---    UPDATED: 07-28-25 23:56 PDT

safe3step boys Chopticon 1
  
Chopticon             
W-L: (10- 4) PR = 84.0875

Schedule/Results All Games

Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 324 H Westlake ( 1- 9, 71.5) 18- 1 331 H Northern Calvert (10- 4, 87.8) 4-11 402 A North Point ( 5- 8, 78.0) 11- 2 404 A Great Mills ( 5- 8, 79.6) 11- 3 407 H Lackey ( 0-12, 69.8) 16- 0 409 A La Plata ( 6- 6, 82.9) 6- 5 411 A Leonardtown (14- 2, 88.2) 4-12 421 H Thomas Stone ( 4- 8, 75.1) 16- 2 423 H Calvert (10- 4, 82.3) 8- 4 425 A MJ McDonough ( 2-10, 74.2) 9- 1 428 A Patuxent ( 7- 7, 79.3) 10- 4 502 H Huntingtown (15- 3, 91.9) 2-16 509 H Great Mills ( 5- 8, 79.6) 11- 2 512 H Northern Calvert (10- 4, 87.8) 5-13

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction. N/A when ten  |
               |         goal limit is exceeded    |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   324 H Westlake               18- 1      17    13           0.00
   331 H Northern Calvert        4-11      -7    -3          -1.69
   402 A North Point            11- 2       9     6           0.00
   404 A Great Mills            11- 3       8     4           0.99
   407 H Lackey                 16- 0      16    15           0.00
   409 A La Plata                6- 5       1     1           0.22
   411 A Leonardtown             4-12      -8    -5          -0.39
   421 H Thomas Stone           16- 2      14     9           0.00
   423 H Calvert                 8- 4       4     2           1.80
   425 A MJ McDonough            9- 1       8     9           0.00
   428 A Patuxent               10- 4       6     4           0.65
   502 H Huntingtown             2-16     -14    -7           0.00
   509 H Great Mills            11- 2       9     5           0.10
   512 H Northern Calvert        5-13      -8    -3          -1.69

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*

Chopticon Evaluation

The team that earns the point in the pair-wise comparison is based on three criteria: 
first is head-to-head, the winner gets the point, however, if they did not play each
other, than it considers w-l versus common opponents. If their records are tied or they
have no common opponents, than the tie-breaker becomes the better power rating.
The Common Opponent Point list in the table below has the record of the winner followed by the
record of the loser for all common opponents
Opponent Who Gets
the Point?
Head-2-Head
Point
Common Opponent
Point
Power Rating
Point
Annapolis Area Chris Chopticon   Chopticon
Archbishop Curley Archbishop Curley   Archbishop Curley
Archbishop Spalding Archbishop Spalding   Archbishop Spalding
Beth TFiloh Chopticon   Chopticon
Bishop McNamara Chopticon   Chopticon
Boys Latin Boys Latin   Boys Latin
Bullis Bullis   Bullis
Calvert Hall Calvert Hall   Calvert Hall
Chapelgate Christian Chopticon   Chopticon
Concordia Prep Concordia Prep   Concordia Prep
Cristo Rey Jesuit Chopticon   Chopticon
DeMatha DeMatha insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) DeMatha
FCA LC Chopticon   Chopticon
Friends Chopticon   Chopticon
Garrett County LC Chopticon   Chopticon
Georgetown Day Chopticon   Chopticon
Georgetown Prep Georgetown Prep   Georgetown Prep
Gerstell Academy Gerstell Academy   Gerstell Academy
Gilman Gilman   Gilman
Glenelg Country Chopticon   Chopticon
Gonzaga Gonzaga   Gonzaga
Good Counsel Good Counsel   Good Counsel
Gunston School Chopticon   Chopticon
Heights Heights   Heights
Indian Creek School Chopticon insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Chopticon
Jemicy School Chopticon   Chopticon
John Carroll John Carroll   John Carroll
Key School Chopticon   Chopticon
Landon Landon   Landon
Loyola-Blakefield Loyola-Blakefield   Loyola-Blakefield
Maret Chopticon   Chopticon
McDonogh McDonogh   McDonogh
Mercersburg Academy Chopticon   Chopticon
Mount Carmel Chopticon   Chopticon
Mount St Joseph Mount St Joseph   Mount St Joseph
Park School Chopticon   Chopticon
Salisbury School Chopticon   Chopticon
Sandy Spring Friends Chopticon   Chopticon
Severn School Severn School   Severn School
Sidwell Friends Sidwell Friends   Sidwell Friends
St Albans St Albans   St Albans
St Andrews Episcopal Chopticon   Chopticon
St James St James   St James
St Johns Catholic Pr Chopticon   Chopticon
St Johns College HS St Johns College HS   St Johns College HS
St Marys Annapolis St Marys Annapolis   St Marys Annapolis
St Marys Ryken St Marys Ryken   St Marys Ryken
St Pauls St Pauls   St Pauls
St Vincent Pallotti Chopticon   Chopticon
Sts Peter & Paul Sts Peter & Paul   Sts Peter & Paul
Tome School Chopticon   Chopticon
Worcester Prep Worcester Prep   Worcester Prep
Aberdeen Chopticon   Chopticon
Academy for College Chopticon   Chopticon
Annapolis Annapolis   Annapolis
Arundel Chopticon tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Chopticon
Atholton Chopticon   Chopticon
Baltimore Polytechni Chopticon   Chopticon
Bel Air Bel Air   Bel Air
Bethesda-Chevy Chase Chopticon   Chopticon
Bladensburg Chopticon   Chopticon
Blair Chopticon   Chopticon
Blake Chopticon   Chopticon
Bohemia Manor Chopticon   Chopticon
Boonsboro Chopticon   Chopticon
Bowie Chopticon tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Chopticon
Broadneck Broadneck insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Broadneck
Brunswick Chopticon   Chopticon
Calvert Chopticon Chopticon  
Cambridge SD Chopticon   Chopticon
Carver A&T Chopticon   Chopticon
Catoctin Chopticon   Chopticon
Catonsville Catonsville   Catonsville
Centennial Chopticon   Chopticon
Century Century   Century
CH Flowers Chopticon Chopticon   2- 0 vs 0- 2
Chesapeake AA Chesapeake AA   Chesapeake AA
Chesapeake BC Chopticon   Chopticon
City College Chopticon   Chopticon
Clarksburg Chopticon   Chopticon
CM Wright CM Wright tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) CM Wright
Crofton Crofton   Crofton
Damascus Damascus   Damascus
Digital Harbor Chopticon   Chopticon
Dr Henry Wise Chopticon   Chopticon
Dulaney Dulaney   Dulaney
Dunbar Chopticon   Chopticon
Dundalk Chopticon   Chopticon
DuVal Chopticon   Chopticon
Eastern Tech Chopticon   Chopticon
Easton Chopticon   Chopticon
Edgewood Chopticon   Chopticon
Edmondson-Westside Chopticon   Chopticon
Einstein Chopticon   Chopticon
Eleanor Roosevelt Chopticon   Chopticon
Elkton Chopticon   Chopticon
Fairmont Heights Chopticon   Chopticon
Fallston Fallston   Fallston
Forest Park Chopticon   Chopticon
Francis Scott Key Chopticon   Chopticon
Franklin Chopticon   Chopticon
Frederick Chopticon   Chopticon
Frederick Douglass B Chopticon   Chopticon
Frederick Douglass P Chopticon   Chopticon
Friendly Chopticon   Chopticon
Gaithersburg Chopticon   Chopticon
Glen Burnie Chopticon   Chopticon
Glenelg HS Glenelg HS   Glenelg HS
Gov Thomas Johnson Chopticon   Chopticon
Great Mills Chopticon Chopticon  
Guilford Park Chopticon   Chopticon
Gwynn Park Chopticon insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Chopticon
Hammond Chopticon   Chopticon
Harford Tech Chopticon   Chopticon
Havre De Grace Chopticon   Chopticon
Hereford Hereford   Hereford
High Point Chopticon   Chopticon
Howard Howard   Howard
Huntingtown Huntingtown Huntingtown  
JM Bennett JM Bennett   JM Bennett
Joppatowne Chopticon   Chopticon
Kennedy Chopticon   Chopticon
Kent County Chopticon   Chopticon
Kent Island Kent Island   Kent Island
Kenwood Chopticon   Chopticon
La Plata Chopticon Chopticon  
Lackey Chopticon Chopticon  
Lake Clifton Chopticon   Chopticon
Lansdowne Chopticon   Chopticon
Laurel Chopticon   Chopticon
Leonardtown Leonardtown Leonardtown  
Liberty Liberty tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) Liberty
Linganore Linganore insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Linganore
Loch Raven Chopticon   Chopticon
Long Reach Chopticon   Chopticon
Magruder Chopticon   Chopticon
Manchester Valley Manchester Valley   Manchester Valley
Marriotts Ridge Marriotts Ridge tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Marriotts Ridge
Meade Chopticon   Chopticon
Mergenthaler Chopticon   Chopticon
Middletown Middletown   Middletown
Milford Mill Chopticon   Chopticon
MJ McDonough Chopticon Chopticon  
Mount Hebron Mount Hebron   Mount Hebron
National Academy Fou Chopticon   Chopticon
New Town Chopticon   Chopticon
North Caroline Chopticon   Chopticon
North County Chopticon   Chopticon
North Dorchester Chopticon   Chopticon
North East Cecil Chopticon   Chopticon
North Hagerstown Chopticon   Chopticon
North Harford North Harford   North Harford
North Point Chopticon Chopticon  
Northeast AA Northeast AA   Northeast AA
Northern Calvert Northern Calvert Northern Calvert  
Northwest Chopticon   Chopticon
Northwestern PG Chopticon   Chopticon
Northwood Chopticon   Chopticon
Oakdale Chopticon   Chopticon
Oakland Mills Chopticon   Chopticon
Old Mill Chopticon   Chopticon
Overlea Chopticon   Chopticon
Owings Mills Chopticon   Chopticon
Oxon Hill Chopticon insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Chopticon
Paint Branch Chopticon   Chopticon
Parkdale Chopticon   Chopticon
Parkside Parkside   Parkside
Parkville Chopticon   Chopticon
Patapsco Chopticon   Chopticon
Patterson HS Chopticon   Chopticon
Patterson Mill Chopticon   Chopticon
Patuxent Chopticon Chopticon  
Perry Hall Chopticon   Chopticon
Perryville Chopticon   Chopticon
Pikesville Chopticon   Chopticon
Poolesville Chopticon   Chopticon
Queen Annes County Queen Annes County   Queen Annes County
Quince Orchard Chopticon   Chopticon
Randallstown Chopticon   Chopticon
Reginald F Lewis Chopticon   Chopticon
Reservoir Chopticon   Chopticon
Richard Montgomery Chopticon   Chopticon
Rising Sun Chopticon   Chopticon
River Hill Chopticon   Chopticon
Rockville Chopticon   Chopticon
Seneca Valley Chopticon   Chopticon
Severn Run Chopticon   Chopticon
Severna Park Severna Park insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Severna Park
Sherwood Sherwood   Sherwood
Smithsburg Chopticon   Chopticon
South Carroll Chopticon   Chopticon
South Hagerstown Chopticon   Chopticon
South River South River insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) South River
Southern AA Chopticon tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Chopticon
Sparrows Point Sparrows Point   Sparrows Point
Springbrook Chopticon   Chopticon
St Charles Chopticon   Chopticon
Stephen Decatur Stephen Decatur insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Stephen Decatur
Suitland Chopticon   Chopticon
Surrattsville Chopticon   Chopticon
Thomas Stone Chopticon Chopticon  
Towson Towson tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Towson
Tuscarora Chopticon   Chopticon
Urbana Urbana insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Urbana
Walkersville Walkersville   Walkersville
Walt Whitman Walt Whitman   Walt Whitman
Walter Johnson Chopticon   Chopticon
Watkins Mill Chopticon   Chopticon
Western STES Chopticon   Chopticon
Westlake Chopticon Chopticon  
Westminster Westminster   Westminster
Wheaton Chopticon   Chopticon
Wicomico Chopticon   Chopticon
Wilde Lake Chopticon   Chopticon
Winston Churchill Chopticon   Chopticon
Winters Mill Chopticon   Chopticon
Woodlawn Chopticon   Chopticon
Wootton Chopticon   Chopticon
Archbishop Carroll Chopticon   Chopticon
DC International PCS Chopticon   Chopticon
Jackson Reed Chopticon   Chopticon

PowerWise = 154


division Games Only
Average number of games used in Games Correction = 12.14

 Date  Opponent          (W-L  PR)      SCORE       SAFE        SAFE       Home       No Games           SCI              
                                                    Loss        Win       Field      Correction         Points            
                                                    SLP         SWP     Advantage      Factor                       
                                                      
   0 H Westlake        ( 1- 9, 71.5)    18- 1      -28.36       7.23      -0.45         0.87             5.88
   0 H Northern Calve  (10- 4, 87.8)     4-11      -12.06      23.53      -0.45         0.87           -10.84
   0 A North Point     ( 5- 8, 78.0)    11- 2      -21.93      13.66       0.45         0.87            12.23
   0 A Great Mills     ( 5- 8, 79.6)    11- 3      -20.27      15.32       0.45         0.87            13.67
   0 H Lackey          ( 0-12, 69.8)    16- 0      -30.06       5.53      -0.45         0.87             4.41
   0 A La Plata        ( 6- 6, 82.9)     6- 5      -17.04      18.55       0.45         0.87            16.47
   0 A Leonardtown     (14- 2, 88.2)     4-12      -11.65      23.94       0.45         0.87            -9.71
   0 H Thomas Stone    ( 4- 8, 75.1)    16- 2      -24.80      10.79      -0.45         0.87             8.97
   0 H Calvert         (10- 4, 82.3)     8- 4      -17.57      18.02      -0.45         0.87            15.24
   0 A MJ McDonough    ( 2-10, 74.2)     9- 1      -25.74       9.85       0.45         0.87             8.92
   0 A Patuxent        ( 7- 7, 79.3)    10- 4      -20.61      14.99       0.45         0.87            13.38
   0 H Huntingtown     (15- 3, 91.9)     2-16       -8.01      27.58      -0.45         0.87            -7.33
   0 H Great Mills     ( 5- 8, 79.6)    11- 2      -20.27      15.32      -0.45         0.87            12.90
   0 H Northern Calve  (10- 4, 87.8)     5-13      -12.06      23.53      -0.45         0.87           -10.84
                                                                                                        ------
                                                                                                        73.34

winning pts = 112.0585 losing points = -38.7224

             SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.

------------------------------------------------------------------------
| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
------------------------------------------------------------------------