Winston Churchill
W-L: (10- 3) PR = 83.5974Schedule/Results All Games
Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 321 H Wootton ( 4-10, 77.4) 12- 4 324 A Walter Johnson ( 6- 7, 82.7) 7- 6 331 H Walt Whitman (14- 3, 86.9) 6-15 402 H Quince Orchard ( 8- 6, 82.1) 13- 7 404 A Bethesda-Chevy Chase ( 9- 6, 82.8) 10- 9 407 A Richard Montgomery ( 9- 6, 80.4) 13- 7 409 H Poolesville ( 5- 8, 77.8) 12-10 411 A Sherwood (15- 2, 89.6) 6-11 424 A Clarksburg ( 7- 7, 79.0) 8- 9 425 A Gaithersburg ( 5- 8, 77.5) 18- 8 430 A Blair ( 8- 7, 79.1) 11- 7 502 H Springbrook ( 3-11, 70.8) 20- 0 509 H Bethesda-Chevy Chase ( 9- 6, 82.8) 13- 4
PREDICTION LIST
-------------------------------------
|Real = actual goal margin |
|Pred = predicted goal margin |
|+ = slightly above prediction |
|++ = above prediction |
|+++ = well above prediction |
|- = slightly below prediction |
|-- = below prediction |
|--- = well below prediction |
|Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) |
| prediction. N/A when ten |
| goal limit is exceeded |
|n/a = Outside division |
-------------------------------------
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
321 H Wootton 12- 4 8 7 0.00
324 A Walter Johnson 7- 6 1 0 0.59
331 H Walt Whitman 6-15 -9 -3 - -2.14
402 H Quince Orchard 13- 7 6 2 + 3.02
404 A Bethesda-Chevy Chase 10- 9 1 0 0.63
407 A Richard Montgomery 13- 7 6 3 + 2.23
409 H Poolesville 12-10 2 6 - -3.00
411 A Sherwood 6-11 -5 -6 0.00
424 A Clarksburg 8- 9 -1 4 -- -5.18
425 A Gaithersburg 18- 8 10 6 0.00
430 A Blair 11- 7 4 4 -0.10
502 H Springbrook 20- 0 20 13 0.00
509 H Bethesda-Chevy Chase 13- 4 9 1 + 3.74
|
UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 424 A Clarksburg 8- 9 -1 4 -- -5.18 331 H Walt Whitman 6-15 -9 -3 - -2.14 409 H Poolesville 12-10 2 6 - -3.00 |
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 402 H Quince Orchard 13- 7 6 2 + 3.02 407 A Richard Montgomery 13- 7 6 3 + 2.23 509 H Bethesda-Chevy Chase 13- 4 9 1 + 3.74 |
Winston Churchill Evaluation
The team that earns the point in the pair-wise comparison is based on three criteria:
first is head-to-head, the winner gets the point, however, if they did not play each
other, than it considers w-l versus common opponents. If their records are tied or they
have no common opponents, than the tie-breaker becomes the better power rating.
The Common Opponent Point list in the table below has the record of the winner followed by the
record of the loser for all common opponents
| Opponent | Who Gets the Point? | Head-2-Head Point |
Common Opponent Point |
Power Rating Point |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Annapolis Area Chris | Winston Churchill | Winston Churchill | ||
| Archbishop Curley | Archbishop Curley | Archbishop Curley | ||
| Archbishop Spalding | Archbishop Spalding | Archbishop Spalding | ||
| Beth TFiloh | Winston Churchill | Winston Churchill | ||
| Bishop McNamara | Winston Churchill | Winston Churchill | ||
| Boys Latin | Boys Latin | Boys Latin | ||
| Bullis | Bullis | Bullis | ||
| Calvert Hall | Calvert Hall | Calvert Hall | ||
| Chapelgate Christian | Winston Churchill | Winston Churchill | ||
| Concordia Prep | Concordia Prep | Concordia Prep | ||
| Cristo Rey Jesuit | Winston Churchill | Winston Churchill | ||
| DeMatha | DeMatha | DeMatha | ||
| FCA LC | Winston Churchill | Winston Churchill | ||
| Friends | Winston Churchill | Winston Churchill | ||
| Garrett County LC | Winston Churchill | Winston Churchill | ||
| Georgetown Day | Winston Churchill | Winston Churchill | ||
| Georgetown Prep | Georgetown Prep | Georgetown Prep | ||
| Gerstell Academy | Gerstell Academy | Gerstell Academy | ||
| Gilman | Gilman | Gilman | ||
| Glenelg Country | Winston Churchill | Winston Churchill | ||
| Gonzaga | Gonzaga | Gonzaga | ||
| Good Counsel | Good Counsel | Good Counsel | ||
| Gunston School | Winston Churchill | Winston Churchill | ||
| Heights | Heights | Heights | ||
| Indian Creek School | Winston Churchill | Winston Churchill | ||
| Jemicy School | Winston Churchill | Winston Churchill | ||
| John Carroll | John Carroll | John Carroll | ||
| Key School | Winston Churchill | Winston Churchill | ||
| Landon | Landon | Landon | ||
| Loyola-Blakefield | Loyola-Blakefield | Loyola-Blakefield | ||
| Maret | Winston Churchill | Winston Churchill | ||
| McDonogh | McDonogh | McDonogh | ||
| Mercersburg Academy | Mercersburg Academy | Mercersburg Academy | ||
| Mount Carmel | Winston Churchill | Winston Churchill | ||
| Mount St Joseph | Mount St Joseph | Mount St Joseph | ||
| Park School | Winston Churchill | Winston Churchill | ||
| Salisbury School | Winston Churchill | Winston Churchill | ||
| Sandy Spring Friends | Winston Churchill | Winston Churchill | ||
| Severn School | Severn School | Severn School | ||
| Sidwell Friends | Sidwell Friends | Sidwell Friends | ||
| St Albans | St Albans | St Albans | ||
| St Andrews Episcopal | Winston Churchill | Winston Churchill | ||
| St James | St James | St James | ||
| St Johns Catholic Pr | Winston Churchill | Winston Churchill | ||
| St Johns College HS | St Johns College HS | St Johns College HS | ||
| St Marys Annapolis | St Marys Annapolis | St Marys Annapolis | ||
| St Marys Ryken | St Marys Ryken | St Marys Ryken | ||
| St Pauls | St Pauls | St Pauls | ||
| St Vincent Pallotti | Winston Churchill | Winston Churchill | ||
| Sts Peter & Paul | Sts Peter & Paul | Sts Peter & Paul | ||
| Tome School | Winston Churchill | Winston Churchill | ||
| Worcester Prep | Worcester Prep | Worcester Prep | ||
| Aberdeen | Winston Churchill | Winston Churchill | ||
| Academy for College | Winston Churchill | Winston Churchill | ||
| Annapolis | Annapolis | Annapolis | ||
| Arundel | Winston Churchill | Winston Churchill | ||
| Atholton | Winston Churchill | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Winston Churchill | |
| Baltimore Polytechni | Winston Churchill | Winston Churchill | ||
| Bel Air | Bel Air | Bel Air | ||
| Bethesda-Chevy Chase | Winston Churchill | Winston Churchill | ||
| Bladensburg | Winston Churchill | Winston Churchill | ||
| Blair | Winston Churchill | Winston Churchill | ||
| Blake | Winston Churchill | insuffient: ( 5- 2)( 4- 3) | Winston Churchill | |
| Bohemia Manor | Winston Churchill | Winston Churchill | ||
| Boonsboro | Winston Churchill | Winston Churchill | ||
| Bowie | Winston Churchill | Winston Churchill | ||
| Broadneck | Broadneck | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | Broadneck | |
| Brunswick | Winston Churchill | Winston Churchill | ||
| Calvert | Winston Churchill | Winston Churchill | ||
| Cambridge SD | Winston Churchill | Winston Churchill | ||
| Carver A&T | Winston Churchill | Winston Churchill | ||
| Catoctin | Winston Churchill | Winston Churchill | ||
| Catonsville | Catonsville | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | Catonsville | |
| Centennial | Centennial | Centennial | ||
| Century | Century | Century | ||
| CH Flowers | Winston Churchill | Winston Churchill | ||
| Chesapeake AA | Chesapeake AA | Chesapeake AA | ||
| Chesapeake BC | Winston Churchill | Winston Churchill | ||
| Chopticon | Chopticon | Chopticon | ||
| City College | Winston Churchill | Winston Churchill | ||
| Clarksburg | Clarksburg | Clarksburg | ||
| CM Wright | CM Wright | CM Wright | ||
| Crofton | Crofton | Crofton | ||
| Damascus | Damascus | insuffient: ( 6- 3)( 7- 2) | Damascus | |
| Digital Harbor | Winston Churchill | Winston Churchill | ||
| Dr Henry Wise | Winston Churchill | Winston Churchill | ||
| Dulaney | Dulaney | Dulaney | ||
| Dunbar | Winston Churchill | Winston Churchill | ||
| Dundalk | Winston Churchill | Winston Churchill | ||
| DuVal | Winston Churchill | Winston Churchill | ||
| Eastern Tech | Winston Churchill | Winston Churchill | ||
| Easton | Easton | Easton | ||
| Edgewood | Winston Churchill | Winston Churchill | ||
| Edmondson-Westside | Winston Churchill | Winston Churchill | ||
| Einstein | Winston Churchill | Winston Churchill 5- 1 vs 2- 4 | ||
| Eleanor Roosevelt | Winston Churchill | Winston Churchill | ||
| Elkton | Winston Churchill | Winston Churchill | ||
| Fairmont Heights | Winston Churchill | Winston Churchill | ||
| Fallston | Fallston | Fallston | ||
| Forest Park | Winston Churchill | Winston Churchill | ||
| Francis Scott Key | Winston Churchill | Winston Churchill | ||
| Franklin | Winston Churchill | Winston Churchill | ||
| Frederick | Winston Churchill | Winston Churchill | ||
| Frederick Douglass B | Winston Churchill | Winston Churchill | ||
| Frederick Douglass P | Winston Churchill | Winston Churchill | ||
| Friendly | Winston Churchill | Winston Churchill | ||
| Gaithersburg | Winston Churchill | Winston Churchill | ||
| Glen Burnie | Winston Churchill | Winston Churchill | ||
| Glenelg HS | Glenelg HS | Glenelg HS | ||
| Gov Thomas Johnson | Winston Churchill | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Winston Churchill | |
| Great Mills | Winston Churchill | Winston Churchill | ||
| Guilford Park | Winston Churchill | Winston Churchill | ||
| Gwynn Park | Winston Churchill | Winston Churchill | ||
| Hammond | Winston Churchill | Winston Churchill | ||
| Harford Tech | Winston Churchill | Winston Churchill | ||
| Havre De Grace | Winston Churchill | Winston Churchill | ||
| Hereford | Hereford | Hereford | ||
| High Point | Winston Churchill | Winston Churchill | ||
| Howard | Howard | Howard | ||
| Huntingtown | Huntingtown | Huntingtown | ||
| JM Bennett | JM Bennett | JM Bennett | ||
| Joppatowne | Winston Churchill | Winston Churchill | ||
| Kennedy | Winston Churchill | Winston Churchill 4- 1 vs 0- 5 | ||
| Kent County | Winston Churchill | Winston Churchill | ||
| Kent Island | Kent Island | Kent Island | ||
| Kenwood | Winston Churchill | Winston Churchill | ||
| La Plata | Winston Churchill | Winston Churchill | ||
| Lackey | Winston Churchill | Winston Churchill | ||
| Lake Clifton | Winston Churchill | Winston Churchill | ||
| Lansdowne | Winston Churchill | Winston Churchill | ||
| Laurel | Winston Churchill | Winston Churchill | ||
| Leonardtown | Leonardtown | Leonardtown | ||
| Liberty | Liberty | Liberty | ||
| Linganore | Linganore | Linganore | ||
| Loch Raven | Winston Churchill | Winston Churchill | ||
| Long Reach | Winston Churchill | Winston Churchill | ||
| Magruder | Winston Churchill | Winston Churchill 6- 1 vs 1- 6 | ||
| Manchester Valley | Manchester Valley | Manchester Valley | ||
| Marriotts Ridge | Marriotts Ridge | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | Marriotts Ridge | |
| Meade | Winston Churchill | Winston Churchill | ||
| Mergenthaler | Winston Churchill | Winston Churchill | ||
| Middletown | Middletown | Middletown | ||
| Milford Mill | Winston Churchill | Winston Churchill | ||
| MJ McDonough | Winston Churchill | Winston Churchill | ||
| Mount Hebron | Mount Hebron | Mount Hebron | ||
| National Academy Fou | Winston Churchill | Winston Churchill | ||
| New Town | Winston Churchill | Winston Churchill | ||
| North Caroline | Winston Churchill | Winston Churchill | ||
| North County | Winston Churchill | Winston Churchill | ||
| North Dorchester | Winston Churchill | Winston Churchill | ||
| North East Cecil | Winston Churchill | Winston Churchill | ||
| North Hagerstown | Winston Churchill | Winston Churchill | ||
| North Harford | North Harford | North Harford | ||
| North Point | Winston Churchill | Winston Churchill | ||
| Northeast AA | Northeast AA | Northeast AA | ||
| Northern Calvert | Northern Calvert | Northern Calvert | ||
| Northwest | Winston Churchill | insuffient: ( 4- 1)( 3- 2) | Winston Churchill | |
| Northwestern PG | Winston Churchill | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Winston Churchill | |
| Northwood | Winston Churchill | Winston Churchill 4- 0 vs 1- 3 | ||
| Oakdale | Winston Churchill | Winston Churchill | ||
| Oakland Mills | Winston Churchill | Winston Churchill | ||
| Old Mill | Winston Churchill | Winston Churchill | ||
| Overlea | Winston Churchill | Winston Churchill | ||
| Owings Mills | Winston Churchill | Winston Churchill | ||
| Oxon Hill | Winston Churchill | Winston Churchill | ||
| Paint Branch | Winston Churchill | Winston Churchill 5- 1 vs 1- 5 | ||
| Parkdale | Winston Churchill | Winston Churchill | ||
| Parkside | Parkside | Parkside | ||
| Parkville | Winston Churchill | Winston Churchill | ||
| Patapsco | Winston Churchill | Winston Churchill | ||
| Patterson HS | Winston Churchill | Winston Churchill | ||
| Patterson Mill | Winston Churchill | Winston Churchill | ||
| Patuxent | Winston Churchill | Winston Churchill | ||
| Perry Hall | Winston Churchill | Winston Churchill | ||
| Perryville | Winston Churchill | Winston Churchill | ||
| Pikesville | Winston Churchill | Winston Churchill | ||
| Poolesville | Winston Churchill | Winston Churchill | ||
| Queen Annes County | Queen Annes County | Queen Annes County | ||
| Quince Orchard | Winston Churchill | Winston Churchill | ||
| Randallstown | Winston Churchill | Winston Churchill | ||
| Reginald F Lewis | Winston Churchill | Winston Churchill | ||
| Reservoir | Winston Churchill | Winston Churchill | ||
| Richard Montgomery | Winston Churchill | Winston Churchill | ||
| Rising Sun | Winston Churchill | Winston Churchill | ||
| River Hill | Winston Churchill | Winston Churchill | ||
| Rockville | Winston Churchill | tied - ( 4- 2) ( 4- 2) | Winston Churchill | |
| Seneca Valley | Winston Churchill | Winston Churchill 4- 1 vs 2- 3 | ||
| Severn Run | Winston Churchill | Winston Churchill | ||
| Severna Park | Severna Park | Severna Park | ||
| Sherwood | Sherwood | Sherwood | ||
| Smithsburg | Winston Churchill | Winston Churchill | ||
| South Carroll | South Carroll | South Carroll | ||
| South Hagerstown | Winston Churchill | Winston Churchill | ||
| South River | South River | South River | ||
| Southern AA | Winston Churchill | Winston Churchill | ||
| Sparrows Point | Sparrows Point | Sparrows Point | ||
| Springbrook | Winston Churchill | Winston Churchill | ||
| St Charles | Winston Churchill | Winston Churchill | ||
| Stephen Decatur | Stephen Decatur | Stephen Decatur | ||
| Suitland | Winston Churchill | Winston Churchill | ||
| Surrattsville | Winston Churchill | Winston Churchill | ||
| Thomas Stone | Winston Churchill | Winston Churchill | ||
| Towson | Towson | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Towson | |
| Tuscarora | Winston Churchill | Winston Churchill | ||
| Urbana | Urbana | Urbana 3- 0 vs 0- 3 | ||
| Walkersville | Walkersville | Walkersville | ||
| Walt Whitman | Walt Whitman | Walt Whitman | ||
| Walter Johnson | Winston Churchill | Winston Churchill | ||
| Watkins Mill | Winston Churchill | Winston Churchill 2- 1 vs 0- 3 | ||
| Western STES | Winston Churchill | Winston Churchill | ||
| Westlake | Winston Churchill | Winston Churchill | ||
| Westminster | Westminster | Westminster | ||
| Wheaton | Winston Churchill | Winston Churchill 5- 1 vs 0- 6 | ||
| Wicomico | Winston Churchill | Winston Churchill | ||
| Wilde Lake | Winston Churchill | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | Winston Churchill | |
| Winters Mill | Winston Churchill | Winston Churchill | ||
| Woodlawn | Winston Churchill | Winston Churchill | ||
| Wootton | Winston Churchill | Winston Churchill | ||
| Archbishop Carroll | Winston Churchill | Winston Churchill | ||
| DC International PCS | Winston Churchill | Winston Churchill | ||
| Jackson Reed | Winston Churchill | Winston Churchill |
PowerWise = 148
division Games OnlyAverage number of games used in Games Correction = 12.14
Date Opponent (W-L PR) SCORE SAFE SAFE Home No Games SCI
Loss Win Field Correction Points
SLP SWP Advantage Factor
0 H Wootton ( 4-10, 77.4) 12- 4 -22.46 13.14 -0.45 0.93 11.85
0 A Walter Johnson ( 6- 7, 82.7) 7- 6 -17.16 18.43 0.45 0.93 17.62
0 H Walt Whitman (14- 3, 86.9) 6-15 -13.00 22.60 -0.45 0.93 -12.55
0 H Quince Orchard ( 8- 6, 82.1) 13- 7 -17.84 17.75 -0.45 0.93 16.16
0 A Bethesda-Chevy ( 9- 6, 82.8) 10- 9 -17.12 18.48 0.45 0.93 17.67
0 A Richard Montgo ( 9- 6, 80.4) 13- 7 -19.52 16.07 0.45 0.93 15.42
0 H Poolesville ( 5- 8, 77.8) 12-10 -22.14 13.45 -0.45 0.93 12.14
0 A Sherwood (15- 2, 89.6) 6-11 -10.31 25.28 0.45 0.93 -9.21
0 A Clarksburg ( 7- 7, 79.0) 8- 9 -20.92 14.67 0.45 0.93 -19.12
0 A Gaithersburg ( 5- 8, 77.5) 18- 8 -22.36 13.23 0.45 0.93 12.77
0 A Blair ( 8- 7, 79.1) 11- 7 -20.85 14.75 0.45 0.93 14.18
0 H Springbrook ( 3-11, 70.8) 20- 0 -29.13 6.47 -0.45 0.93 5.62
0 H Bethesda-Chevy ( 9- 6, 82.8) 13- 4 -17.12 18.48 -0.45 0.93 16.83
------
99.38
|
winning pts = 140.2613 losing points = -40.8773
SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.
------------------------------------------------------------------------
| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
------------------------------------------------------------------------