Concord
W-L: ( 8-10) PR = 88.3425Schedule/Results All Games
Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 414 H Keene-Monadnock ( 3-12, 84.0) 7- 2 418 A Exeter HS (11- 6, 94.3) 4-19 421 H Windham ( 6-10, 87.1) 7-15 425 H Nashua South ( 8-11, 86.2) 5- 7 428 H Hollis-Brookline (13- 6, 89.9) 12-11 429 A Bishop Guertin (15- 0, 99.9) 4-21 430 A Keene-Monadnock ( 3-12, 84.0) 7- 6 502 A St Thomas Aquinas (13- 6, 90.4) 9-10 505 H Bedford (13- 3, 96.0) 3-16 509 A Salem ( 5-10, 85.1) 10- 5 512 H Merrimack (10- 6, 91.4) 2- 8 513 H Manchester Memorial- ( 3-12, 84.6) 11- 5 515 A Derryfield (18- 1, 93.0) 3-15 516 A Nashua North ( 1-17, 82.5) 14- 7 519 A Pinkerton Academy (15- 2, 96.5) 1-17 521 A Dover ( 9-11, 87.6) 13- 8 528 H Londonderry (10- 8, 90.5) 10- 7 607 A Bishop Guertin (15- 0, 99.9) 2-19
PREDICTION LIST
-------------------------------------
|Real = actual goal margin |
|Pred = predicted goal margin |
|+ = slightly above prediction |
|++ = above prediction |
|+++ = well above prediction |
|- = slightly below prediction |
|-- = below prediction |
|--- = well below prediction |
|Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) |
| prediction. N/A when ten |
| goal limit is exceeded |
|n/a = Outside division |
-------------------------------------
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
414 H Keene-Monadnock 7- 2 5 5 0.33
418 A Exeter HS 4-19 -15 -6 0.00
421 H Windham 7-15 -8 2 --- -6.62
425 H Nashua South 5- 7 -2 2 -- -4.49
428 H Hollis-Brookline 12-11 1 -1 + 2.15
429 A Bishop Guertin 4-21 -17 -12 0.00
430 A Keene-Monadnock 7- 6 1 4 - -2.92
502 A St Thomas Aquinas 9-10 -1 -2 1.46
505 H Bedford 3-16 -13 -7 0.00
509 A Salem 10- 5 5 3 + 2.17
512 H Merrimack 2- 8 -6 -3 - -2.30
513 H Manchester Memorial- 11- 5 6 4 0.93
515 A Derryfield 3-15 -12 -5 -0.01
516 A Nashua North 14- 7 7 5 0.00
519 A Pinkerton Academy 1-17 -16 -9 0.00
521 A Dover 13- 8 5 0 ++ 4.59
528 H Londonderry 10- 7 3 -2 ++ 4.82
607 A Bishop Guertin 2-19 -17 -12 0.00
|
UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 421 H Windham 7-15 -8 2 --- -6.62 425 H Nashua South 5- 7 -2 2 -- -4.49 430 A Keene-Monadnock 7- 6 1 4 - -2.92 512 H Merrimack 2- 8 -6 -3 - -2.30 |
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 521 A Dover 13- 8 5 0 ++ 4.59 528 H Londonderry 10- 7 3 -2 ++ 4.82 428 H Hollis-Brookline 12-11 1 -1 + 2.15 509 A Salem 10- 5 5 3 + 2.17 |
Concord Evaluation
The team that earns the point in the pair-wise comparison is based on three criteria:
first is head-to-head, the winner gets the point, however, if they did not play each
other, than it considers w-l versus common opponents. If their records are tied or they
have no common opponents, than the tie-breaker becomes the better power rating.
The Common Opponent Point list in the table below has the record of the winner followed by the
record of the loser for all common opponents
| Opponent | Who Gets the Point? | Head-2-Head Point |
Common Opponent Point |
Power Rating Point |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alvirne | Concord | Concord 2- 3 vs 0- 5 | ||
| Bedford | Bedford | Bedford | ||
| Bishop Brady | Concord | Concord | ||
| Bishop Guertin | Bishop Guertin | Bishop Guertin | ||
| Bow | Bow | Bow | ||
| Campbell | Campbell | Campbell | ||
| Coe-Brown | Coe-Brown | Coe-Brown | ||
| ConVal | Concord | Concord | ||
| Derryfield | Derryfield | Derryfield | ||
| Dover | Concord | Concord | ||
| Exeter HS | Exeter HS | Exeter HS | ||
| Gilford | Concord | Concord | ||
| Goffstown | Concord | tied - ( 1- 3) ( 1- 3) | Concord | |
| Hanover | Concord | insuffient: ( 1- 2)( 0- 3) | Concord | |
| Hollis-Brookline | Concord | Concord | ||
| Hopkinton | Hopkinton | Hopkinton | ||
| Inter-Lakes-Moultonb | Concord | Concord | ||
| John Stark | Concord | Concord | ||
| Kearsarge | Concord | Concord | ||
| Keene-Monadnock | Concord | Concord | ||
| Kennett | Concord | Concord | ||
| Kingswood | Concord | insuffient: ( 1- 2)( 0- 3) | Concord | |
| Laconia | Laconia | Laconia | ||
| Lebanon | Concord | Concord | ||
| Londonderry | Concord | Concord | ||
| Manchester Memorial- | Concord | Concord | ||
| Merrimack | Merrimack | Merrimack | ||
| Merrimack Valley | Concord | insuffient: ( 2- 2)( 1- 3) | Concord | |
| Milford | Concord | Concord | ||
| Nashua North | Concord | Concord | ||
| Nashua South | Nashua South | Nashua South | ||
| Oyster River-Newmark | Concord | Concord 2- 2 vs 0- 4 | ||
| Pelham | Concord | Concord | ||
| Pembroke Academy | Concord | insuffient: ( 1- 2)( 0- 3) | Concord | |
| Pinkerton Academy | Pinkerton Academy | Pinkerton Academy | ||
| Plymouth Regional | Plymouth Regional | Plymouth Regional | ||
| Portsmouth | Portsmouth | insuffient: ( 2- 4)( 3- 3) | Portsmouth | |
| Salem | Concord | Concord | ||
| Souhegan | Concord | Concord 2- 3 vs 0- 5 | ||
| Spaulding | Concord | Concord 2- 2 vs 0- 4 | ||
| St Thomas Aquinas | St Thomas Aquinas | St Thomas Aquinas | ||
| Stevens | Concord | Concord | ||
| Timberlane | Timberlane | tied - ( 3- 2) ( 3- 2) | Timberlane | |
| Trinity Manchester | Concord | Concord | ||
| Windham | Windham | Windham | ||
| Winnacunnet | Winnacunnet | tied - ( 2- 2) ( 2- 2) | Winnacunnet |
PowerWise = 28
division Games OnlyAverage number of games used in Games Correction = 16.30
Date Opponent (W-L PR) SCORE SAFE SAFE Home No Games SCI
Loss Win Field Correction Points
SLP SWP Advantage Factor
0 H Keene-Monadnoc ( 3-12, 84.0) 7- 2 -15.85 10.74 -0.38 0.91 9.39
0 A Exeter HS (11- 6, 94.3) 4-19 -5.63 20.96 0.38 0.91 -4.76
0 H Windham ( 6-10, 87.1) 7-15 -12.80 13.79 -0.38 0.91 -11.93
0 H Nashua South ( 8-11, 86.2) 5- 7 -13.67 12.93 -0.38 0.91 -12.72
0 H Hollis-Brookli (13- 6, 89.9) 12-11 -10.03 16.56 -0.38 0.91 14.65
0 A Bishop Guertin (15- 0, 99.9) 4-21 -0.00 26.60 0.38 0.91 -0.34
0 A Keene-Monadnoc ( 3-12, 84.0) 7- 6 -15.85 10.74 0.38 0.91 10.07
0 A St Thomas Aqui (13- 6, 90.4) 9-10 -9.47 17.12 0.38 0.91 -8.24
0 H Bedford (13- 3, 96.0) 3-16 -3.91 22.68 -0.38 0.91 -3.88
0 A Salem ( 5-10, 85.1) 10- 5 -14.76 11.83 0.38 0.91 11.06
0 H Merrimack (10- 6, 91.4) 2- 8 -8.48 18.12 -0.38 0.91 -8.02
0 H Manchester Mem ( 3-12, 84.6) 11- 5 -15.25 11.34 -0.38 0.91 9.93
0 A Derryfield (18- 1, 93.0) 3-15 -6.94 19.66 0.38 0.91 -5.94
0 A Nashua North ( 1-17, 82.5) 14- 7 -17.43 9.17 0.38 0.91 8.64
0 A Pinkerton Acad (15- 2, 96.5) 1-17 -3.40 23.20 0.38 0.91 -2.73
0 A Dover ( 9-11, 87.6) 13- 8 -12.34 14.26 0.38 0.91 13.25
0 H Londonderry (10- 8, 90.5) 10- 7 -9.36 17.23 -0.38 0.91 15.26
0 A Bishop Guertin (15- 0, 99.9) 2-19 -0.00 26.60 0.38 0.91 -0.34
------
33.34
|
winning pts = 92.2451 losing points = -58.9070
SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.
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| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
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