---    UPDATED: 07-28-25 23:49 PDT

safe3step boys Columbine 1
  
Columbine             
W-L: ( 6-10) PR = 86.7146

Schedule/Results All Games

Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 307 H Arvada West ( 2-13, 78.0) 18- 6 312 H Golden ( 9- 6, 86.8) 11- 6 326 H Green Mountain ( 7- 9, 83.1) 11- 4 328 A ThunderRidge ( 3-10, 80.9) 17- 3 331 A Douglas County ( 4-11, 81.1) 12- 3 402 H Dakota Ridge (14- 2, 91.2) 8-11 404 H Erie ( 5- 9, 87.3) 8-11 409 A Monarch ( 3-11, 86.6) 5- 6 411 H Fairview (11- 5, 91.7) 9-16 414 H Lakewood ( 8- 7, 89.6) 11-15 419 A Poudre District (10- 6, 91.7) 4-13 421 A Northfield ( 9- 7, 88.5) 8-11 423 H Chatfield (11- 6, 91.3) 10-15 428 A Ralston Valley (13- 3, 92.0) 4-15 430 A Mountain Range ( 3-12, 85.5) 10- 9 507 A Mountain Vista (10- 5, 93.6) 3-20

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction. N/A when ten  |
               |         goal limit is exceeded    |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   307 H Arvada West            18- 6      12     9           0.00
   312 H Golden                 11- 6       5     0    ++     4.72
   326 H Green Mountain         11- 4       7     4           1.02
   328 A ThunderRidge           17- 3      14     5           0.00
   331 A Douglas County         12- 3       9     5           0.00
   402 H Dakota Ridge            8-11      -3    -4           1.13
   404 H Erie                    8-11      -3     0    -     -2.81
   409 A Monarch                 5- 6      -1     0          -0.74
   411 H Fairview                9-16      -7    -5          -0.36
   414 H Lakewood               11-15      -4    -3          -1.49
   419 A Poudre District         4-13      -9    -5           0.00
   421 A Northfield              8-11      -3    -2          -0.82
   423 H Chatfield              10-15      -5    -4          -0.82
   428 A Ralston Valley          4-15     -11    -6           0.00
   430 A Mountain Range         10- 9       1     1           0.18
   507 A Mountain Vista          3-20     -17    -7           0.00

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   404 H Erie                    8-11      -3     0    -     -2.81

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   312 H Golden                 11- 6       5     0    ++     4.72

Columbine Evaluation

The team that earns the point in the pair-wise comparison is based on three criteria: 
first is head-to-head, the winner gets the point, however, if they did not play each
other, than it considers w-l versus common opponents. If their records are tied or they
have no common opponents, than the tie-breaker becomes the better power rating.
The Common Opponent Point list in the table below has the record of the winner followed by the
record of the loser for all common opponents
Opponent Who Gets
the Point?
Head-2-Head
Point
Common Opponent
Point
Power Rating
Point
Air Academy Air Academy tied - ( 2- 1) ( 2- 1) Air Academy
Arapahoe Arapahoe Arapahoe   3- 0 vs 0- 3
Arvada West Columbine Columbine  
Aspen Aspen tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) Aspen
Battle Mountain Columbine tied - ( 2- 0) ( 2- 0) Columbine
Boulder Columbine tied - ( 3- 4) ( 3- 4) Columbine
Castle View Castle View tied - ( 2- 3) ( 2- 3) Castle View
Chaparral Columbine Columbine   3- 2 vs 1- 4
Chatfield Chatfield Chatfield  
Cherokee Trail Cherokee Trail Cherokee Trail   4- 1 vs 0- 5
Cherry Creek Cherry Creek Cherry Creek   2- 0 vs 0- 2
Cheyenne Mountain Cheyenne Mountain tied - ( 1- 2) ( 1- 2) Cheyenne Mountain
Colorado Academy Colorado Academy Colorado Academy   6- 0 vs 0- 6
Conifer Columbine Columbine   2- 1 vs 0- 3
Crested Butte Columbine   Columbine
Dakota Ridge Dakota Ridge Dakota Ridge  
Denver East Denver East Denver East   5- 1 vs 1- 5
Denver North Columbine   Columbine
Denver South Denver South insuffient: ( 0- 3)( 1- 2) Denver South
Douglas County Columbine Columbine  
Durango Columbine   Columbine
Eagle Valley Columbine   Columbine
Eaglecrest Columbine tied - ( 3- 2) ( 3- 2) Columbine
Erie Erie Erie  
Evergreen Evergreen tied - ( 2- 2) ( 2- 2) Evergreen
Fairview Fairview Fairview  
Fountain Valley Columbine   Columbine
Fruita Monument Columbine   Columbine
Glenwood Springs Columbine insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Columbine
Golden Columbine Columbine  
Grand Junction Columbine insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Columbine
Grandview Grandview insuffient: ( 1- 3)( 2- 2) Grandview
Green Mountain Columbine Columbine  
Heritage Columbine tied - ( 4- 2) ( 4- 2) Columbine
Holy Family Columbine insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Columbine
Jefferson Academy Columbine insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Columbine
Kent Denver Kent Denver tied - ( 0- 2) ( 0- 2) Kent Denver
Lakewood Lakewood Lakewood  
Legend Legend Legend   4- 1 vs 1- 4
Lewis Palmer Lewis Palmer tied - ( 2- 2) ( 2- 2) Lewis Palmer
Littleton Columbine   Columbine
Lutheran Columbine insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 0- 2) Columbine
Middle Park Columbine tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) Columbine
Monarch Monarch Monarch  
Montrose Columbine   Columbine
Mountain Range Columbine Columbine  
Mountain Vista Mountain Vista Mountain Vista  
Mullen Columbine Columbine   4- 1 vs 2- 3
Northfield Northfield Northfield  
Palmer Columbine   Columbine
Pine Creek Columbine tied - ( 2- 3) ( 2- 3) Columbine
Ponderosa Columbine insuffient: ( 2- 0)( 1- 1) Columbine
Poudre District Poudre District Poudre District  
Prairie View Columbine insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Columbine
Pueblo West Columbine tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) Columbine
Ralston Valley Ralston Valley Ralston Valley  
Rangeview Columbine insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Columbine
Regis Jesuit Regis Jesuit insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 2- 0) Regis Jesuit
Resurrection Christi Resurrection Christi insuffient: ( 1- 3)( 2- 2) Resurrection Christi
Rock Canyon Rock Canyon insuffient: ( 1- 3)( 2- 2) Rock Canyon
Smoky Hill Columbine   Columbine
St Marys HS Columbine   Columbine
Steamboat Springs Steamboat Springs insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Steamboat Springs
Summit Columbine   Columbine
Telluride Columbine tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Columbine
Thomas Jefferson Columbine insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Columbine
Thompson Valley Columbine   Columbine
ThunderRidge Columbine Columbine  
Vail Mountain Columbine   Columbine
Valor Christian Valor Christian insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 2- 0) Valor Christian
Vanguard School Columbine insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Columbine
Windsor Columbine Columbine   2- 2 vs 0- 4

PowerWise = 42


division Games Only
Average number of games used in Games Correction = 15.04

 Date  Opponent          (W-L  PR)      SCORE       SAFE        SAFE       Home       No Games           SCI              
                                                    Loss        Win       Field      Correction         Points            
                                                    SLP         SWP     Advantage      Factor                       
                                                      
   0 H Arvada West     ( 2-13, 78.0)    18- 6      -21.89      11.61      -0.37         0.94            10.57
   0 H Golden          ( 9- 6, 86.8)    11- 6      -13.09      20.41      -0.37         0.94            18.84
   0 H Green Mountain  ( 7- 9, 83.1)    11- 4      -16.80      16.70      -0.37         0.94            15.36
   0 A ThunderRidge    ( 3-10, 80.9)    17- 3      -18.99      14.51       0.37         0.94            13.98
   0 A Douglas County  ( 4-11, 81.1)    12- 3      -18.78      14.73       0.37         0.94            14.19
   0 H Dakota Ridge    (14- 2, 91.2)     8-11       -8.69      24.81      -0.37         0.94            -8.52
   0 H Erie            ( 5- 9, 87.3)     8-11      -12.62      20.88      -0.37         0.94           -12.21
   0 A Monarch         ( 3-11, 86.6)     5- 6      -13.29      20.21       0.37         0.94           -12.15
   0 H Fairview        (11- 5, 91.7)     9-16       -8.18      25.33      -0.37         0.94            -8.03
   0 H Lakewood        ( 8- 7, 89.6)    11-15      -10.31      23.19      -0.37         0.94           -10.04
   0 A Poudre Distric  (10- 6, 91.7)     4-13       -8.19      25.31       0.37         0.94            -7.35
   0 A Northfield      ( 9- 7, 88.5)     8-11      -11.37      22.13       0.37         0.94           -10.34
   0 H Chatfield       (11- 6, 91.3)    10-15       -8.64      24.86      -0.37         0.94            -8.47
   0 A Ralston Valley  (13- 3, 92.0)     4-15       -7.91      25.59       0.37         0.94            -7.09
   0 A Mountain Range  ( 3-12, 85.5)    10- 9      -14.37      19.13       0.37         0.94            18.33
   0 A Mountain Vista  (10- 5, 93.6)     3-20       -6.31      27.19       0.37         0.94            -5.58
                                                                                                        ------
                                                                                                         1.49

winning pts = 91.2681 losing points = -89.7808

             SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.

------------------------------------------------------------------------
| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
------------------------------------------------------------------------