All ratings/rankings on this page are based on the state (not league) championships.
Conf =
GAME LIST
Team Power Rating = 88.2200012 home-field advantage = -0.78 Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 314 A Paul VI (11-10, 92.1) 4- 9 318 H Catholic HS (13- 7, 85.6) 13- 4 321 H Atlee (10- 9, 82.6) 7- 4 325 H Deep Run ( 9- 8, 82.2) 13- 1 328 A Christchurch ( 9- 8, 91.1) 12-10 331 A Benedictine ( 8-10, 78.6) 12- 1 401 H Trinity Episcopal ( 1-14, 67.2) 19- 1 404 A Blue Ridge School (15- 8, 90.6) 4- 8 408 A St Stephen-St Agnes ( 3-12, 84.5) 8- 7 411 H Potomac School (10-10, 83.2) 8- 4 415 H St Joseph Collegiate ( 9-10, 75.6) 11- 1 417 A Norfolk Academy (13- 8, 85.7) 7-10 422 H Fork Union Military Ac ( 6- 5, 77.7) 18- 3 423 A Douglas Freeman (14- 6, 84.7) 10- 8 429 H Woodberry Forest ( 9- 9, 85.9) 14- 9 502 H St Christophers (17- 5, 90.4) 7-13 506 A St Annes-Belfield (18- 3, 96.2) 7-14 510 H Catholic HS (13- 7, 85.6) 12-10 515 A Blue Ridge School (15- 8, 90.6) 12-13
PREDICTION LIST
------------------------------------- |Real = actual goal margin | |Pred = predicted goal margin | |+ = slightly above prediction | |++ = above prediction | |+++ = well above prediction | |- = slightly below prediction | |-- = below prediction | |--- = well below prediction | |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) | | prediction. N/A when ten | | goal limit is exceeded | |n/a = Outside division | ------------------------------------- Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 314 A Paul VI 4- 9 -5 -4 -0.39 318 H Catholic HS 13- 4 9 3 + 3.61 321 H Atlee 7- 4 3 6 - -3.40 325 H Deep Run 13- 1 12 6 0.16 328 A Christchurch 12-10 2 -3 ++ 5.69 331 A Benedictine 12- 1 11 8 0.00 401 H Trinity Episcopal 19- 1 18 21 0.00 404 A Blue Ridge School 4- 8 -4 -3 -0.82 408 A St Stephen-St Agnes 8- 7 1 2 -1.97 411 H Potomac School 8- 4 4 5 -1.84 415 H St Joseph Collegiate 11- 1 10 13 n/a 417 A Norfolk Academy 7-10 -3 1 -- -4.70 422 H Fork Union Military Ac 18- 3 15 11 0.00 423 A Douglas Freeman 10- 8 2 2 -0.71 429 H Woodberry Forest 14- 9 5 3 1.88 502 H St Christophers 7-13 -6 -1 -- -4.56 506 A St Annes-Belfield 7-14 -7 -8 0.00 510 H Catholic HS 12-10 2 3 -1.39 515 A Blue Ridge School 12-13 -1 -3 + 2.18UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 417 A Norfolk Academy 7-10 -3 1 -- -4.70 502 H St Christophers 7-13 -6 -1 -- -4.56 321 H Atlee 7- 4 3 6 - -3.40OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 328 A Christchurch 12-10 2 -3 ++ 5.69 318 H Catholic HS 13- 4 9 3 + 3.61 515 A Blue Ridge School 12-13 -1 -3 + 2.18
RATING BASED ON POWER RATING Power Rating............. 88.22 Power Rank................. 7 SOS (PR) Rating.......... 66.84 SOS (PR) Rank.............. 8 SOS (RPI) Rating......... .6458 SOS (RPI) Rank............. 30 RPI Rating............... .6245 RPI Rank................... 18 Champ. Probability ...... 0.0 Championship Rank ......... 12 Selection sum ........... 71 Selection Rank ............ 16 Qual Win (PR) Rating..... 85. Qual Win (PR) Rank......... 5 Qual Win (RPI) Rating.... 0. Qual Win (RPI) Rank........ 23 PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING Ave Offensive Goals ..... 10.4 Ave Defensive Goals ....... 6.8 Wins/Losses(all )...... 13- 6 Ave Goal diff (all )..... 3.6 Wins/Losses(top 5)...... 1- 5 Ave Goal diff (top 5)..... -3.5 Wins/Losses(top 10)...... 2- 6 Ave Goal diff (top 10)..... -2.4 Wins/Losses(top 20)...... 6- 6 Ave Goal diff (top 20)..... -0.4 Wins/Losses(last 3)...... 1- 2 Ave Goal diff (last 3)..... -2.0