All ratings/rankings on this page are based on the state (not league) championships.
Conf =
GAME LIST
Team Power Rating = 81.2600021 home-field advantage = -0.78 Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 319 H McLean (10- 8, 78.9) 18-13 321 A Lake Braddock ( 9- 9, 75.3) 7- 4 326 H Hayfield (14- 5, 73.9) 17- 7 401 H Madison (17- 2, 85.2) 9-10 408 A Herndon ( 8- 4, 80.7) 11-14 422 A Westfield ( 6-12, 75.2) 15- 4 423 A Robinson (16- 6, 85.2) 4-12 425 A Oakton (14- 6, 81.6) 16-13 426 A West Springfield ( 0-14, 72.1) 21- 9 501 H Centreville ( 3- 9, 75.2) 16-13 503 A Fairfax ( 6-10, 72.3) 16- 5 512 A South Lakes ( 4-12, 73.4) 18- 9 519 H Oakton (14- 6, 81.6) 6- 8 523 A Langley (16- 5, 84.8) 6-13
PREDICTION LIST
------------------------------------- |Real = actual goal margin | |Pred = predicted goal margin | |+ = slightly above prediction | |++ = above prediction | |+++ = well above prediction | |- = slightly below prediction | |-- = below prediction | |--- = well below prediction | |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) | | prediction. N/A when ten | | goal limit is exceeded | |n/a = Outside division | ------------------------------------- Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 319 H McLean 18-13 5 3 1.83 321 A Lake Braddock 7- 4 3 5 - -2.21 326 H Hayfield 17- 7 10 8 0.00 401 H Madison 9-10 -1 -3 + 2.17 408 A Herndon 11-14 -3 0 - -2.75 422 A Westfield 15- 4 11 5 1.76 423 A Robinson 4-12 -8 -4 - -2.27 425 A Oakton 16-13 3 -1 ++ 4.14 426 A West Springfield 21- 9 12 8 0.00 501 H Centreville 16-13 3 6 - -3.80 503 A Fairfax 16- 5 11 8 0.00 512 A South Lakes 18- 9 9 7 0.00 519 H Oakton 6- 8 -2 0 - -2.42 523 A Langley 6-13 -7 -4 - -2.66UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 321 A Lake Braddock 7- 4 3 5 - -2.21 408 A Herndon 11-14 -3 0 - -2.75 423 A Robinson 4-12 -8 -4 - -2.27 501 H Centreville 16-13 3 6 - -3.80 519 H Oakton 6- 8 -2 0 - -2.42 523 A Langley 6-13 -7 -4 - -2.66OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 425 A Oakton 16-13 3 -1 ++ 4.14 401 H Madison 9-10 -1 -3 + 2.17
RATING BASED ON POWER RATING Power Rating............. 81.26 Power Rank................. 29 SOS (PR) Rating.......... 54.55 SOS (PR) Rank.............. 30 SOS (RPI) Rating......... .6585 SOS (RPI) Rank............. 25 RPI Rating............... .5828 RPI Rank................... 35 Champ. Probability ...... 0.0 Championship Rank ......... 32 Selection sum ........... 99 Selection Rank ............ 26 Qual Win (PR) Rating..... -50. Qual Win (PR) Rank......... 50 Qual Win (RPI) Rating.... -25. Qual Win (RPI) Rank........ 39 PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING Ave Offensive Goals ..... 12.9 Ave Defensive Goals ....... 9.6 Wins/Losses(all )...... 9- 5 Ave Goal diff (all )..... 3.3 Wins/Losses(top 5)...... 0- 0 Ave Goal diff (top 5)..... Wins/Losses(top 10)...... 0- 0 Ave Goal diff (top 10)..... Wins/Losses(top 20)...... 0- 3 Ave Goal diff (top 20)..... -5.3 Wins/Losses(last 3)...... 1- 2 Ave Goal diff (last 3)..... 0.0