Colgan
W-L: (13- 5) PR = 83.1492Schedule/Results All Games
Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 318 H Gainesville (15- 5, 88.5) 7-14 320 A Patriot ( 8- 8, 86.2) 10-13 321 H Woodbridge ( 6- 9, 77.6) 9- 4 325 A Forest Park ( 7-10, 77.9) 16- 5 401 H Gar-field ( 1-14, 70.4) 17- 0 402 A Battlefield (18- 4, 92.3) 6-16 408 H Potomac-Dumfries ( 3- 9, 71.7) 21- 0 410 A Colonial Forge (14- 2, 84.4) 4-11 422 A Woodbridge ( 6- 9, 77.6) 14- 4 423 A Hylton ( 9- 7, 79.9) 13- 8 425 H Forest Park ( 7-10, 77.9) 17- 3 501 A Gar-field ( 1-14, 70.4) 21- 4 506 H Wakefield HS ( 4-10, 81.9) 17-14 513 H Hylton ( 9- 7, 79.9) 13- 9 514 A Potomac-Dumfries ( 3- 9, 71.7) 16- 3 521 H Forest Park ( 7-10, 77.9) 13- 8 523 H Hylton ( 9- 7, 79.9) 10- 9 527 H Freedom South Ridin (12- 7, 88.3) 8- 9
PREDICTION LIST
-------------------------------------
|Real = actual goal margin |
|Pred = predicted goal margin |
|+ = slightly above prediction |
|++ = above prediction |
|+++ = well above prediction |
|- = slightly below prediction |
|-- = below prediction |
|--- = well below prediction |
|Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) |
| prediction. N/A when ten |
| goal limit is exceeded |
|n/a = Outside division |
-------------------------------------
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
318 H Gainesville 7-14 -7 -5 -0.23
320 A Patriot 10-13 -3 -4 0.70
321 H Woodbridge 9- 4 5 6 0.00
325 A Forest Park 16- 5 11 5 0.33
401 H Gar-field 17- 0 17 13 0.00
402 A Battlefield 6-16 -10 -10 0.00
408 H Potomac-Dumfries 21- 0 21 12 0.00
410 A Colonial Forge 4-11 -7 -2 - -3.19
422 A Woodbridge 14- 4 10 5 0.05
423 A Hylton 13- 8 5 3 + 2.41
425 H Forest Park 17- 3 14 6 0.00
501 A Gar-field 21- 4 17 12 0.00
506 H Wakefield HS 17-14 3 2 1.09
513 H Hylton 13- 9 4 4 0.19
514 A Potomac-Dumfries 16- 3 13 11 0.00
521 H Forest Park 13- 8 5 6 0.00
523 H Hylton 10- 9 1 4 - -2.81
527 H Freedom South Ridin 8- 9 -1 -5 + 3.55
|
UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 410 A Colonial Forge 4-11 -7 -2 - -3.19 523 H Hylton 10- 9 1 4 - -2.81 |
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 423 A Hylton 13- 8 5 3 + 2.41 527 H Freedom South Ridin 8- 9 -1 -5 + 3.55 |
Colgan Evaluation
The team that earns the point in the pair-wise comparison is based on three criteria:
first is head-to-head, the winner gets the point, however, if they did not play each
other, than it considers w-l versus common opponents. If their records are tied or they
have no common opponents, than the tie-breaker becomes the better power rating.
The Common Opponent Point list in the table below has the record of the winner followed by the
record of the loser for all common opponents
| Opponent | Who Gets the Point? | Head-2-Head Point |
Common Opponent Point |
Power Rating Point |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Albemarle | Albemarle | Albemarle | ||
| Alexandria City | Alexandria City | tied - ( 2- 0) ( 2- 0) | Alexandria City | |
| Annandale | Colgan | Colgan | ||
| Atlee | Atlee | Atlee | ||
| Battlefield | Battlefield | Battlefield | ||
| Bayside | Colgan | Colgan | ||
| Benedictine | Benedictine | Benedictine | ||
| Bishop Ireton | Bishop Ireton | Bishop Ireton | ||
| Bishop OConnell | Bishop OConnell | Bishop OConnell | ||
| Blacksburg | Colgan | Colgan | ||
| Blue Ridge School | Blue Ridge School | Blue Ridge School | ||
| Brentsville | Brentsville | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | Brentsville | |
| Briar Woods | Briar Woods | Briar Woods 2- 1 vs 0- 3 | ||
| Broad Run | Broad Run | Broad Run | ||
| Brooke Point | Brooke Point | insuffient: ( 1- 2)( 2- 1) | Brooke Point | |
| Cape Henry Collegiat | Cape Henry Collegiat | Cape Henry Collegiat | ||
| Catholic HS | Catholic HS | Catholic HS | ||
| Cave Spring | Colgan | Colgan | ||
| Centreville | Centreville | Centreville | ||
| Chantilly | Chantilly | Chantilly | ||
| Charlottesville | Colgan | Colgan | ||
| Christchurch | Christchurch | Christchurch | ||
| Christiansburg | Colgan | Colgan | ||
| Clover Hill | Colgan | Colgan | ||
| Collegiate School | Collegiate School | Collegiate School | ||
| Colonial Forge | Colonial Forge | Colonial Forge | ||
| Cosby | Cosby | Cosby 2- 0 vs 0- 2 | ||
| Covenant School | Covenant School | Covenant School | ||
| Cox | Colgan | Colgan | ||
| Culpeper County | Colgan | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Colgan | |
| Deep Run | Deep Run | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Deep Run | |
| Dominion | Colgan | Colgan | ||
| Douglas Freeman | Douglas Freeman | Douglas Freeman | ||
| Eastern View | Colgan | Colgan | ||
| EC Glass | EC Glass | EC Glass | ||
| Edison | Colgan | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | Colgan | |
| Episcopal | Episcopal | Episcopal | ||
| Eukarya Christian | Colgan | Colgan | ||
| Fairfax | Fairfax | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | Fairfax | |
| Falls Church | Colgan | Colgan | ||
| Fauquier | Colgan | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Colgan | |
| First Colonial | Colgan | Colgan | ||
| Fishburne Military A | Colgan | Colgan | ||
| Flint Hill | Flint Hill | Flint Hill | ||
| Fluvanna County | Colgan | Colgan | ||
| Forest Park | Colgan | Colgan | ||
| Fork Union Military | Fork Union Military | Fork Union Military | ||
| Franklin County | Colgan | Colgan | ||
| Fredericksburg Acade | Colgan | Colgan | ||
| Fredericksburg Chris | Fredericksburg Chris | Fredericksburg Chris | ||
| Freedom South Ridin | Freedom South Ridin | Freedom South Ridin | ||
| Freedom Woodbridge | Colgan | Colgan | ||
| Gainesville | Gainesville | Gainesville | ||
| Gar-field | Colgan | Colgan | ||
| Glen Allen | Colgan | Colgan | ||
| Goochland | Colgan | Colgan | ||
| Grafton LC | Colgan | Colgan | ||
| Grassfield LC | Colgan | Colgan | ||
| Green Run | Colgan | Colgan | ||
| Handley | Handley | Handley | ||
| Hanover | Hanover | Hanover | ||
| Hayfield | Hayfield | Hayfield | ||
| Heritage Leesburg | Colgan | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Colgan | |
| Herndon | Herndon | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | Herndon | |
| Hickory LC | Colgan | Colgan | ||
| Hidden Valley | Colgan | Colgan | ||
| Highland School | Colgan | Colgan | ||
| Highland Springs | Colgan | Colgan | ||
| Hylton | Colgan | Colgan | ||
| Independence | Independence | Independence 2- 0 vs 0- 2 | ||
| James Monroe | Colgan | Colgan | ||
| James River | James River | James River | ||
| Jamestown LC | Jamestown LC | Jamestown LC | ||
| Jefferson Forest | Jefferson Forest | Jefferson Forest | ||
| John Champe | Colgan | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Colgan | |
| Justice | Colgan | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Colgan | |
| Kellam | Kellam | Kellam | ||
| Kempsville | Colgan | Colgan | ||
| Kettle Run | Colgan | Colgan | ||
| Lafayette LC | Colgan | Colgan | ||
| Lake Braddock | Lake Braddock | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Lake Braddock | |
| Landstown | Colgan | Colgan | ||
| Langley | Langley | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | Langley | |
| Lewis | Colgan | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Colgan | |
| Liberty Bealeton | Colgan | Colgan | ||
| Lightridge | Lightridge | tied - ( 0- 2) ( 0- 2) | Lightridge | |
| Lloyd C Bird | Colgan | Colgan | ||
| Lord Botetourt | Colgan | Colgan | ||
| Loudoun County | Loudoun County | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Loudoun County | |
| Loudoun Valley | Colgan | Colgan | ||
| Madison | Madison | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | Madison | |
| Manchester | Manchester | Manchester | ||
| Marshall | Colgan | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Colgan | |
| Massaponax | Colgan | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Colgan | |
| Matoaca | Colgan | Colgan | ||
| Maury LC | Colgan | Colgan | ||
| McLean | McLean | insuffient: ( 1- 2)( 2- 1) | McLean | |
| Mechanicsville | Colgan | Colgan | ||
| Menchville LC | Colgan | Colgan | ||
| Meridian | Meridian | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Meridian | |
| Midlothian | Midlothian | Midlothian | ||
| Mills Godwin | Colgan | Colgan | ||
| Monacan | Colgan | Colgan | ||
| Monticello | Monticello | Monticello | ||
| Mount Vernon | Colgan | insuffient: ( 2- 0)( 1- 1) | Colgan | |
| Mountain View | Colgan | tied - ( 1- 4) ( 1- 4) | Colgan | |
| Nansemond-Suffolk Ac | Nansemond-Suffolk Ac | Nansemond-Suffolk Ac | ||
| New Covenant School | Colgan | Colgan | ||
| Norfolk Academy | Norfolk Academy | Norfolk Academy | ||
| Norfolk Christian | Colgan | Colgan | ||
| Norfolk Collegiate | Colgan | Colgan | ||
| North Cross School | North Cross School | North Cross School | ||
| North Stafford | Colgan | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Colgan | |
| Northern VA Home Sch | Colgan | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Colgan | |
| Oakton | Oakton | Oakton | ||
| Ocean Lakes | Colgan | Colgan | ||
| Orange County | Colgan | Colgan | ||
| Osbourn | Colgan | Colgan 2- 4 vs 0- 6 | ||
| Osbourn Park | Colgan | tied - ( 2- 4) ( 2- 4) | Colgan | |
| Park View | Colgan | Colgan | ||
| Patrick Henry Ashla | Colgan | Colgan | ||
| Patrick Henry Roano | Patrick Henry Roano | Patrick Henry Roano | ||
| Patriot | Patriot | Patriot | ||
| Paul VI | Paul VI | Paul VI | ||
| Potomac Falls | Colgan | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Colgan | |
| Potomac School | Potomac School | Potomac School | ||
| Potomac-Dumfries | Colgan | Colgan | ||
| Powhatan | Colgan | Colgan | ||
| Princess Anne | Colgan | Colgan | ||
| Riverbend | Colgan | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Colgan | |
| Riverside | Riverside | Riverside 2- 0 vs 0- 2 | ||
| Robinson | Robinson | Robinson | ||
| Rock Ridge | Colgan | Colgan | ||
| Rockbridge County | Colgan | Colgan | ||
| Rockingham LC | Rockingham LC | Rockingham LC | ||
| Salem | Salem | Salem | ||
| Salem Virginia Beach | Colgan | Colgan | ||
| Seton School | Colgan | Colgan | ||
| South County | South County | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | South County | |
| South Lakes | South Lakes | South Lakes | ||
| St Annes-Belfield | St Annes-Belfield | St Annes-Belfield | ||
| St Christophers | St Christophers | St Christophers | ||
| St John Paul the Gre | Colgan | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | Colgan | |
| St Stephen-St Agnes | St Stephen-St Agnes | St Stephen-St Agnes | ||
| Stafford | Colgan | tied - ( 1- 1) ( 1- 1) | Colgan | |
| Steward School | Colgan | Colgan | ||
| Stone Bridge | Stone Bridge | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Stone Bridge | |
| Strasburg LC | Colgan | Colgan | ||
| Tabb LC | Tabb LC | Tabb LC | ||
| Tallwood | Colgan | Colgan | ||
| Tandem Friends | Colgan | Colgan | ||
| Thomas Dale | Colgan | Colgan | ||
| Thomas Jefferson | Colgan | Colgan | ||
| Trinity Christian | Colgan | Colgan | ||
| Trinity Episcopal | Colgan | Colgan | ||
| Trinity Meadow View | Colgan | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | Colgan | |
| Tuscarora | Colgan | Colgan | ||
| Unity Reed | Colgan | insuffient: ( 1- 4)( 0- 5) | Colgan | |
| Veritas School | Colgan | Colgan | ||
| Virginia Academy | Colgan | Colgan | ||
| Virginia Episcopal S | Virginia Episcopal S | Virginia Episcopal S | ||
| Wakefield HS | Colgan | Colgan | ||
| Wakefield School | Colgan | Colgan | ||
| Washington-Liberty | Washington-Liberty | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | Washington-Liberty | |
| West Potomac | West Potomac | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | West Potomac | |
| West Springfield | West Springfield | West Springfield | ||
| Western Albemarle | Western Albemarle | Western Albemarle | ||
| Westfield | Westfield | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | Westfield | |
| William Byrd | Colgan | Colgan | ||
| William Fleming | Colgan | Colgan | ||
| Woodberry Forest | Woodberry Forest | Woodberry Forest | ||
| Woodbridge | Colgan | Colgan | ||
| Woodgrove | Woodgrove | Woodgrove | ||
| Woodson | Woodson | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Woodson | |
| York LC | Colgan | Colgan | ||
| Yorktown | Yorktown | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | Yorktown |
PowerWise = 97
division Games OnlyAverage number of games used in Games Correction = 13.94
Date Opponent (W-L PR) SCORE SAFE SAFE Home No Games SCI
Loss Win Field Correction Points
SLP SWP Advantage Factor
0 H Gainesville (15- 5, 88.5) 7-14 -11.37 23.63 -0.61 0.77 -9.28
0 A Patriot ( 8- 8, 86.2) 10-13 -13.66 21.34 0.61 0.77 -10.11
0 H Woodbridge ( 6- 9, 77.6) 9- 4 -22.31 12.69 -0.61 0.77 9.36
0 A Forest Park ( 7-10, 77.9) 16- 5 -22.03 12.97 0.61 0.77 10.52
0 H Gar-field ( 1-14, 70.4) 17- 0 -29.47 5.54 -0.61 0.77 3.82
0 A Battlefield (18- 4, 92.3) 6-16 -7.63 27.37 0.61 0.77 -5.44
0 H Potomac-Dumfri ( 3- 9, 71.7) 21- 0 -28.18 6.82 -0.61 0.77 4.81
0 A Colonial Forge (14- 2, 84.4) 4-11 -15.55 19.46 0.61 0.77 -11.57
0 A Woodbridge ( 6- 9, 77.6) 14- 4 -22.31 12.69 0.61 0.77 10.30
0 A Hylton ( 9- 7, 79.9) 13- 8 -19.95 15.05 0.61 0.77 12.13
0 H Forest Park ( 7-10, 77.9) 17- 3 -22.03 12.97 -0.61 0.77 9.58
0 A Gar-field ( 1-14, 70.4) 21- 4 -29.47 5.54 0.61 0.77 4.76
0 H Wakefield HS ( 4-10, 81.9) 17-14 -18.05 16.95 -0.61 0.77 12.66
0 H Hylton ( 9- 7, 79.9) 13- 9 -19.95 15.05 -0.61 0.77 11.18
0 A Potomac-Dumfri ( 3- 9, 71.7) 16- 3 -28.18 6.82 0.61 0.77 5.76
0 H Forest Park ( 7-10, 77.9) 13- 8 -22.03 12.97 -0.61 0.77 9.58
0 H Hylton ( 9- 7, 79.9) 10- 9 -19.95 15.05 -0.61 0.77 11.18
0 H Freedom South (12- 7, 88.3) 8- 9 -11.59 23.41 -0.61 0.77 -9.45
------
69.79
|
winning pts = 115.6436 losing points = -45.8550
SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.
------------------------------------------------------------------------
| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
------------------------------------------------------------------------