---    UPDATED: 07-28-25 23:52 PDT

safe3step boys Colonial 1
  
Colonial              
W-L: ( 4-10) PR = 70.1089

Schedule/Results All Games

Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 212 A Timber Creek (13- 7, 86.3) 2-20 213 H Melbourne Central Ca (10- 6, 79.3) 1-12 218 H East River (11- 6, 78.3) 0-16 221 H Boone ( 7- 9, 83.7) 0-18 226 H Freedom Orlando ( 0-11, 65.2) 8- 4 227 H Horizon ( 8- 9, 75.5) 3-10 304 A St Cloud ( 4- 9, 73.7) 3-13 305 H Lyman ( 9- 9, 75.0) 1-13 311 H University Orlando ( 1- 8, 68.3) 7- 6 313 A Foundation Academy (11- 7, 78.8) 2-19 324 H South Lake ( 3-12, 70.2) 0-11 328 H Ocoee ( 2-15, 68.0) 6- 2 331 A Dr Phillips ( 3-12, 72.3) 8- 6 404 H East Ridge ( 7-10, 75.9) 8- 9

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction. N/A when ten  |
               |         goal limit is exceeded    |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   212 A Timber Creek            2-20     -18   -17           0.00
   213 H Melbourne Central Ca    1-12     -11    -9           0.00
   218 H East River              0-16     -16    -8           0.00
   221 H Boone                   0-18     -18   -13           0.00
   226 H Freedom  Orlando        8- 4       4     6          -1.00
   227 H Horizon                 3-10      -7    -5          -0.23
   304 A St Cloud                3-13     -10    -4          -0.86
   305 H Lyman                   1-13     -12    -4          -0.70
   311 H University Orlando      7- 6       1     2          -1.44
   313 A Foundation Academy      2-19     -17    -9           0.00
   324 H South Lake              0-11     -11     0    --    -5.49
   328 H Ocoee                   6- 2       4     3           1.32
   331 A Dr Phillips             8- 6       2    -3    ++     4.76
   404 H East Ridge              8- 9      -1    -5    ++     4.00

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   324 H South Lake              0-11     -11     0    --    -5.49

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   331 A Dr Phillips             8- 6       2    -3    ++     4.76
   404 H East Ridge              8- 9      -1    -5    ++     4.00

Colonial Evaluation

The team that earns the point in the pair-wise comparison is based on three criteria: 
first is head-to-head, the winner gets the point, however, if they did not play each
other, than it considers w-l versus common opponents. If their records are tied or they
have no common opponents, than the tie-breaker becomes the better power rating.
The Common Opponent Point list in the table below has the record of the winner followed by the
record of the loser for all common opponents
Opponent Who Gets
the Point?
Head-2-Head
Point
Common Opponent
Point
Power Rating
Point
Admiral Farragut Aca Admiral Farragut Aca   Admiral Farragut Aca
All Saints Academy All Saints Academy insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) All Saints Academy
Alonso Alonso   Alonso
American Heritage De American Heritage De   American Heritage De
American Heritage Pl American Heritage Pl   American Heritage Pl
Angeline Academy Colonial   Colonial
Apopka Apopka Apopka   6- 1 vs 2- 5
Archbishop McCarthy Archbishop McCarthy   Archbishop McCarthy
Atlantic Coast Atlantic Coast   Atlantic Coast
Atlantic-Delray Beac Atlantic-Delray Beac   Atlantic-Delray Beac
Aubrey Rogers Aubrey Rogers   Aubrey Rogers
Barron Collier Barron Collier   Barron Collier
Bartow Bartow   Bartow
Bartram Trail Bartram Trail   Bartram Trail
Beachside Beachside   Beachside
Belen Jesuit Belen Jesuit   Belen Jesuit
Benjamin School Benjamin School   Benjamin School
Berkeley Prep Berkeley Prep   Berkeley Prep
Bishop McLaughlin Colonial   Colonial
Bishop Moore Bishop Moore   Bishop Moore
Bishop Verot Bishop Verot   Bishop Verot
Bloomingdale Bloomingdale   Bloomingdale
Boca Ciega Colonial   Colonial
Boca Raton Boca Raton   Boca Raton
Bolles Bolles insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Bolles
Boone Boone Boone  
Bradenton Christian Bradenton Christian   Bradenton Christian
Buchholz Buchholz   Buchholz
Calvary Christian Ac Calvary Christian Ac   Calvary Christian Ac
Calvary Christian HS Calvary Christian HS   Calvary Christian HS
Canterbury School Canterbury School   Canterbury School
Cardinal Gibbons Cardinal Gibbons   Cardinal Gibbons
Cardinal Mooney Cardinal Mooney   Cardinal Mooney
Cardinal Newman Cardinal Newman   Cardinal Newman
Celebration Celebration Celebration   5- 1 vs 1- 5
Chiles Chiles   Chiles
Clearwater Central C Clearwater Central C   Clearwater Central C
Cocoa Beach Cocoa Beach tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Cocoa Beach
Columbus Catholic Columbus Catholic insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Columbus Catholic
Community School-Nap Community School-Nap   Community School-Nap
Cooper City Cooper City   Cooper City
Coral Glades Coral Glades   Coral Glades
Coral Reef Coral Reef   Coral Reef
Coral Shores Coral Shores   Coral Shores
Coral Springs Colonial   Colonial
Countryside Countryside   Countryside
Creekside Creekside   Creekside
Cypress Bay Cypress Bay   Cypress Bay
Cypress Creek Cypress Creek   Cypress Creek
Cypress Lake Cypress Lake   Cypress Lake
Dr Phillips Colonial Colonial  
Durant Durant   Durant
Dwyer Dwyer   Dwyer
East Lake East Lake   East Lake
East Ridge East Ridge East Ridge  
East River East River East River  
Eastside Eastside   Eastside
Edgewater Edgewater Edgewater   5- 1 vs 3- 3
Edgewood Edgewood tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Edgewood
Episcopal Jacksonvi Episcopal Jacksonvi   Episcopal Jacksonvi
Estero Estero   Estero
Evans Evans   Evans
Father Lopez Colonial tied - ( 0- 2) ( 0- 2) Colonial
Fernandina Beach Fernandina Beach   Fernandina Beach
First Academy First Academy First Academy   2- 1 vs 0- 3
Flagler Palm Coast Flagler Palm Coast   Flagler Palm Coast
Fleming Island Fleming Island   Fleming Island
Fletcher Fletcher   Fletcher
Florida Christian Florida Christian   Florida Christian
Forest Forest insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Forest
Fort Myers Fort Myers   Fort Myers
Fort Walton Beach Fort Walton Beach   Fort Walton Beach
Foundation Academy Foundation Academy Foundation Academy  
Freedom Orlando Colonial Colonial  
Freedom Tampa Freedom Tampa   Freedom Tampa
Golden Gate Golden Gate   Golden Gate
Gulf Breeze Gulf Breeze   Gulf Breeze
Gulf Coast Gulf Coast   Gulf Coast
Gulliver Prep Gulliver Prep   Gulliver Prep
Hagerty Hagerty insuffient: ( 1- 2)( 2- 1) Hagerty
Holy Trinity Episcop Holy Trinity Episcop insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Holy Trinity Episcop
Horizon Horizon Horizon  
IMG Academy-White IMG Academy-White   IMG Academy-White
Immaculata LaSalle Immaculata LaSalle   Immaculata LaSalle
Immokalee Immokalee   Immokalee
Indian Rocks Christi Colonial tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Colonial
Innovation Innovation insuffient: ( 1- 4)( 2- 3) Innovation
Jensen Beach Jensen Beach   Jensen Beach
Jesuit Tampa Jesuit Tampa   Jesuit Tampa
John Carroll Catholi John Carroll Catholi insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) John Carroll Catholi
Jupiter Jupiter   Jupiter
Jupiter Christian Jupiter Christian   Jupiter Christian
Key West Key West   Key West
Keys Gate Colonial   Colonial
Kings Academy Kings Academy   Kings Academy
Lake Brantley Lake Brantley insuffient: ( 0- 2)( 1- 1) Lake Brantley
Lake Buena Vista Lake Buena Vista tied - ( 2- 6) ( 2- 6) Lake Buena Vista
Lake Highland Prep Lake Highland Prep insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Lake Highland Prep
Lake Howell Lake Howell tied - ( 0- 2) ( 0- 2) Lake Howell
Lake Mary Lake Mary insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Lake Mary
Lake Minneola Lake Minneola Lake Minneola   3- 1 vs 0- 4
Lake Nona Lake Nona Lake Nona   3- 2 vs 1- 4
Lake Wales Lake Wales insuffient: ( 0- 3)( 1- 2) Lake Wales
Lakeland Christian Lakeland Christian tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Lakeland Christian
Lakeland HS Lakeland HS Lakeland HS   3- 0 vs 0- 3
Lakewood Ranch Lakewood Ranch   Lakewood Ranch
Land O Lakes Land O Lakes   Land O Lakes
Lely Lely   Lely
Leon Leon   Leon
Lincoln Tallahassee Lincoln Tallahassee   Lincoln Tallahassee
Lyman Lyman Lyman  
Maclay Maclay   Maclay
Manatee Manatee   Manatee
Mandarin Mandarin   Mandarin
Marco Island Academy Marco Island Academy   Marco Island Academy
Martin County Martin County   Martin County
Matanzas Matanzas   Matanzas
Melbourne Melbourne insuffient: ( 0- 2)( 1- 1) Melbourne
Melbourne Central Ca Melbourne Central Ca Melbourne Central Ca  
Menendez Menendez   Menendez
Merritt Island Merritt Island Merritt Island   3- 1 vs 0- 4
Miami Country Day Miami Country Day   Miami Country Day
Miami Palmetto Miami Palmetto   Miami Palmetto
Milton Milton   Milton
Mitchell Mitchell   Mitchell
Montverde Academy Montverde Academy   Montverde Academy
Naples Naples   Naples
Navarre Navarre   Navarre
Nease Nease   Nease
Newberry Newberry   Newberry
Newsome Newsome   Newsome
Niceville Niceville   Niceville
North Bay Haven Colonial   Colonial
North Broward Prep North Broward Prep   North Broward Prep
Northeast St Petersb Northeast St Petersb   Northeast St Petersb
Northside Christian Northside Christian   Northside Christian
NSU University Schoo NSU University Schoo   NSU University Schoo
Oak Hall Oak Hall   Oak Hall
Ocoee Colonial Colonial  
Okeechobee Colonial tied - ( 0- 2) ( 0- 2) Colonial
Olympia Olympia tied - ( 3- 1) ( 3- 1) Olympia
Olympic Heights Olympic Heights   Olympic Heights
Osceola Osceola   Osceola
Out-of-Door Academy Out-of-Door Academy   Out-of-Door Academy
Oviedo Oviedo Oviedo   4- 0 vs 1- 3
Oxbridge Academy Oxbridge Academy   Oxbridge Academy
Palm Beach Central Palm Beach Central   Palm Beach Central
Palm Beach Gardens Palm Beach Gardens   Palm Beach Gardens
Palm Harbor Universi Palm Harbor Universi   Palm Harbor Universi
Palmer Trinity Palmer Trinity   Palmer Trinity
Palmetto Ridge Colonial   Colonial
Park Vista Park Vista   Park Vista
Pasco Pasco   Pasco
Paxon Institute Paxon Institute   Paxon Institute
Pensacola Colonial   Colonial
Pensacola Catholic Pensacola Catholic   Pensacola Catholic
Pine Crest Pine Crest   Pine Crest
Plant Plant   Plant
Pompano Beach Colonial   Colonial
Ponte Vedra Ponte Vedra   Ponte Vedra
Providence School Providence School   Providence School
Ransom Everglades Ransom Everglades   Ransom Everglades
Rickards Rickards   Rickards
Riverdale Riverdale   Riverdale
Riverside Colonial   Colonial
Riverview Sarasota Riverview Sarasota   Riverview Sarasota
Robinson Robinson   Robinson
Rockledge Rockledge   Rockledge
Sandalwood Colonial   Colonial
Santa Fe Santa Fe   Santa Fe
Sarasota HS Sarasota HS   Sarasota HS
Satellite Satellite insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Satellite
Sebastian River Sebastian River tied - ( 1- 1) ( 1- 1) Sebastian River
Seminole Seminole Seminole   4- 0 vs 1- 3
Seminole Ridge Seminole Ridge   Seminole Ridge
Sickles Sickles   Sickles
South Fork South Fork   South Fork
South Lake South Lake South Lake  
South Plantation South Plantation   South Plantation
South Walton South Walton   South Walton
Spanish River Spanish River   Spanish River
St Andrews St Andrews   St Andrews
St Augustine St Augustine   St Augustine
St Brendan St Brendan   St Brendan
St Cloud St Cloud St Cloud  
St Edwards School St Edwards School   St Edwards School
St John Paul II Acad St John Paul II Acad   St John Paul II Acad
St Joseph Academy St Joseph Academy insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) St Joseph Academy
St Petersburg Cathol St Petersburg Cathol   St Petersburg Cathol
St Petersburg HS St Petersburg HS   St Petersburg HS
St Stephens Episcopa St Stephens Episcopa   St Stephens Episcopa
St Thomas Aquinas St Thomas Aquinas   St Thomas Aquinas
Stanton Prep Stanton Prep   Stanton Prep
Steinbrenner Steinbrenner   Steinbrenner
Stoneman Douglas Stoneman Douglas   Stoneman Douglas
Suncoast Colonial   Colonial
Sunlake Sunlake   Sunlake
Tampa Catholic Tampa Catholic   Tampa Catholic
Tampa Prep Tampa Prep   Tampa Prep
Taravella Colonial   Colonial
Timber Creek Timber Creek Timber Creek  
Tocoi Creek Tocoi Creek   Tocoi Creek
Tohopekaliga Tohopekaliga Tohopekaliga   3- 3 vs 1- 5
Trinity Catholic Trinity Catholic   Trinity Catholic
Trinity Prep Trinity Prep Trinity Prep   2- 0 vs 0- 2
University Orlando Colonial Colonial  
Venice Venice   Venice
Vero Beach Vero Beach insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Vero Beach
Viera Viera Viera   3- 0 vs 1- 2
Village School Naple Village School Naple   Village School Naple
Washington Washington   Washington
Wellington Wellington   Wellington
Wesley Chapel Wesley Chapel   Wesley Chapel
West Boca Raton West Boca Raton   West Boca Raton
West Broward West Broward   West Broward
West Florida West Florida   West Florida
West Orange West Orange West Orange   3- 0 vs 1- 2
West Shore West Shore tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) West Shore
Western Davie Western Davie   Western Davie
Westminster Academy Westminster Academy   Westminster Academy
Westminster Christia Westminster Christia   Westminster Christia
Wharton Wharton   Wharton
Windermere HS Windermere HS Windermere HS   6- 0 vs 2- 4
Windermere Prep Windermere Prep tied - ( 1- 2) ( 1- 2) Windermere Prep
Winter Haven Winter Haven   Winter Haven
Winter Park Winter Park Winter Park   2- 0 vs 0- 2
Winter Springs Winter Springs tied - ( 0- 3) ( 0- 3) Winter Springs
Wiregrass Ranch Wiregrass Ranch   Wiregrass Ranch

PowerWise = 20


division Games Only
Average number of games used in Games Correction = 15.16

 Date  Opponent          (W-L  PR)      SCORE       SAFE        SAFE       Home       No Games           SCI              
                                                    Loss        Win       Field      Correction         Points            
                                                    SLP         SWP     Advantage      Factor                       
                                                      
   0 A Timber Creek    (13- 7, 86.3)     2-20      -13.64      24.75       0.60         1.08           -14.13
   0 H Melbourne Cent  (10- 6, 79.3)     1-12      -20.62      17.77      -0.60         1.08           -22.98
   0 H East River      (11- 6, 78.3)     0-16      -21.60      16.79      -0.60         1.08           -24.04
   0 H Boone           ( 7- 9, 83.7)     0-18      -16.24      22.16      -0.60         1.08           -18.24
   0 H Freedom  Orlan  ( 0-11, 65.2)     8- 4      -34.71       3.69      -0.60         1.08             3.34
   0 H Horizon         ( 8- 9, 75.5)     3-10      -24.42      13.98      -0.60         1.08           -27.09
   0 A St Cloud        ( 4- 9, 73.7)     3-13      -26.25      12.15       0.60         1.08           -27.77
   0 H Lyman           ( 9- 9, 75.0)     1-13      -24.89      13.51      -0.60         1.08           -27.61
   0 H University Orl  ( 1- 8, 68.3)     7- 6      -31.63       6.76      -0.60         1.08             6.67
   0 A Foundation Aca  (11- 7, 78.8)     2-19      -21.11      17.28       0.60         1.08           -22.21
   0 H South Lake      ( 3-12, 70.2)     0-11      -29.68       8.71      -0.60         1.08           -32.80
   0 H Ocoee           ( 2-15, 68.0)     6- 2      -31.87       6.52      -0.60         1.08             6.41
   0 A Dr Phillips     ( 3-12, 72.3)     8- 6      -27.63      10.76       0.60         1.08            12.31
   0 H East Ridge      ( 7-10, 75.9)     8- 9      -24.05      14.35      -0.60         1.08           -26.70
                                                                                                        ------
                                                                                                      -214.84

winning pts = 28.7309 losing points = -243.5739

             SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.

------------------------------------------------------------------------
| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
------------------------------------------------------------------------