---    UPDATED: 07-28-25 17:13 PDT

safe3step boys Christchurch 1
  
Christchurch          
W-L: ( 8- 5) PR = 96.8108

Schedule/Results All Games

Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 313 H Paul VI ( 7- 3, 98.3) 7- 8 318 H Atlee (10- 9, 90.9) 14- 7 325 H St Christophers (15- 4, 96.2) 12- 7 328 H Collegiate School (12- 6, 94.6) 10-12 401 A Woodberry Forest ( 9- 8, 93.0) 13- 3 405 A St Annes-Belfield (14- 1, 99.9) 8-10 408 N Episcopal ( 8- 3, 96.8) 17-14 415 H Norfolk Academy (13- 6, 93.5) 17- 8 428 H Fork Union Military ( 6- 5, 89.9) 19- 6 430 H Catholic HS (12- 7, 92.7) 18- 7 502 A Blue Ridge School (13- 3, 97.0) 8-13 506 H Trinity Episcopal ( 1-14, 80.0) 19- 4 513 H St Christophers (15- 4, 96.2) 10-11

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction. N/A when ten  |
               |         goal limit is exceeded    |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   313 H Paul VI                 7- 8      -1    -1          -0.15
   318 H Atlee                  14- 7       7     7           0.00
   325 H St Christophers        12- 7       5     1    +      3.74
   328 H Collegiate School      10-12      -2     3    --    -4.83
   401 A Woodberry Forest       13- 3      10     3           1.80
   405 A St Annes-Belfield       8-10      -2    -4           1.70
   408 N Episcopal              17-14       3     0    +      2.98
   415 H Norfolk Academy        17- 8       9     4           1.06
   428 H Fork Union Military    19- 6      13     8           0.00
   430 H Catholic HS            18- 7      11     5           0.27
   502 A Blue Ridge School       8-13      -5    -1    --    -4.16
   506 H Trinity Episcopal      19- 4      15    17           0.00
   513 H St Christophers        10-11      -1     1    -     -2.26

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   328 H Collegiate School      10-12      -2     3    --    -4.83
   502 A Blue Ridge School       8-13      -5    -1    --    -4.16
   513 H St Christophers        10-11      -1     1    -     -2.26

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   325 H St Christophers        12- 7       5     1    +      3.74
   408 N Episcopal              17-14       3     0    +      2.98

Christchurch Evaluation

The team that earns the point in the pair-wise comparison is based on three criteria: 
first is head-to-head, the winner gets the point, however, if they did not play each
other, than it considers w-l versus common opponents. If their records are tied or they
have no common opponents, than the tie-breaker becomes the better power rating.
The Common Opponent Point list in the table below has the record of the winner followed by the
record of the loser for all common opponents
Opponent Who Gets
the Point?
Head-2-Head
Point
Common Opponent
Point
Power Rating
Point
Albemarle Christchurch   Christchurch
Alexandria City Christchurch   Christchurch
Annandale Christchurch   Christchurch
Atlee Christchurch Christchurch  
Battlefield Christchurch   Christchurch
Bayside Christchurch   Christchurch
Benedictine Christchurch Christchurch   6- 2 vs 1- 6
Bishop Ireton Christchurch insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 0- 2) Christchurch
Bishop OConnell Christchurch insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 0- 2) Christchurch
Blacksburg Christchurch   Christchurch
Blue Ridge School Blue Ridge School Blue Ridge School  
Brentsville Christchurch   Christchurch
Briar Woods Christchurch   Christchurch
Broad Run Christchurch   Christchurch
Brooke Point Christchurch   Christchurch
Cape Henry Collegiat Christchurch Christchurch   3- 0 vs 0- 3
Catholic HS Christchurch Christchurch  
Cave Spring Christchurch   Christchurch
Centreville Christchurch   Christchurch
Chantilly Christchurch   Christchurch
Charlottesville Christchurch   Christchurch
Christiansburg Christchurch   Christchurch
Clover Hill Christchurch   Christchurch
Colgan Christchurch   Christchurch
Collegiate School Collegiate School Collegiate School  
Colonial Forge Christchurch   Christchurch
Cosby Christchurch tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) Christchurch
Covenant School Christchurch insuffient: ( 2- 1)( 1- 2) Christchurch
Cox Christchurch   Christchurch
Culpeper County Christchurch   Christchurch
Deep Run Christchurch Christchurch   2- 2 vs 0- 3
Dominion Christchurch   Christchurch
Douglas Freeman Christchurch insuffient: ( 1- 2)( 0- 3) Christchurch
Eastern View Christchurch   Christchurch
EC Glass Christchurch   Christchurch
Edison Christchurch   Christchurch
Episcopal Christchurch Christchurch  
Eukarya Christian Christchurch   Christchurch
Fairfax Christchurch   Christchurch
Falls Church Christchurch   Christchurch
Fauquier Christchurch   Christchurch
First Colonial Christchurch   Christchurch
Fishburne Military A Christchurch   Christchurch
Flint Hill Christchurch tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) Christchurch
Fluvanna County Christchurch   Christchurch
Forest Park Christchurch   Christchurch
Fork Union Military Christchurch Christchurch  
Franklin County Christchurch   Christchurch
Fredericksburg Acade Christchurch   Christchurch
Fredericksburg Chris Christchurch   Christchurch
Freedom South Ridin Christchurch   Christchurch
Freedom Woodbridge Christchurch   Christchurch
Gainesville Christchurch   Christchurch
Gar-field Christchurch   Christchurch
Glen Allen Christchurch   Christchurch
Goochland Christchurch   Christchurch
Grafton LC Christchurch   Christchurch
Grassfield LC Christchurch   Christchurch
Green Run Christchurch   Christchurch
Handley Christchurch   Christchurch
Hanover Christchurch insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Christchurch
Hayfield Christchurch   Christchurch
Heritage Leesburg Christchurch   Christchurch
Herndon Christchurch   Christchurch
Hickory LC Christchurch   Christchurch
Hidden Valley Christchurch   Christchurch
Highland School Christchurch   Christchurch
Highland Springs Christchurch   Christchurch
Hylton Christchurch   Christchurch
Independence Christchurch tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) Christchurch
James Monroe Christchurch   Christchurch
James River Christchurch tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) Christchurch
Jamestown LC Christchurch   Christchurch
Jefferson Forest Christchurch   Christchurch
John Champe Christchurch   Christchurch
Justice Christchurch   Christchurch
Kellam Christchurch   Christchurch
Kempsville Christchurch   Christchurch
Kettle Run Christchurch   Christchurch
Lafayette LC Christchurch   Christchurch
Lake Braddock Christchurch   Christchurch
Landstown Christchurch   Christchurch
Langley Christchurch   Christchurch
Lewis Christchurch   Christchurch
Liberty Bealeton Christchurch   Christchurch
Lightridge Christchurch   Christchurch
Lloyd C Bird Christchurch   Christchurch
Lord Botetourt Christchurch   Christchurch
Loudoun County Christchurch   Christchurch
Loudoun Valley Christchurch   Christchurch
Madison Christchurch   Christchurch
Manchester Christchurch   Christchurch
Marshall Christchurch   Christchurch
Massaponax Christchurch   Christchurch
Matoaca Christchurch   Christchurch
Maury LC Christchurch   Christchurch
McLean Christchurch   Christchurch
Mechanicsville Christchurch insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Christchurch
Menchville LC Christchurch   Christchurch
Meridian Christchurch   Christchurch
Midlothian Christchurch insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Christchurch
Mills Godwin Christchurch   Christchurch
Monacan Christchurch insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Christchurch
Monticello Christchurch   Christchurch
Mount Vernon Christchurch   Christchurch
Mountain View Christchurch   Christchurch
Nansemond-Suffolk Ac Christchurch Christchurch   2- 0 vs 0- 2
New Covenant School Christchurch insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 0- 2) Christchurch
Norfolk Academy Christchurch Christchurch  
Norfolk Christian Christchurch Christchurch   3- 0 vs 0- 3
Norfolk Collegiate Christchurch Christchurch   2- 0 vs 0- 2
North Cross School Christchurch Christchurch   2- 1 vs 0- 3
North Stafford Christchurch   Christchurch
Northern VA Home Sch Christchurch   Christchurch
Oakton Christchurch   Christchurch
Ocean Lakes Christchurch   Christchurch
Orange County Christchurch   Christchurch
Osbourn Christchurch   Christchurch
Osbourn Park Christchurch   Christchurch
Park View Christchurch   Christchurch
Patrick Henry Ashla Christchurch insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Christchurch
Patrick Henry Roano Christchurch   Christchurch
Patriot Christchurch   Christchurch
Paul VI Paul VI Paul VI  
Potomac Falls Christchurch   Christchurch
Potomac School Christchurch Christchurch   4- 2 vs 0- 5
Potomac-Dumfries Christchurch   Christchurch
Powhatan Christchurch   Christchurch
Princess Anne Christchurch   Christchurch
Riverbend Christchurch   Christchurch
Riverside Christchurch insuffient: ( 2- 1)( 1- 1) Christchurch
Robinson Christchurch   Christchurch
Rock Ridge Christchurch   Christchurch
Rockbridge County Christchurch   Christchurch
Rockingham LC Christchurch   Christchurch
Salem Christchurch insuffient: ( 2- 1)( 1- 2) Christchurch
Salem Virginia Beach Christchurch   Christchurch
Seton School Christchurch insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Christchurch
South County Christchurch   Christchurch
South Lakes Christchurch   Christchurch
St Annes-Belfield St Annes-Belfield St Annes-Belfield  
St Christophers Christchurch insuffient: ( 7- 3)( 8- 2) Christchurch
St John Paul the Gre Christchurch   Christchurch
St Stephen-St Agnes Christchurch Christchurch   3- 2 vs 1- 3
Stafford Christchurch   Christchurch
Steward School Christchurch Christchurch   2- 0 vs 0- 2
Stone Bridge Christchurch   Christchurch
Strasburg LC Christchurch   Christchurch
Tabb LC Christchurch   Christchurch
Tallwood Christchurch   Christchurch
Tandem Friends Christchurch   Christchurch
Thomas Dale Christchurch   Christchurch
Thomas Jefferson Christchurch   Christchurch
Trinity Christian Christchurch   Christchurch
Trinity Episcopal Christchurch Christchurch  
Trinity Meadow View Christchurch tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) Christchurch
Tuscarora Christchurch   Christchurch
Unity Reed Christchurch   Christchurch
Veritas School Christchurch   Christchurch
Virginia Academy Christchurch   Christchurch
Virginia Episcopal S Christchurch insuffient: ( 2- 1)( 1- 2) Christchurch
Wakefield HS Christchurch   Christchurch
Wakefield School Christchurch   Christchurch
Washington-Liberty Christchurch   Christchurch
West Potomac Christchurch   Christchurch
West Springfield Christchurch   Christchurch
Western Albemarle Christchurch insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Christchurch
Westfield Christchurch   Christchurch
William Byrd Christchurch   Christchurch
William Fleming Christchurch   Christchurch
Woodberry Forest Christchurch Christchurch  
Woodbridge Christchurch   Christchurch
Woodgrove Christchurch   Christchurch
Woodson Christchurch   Christchurch
York LC Christchurch   Christchurch
Yorktown Christchurch   Christchurch

PowerWise = 172


division Games Only
Average number of games used in Games Correction = 13.94

 Date  Opponent          (W-L  PR)      SCORE       SAFE        SAFE       Home       No Games           SCI              
                                                    Loss        Win       Field      Correction         Points            
                                                    SLP         SWP     Advantage      Factor                       
                                                      
   0 H Paul VI         ( 7- 3, 98.3)     7- 8       -1.63      33.37      -0.61         1.07            -2.40
   0 H Atlee           (10- 9, 90.9)    14- 7       -9.04      25.96      -0.61         1.07            27.19
   0 H St Christopher  (15- 4, 96.2)    12- 7       -3.74      31.26      -0.61         1.07            32.88
   0 H Collegiate Sch  (12- 6, 94.6)    10-12       -5.31      29.70      -0.61         1.07            -6.34
   0 A Woodberry Fore  ( 9- 8, 93.0)    13- 3       -6.90      28.11       0.61         1.07            30.80
   0 A St Annes-Belfi  (14- 1, 99.9)     8-10       -0.00      35.00       0.61         1.07            -0.65
   0 N Episcopal       ( 8- 3, 96.8)    17-14       -3.11      31.89      -0.00         1.07            34.20
   0 H Norfolk Academ  (13- 6, 93.5)    17- 8       -6.42      28.58      -0.61         1.07            30.00
   0 H Fork Union Mil  ( 6- 5, 89.9)    19- 6      -10.00      25.00      -0.61         1.07            26.16
   0 H Catholic HS     (12- 7, 92.7)    18- 7       -7.21      27.79      -0.61         1.07            29.15
   0 A Blue Ridge Sch  (13- 3, 97.0)     8-13       -2.86      32.14       0.61         1.07            -2.41
   0 H Trinity Episco  ( 1-14, 80.0)    19- 4      -19.89      15.11      -0.61         1.07            15.55
   0 H St Christopher  (15- 4, 96.2)    10-11       -3.74      31.26      -0.61         1.07            -4.67
                                                                                                        ------
                                                                                                       209.46

winning pts = 225.9431 losing points = -16.4785

             SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.

------------------------------------------------------------------------
| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
------------------------------------------------------------------------