---    UPDATED: 07-28-25 23:56 PDT

safe3step boys Chesapeake AA 1 
  
Chesapeake  AA        
W-L: (13- 4)  PR =    87.9365
 
Schedule/Results All Games
 

 Date  Opponent               Conf/State      (W-L, PR)      Score  
 321 H Southern AA                          ( 3-11, 80.1)    17- 4   
 325 A Atholton                             ( 3-12, 77.1)    14- 1   
 328 H Broadneck                            (12- 3, 93.1)     1-15   
 401 H Wilde Lake                           ( 5-10, 80.0)    13- 2   
 404 A Annapolis                            ( 9- 4, 86.4)     9-10   
 408 H Old Mill                             ( 4- 8, 80.5)    13- 1   
 411 H Glen Burnie                          ( 5- 7, 80.9)     9- 2   
 415 A North County                         ( 7- 8, 83.4)    10- 3   
 416 A Severn Run                           ( 4-11, 76.9)    16- 1   
 419 N Wilde Lake                           ( 5-10, 80.0)    12- 8   
 419 N Mount Hebron                         ( 6- 8, 85.9)    14- 9   
 423 A Northeast AA                         (10- 4, 85.2)     5- 3   
 425 H Meade                                ( 1-10, 73.7)    17- 0   
 502 H South River                          (11- 3, 91.5)     5- 4   
 505 N Severna Park                         (17- 1, 94.4)     2-21   
 512 H Northeast AA                         (10- 4, 85.2)    11- 6   
 514 H Glenelg HS                           (12- 5, 90.3)     3-13

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction. N/A when ten  |
               |         goal limit is exceeded    |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   321 H Southern AA            17- 4      13     8           0.00
   325 A Atholton               14- 1      13    10           0.00
   328 H Broadneck               1-15     -14    -5          -0.33
   401 H Wilde Lake             13- 2      11     8           0.00
   404 A Annapolis               9-10      -1     1    -     -2.09
   408 H Old Mill               13- 1      12     8           0.00
   411 H Glen Burnie             9- 2       7     7           0.00
   415 A North County           10- 3       7     4           0.96
   416 A Severn Run             16- 1      15    11           0.00
   419 N Wilde Lake             12- 8       4     8          -1.00
   419 N Mount Hebron           14- 9       5     2    +      2.93
   423 A Northeast AA            5- 3       2     2          -0.27
   425 H Meade                  17- 0      17    15           0.00
   502 H South River             5- 4       1    -3    ++     4.10
   505 N Severna Park            2-21     -19    -6           0.00
   512 H Northeast AA           11- 6       5     3           1.83
   514 H Glenelg HS              3-13     -10    -2    -     -3.13

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   404 A Annapolis               9-10      -1     1    -     -2.09
   514 H Glenelg HS              3-13     -10    -2    -     -3.13

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   502 H South River             5- 4       1    -3    ++     4.10
   419 N Mount Hebron           14- 9       5     2    +      2.93

Chesapeake AA Evaluation 

The team that earns the point in the pair-wise comparison is based on three criteria: 
first is head-to-head, the winner gets the point, however, if they did not play each 
other, than it considers w-l versus common opponents. If their records are tied or they 
have no common opponents, than the tie-breaker becomes the better power rating.
The Common Opponent Point list in the table below has the record of the winner followed by the 
record of the loser for all common opponents
Opponent Who Gets
the Point? 		Head-2-Head
Point 		Common Opponent
Point 		Power Rating
Point
Annapolis Area Chris Chesapeake AA   Chesapeake AA
Archbishop Curley Archbishop Curley   Archbishop Curley
Archbishop Spalding Archbishop Spalding   Archbishop Spalding
Beth TFiloh Chesapeake AA   Chesapeake AA
Bishop McNamara Chesapeake AA   Chesapeake AA
Boys Latin Boys Latin   Boys Latin
Bullis Bullis   Bullis
Calvert Hall Calvert Hall   Calvert Hall
Chapelgate Christian Chesapeake AA   Chesapeake AA
Concordia Prep Chesapeake AA   Chesapeake AA
Cristo Rey Jesuit Chesapeake AA   Chesapeake AA
DeMatha DeMatha   DeMatha
FCA LC Chesapeake AA   Chesapeake AA
Friends Chesapeake AA   Chesapeake AA
Garrett County LC Chesapeake AA   Chesapeake AA
Georgetown Day Chesapeake AA   Chesapeake AA
Georgetown Prep Georgetown Prep   Georgetown Prep
Gerstell Academy Chesapeake AA   Chesapeake AA
Gilman Gilman   Gilman
Glenelg Country Chesapeake AA   Chesapeake AA
Gonzaga Gonzaga   Gonzaga
Good Counsel Good Counsel   Good Counsel
Gunston School Chesapeake AA   Chesapeake AA
Heights Heights   Heights
Indian Creek School Chesapeake AA   Chesapeake AA
Jemicy School Chesapeake AA   Chesapeake AA
John Carroll John Carroll   John Carroll
Key School Chesapeake AA   Chesapeake AA
Landon Landon insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Landon
Loyola-Blakefield Loyola-Blakefield   Loyola-Blakefield
Maret Chesapeake AA   Chesapeake AA
McDonogh McDonogh   McDonogh
Mercersburg Academy Chesapeake AA   Chesapeake AA
Mount Carmel Chesapeake AA   Chesapeake AA
Mount St Joseph Mount St Joseph   Mount St Joseph
Park School Chesapeake AA   Chesapeake AA
Salisbury School Chesapeake AA   Chesapeake AA
Sandy Spring Friends Chesapeake AA   Chesapeake AA
Severn School Severn School   Severn School
Sidwell Friends Chesapeake AA   Chesapeake AA
St Albans St Albans   St Albans
St Andrews Episcopal Chesapeake AA   Chesapeake AA
St James St James   St James
St Johns Catholic Pr Chesapeake AA   Chesapeake AA
St Johns College HS St Johns College HS   St Johns College HS
St Marys Annapolis St Marys Annapolis   St Marys Annapolis
St Marys Ryken St Marys Ryken   St Marys Ryken
St Pauls St Pauls   St Pauls
St Vincent Pallotti Chesapeake AA   Chesapeake AA
Sts Peter & Paul Sts Peter & Paul   Sts Peter & Paul
Tome School Chesapeake AA   Chesapeake AA
Worcester Prep Chesapeake AA   Chesapeake AA
Aberdeen Chesapeake AA   Chesapeake AA
Academy for College Chesapeake AA   Chesapeake AA
Annapolis Annapolis Annapolis  
Arundel Chesapeake AA Chesapeake AA   5- 3 vs 2- 6
Atholton Chesapeake AA Chesapeake AA  
Baltimore Polytechni Chesapeake AA   Chesapeake AA
Bel Air Chesapeake AA tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Chesapeake AA
Bethesda-Chevy Chase Chesapeake AA   Chesapeake AA
Bladensburg Chesapeake AA   Chesapeake AA
Blair Chesapeake AA   Chesapeake AA
Blake Chesapeake AA   Chesapeake AA
Bohemia Manor Chesapeake AA   Chesapeake AA
Boonsboro Chesapeake AA   Chesapeake AA
Bowie Chesapeake AA   Chesapeake AA
Broadneck Broadneck Broadneck  
Brunswick Chesapeake AA   Chesapeake AA
Calvert Chesapeake AA   Chesapeake AA
Cambridge SD Chesapeake AA tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) Chesapeake AA
Carver A&T Chesapeake AA   Chesapeake AA
Catoctin Chesapeake AA   Chesapeake AA
Catonsville Catonsville tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Catonsville
Centennial Chesapeake AA insuffient: ( 2- 1)( 1- 2) Chesapeake AA
Century Century   Century
CH Flowers Chesapeake AA   Chesapeake AA
Chesapeake BC Chesapeake AA   Chesapeake AA
Chopticon Chesapeake AA   Chesapeake AA
City College Chesapeake AA   Chesapeake AA
Clarksburg Chesapeake AA   Chesapeake AA
CM Wright CM Wright   CM Wright
Crofton Crofton insuffient: ( 5- 4)( 6- 3) Crofton
Damascus Chesapeake AA tied - ( 1- 1) ( 1- 1) Chesapeake AA
Digital Harbor Chesapeake AA   Chesapeake AA
Dr Henry Wise Chesapeake AA   Chesapeake AA
Dulaney Chesapeake AA   Chesapeake AA
Dunbar Chesapeake AA   Chesapeake AA
Dundalk Chesapeake AA   Chesapeake AA
DuVal Chesapeake AA   Chesapeake AA
Eastern Tech Chesapeake AA   Chesapeake AA
Easton Chesapeake AA   Chesapeake AA
Edgewood Chesapeake AA   Chesapeake AA
Edmondson-Westside Chesapeake AA   Chesapeake AA
Einstein Chesapeake AA   Chesapeake AA
Eleanor Roosevelt Chesapeake AA insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Chesapeake AA
Elkton Chesapeake AA insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Chesapeake AA
Fairmont Heights Chesapeake AA   Chesapeake AA
Fallston Fallston insuffient: ( 2- 0)( 1- 1) Fallston
Forest Park Chesapeake AA   Chesapeake AA
Francis Scott Key Chesapeake AA   Chesapeake AA
Franklin Chesapeake AA   Chesapeake AA
Frederick Chesapeake AA   Chesapeake AA
Frederick Douglass B Chesapeake AA   Chesapeake AA
Frederick Douglass P Chesapeake AA insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Chesapeake AA
Friendly Chesapeake AA   Chesapeake AA
Gaithersburg Chesapeake AA   Chesapeake AA
Glen Burnie Chesapeake AA Chesapeake AA  
Glenelg HS Glenelg HS Glenelg HS  
Gov Thomas Johnson Chesapeake AA   Chesapeake AA
Great Mills Chesapeake AA   Chesapeake AA
Guilford Park Chesapeake AA Chesapeake AA   4- 0 vs 1- 3
Gwynn Park Chesapeake AA   Chesapeake AA
Hammond Chesapeake AA Chesapeake AA   5- 0 vs 0- 5
Harford Tech Chesapeake AA   Chesapeake AA
Havre De Grace Chesapeake AA   Chesapeake AA
Hereford Hereford tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) Hereford
High Point Chesapeake AA   Chesapeake AA
Howard Chesapeake AA tied - ( 3- 1) ( 3- 1) Chesapeake AA
Huntingtown Huntingtown tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Huntingtown
JM Bennett Chesapeake AA   Chesapeake AA
Joppatowne Chesapeake AA   Chesapeake AA
Kennedy Chesapeake AA   Chesapeake AA
Kent County Chesapeake AA   Chesapeake AA
Kent Island Kent Island insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Kent Island
Kenwood Chesapeake AA   Chesapeake AA
La Plata Chesapeake AA   Chesapeake AA
Lackey Chesapeake AA   Chesapeake AA
Lake Clifton Chesapeake AA   Chesapeake AA
Lansdowne Chesapeake AA   Chesapeake AA
Laurel Chesapeake AA   Chesapeake AA
Leonardtown Leonardtown tied - ( 1- 1) ( 1- 1) Leonardtown
Liberty Chesapeake AA   Chesapeake AA
Linganore Chesapeake AA tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Chesapeake AA
Loch Raven Chesapeake AA   Chesapeake AA
Long Reach Chesapeake AA Chesapeake AA   4- 0 vs 2- 2
Magruder Chesapeake AA   Chesapeake AA
Manchester Valley Chesapeake AA   Chesapeake AA
Marriotts Ridge Marriotts Ridge insuffient: ( 4- 2)( 3- 3) Marriotts Ridge
Meade Chesapeake AA Chesapeake AA  
Mergenthaler Chesapeake AA   Chesapeake AA
Middletown Chesapeake AA   Chesapeake AA
Milford Mill Chesapeake AA   Chesapeake AA
MJ McDonough Chesapeake AA   Chesapeake AA
Mount Hebron Chesapeake AA Chesapeake AA  
National Academy Fou Chesapeake AA   Chesapeake AA
New Town Chesapeake AA   Chesapeake AA
North Caroline Chesapeake AA   Chesapeake AA
North County Chesapeake AA Chesapeake AA  
North Dorchester Chesapeake AA   Chesapeake AA
North East Cecil Chesapeake AA   Chesapeake AA
North Hagerstown Chesapeake AA   Chesapeake AA
North Harford Chesapeake AA   Chesapeake AA
North Point Chesapeake AA   Chesapeake AA
Northeast AA Chesapeake AA Chesapeake AA  
Northern Calvert Chesapeake AA insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Chesapeake AA
Northwest Chesapeake AA   Chesapeake AA
Northwestern PG Chesapeake AA   Chesapeake AA
Northwood Chesapeake AA   Chesapeake AA
Oakdale Chesapeake AA   Chesapeake AA
Oakland Mills Chesapeake AA insuffient: ( 4- 0)( 3- 1) Chesapeake AA
Old Mill Chesapeake AA Chesapeake AA  
Overlea Chesapeake AA   Chesapeake AA
Owings Mills Chesapeake AA   Chesapeake AA
Oxon Hill Chesapeake AA   Chesapeake AA
Paint Branch Chesapeake AA   Chesapeake AA
Parkdale Chesapeake AA   Chesapeake AA
Parkside Chesapeake AA   Chesapeake AA
Parkville Chesapeake AA   Chesapeake AA
Patapsco Chesapeake AA   Chesapeake AA
Patterson HS Chesapeake AA   Chesapeake AA
Patterson Mill Chesapeake AA   Chesapeake AA
Patuxent Chesapeake AA   Chesapeake AA
Perry Hall Chesapeake AA   Chesapeake AA
Perryville Chesapeake AA insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Chesapeake AA
Pikesville Chesapeake AA   Chesapeake AA
Poolesville Chesapeake AA insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Chesapeake AA
Queen Annes County Chesapeake AA   Chesapeake AA
Quince Orchard Chesapeake AA   Chesapeake AA
Randallstown Chesapeake AA   Chesapeake AA
Reginald F Lewis Chesapeake AA   Chesapeake AA
Reservoir Chesapeake AA insuffient: ( 4- 2)( 3- 3) Chesapeake AA
Richard Montgomery Chesapeake AA tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Chesapeake AA
Rising Sun Chesapeake AA   Chesapeake AA
River Hill Chesapeake AA Chesapeake AA   4- 1 vs 2- 3
Rockville Chesapeake AA   Chesapeake AA
Seneca Valley Chesapeake AA   Chesapeake AA
Severn Run Chesapeake AA Chesapeake AA  
Severna Park Severna Park Severna Park  
Sherwood Sherwood tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) Sherwood
Smithsburg Chesapeake AA   Chesapeake AA
South Carroll Chesapeake AA   Chesapeake AA
South Hagerstown Chesapeake AA   Chesapeake AA
South River Chesapeake AA Chesapeake AA  
Southern AA Chesapeake AA Chesapeake AA  
Sparrows Point Chesapeake AA   Chesapeake AA
Springbrook Chesapeake AA   Chesapeake AA
St Charles Chesapeake AA   Chesapeake AA
Stephen Decatur Stephen Decatur   Stephen Decatur
Suitland Chesapeake AA   Chesapeake AA
Surrattsville Chesapeake AA   Chesapeake AA
Thomas Stone Chesapeake AA   Chesapeake AA
Towson Towson tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Towson
Tuscarora Chesapeake AA   Chesapeake AA
Urbana Urbana insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Urbana
Walkersville Chesapeake AA   Chesapeake AA
Walt Whitman Chesapeake AA   Chesapeake AA
Walter Johnson Chesapeake AA   Chesapeake AA
Watkins Mill Chesapeake AA   Chesapeake AA
Western STES Chesapeake AA   Chesapeake AA
Westlake Chesapeake AA   Chesapeake AA
Westminster Chesapeake AA tied - ( 1- 1) ( 1- 1) Chesapeake AA
Wheaton Chesapeake AA   Chesapeake AA
Wicomico Chesapeake AA   Chesapeake AA
Wilde Lake Chesapeake AA Chesapeake AA  
Winston Churchill Chesapeake AA   Chesapeake AA
Winters Mill Chesapeake AA tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) Chesapeake AA
Woodlawn Chesapeake AA   Chesapeake AA
Wootton Chesapeake AA   Chesapeake AA
Archbishop Carroll Chesapeake AA   Chesapeake AA
DC International PCS Chesapeake AA   Chesapeake AA
Jackson Reed Chesapeake AA   Chesapeake AA

PowerWise = 179


division Games Only
Average number of games used in Games Correction = 12.14

 Date  Opponent          (W-L  PR)      SCORE       SAFE        SAFE       Home       No Games           SCI              
                                                    Loss        Win       Field      Correction         Points            
                                                    SLP         SWP     Advantage      Factor                       
                                                      
   0 H Southern AA     ( 3-11, 80.1)    17- 4      -19.84      15.75      -0.45         0.71            10.92
   0 A Atholton        ( 3-12, 77.1)    14- 1      -22.77      12.82       0.45         0.71             9.47
   0 H Broadneck       (12- 3, 93.1)     1-15       -6.84      28.75      -0.45         0.71            -5.20
   0 H Wilde Lake      ( 5-10, 80.0)    13- 2      -19.87      15.73      -0.45         0.71            10.91
   0 A Annapolis       ( 9- 4, 86.4)     9-10      -13.50      22.09       0.45         0.71            -9.32
   0 H Old Mill        ( 4- 8, 80.5)    13- 1      -19.39      16.21      -0.45         0.71            11.25
   0 H Glen Burnie     ( 5- 7, 80.9)     9- 2      -18.98      16.62      -0.45         0.71            11.54
   0 A North County    ( 7- 8, 83.4)    10- 3      -16.45      19.14       0.45         0.71            13.98
   0 A Severn Run      ( 4-11, 76.9)    16- 1      -22.98      12.61       0.45         0.71             9.32
   0 N Wilde Lake      ( 5-10, 80.0)    12- 8      -19.87      15.73      -0.00         0.71            11.23
   0 N Mount Hebron    ( 6- 8, 85.9)    14- 9      -14.04      21.56      -0.00         0.71            15.39
   0 A Northeast AA    (10- 4, 85.2)     5- 3      -14.68      20.91       0.45         0.71            15.24
   0 H Meade           ( 1-10, 73.7)    17- 0      -26.18       9.42      -0.45         0.71             6.40
   0 H South River     (11- 3, 91.5)     5- 4       -8.42      27.17      -0.45         0.71            19.08
   0 N Severna Park    (17- 1, 94.4)     2-21       -5.52      30.07      -0.00         0.71            -3.94
   0 H Northeast AA    (10- 4, 85.2)    11- 6      -14.68      20.91      -0.45         0.71            14.61
   0 H Glenelg HS      (12- 5, 90.3)     3-13       -9.65      25.95      -0.45         0.71            -7.20
                                                                                                        ------
                                                                                                       133.68

winning pts = 159.3504 losing points = -25.6690

             SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.

------------------------------------------------------------------------
| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
------------------------------------------------------------------------