Conard
W-L: (16- 5) PR = 89.6400Schedule/Results All Games
Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 408 A Somers (20- 2, 86.8) 11- 5 410 H Berlin ( 6-10, 75.2) 17- 2 411 H Daniel Hand (13- 8, 89.0) 11-13 416 A South Windsor ( 8- 9, 79.8) 16- 5 422 H Avon HS ( 4-12, 80.2) 13- 4 424 A Northwest Catholic ( 8- 9, 82.7) 11- 4 426 H East Lyme (15- 4, 83.6) 14- 6 429 H Farmington (10- 9, 83.0) 18- 6 503 H Cheshire HS (14- 4, 94.3) 5- 8 506 A Wethersfield ( 7-11, 80.9) 13- 4 510 A Southington (11- 7, 88.1) 15- 8 512 A Simsbury ( 8-10, 86.0) 13- 8 513 A Trumbull ( 9- 8, 87.7) 9- 8 515 H East Catholic ( 8- 9, 83.0) 15- 4 519 A Glastonbury (14- 2, 95.3) 3-12 521 H Hall ( 7- 9, 82.7) 10- 5 527 H Southington (11- 7, 88.1) 11-10 529 N Glastonbury (14- 2, 95.3) 7-18 604 H Wethersfield ( 7-11, 80.9) 17- 3 607 H Simsbury ( 8-10, 86.0) 16-14 611 N Fairfield Ludlowe (15- 5, 94.5) 7-17
PREDICTION LIST
-------------------------------------
|Real = actual goal margin |
|Pred = predicted goal margin |
|+ = slightly above prediction |
|++ = above prediction |
|+++ = well above prediction |
|- = slightly below prediction |
|-- = below prediction |
|--- = well below prediction |
|Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) |
| prediction. N/A when ten |
| goal limit is exceeded |
|n/a = Outside division |
-------------------------------------
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
408 A Somers 11- 5 6 2 + 2.62
410 H Berlin 17- 2 15 15 0.00
411 H Daniel Hand 11-13 -2 1 - -3.15
416 A South Windsor 16- 5 11 9 0.00
422 H Avon HS 13- 4 9 10 0.00
424 A Northwest Catholic 11- 4 7 6 0.00
426 H East Lyme 14- 6 8 7 0.00
429 H Farmington 18- 6 12 7 0.00
503 H Cheshire HS 5- 8 -3 -4 1.18
506 A Wethersfield 13- 4 9 8 0.00
510 A Southington 15- 8 7 1 + 3.89
512 A Simsbury 13- 8 5 3 1.79
513 A Trumbull 9- 8 1 2 -0.50
515 H East Catholic 15- 4 11 7 0.00
519 A Glastonbury 3-12 -9 -6 0.00
521 H Hall 10- 5 5 7 0.00
527 H Southington 11-10 1 2 -1.06
529 N Glastonbury 7-18 -11 -6 0.00
604 H Wethersfield 17- 3 14 9 0.00
607 H Simsbury 16-14 2 4 - -2.16
611 N Fairfield Ludlowe 7-17 -10 -5 -0.13
|
UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 411 H Daniel Hand 11-13 -2 1 - -3.15 607 H Simsbury 16-14 2 4 - -2.16 |
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 408 A Somers 11- 5 6 2 + 2.62 510 A Southington 15- 8 7 1 + 3.89 |
Conard Evaluation
The team that earns the point in the pair-wise comparison is based on three criteria:
first is head-to-head, the winner gets the point, however, if they did not play each
other, than it considers w-l versus common opponents. If their records are tied or they
have no common opponents, than the tie-breaker becomes the better power rating.
The Common Opponent Point list in the table below has the record of the winner followed by the
record of the loser for all common opponents
| Opponent | Who Gets the Point? | Head-2-Head Point |
Common Opponent Point |
Power Rating Point |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Amity Regional | Conard | tied - ( 0- 2) ( 0- 2) | Conard | |
| Avon HS | Conard | Conard | ||
| Bacon Academy | Conard | Conard 3- 0 vs 1- 2 | ||
| Berlin | Conard | Conard | ||
| Bethel | Conard | tied - ( 1- 1) ( 1- 1) | Conard | |
| Branford | Conard | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Conard | |
| Brien McMahon | Conard | Conard 2- 0 vs 0- 3 | ||
| Bristol Co-Op | Conard | insuffient: ( 2- 0)( 1- 1) | Conard | |
| Brookfield | Conard | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 2) | Conard | |
| Bunnell-Stratford | Conard | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Conard | |
| Canton | Conard | Conard 4- 0 vs 2- 2 | ||
| Capital-Classical Pr | Conard | Conard | ||
| Cheshire HS | Cheshire HS | Cheshire HS | ||
| Cromwell | Conard | Conard | ||
| Danbury | Conard | Conard 2- 0 vs 0- 3 | ||
| Daniel Hand | Daniel Hand | Daniel Hand | ||
| Darien | Darien | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | Darien | |
| East Catholic | Conard | Conard | ||
| East Lyme | Conard | Conard | ||
| Ellington | Conard | Conard 3- 0 vs 1- 2 | ||
| Enfield | Conard | Conard 3- 0 vs 0- 3 | ||
| EO Smith | Conard | Conard 2- 0 vs 0- 2 | ||
| Fairfield Ludlowe | Fairfield Ludlowe | Fairfield Ludlowe | ||
| Fairfield Prep | Fairfield Prep | Fairfield Prep 2- 0 vs 0- 2 | ||
| Fairfield Warde | Conard | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 2) | Conard | |
| Farmington | Conard | Conard | ||
| Fitch Groton | Conard | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Conard | |
| Foran | Conard | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Conard | |
| Glastonbury | Glastonbury | Glastonbury | ||
| Granby Memorial | Conard | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Conard | |
| Greenwich HS | Greenwich HS | insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 2- 1) | Greenwich HS | |
| Guilford | Conard | insuffient: ( 4- 2)( 3- 3) | Conard | |
| Haddam-Killingworth | Conard | Conard | ||
| Hall | Conard | Conard | ||
| Hamden | Conard | Conard | ||
| Holy Cross | Conard | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Conard | |
| Immaculate Danbury | Conard | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | Conard | |
| Joel Barlow | Conard | insuffient: ( 1- 2)( 2- 1) | Conard | |
| Jonathan Law | Conard | Conard | ||
| Lakeview United | Conard | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Conard | |
| Ledyard-Griswold | Conard | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Conard | |
| Lewis Mills | Conard | Conard 7- 0 vs 3- 4 | ||
| Lyman Hall | Conard | Conard | ||
| Maloney-Platt | Conard | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Conard | |
| Masuk | Conard | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Conard | |
| Middletown | Conard | Conard | ||
| Montville | Conard | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Conard | |
| Morgan School | Conard | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Conard | |
| New Canaan | New Canaan | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | New Canaan | |
| New Fairfield | New Fairfield | tied - ( 3- 1) ( 3- 0) | New Fairfield | |
| New Milford | Conard | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Conard | |
| Newington | Conard | Conard 7- 0 vs 2- 5 | ||
| Newtown | Conard | Conard 3- 0 vs 1- 3 | ||
| North Branford | Conard | Conard | ||
| North Haven | Conard | insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 0- 2) | Conard | |
| Northwest Catholic | Conard | Conard | ||
| Norwalk | Conard | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 2) | Conard | |
| Norwich Free Academy | Conard | Conard 2- 0 vs 0- 2 | ||
| Norwich Tech | Conard | Conard | ||
| Notre Dame-Fairfield | Conard | Conard | ||
| Notre Dame-West Have | Notre Dame-West Have | insuffient: ( 2- 2)( 3- 1) | Notre Dame-West Have | |
| Old Lyme | Conard | Conard | ||
| Old Saybrook | Conard | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Conard | |
| Pomperaug | Conard | Conard 2- 0 vs 0- 2 | ||
| Prince-Cheney Tech | Conard | Conard | ||
| RHAM | Conard | Conard 7- 2 vs 4- 5 | ||
| Ridgefield | Ridgefield | Ridgefield 2- 0 vs 0- 1 | ||
| Rockville Co-op | Conard | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Conard | |
| Rocky Hill | Conard | Conard 2- 0 vs 0- 2 | ||
| Sheehan | Conard | insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 0- 2) | Conard | |
| Shelton | Conard | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Conard | |
| Simsbury | Conard | Conard | ||
| Somers | Conard | Conard | ||
| South Windsor | Conard | Conard | ||
| Southington | Conard | Conard | ||
| St Bernard-Wheeler | Conard | insuffient: ( 2- 0)( 1- 1) | Conard | |
| St Joseph Trumbull | St Joseph Trumbull | insuffient: ( 2- 1)( 3- 1) | St Joseph Trumbull | |
| St Paul Catholic | Conard | Conard 3- 0 vs 0- 3 | ||
| Stamford | Conard | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 2) | Conard | |
| Staples | Staples | insuffient: ( 0- 0)( 1- 0) | Staples | |
| Stonington | Conard | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Conard | |
| Suffield | Conard | insuffient: ( 3- 0)( 2- 1) | Conard | |
| Tolland | Conard | Conard 6- 0 vs 0- 6 | ||
| Trumbull | Conard | Conard | ||
| Valley Regional | Conard | Conard | ||
| Vinal/Goodwin Tech | Conard | Conard | ||
| Waterford | Conard | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Conard | |
| Watertown | Conard | Conard | ||
| West Haven | Conard | Conard | ||
| Westhill | Conard | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 2) | Conard | |
| Weston | Conard | insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 0- 2) | Conard | |
| Wethersfield | Conard | Conard | ||
| Wilbur Cross | Conard | Conard | ||
| Wilton | Wilton | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 2) | Wilton | |
| Windsor | Conard | tied - ( 0- 0) ( 0- 1) | Conard | |
| Wolcott | Conard | Conard | ||
| Woodstock Academy | Conard | Conard 2- 0 vs 0- 2 | ||
| Xavier | Conard | Conard 5- 2 vs 3- 4 |
PowerWise = 84
division Games OnlyAverage number of games used in Games Correction = 17.01
Date Opponent (W-L PR) SCORE SAFE SAFE Home No Games SCI
Loss Win Field Correction Points
SLP SWP Advantage Factor
0 A Somers (20- 2, 86.8) 11- 5 -13.11 27.14 0.47 0.81 22.37
0 H Berlin ( 6-10, 75.2) 17- 2 -24.74 15.51 -0.47 0.81 12.18
0 H Daniel Hand (13- 8, 89.0) 11-13 -10.94 29.31 -0.47 0.81 -9.25
0 A South Windsor ( 8- 9, 79.8) 16- 5 -20.13 20.13 0.47 0.81 16.69
0 H Avon HS ( 4-12, 80.2) 13- 4 -19.72 20.54 -0.47 0.81 16.25
0 A Northwest Cath ( 8- 9, 82.7) 11- 4 -17.20 23.06 0.47 0.81 19.06
0 H East Lyme (15- 4, 83.6) 14- 6 -16.31 23.94 -0.47 0.81 19.01
0 H Farmington (10- 9, 83.0) 18- 6 -16.92 23.34 -0.47 0.81 18.52
0 H Cheshire HS (14- 4, 94.3) 5- 8 -5.60 34.65 -0.47 0.81 -4.92
0 A Wethersfield ( 7-11, 80.9) 13- 4 -19.02 21.24 0.47 0.81 17.59
0 A Southington (11- 7, 88.1) 15- 8 -11.84 28.41 0.47 0.81 23.40
0 A Simsbury ( 8-10, 86.0) 13- 8 -13.94 26.31 0.47 0.81 21.70
0 A Trumbull ( 9- 8, 87.7) 9- 8 -12.24 28.02 0.47 0.81 23.08
0 H East Catholic ( 8- 9, 83.0) 15- 4 -16.87 23.39 -0.47 0.81 18.56
0 A Glastonbury (14- 2, 95.3) 3-12 -4.61 35.64 0.47 0.81 -3.35
0 H Hall ( 7- 9, 82.7) 10- 5 -17.19 23.07 -0.47 0.81 18.30
0 H Southington (11- 7, 88.1) 11-10 -11.84 28.41 -0.47 0.81 22.63
0 N Glastonbury (14- 2, 95.3) 7-18 -4.61 35.64 -0.00 0.81 -3.74
0 H Wethersfield ( 7-11, 80.9) 17- 3 -19.02 21.24 -0.47 0.81 16.82
0 H Simsbury ( 8-10, 86.0) 16-14 -13.94 26.31 -0.47 0.81 20.93
0 N Fairfield Ludl (15- 5, 94.5) 7-17 -5.39 34.86 -0.00 0.81 -4.37
------
281.45
|
winning pts = 307.0803 losing points = -25.6291
SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.
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| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
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