---    UPDATED: 07-28-25 17:13 PDT

safe3step boys Collegiate School 1
  
Collegiate School     
W-L: (12- 6) PR = 94.5945

Schedule/Results All Games

Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 314 A Paul VI ( 7- 3, 98.3) 4- 9 318 H Catholic HS (12- 7, 92.7) 13- 4 321 H Atlee (10- 9, 90.9) 7- 4 325 H Deep Run ( 9- 8, 90.3) 13- 1 328 A Christchurch ( 8- 5, 96.8) 12-10 331 A Benedictine ( 6- 8, 87.7) 12- 1 401 H Trinity Episcopal ( 1-14, 80.0) 19- 1 404 A Blue Ridge School (13- 3, 97.0) 4- 8 408 A St Stephen-St Agnes ( 2- 5, 92.4) 8- 7 411 H Potomac School ( 3- 6, 91.0) 8- 4 417 A Norfolk Academy (13- 6, 93.5) 7-10 422 H Fork Union Military ( 6- 5, 89.9) 18- 3 423 A Douglas Freeman (14- 6, 91.7) 10- 8 429 H Woodberry Forest ( 9- 8, 93.0) 14- 9 502 H St Christophers (15- 4, 96.2) 7-13 506 A St Annes-Belfield (14- 1, 99.9) 7-14 510 H Catholic HS (12- 7, 92.7) 12-10 515 A Blue Ridge School (13- 3, 97.0) 12-13

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction. N/A when ten  |
               |         goal limit is exceeded    |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   314 A Paul VI                 4- 9      -5    -4          -0.72
   318 H Catholic HS            13- 4       9     3    +      2.48
   321 H Atlee                   7- 4       3     4          -1.34
   325 H Deep Run               13- 1      12     5           0.08
   328 A Christchurch           12-10       2    -3    ++     4.83
   331 A Benedictine            12- 1      11     6           0.00
   401 H Trinity Episcopal      19- 1      18    15           0.00
   404 A Blue Ridge School       4- 8      -4    -3          -0.94
   408 A St Stephen-St Agnes     8- 7       1     2          -0.55
   411 H Potomac School          8- 4       4     4          -0.21
   417 A Norfolk Academy         7-10      -3     1    -     -3.51
   422 H Fork Union Military    18- 3      15     5           0.00
   423 A Douglas Freeman        10- 8       2     2          -0.28
   429 H Woodberry Forest       14- 9       5     2    +      2.80
   502 H St Christophers         7-13      -6    -1    --    -4.04
   506 A St Annes-Belfield       7-14      -7    -6           0.00
   510 H Catholic HS            12-10       2     3          -0.52
   515 A Blue Ridge School      12-13      -1    -3    +      2.06

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   502 H St Christophers         7-13      -6    -1    --    -4.04
   417 A Norfolk Academy         7-10      -3     1    -     -3.51

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   328 A Christchurch           12-10       2    -3    ++     4.83
   318 H Catholic HS            13- 4       9     3    +      2.48
   429 H Woodberry Forest       14- 9       5     2    +      2.80
   515 A Blue Ridge School      12-13      -1    -3    +      2.06

Collegiate School Evaluation

The team that earns the point in the pair-wise comparison is based on three criteria: 
first is head-to-head, the winner gets the point, however, if they did not play each
other, than it considers w-l versus common opponents. If their records are tied or they
have no common opponents, than the tie-breaker becomes the better power rating.
The Common Opponent Point list in the table below has the record of the winner followed by the
record of the loser for all common opponents
Opponent Who Gets
the Point?
Head-2-Head
Point
Common Opponent
Point
Power Rating
Point
Albemarle Collegiate School insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Collegiate School
Alexandria City Collegiate School   Collegiate School
Annandale Collegiate School   Collegiate School
Atlee Collegiate School Collegiate School  
Battlefield Collegiate School insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 0) Collegiate School
Bayside Collegiate School   Collegiate School
Benedictine Collegiate School Collegiate School  
Bishop Ireton Collegiate School insuffient: ( 2- 1)( 1- 2) Collegiate School
Bishop OConnell Collegiate School Collegiate School   2- 1 vs 0- 3
Blacksburg Collegiate School   Collegiate School
Blue Ridge School Blue Ridge School Blue Ridge School  
Brentsville Collegiate School   Collegiate School
Briar Woods Collegiate School insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 0) Collegiate School
Broad Run Collegiate School   Collegiate School
Brooke Point Collegiate School   Collegiate School
Cape Henry Collegiat Collegiate School Collegiate School   3- 1 vs 1- 3
Catholic HS Collegiate School Collegiate School  
Cave Spring Collegiate School   Collegiate School
Centreville Collegiate School   Collegiate School
Chantilly Collegiate School   Collegiate School
Charlottesville Collegiate School   Collegiate School
Christchurch Collegiate School Collegiate School  
Christiansburg Collegiate School   Collegiate School
Clover Hill Collegiate School   Collegiate School
Colgan Collegiate School   Collegiate School
Colonial Forge Collegiate School   Collegiate School
Cosby Collegiate School tied - ( 3- 0) ( 3- 0) Collegiate School
Covenant School Collegiate School insuffient: ( 2- 1)( 1- 2) Collegiate School
Cox Collegiate School   Collegiate School
Culpeper County Collegiate School   Collegiate School
Deep Run Collegiate School Collegiate School  
Dominion Collegiate School   Collegiate School
Douglas Freeman Collegiate School Collegiate School  
Eastern View Collegiate School   Collegiate School
EC Glass Collegiate School insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Collegiate School
Edison Collegiate School   Collegiate School
Episcopal Episcopal insuffient: ( 5- 3)( 6- 2) Episcopal
Eukarya Christian Collegiate School   Collegiate School
Fairfax Collegiate School   Collegiate School
Falls Church Collegiate School   Collegiate School
Fauquier Collegiate School   Collegiate School
First Colonial Collegiate School   Collegiate School
Fishburne Military A Collegiate School   Collegiate School
Flint Hill Collegiate School Collegiate School   3- 0 vs 1- 2
Fluvanna County Collegiate School   Collegiate School
Forest Park Collegiate School   Collegiate School
Fork Union Military Collegiate School Collegiate School  
Franklin County Collegiate School   Collegiate School
Fredericksburg Acade Collegiate School   Collegiate School
Fredericksburg Chris Collegiate School   Collegiate School
Freedom South Ridin Collegiate School   Collegiate School
Freedom Woodbridge Collegiate School   Collegiate School
Gainesville Collegiate School   Collegiate School
Gar-field Collegiate School   Collegiate School
Glen Allen Collegiate School Collegiate School   2- 0 vs 0- 2
Goochland Collegiate School   Collegiate School
Grafton LC Collegiate School   Collegiate School
Grassfield LC Collegiate School   Collegiate School
Green Run Collegiate School   Collegiate School
Handley Collegiate School   Collegiate School
Hanover Collegiate School Collegiate School   2- 0 vs 0- 2
Hayfield Collegiate School   Collegiate School
Heritage Leesburg Collegiate School   Collegiate School
Herndon Collegiate School   Collegiate School
Hickory LC Collegiate School   Collegiate School
Hidden Valley Collegiate School   Collegiate School
Highland School Collegiate School   Collegiate School
Highland Springs Collegiate School   Collegiate School
Hylton Collegiate School   Collegiate School
Independence Collegiate School insuffient: ( 2- 0)( 1- 0) Collegiate School
James Monroe Collegiate School   Collegiate School
James River Collegiate School insuffient: ( 2- 0)( 1- 1) Collegiate School
Jamestown LC Collegiate School   Collegiate School
Jefferson Forest Collegiate School   Collegiate School
John Champe Collegiate School   Collegiate School
Justice Collegiate School   Collegiate School
Kellam Collegiate School Collegiate School   2- 0 vs 0- 2
Kempsville Collegiate School   Collegiate School
Kettle Run Collegiate School   Collegiate School
Lafayette LC Collegiate School   Collegiate School
Lake Braddock Collegiate School   Collegiate School
Landstown Collegiate School   Collegiate School
Langley Collegiate School   Collegiate School
Lewis Collegiate School   Collegiate School
Liberty Bealeton Collegiate School   Collegiate School
Lightridge Collegiate School   Collegiate School
Lloyd C Bird Collegiate School   Collegiate School
Lord Botetourt Collegiate School   Collegiate School
Loudoun County Collegiate School   Collegiate School
Loudoun Valley Collegiate School   Collegiate School
Madison Collegiate School   Collegiate School
Manchester Collegiate School insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Collegiate School
Marshall Collegiate School   Collegiate School
Massaponax Collegiate School   Collegiate School
Matoaca Collegiate School   Collegiate School
Maury LC Collegiate School   Collegiate School
McLean Collegiate School   Collegiate School
Mechanicsville Collegiate School insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Collegiate School
Menchville LC Collegiate School   Collegiate School
Meridian Collegiate School   Collegiate School
Midlothian Collegiate School Collegiate School   3- 0 vs 0- 3
Mills Godwin Collegiate School Collegiate School   2- 0 vs 0- 2
Monacan Collegiate School insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Collegiate School
Monticello Collegiate School   Collegiate School
Mount Vernon Collegiate School   Collegiate School
Mountain View Collegiate School   Collegiate School
Nansemond-Suffolk Ac Collegiate School insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 0- 2) Collegiate School
New Covenant School Collegiate School insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 0- 2) Collegiate School
Norfolk Academy Norfolk Academy Norfolk Academy  
Norfolk Christian Collegiate School Collegiate School   2- 1 vs 0- 3
Norfolk Collegiate Collegiate School Collegiate School   2- 1 vs 0- 3
North Cross School Collegiate School Collegiate School   2- 1 vs 0- 3
North Stafford Collegiate School   Collegiate School
Northern VA Home Sch Collegiate School   Collegiate School
Oakton Collegiate School   Collegiate School
Ocean Lakes Collegiate School   Collegiate School
Orange County Collegiate School   Collegiate School
Osbourn Collegiate School   Collegiate School
Osbourn Park Collegiate School   Collegiate School
Park View Collegiate School   Collegiate School
Patrick Henry Ashla Collegiate School insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Collegiate School
Patrick Henry Roano Collegiate School insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Collegiate School
Patriot Collegiate School   Collegiate School
Paul VI Paul VI Paul VI  
Potomac Falls Collegiate School   Collegiate School
Potomac School Collegiate School Collegiate School  
Potomac-Dumfries Collegiate School   Collegiate School
Powhatan Collegiate School   Collegiate School
Princess Anne Collegiate School   Collegiate School
Riverbend Collegiate School   Collegiate School
Riverside Collegiate School tied - ( 1- 1) ( 1- 1) Collegiate School
Robinson Collegiate School   Collegiate School
Rock Ridge Collegiate School   Collegiate School
Rockbridge County Collegiate School   Collegiate School
Rockingham LC Collegiate School   Collegiate School
Salem Collegiate School insuffient: ( 2- 1)( 1- 2) Collegiate School
Salem Virginia Beach Collegiate School   Collegiate School
Seton School Collegiate School insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Collegiate School
South County Collegiate School   Collegiate School
South Lakes Collegiate School   Collegiate School
St Annes-Belfield St Annes-Belfield St Annes-Belfield  
St Christophers St Christophers St Christophers  
St John Paul the Gre Collegiate School insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Collegiate School
St Stephen-St Agnes Collegiate School Collegiate School  
Stafford Collegiate School   Collegiate School
Steward School Collegiate School insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 0- 2) Collegiate School
Stone Bridge Collegiate School   Collegiate School
Strasburg LC Collegiate School   Collegiate School
Tabb LC Collegiate School   Collegiate School
Tallwood Collegiate School   Collegiate School
Tandem Friends Collegiate School   Collegiate School
Thomas Dale Collegiate School   Collegiate School
Thomas Jefferson Collegiate School   Collegiate School
Trinity Christian Collegiate School   Collegiate School
Trinity Episcopal Collegiate School Collegiate School  
Trinity Meadow View Collegiate School tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) Collegiate School
Tuscarora Collegiate School   Collegiate School
Unity Reed Collegiate School   Collegiate School
Veritas School Collegiate School   Collegiate School
Virginia Academy Collegiate School   Collegiate School
Virginia Episcopal S Collegiate School insuffient: ( 2- 1)( 1- 2) Collegiate School
Wakefield HS Collegiate School   Collegiate School
Wakefield School Collegiate School   Collegiate School
Washington-Liberty Collegiate School   Collegiate School
West Potomac Collegiate School   Collegiate School
West Springfield Collegiate School   Collegiate School
Western Albemarle Collegiate School insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Collegiate School
Westfield Collegiate School   Collegiate School
William Byrd Collegiate School   Collegiate School
William Fleming Collegiate School   Collegiate School
Woodberry Forest Collegiate School Collegiate School  
Woodbridge Collegiate School   Collegiate School
Woodgrove Collegiate School   Collegiate School
Woodson Collegiate School   Collegiate School
York LC Collegiate School   Collegiate School
Yorktown Collegiate School tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) Collegiate School

PowerWise = 170


division Games Only
Average number of games used in Games Correction = 13.94

 Date  Opponent          (W-L  PR)      SCORE       SAFE        SAFE       Home       No Games           SCI              
                                                    Loss        Win       Field      Correction         Points            
                                                    SLP         SWP     Advantage      Factor                       
                                                      
   0 A Paul VI         ( 7- 3, 98.3)     4- 9       -1.63      33.37       0.61         0.77            -0.79
   0 H Catholic HS     (12- 7, 92.7)    13- 4       -7.21      27.79      -0.61         0.77            21.05
   0 H Atlee           (10- 9, 90.9)     7- 4       -9.04      25.96      -0.61         0.77            19.64
   0 H Deep Run        ( 9- 8, 90.3)    13- 1       -9.62      25.38      -0.61         0.77            19.19
   0 A Christchurch    ( 8- 5, 96.8)    12-10       -3.09      31.91       0.61         0.77            25.19
   0 A Benedictine     ( 6- 8, 87.7)    12- 1      -12.22      22.78       0.61         0.77            18.12
   0 H Trinity Episco  ( 1-14, 80.0)    19- 1      -19.89      15.11      -0.61         0.77            11.23
   0 A Blue Ridge Sch  (13- 3, 97.0)     4- 8       -2.86      32.14       0.61         0.77            -1.74
   0 A St Stephen-St   ( 2- 5, 92.4)     8- 7       -7.47      27.53       0.61         0.77            21.80
   0 H Potomac School  ( 3- 6, 91.0)     8- 4       -8.90      26.10      -0.61         0.77            19.75
   0 A Norfolk Academ  (13- 6, 93.5)     7-10       -6.42      28.58       0.61         0.77            -4.51
   0 H Fork Union Mil  ( 6- 5, 89.9)    18- 3      -10.00      25.00      -0.61         0.77            18.90
   0 A Douglas Freema  (14- 6, 91.7)    10- 8       -8.19      26.81       0.61         0.77            21.24
   0 H Woodberry Fore  ( 9- 8, 93.0)    14- 9       -6.90      28.11      -0.61         0.77            21.30
   0 H St Christopher  (15- 4, 96.2)     7-13       -3.74      31.26      -0.61         0.77            -3.37
   0 A St Annes-Belfi  (14- 1, 99.9)     7-14       -0.00      35.00       0.61         0.77            -0.47
   0 H Catholic HS     (12- 7, 92.7)    12-10       -7.21      27.79      -0.61         0.77            21.05
   0 A Blue Ridge Sch  (13- 3, 97.0)    12-13       -2.86      32.14       0.61         0.77            -1.74
                                                                                                        ------
                                                                                                       225.84

winning pts = 238.4674 losing points = -12.6236

             SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.

------------------------------------------------------------------------
| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
------------------------------------------------------------------------