Concordia Lutheran
W-L: ( 7-11) PR = 77.3670Schedule/Results All Games
Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 221 A Bowie (10- 5, 81.9) 4-14 222 A Gateway (14- 4, 85.2) 3-20 226 H Atascocita ( 5-10, 76.5) 12- 5 306 H Westside ( 0- 7, 75.2) 7- 6 318 H Emery-Weiner ( 4- 6, 70.5) 15- 0 321 H St Pius X ( 1-10, 67.4) 13- 2 325 A St Thomas ( 8- 6, 78.5) 5- 7 328 H Lamar (12- 4, 79.5) 7-14 329 H John Paul II ( 9- 5, 78.1) 8- 9 402 H Clear Springs ( 2-11, 74.4) 11- 6 408 A George Ranch (14- 6, 80.6) 8- 9 411 H Bellaire ( 6- 8, 76.8) 5- 3 415 H Houston Christian ( 6-12, 80.9) 2-13 417 A Woodlands B ( 3-10, 78.0) 6-10 422 A Bellaire ( 6- 8, 76.8) 8- 6 424 H St Thomas ( 8- 6, 78.5) 9-10 425 A George Ranch (14- 6, 80.6) 7-11 503 A St Marys Hall (12- 3, 78.9) 8- 9
PREDICTION LIST
-------------------------------------
|Real = actual goal margin |
|Pred = predicted goal margin |
|+ = slightly above prediction |
|++ = above prediction |
|+++ = well above prediction |
|- = slightly below prediction |
|-- = below prediction |
|--- = well below prediction |
|Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) |
| prediction. N/A when ten |
| goal limit is exceeded |
|n/a = Outside division |
-------------------------------------
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
221 A Bowie 4-14 -10 -5 0.00
222 A Gateway 3-20 -17 -8 0.00
226 H Atascocita 12- 5 7 1 + 3.64
306 H Westside 7- 6 1 3 -1.70
318 H Emery-Weiner 15- 0 15 7 0.00
321 H St Pius X 13- 2 11 10 0.00
325 A St Thomas 5- 7 -2 -2 -0.37
328 H Lamar 7-14 -7 -2 - -3.35
329 H John Paul II 8- 9 -1 0 -0.80
402 H Clear Springs 11- 6 5 3 1.52
408 A George Ranch 8- 9 -1 -4 + 2.76
411 H Bellaire 5- 3 2 1 0.88
415 H Houston Christian 2-13 -11 -3 - -2.02
417 A Woodlands B 6-10 -4 -1 - -2.89
422 A Bellaire 8- 6 2 0 1.90
424 H St Thomas 9-10 -1 -1 -0.38
425 A George Ranch 7-11 -4 -4 -0.24
503 A St Marys Hall 8- 9 -1 -2 1.03
|
UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 328 H Lamar 7-14 -7 -2 - -3.35 415 H Houston Christian 2-13 -11 -3 - -2.02 417 A Woodlands B 6-10 -4 -1 - -2.89 |
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 226 H Atascocita 12- 5 7 1 + 3.64 408 A George Ranch 8- 9 -1 -4 + 2.76 |
Concordia Lutheran Evaluation
The team that earns the point in the pair-wise comparison is based on three criteria:
first is head-to-head, the winner gets the point, however, if they did not play each
other, than it considers w-l versus common opponents. If their records are tied or they
have no common opponents, than the tie-breaker becomes the better power rating.
The Common Opponent Point list in the table below has the record of the winner followed by the
record of the loser for all common opponents
| Opponent | Who Gets the Point? | Head-2-Head Point |
Common Opponent Point |
Power Rating Point |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alamo Heights | Alamo Heights | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | Alamo Heights | |
| All Saints Episcopal | All Saints Episcopal | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | All Saints Episcopal | |
| Allen | Allen | Allen | ||
| Anderson | Anderson | insuffient: ( 0- 2)( 1- 1) | Anderson | |
| Antonian College Pre | Concordia Lutheran | tied - ( 1- 1) ( 1- 1) | Concordia Lutheran | |
| Atascocita | Concordia Lutheran | Concordia Lutheran | ||
| Austin | Austin | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | Austin | |
| Awty International | Concordia Lutheran | Concordia Lutheran 3- 2 vs 0- 5 | ||
| Bellaire | Concordia Lutheran | Concordia Lutheran | ||
| Bishop Lynch | Concordia Lutheran | tied - ( 2- 1) ( 2- 1) | Concordia Lutheran | |
| Boerne | Boerne | insuffient: ( 1- 2)( 2- 1) | Boerne | |
| Bowie | Bowie | Bowie | ||
| Bridge LC | Bridge LC | Bridge LC | ||
| Canyon | Concordia Lutheran | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | Concordia Lutheran | |
| Central Catholic | Concordia Lutheran | tied - ( 0- 2) ( 0- 2) | Concordia Lutheran | |
| Clear Springs | Concordia Lutheran | Concordia Lutheran | ||
| Coppell | Concordia Lutheran | Concordia Lutheran | ||
| Coronado El Paso | Concordia Lutheran | Concordia Lutheran | ||
| Cumberland Academy | Cumberland Academy | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | Cumberland Academy | |
| Cypress Woods | Cypress Woods | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | Cypress Woods | |
| Dallas Jesuit | Dallas Jesuit | Dallas Jesuit | ||
| Dallas Jesuit B | Dallas Jesuit B | Dallas Jesuit B 2- 0 vs 0- 2 | ||
| Dripping Springs | Dripping Springs | Dripping Springs | ||
| Emery-Weiner | Concordia Lutheran | Concordia Lutheran | ||
| Episcopal Houston | Episcopal Houston | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | Episcopal Houston | |
| Episcopal Dallas | Episcopal Dallas | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | Episcopal Dallas | |
| Flower Mound | Flower Mound | Flower Mound | ||
| Fort Worth CDS | Fort Worth CDS | insuffient: ( 1- 2)( 2- 1) | Fort Worth CDS | |
| Friendswood | Friendswood | tied - ( 2- 2) ( 2- 2) | Friendswood | |
| Frisco | Frisco | Frisco | ||
| Gateway | Gateway | Gateway | ||
| George Ranch | George Ranch | George Ranch | ||
| Georgetown | Georgetown | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Georgetown | |
| Grapevine | Grapevine | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | Grapevine | |
| Greenhill | Concordia Lutheran | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | Concordia Lutheran | |
| Guyer | Guyer | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | Guyer | |
| Hebron | Hebron | Hebron | ||
| Highland Park | Highland Park | Highland Park | ||
| Highland Park B | Highland Park B | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | Highland Park B | |
| Hillcrest | Concordia Lutheran | tied - ( 0- 2) ( 0- 2) | Concordia Lutheran | |
| Houston Christian | Houston Christian | Houston Christian | ||
| Hyde Park | Hyde Park | Hyde Park 2- 3 vs 0- 5 | ||
| John Paul II | John Paul II | John Paul II | ||
| Katy | Katy | insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 2- 0) | Katy | |
| Keller | Keller | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | Keller | |
| Kingwood | Kingwood | Kingwood 3- 0 vs 1- 2 | ||
| Kinkaid | Kinkaid | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | Kinkaid | |
| Klein | Klein | insuffient: ( 0- 2)( 1- 1) | Klein | |
| Lake Travis | Lake Travis | Lake Travis | ||
| Lamar | Lamar | Lamar | ||
| Liberty Hill | Concordia Lutheran | tied - ( 0- 4) ( 0- 4) | Concordia Lutheran | |
| Lovejoy | Lovejoy | Lovejoy | ||
| Magnolia | Magnolia | Magnolia 3- 0 vs 0- 3 | ||
| McKinney | McKinney | McKinney | ||
| Memorial | Memorial | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | Memorial | |
| New Braunfels | Concordia Lutheran | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Concordia Lutheran | |
| Parish Episcopal | Concordia Lutheran | Concordia Lutheran | ||
| Pearland | Pearland | insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 2- 0) | Pearland | |
| Plano | Plano | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Plano | |
| Plano East | Plano East | Plano East 2- 0 vs 0- 2 | ||
| Plano West | Plano West | Plano West | ||
| Prosper | Prosper | Prosper | ||
| Reagan | Reagan | tied - ( 0- 3) ( 0- 3) | Reagan | |
| Regents School Aust | Regents School Aust | tied - ( 0- 2) ( 0- 2) | Regents School Aust | |
| Ridge Point | Ridge Point | Ridge Point 3- 1 vs 0- 4 | ||
| Rockwall | Rockwall | Rockwall | ||
| Rouse | Concordia Lutheran | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Concordia Lutheran | |
| Santa Fe LC | Santa Fe LC | Santa Fe LC | ||
| Smithson Valley | Smithson Valley | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Smithson Valley | |
| Southlake | Southlake | Southlake | ||
| St Andrews | St Andrews | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | St Andrews | |
| St Johns | St Johns | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | St Johns | |
| St Marks | St Marks | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | St Marks | |
| St Marys Hall | St Marys Hall | St Marys Hall | ||
| St Michaels | Concordia Lutheran | tied - ( 0- 3) ( 0- 3) | Concordia Lutheran | |
| St Pius X | Concordia Lutheran | Concordia Lutheran | ||
| St Stephens | St Stephens | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | St Stephens | |
| St Thomas | St Thomas | St Thomas | ||
| Stony Point | Concordia Lutheran | insuffient: ( 1- 2)( 0- 3) | Concordia Lutheran | |
| Strake Jesuit | Strake Jesuit | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | Strake Jesuit | |
| Stratford | Stratford | insuffient: ( 0- 2)( 1- 1) | Stratford | |
| Tascosa | Tascosa | Tascosa | ||
| TMI Episcopal | TMI Episcopal | TMI Episcopal | ||
| Trinity Valley | Trinity Valley | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | Trinity Valley | |
| Vandegrift | Vandegrift | Vandegrift | ||
| Vista Ridge | Vista Ridge | insuffient: ( 0- 2)( 1- 1) | Vista Ridge | |
| Westlake | Westlake | Westlake | ||
| Westlake B | Westlake B | insuffient: ( 0- 2)( 1- 1) | Westlake B | |
| Westside | Concordia Lutheran | Concordia Lutheran | ||
| Westwood | Westwood | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Westwood | |
| Woodlands | Woodlands | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | Woodlands | |
| Woodlands B | Woodlands B | Woodlands B |
PowerWise = 21
division Games OnlyAverage number of games used in Games Correction = 13.29
Date Opponent (W-L PR) SCORE SAFE SAFE Home No Games SCI
Loss Win Field Correction Points
SLP SWP Advantage Factor
0 A Bowie (10- 5, 81.9) 4-14 -17.98 19.71 0.51 0.74 -12.90
0 A Gateway (14- 4, 85.2) 3-20 -14.67 23.02 0.51 0.74 -10.45
0 H Atascocita ( 5-10, 76.5) 12- 5 -23.39 14.30 -0.51 0.74 10.18
0 H Westside ( 0- 7, 75.2) 7- 6 -24.73 12.96 -0.51 0.74 9.20
0 H Emery-Weiner ( 4- 6, 70.5) 15- 0 -29.36 8.33 -0.51 0.74 5.78
0 H St Pius X ( 1-10, 67.4) 13- 2 -32.51 5.18 -0.51 0.74 3.45
0 A St Thomas ( 8- 6, 78.5) 5- 7 -21.41 16.28 0.51 0.74 -15.43
0 H Lamar (12- 4, 79.5) 7-14 -20.37 17.32 -0.51 0.74 -15.42
0 H John Paul II ( 9- 5, 78.1) 8- 9 -21.82 15.86 -0.51 0.74 -16.49
0 H Clear Springs ( 2-11, 74.4) 11- 6 -25.51 12.18 -0.51 0.74 8.62
0 A George Ranch (14- 6, 80.6) 8- 9 -19.28 18.41 0.51 0.74 -13.86
0 H Bellaire ( 6- 8, 76.8) 5- 3 -23.14 14.54 -0.51 0.74 10.36
0 H Houston Christ ( 6-12, 80.9) 2-13 -19.05 18.64 -0.51 0.74 -14.44
0 A Woodlands B ( 3-10, 78.0) 6-10 -21.93 15.76 0.51 0.74 -15.82
0 A Bellaire ( 6- 8, 76.8) 8- 6 -23.14 14.54 0.51 0.74 11.11
0 H St Thomas ( 8- 6, 78.5) 9-10 -21.41 16.28 -0.51 0.74 -16.18
0 A George Ranch (14- 6, 80.6) 7-11 -19.28 18.41 0.51 0.74 -13.86
0 A St Marys Hall (12- 3, 78.9) 8- 9 -21.01 16.68 0.51 0.74 -15.14
------
-101.28
|
winning pts = 58.7008 losing points = -159.9839
SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.
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| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
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