Correction = 16.30

 Date  Opponent          (W-L  PR)      SCORE       SAFE        SAFE       Home       No Games           SCI              
                                                    Loss        Win       Field      Correction         Points            
                                                    SLP         SWP     Advantage      Factor                       
                                                      
   0 H Trinity Manche  ( 3-11, 82.2)    14- 3      -17.70       8.89      -0.38         1.09             9.25
   0 A Hopkinton       (12- 4, 90.7)     8-23       -9.20      17.40       0.38         1.09            -9.58
   0 H Gilford         ( 6- 9, 82.9)    18- 5      -16.97       9.62      -0.38         1.09            10.05
   0 H John Stark      ( 3-11, 81.5)    17- 4      -18.40       8.20      -0.38         1.09             8.50
   0 A Bishop Brady    (10- 6, 86.4)     7- 8      -13.54      13.05       0.38         1.09           -14.31
   0 H Laconia         (11- 5, 88.6)     9- 6      -11.25      15.34      -0.38         1.09            16.26
   0 H Stevens         ( 0-14, 73.3)    12- 0      -26.60       1.00      -0.38         1.09             0.68
   0 A Pelham          ( 7- 8, 85.6)    16- 8      -14.30      12.29       0.38         1.09            13.77
   0 A Milford         ( 1-13, 78.5)    15- 1      -21.44       5.16       0.38         1.09             6.01
   0 H Inter-Lakes-Mo  ( 1-13, 82.3)    20- 6      -17.57       9.03      -0.38         1.09             9.40
   0 A Campbell        (12- 6, 88.8)     5- 8      -11.10      15.50       0.38         1.09           -11.65
   0 H Bow             (11- 4, 89.9)    10- 9      -10.02      16.58      -0.38         1.09            17.60
   0 A Lebanon         ( 8- 8, 85.5)     6-10      -14.38      12.22       0.38         1.09           -15.21
   0 A Coe-Brown       (17- 1, 93.1)     0- 1       -6.85      19.75       0.38         1.09            -7.03
   0 H Kearsarge       (10- 6, 88.1)     6-12      -11.82      14.78      -0.38         1.09           -13.25
                                                                                                        ------
                                                                                                        20.49

winning pts = 91.5174 losing points = -71.0289

             SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.

------------------------------------------------------------------------
| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
------------------------------------------------------------------------