---    UPDATED: 07-28-25 17:12 PDT

safe3step boys Champlain Valley Uni 1
  
Champlain Valley Uni  
W-L: (13- 5) PR = 99.6659

Schedule/Results All Games

Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 411 H South Burlington (12- 5, 98.8) 2- 7 417 A Middlebury Union (14- 4, 99.4) 6-13 419 H Bellows Free Academy ( 0-15, 90.4) 12- 6 422 H Woodstock Union ( 7- 9, 96.1) 8- 6 428 A Mt Mansfield Union (14- 5, 99.9) 7-10 430 A Burr and Burton Acad ( 9- 5, 97.8) 6- 7 502 H Rice Memorial ( 5-13, 95.7) 7- 4 506 A Essex Junction ( 9- 7, 98.6) 10- 9 513 H South Burlington (12- 5, 98.8) 16- 1 516 H Middlebury Union (14- 4, 99.4) 6- 8 520 A Bellows Free Academy ( 0-15, 90.4) 13- 3 524 H Rutland (10- 6, 96.3) 11- 4 527 A Rice Memorial ( 5-13, 95.7) 15- 5 528 A Mt Anthony Union ( 6- 9, 92.9) 20- 6 530 H Essex Junction ( 9- 7, 98.6) 12- 4 606 H Rutland (10- 6, 96.3) 13- 8 611 A Middlebury Union (14- 4, 99.4) 12- 5 615 N Mt Mansfield Union (14- 5, 99.9) 15- 7

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction. N/A when ten  |
               |         goal limit is exceeded    |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   411 H South Burlington        2- 7      -5     1    ---   -6.24
   417 A Middlebury Union        6-13      -7     0    --    -4.82
   419 H Bellows Free Academy   12- 6       6    10           0.00
   422 H Woodstock Union         8- 6       2     4    -     -2.00
   428 A Mt Mansfield Union      7-10      -3    -1    -     -2.35
   430 A Burr and Burton Acad    6- 7      -1     1    -     -2.50
   502 H Rice Memorial           7- 4       3     4          -1.42
   506 A Essex Junction         10- 9       1     1           0.39
   513 H South Burlington       16- 1      15     1    +      3.76
   516 H Middlebury Union        6- 8      -2     1    -     -2.65
   520 A Bellows Free Academy   13- 3      10     9           0.00
   524 H Rutland                11- 4       7     4           1.24
   527 A Rice Memorial          15- 5      10     4           1.41
   528 A Mt Anthony Union       20- 6      14     6           0.00
   530 H Essex Junction         12- 4       8     1    +      3.56
   606 H Rutland                13- 8       5     4           1.24
   611 A Middlebury Union       12- 5       7     0    ++     5.18
   615 N Mt Mansfield Union     15- 7       8     0    ++     5.23

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   411 H South Burlington        2- 7      -5     1    ---   -6.24
   417 A Middlebury Union        6-13      -7     0    --    -4.82
   422 H Woodstock Union         8- 6       2     4    -     -2.00
   428 A Mt Mansfield Union      7-10      -3    -1    -     -2.35
   430 A Burr and Burton Acad    6- 7      -1     1    -     -2.50
   516 H Middlebury Union        6- 8      -2     1    -     -2.65

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   611 A Middlebury Union       12- 5       7     0    ++     5.18
   615 N Mt Mansfield Union     15- 7       8     0    ++     5.23
   513 H South Burlington       16- 1      15     1    +      3.76
   530 H Essex Junction         12- 4       8     1    +      3.56

Champlain Valley Uni Evaluation

The team that earns the point in the pair-wise comparison is based on three criteria: 
first is head-to-head, the winner gets the point, however, if they did not play each
other, than it considers w-l versus common opponents. If their records are tied or they
have no common opponents, than the tie-breaker becomes the better power rating.
The Common Opponent Point list in the table below has the record of the winner followed by the
record of the loser for all common opponents
Opponent Who Gets
the Point?
Head-2-Head
Point
Common Opponent
Point
Power Rating
Point
Bellows Free Academy Champlain Valley Uni   Champlain Valley Uni
Bellows Free Academy Champlain Valley Uni Champlain Valley Uni  
Brattleboro Union Champlain Valley Uni Champlain Valley Uni   3- 1 vs 0- 4
Burlington Champlain Valley Uni insuffient: ( 2- 0)( 1- 1) Champlain Valley Uni
Burr and Burton Acad Burr and Burton Acad Burr and Burton Acad  
Colchester Champlain Valley Uni Champlain Valley Uni   4- 2 vs 0- 4
Essex Junction Champlain Valley Uni Champlain Valley Uni  
Green Mountain Valle Champlain Valley Uni   Champlain Valley Uni
Hartford Union Champlain Valley Uni tied - ( 2- 0) ( 2- 0) Champlain Valley Uni
Harwood Union Champlain Valley Uni insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 0- 1) Champlain Valley Uni
Lamoille Union Champlain Valley Uni   Champlain Valley Uni
Lyndon Institute Champlain Valley Uni   Champlain Valley Uni
Middlebury Union Middlebury Union Middlebury Union  
Milton Champlain Valley Uni tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) Champlain Valley Uni
Montpelier Champlain Valley Uni   Champlain Valley Uni
Mount Abraham Champlain Valley Uni   Champlain Valley Uni
Mt Anthony Union Champlain Valley Uni Champlain Valley Uni  
Mt Mansfield Union Mt Mansfield Union insuffient: ( 6- 3)( 5- 2) Mt Mansfield Union
Otter Valley Union Champlain Valley Uni insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Champlain Valley Uni
Randolph Union Champlain Valley Uni   Champlain Valley Uni
Rice Memorial Champlain Valley Uni Champlain Valley Uni  
Rutland Champlain Valley Uni Champlain Valley Uni  
South Burlington Champlain Valley Uni tied - ( 6- 3) ( 6- 1) Champlain Valley Uni
Spaulding Champlain Valley Uni insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Champlain Valley Uni
St Johnsbury Academy Champlain Valley Uni tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) Champlain Valley Uni
Stowe Champlain Valley Uni insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Champlain Valley Uni
Stratton Mountain Sc Champlain Valley Uni Champlain Valley Uni   3- 0 vs 0- 3
Woodstock Union Champlain Valley Uni Champlain Valley Uni  

PowerWise = 25


division Games Only
Average number of games used in Games Correction = 14.14

 Date  Opponent          (W-L  PR)      SCORE       SAFE        SAFE       Home       No Games           SCI              
                                                    Loss        Win       Field      Correction         Points            
                                                    SLP         SWP     Advantage      Factor                       
                                                      
   0 H South Burlingt  (12- 5, 98.8)     2- 7       -1.06      15.98      -0.42         0.79            -1.16
   0 A Middlebury Uni  (14- 4, 99.4)     6-13       -0.47      16.57       0.42         0.79            -0.04
   0 H Bellows Free A  ( 0-15, 90.4)    12- 6       -9.48       7.56      -0.42         0.79             5.61
   0 H Woodstock Unio  ( 7- 9, 96.1)     8- 6       -3.82      13.22      -0.42         0.79            10.06
   0 A Mt Mansfield U  (14- 5, 99.9)     7-10       -0.00      17.04       0.42         0.79            -0.33
   0 A Burr and Burto  ( 9- 5, 97.8)     6- 7       -2.15      14.90       0.42         0.79            -1.36
   0 H Rice Memorial   ( 5-13, 95.7)     7- 4       -4.24      12.80      -0.42         0.79             9.73
   0 A Essex Junction  ( 9- 7, 98.6)    10- 9       -1.26      15.79       0.42         0.79            12.73
   0 H South Burlingt  (12- 5, 98.8)    16- 1       -1.06      15.98      -0.42         0.79            12.23
   0 H Middlebury Uni  (14- 4, 99.4)     6- 8       -0.47      16.57      -0.42         0.79            -0.70
   0 A Bellows Free A  ( 0-15, 90.4)    13- 3       -9.48       7.56       0.42         0.79             6.27
   0 H Rutland         (10- 6, 96.3)    11- 4       -3.58      13.46      -0.42         0.79            10.25
   0 A Rice Memorial   ( 5-13, 95.7)    15- 5       -4.24      12.80       0.42         0.79            10.38
   0 A Mt Anthony Uni  ( 6- 9, 92.9)    20- 6       -6.98      10.06       0.42         0.79             8.23
   0 H Essex Junction  ( 9- 7, 98.6)    12- 4       -1.26      15.79      -0.42         0.79            12.07
   0 H Rutland         (10- 6, 96.3)    13- 8       -3.58      13.46      -0.42         0.79            10.25
   0 A Middlebury Uni  (14- 4, 99.4)    12- 5       -0.47      16.57       0.42         0.79            13.34
   0 N Mt Mansfield U  (14- 5, 99.9)    15- 7       -0.00      17.04      -0.00         0.79            13.39
                                                                                                        ------
                                                                                                       130.95

winning pts = 134.5356 losing points = -3.5889

             SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.

------------------------------------------------------------------------
| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
------------------------------------------------------------------------