Chapel Hill
W-L: (12- 8) PR = 89.5174Schedule/Results All Games
Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 225 H Fuquay-Varina (14- 8, 85.4) 14- 6 228 A Page (12-10, 87.5) 12-11 304 A Apex Friendship (16- 7, 94.4) 5-12 307 H Apex (18- 5, 95.5) 4-11 311 H Wakefield ( 7-10, 82.1) 13- 4 314 A Croatan (21- 2, 94.4) 3-10 317 H Walter M Williams (11-11, 82.0) 12- 1 321 A East Chapel Hill (13- 8, 88.8) 7- 9 325 H Durham Academy (16- 2, 94.9) 10-13 326 A Pinecrest (13- 8, 86.5) 8- 6 409 A Seaforth (18- 3, 88.0) 9-10 415 A Millbrook (16- 5, 88.5) 9- 6 417 H Carrboro ( 7- 9, 85.6) 8- 7 422 A Riverside Durham ( 9- 8, 80.1) 13- 6 424 H Topsail (15- 6, 91.1) 7- 9 425 H Northern Durham ( 2-13, 71.9) 19- 1 429 A Carrboro ( 7- 9, 85.6) 12- 6 502 H East Chapel Hill (13- 8, 88.8) 11-10 506 H Jordan (12- 9, 87.3) 12- 4 516 H Green Level (13- 7, 94.0) 8-11
PREDICTION LIST
-------------------------------------
|Real = actual goal margin |
|Pred = predicted goal margin |
|+ = slightly above prediction |
|++ = above prediction |
|+++ = well above prediction |
|- = slightly below prediction |
|-- = below prediction |
|--- = well below prediction |
|Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) |
| prediction. N/A when ten |
| goal limit is exceeded |
|n/a = Outside division |
-------------------------------------
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
225 H Fuquay-Varina 14- 6 8 4 0.57
228 A Page 12-11 1 2 -0.72
304 A Apex Friendship 5-12 -7 -5 0.00
307 H Apex 4-11 -7 -6 0.00
311 H Wakefield 13- 4 9 8 0.00
314 A Croatan 3-10 -7 -5 0.00
317 H Walter M Williams 12- 1 11 8 0.00
321 A East Chapel Hill 7- 9 -2 0 - -2.45
325 H Durham Academy 10-13 -3 -5 + 2.00
326 A Pinecrest 8- 6 2 3 -0.76
409 A Seaforth 9-10 -1 1 - -2.23
415 A Millbrook 9- 6 3 1 + 2.23
417 H Carrboro 8- 7 1 4 - -3.16
422 A Riverside Durham 13- 6 7 9 0.00
424 H Topsail 7- 9 -2 -1 -0.64
425 H Northern Durham 19- 1 18 18 0.00
429 A Carrboro 12- 6 6 4 1.38
502 H East Chapel Hill 11-10 1 1 0.01
506 H Jordan 12- 4 8 2 + 2.52
516 H Green Level 8-11 -3 -4 1.18
|
UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 321 A East Chapel Hill 7- 9 -2 0 - -2.45 409 A Seaforth 9-10 -1 1 - -2.23 417 H Carrboro 8- 7 1 4 - -3.16 |
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 325 H Durham Academy 10-13 -3 -5 + 2.00 415 A Millbrook 9- 6 3 1 + 2.23 506 H Jordan 12- 4 8 2 + 2.52 |
Chapel Hill Evaluation
The team that earns the point in the pair-wise comparison is based on three criteria:
first is head-to-head, the winner gets the point, however, if they did not play each
other, than it considers w-l versus common opponents. If their records are tied or they
have no common opponents, than the tie-breaker becomes the better power rating.
The Common Opponent Point list in the table below has the record of the winner followed by the
record of the loser for all common opponents
| Opponent | Who Gets the Point? | Head-2-Head Point |
Common Opponent Point |
Power Rating Point |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apex | Apex | Apex | ||
| Apex Friendship | Apex Friendship | Apex Friendship | ||
| Ardrey Kell | Ardrey Kell | insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 2- 0) | Ardrey Kell | |
| Arendell Parrott Aca | Chapel Hill | Chapel Hill | ||
| Asheville HS | Chapel Hill | Chapel Hill | ||
| Asheville School | Chapel Hill | Chapel Hill | ||
| Ashley | Ashley | insuffient: ( 1- 3)( 0- 3) | Ashley | |
| Athens Drive | Athens Drive | tied - ( 3- 3) ( 3- 2) | Athens Drive | |
| Atkins | Chapel Hill | Chapel Hill | ||
| Ballantyne Ridge | Chapel Hill | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Chapel Hill | |
| Bishop McGuinness | Chapel Hill | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Chapel Hill | |
| Bradford Prep | Chapel Hill | Chapel Hill | ||
| Broughton | Broughton | tied - ( 2- 2) ( 2- 2) | Broughton | |
| Butler | Chapel Hill | Chapel Hill | ||
| Cannon School | Cannon School | tied - ( 0- 2) ( 0- 2) | Cannon School | |
| Cape Fear Academy | Chapel Hill | Chapel Hill | ||
| Cape Fear HS | Chapel Hill | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Chapel Hill | |
| Cardinal Gibbons | Cardinal Gibbons | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | Cardinal Gibbons | |
| Carrboro | Chapel Hill | Chapel Hill | ||
| Cary Academy | Chapel Hill | tied - ( 2- 1) ( 2- 1) | Chapel Hill | |
| Cary Christian | Chapel Hill | Chapel Hill | ||
| Cary HS | Chapel Hill | tied - ( 2- 3) ( 2- 3) | Chapel Hill | |
| Cedar Ridge | Chapel Hill | Chapel Hill 3- 1 vs 1- 3 | ||
| Charlotte Catholic | Charlotte Catholic | Charlotte Catholic | ||
| Charlotte CDS | Charlotte CDS | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Charlotte CDS | |
| Charlotte Christian | Charlotte Christian | Charlotte Christian | ||
| Charlotte Latin | Charlotte Latin | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Charlotte Latin | |
| Christ School | Christ School | tied - ( 0- 2) ( 0- 2) | Christ School | |
| Christ The King | Christ The King | Christ The King | ||
| Clayton | Chapel Hill | insuffient: ( 2- 1)( 1- 1) | Chapel Hill | |
| Cleveland | Chapel Hill | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Chapel Hill | |
| Community School-Dav | Community School-Dav | Community School-Dav | ||
| Corinth Holders | Chapel Hill | Chapel Hill 4- 0 vs 1- 3 | ||
| Cornerstone Charter | Chapel Hill | Chapel Hill | ||
| Croatan | Croatan | Croatan | ||
| Cuthbertson | Chapel Hill | Chapel Hill | ||
| Davie | Davie | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | Davie | |
| DH Conley | Chapel Hill | Chapel Hill | ||
| Durham Academy | Durham Academy | Durham Academy | ||
| East Chapel Hill | Chapel Hill | insuffient: ( 5- 2)( 6- 1) | Chapel Hill | |
| East Forsyth | Chapel Hill | Chapel Hill | ||
| Eastern Alamance | Chapel Hill | insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 0- 2) | Chapel Hill | |
| Eastern Guilford | Chapel Hill | Chapel Hill | ||
| Enloe | Chapel Hill | Chapel Hill 3- 0 vs 0- 3 | ||
| Fike | Chapel Hill | Chapel Hill 2- 0 vs 0- 2 | ||
| First Flight | First Flight | tied - ( 1- 2) ( 1- 1) | First Flight | |
| Forsyth Country Day | Forsyth Country Day | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Forsyth Country Day | |
| Fuquay-Varina | Chapel Hill | Chapel Hill | ||
| Garner | Chapel Hill | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Chapel Hill | |
| Glenn | Chapel Hill | Chapel Hill | ||
| Grays Creek | Chapel Hill | Chapel Hill 2- 0 vs 0- 2 | ||
| Green Hope | Green Hope | tied - ( 2- 4) ( 2- 3) | Green Hope | |
| Green Level | Green Level | Green Level | ||
| Greensboro Day | Chapel Hill | Chapel Hill | ||
| Grimsley | Chapel Hill | Chapel Hill 4- 1 vs 0- 4 | ||
| Havelock | Chapel Hill | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Chapel Hill | |
| Heritage | Heritage | Heritage 6- 0 vs 4- 3 | ||
| Hickory | Chapel Hill | Chapel Hill | ||
| High Point Central | Chapel Hill | Chapel Hill | ||
| Hillsborough Orange | Chapel Hill | Chapel Hill 6- 3 vs 3- 3 | ||
| Hoggard | Hoggard | tied - ( 1- 2) ( 1- 2) | Hoggard | |
| Holly Springs | Holly Springs | insuffient: ( 1- 3)( 2- 2) | Holly Springs | |
| Hough | Hough | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | Hough | |
| Hunt | Chapel Hill | Chapel Hill 2- 0 vs 0- 2 | ||
| Independence | Chapel Hill | Chapel Hill | ||
| Jack Britt | Chapel Hill | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Chapel Hill | |
| Jacksonville | Chapel Hill | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Chapel Hill | |
| JF Webb | Chapel Hill | Chapel Hill | ||
| JH Rose | Chapel Hill | insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 0- 1) | Chapel Hill | |
| John Paul II Catholi | Chapel Hill | Chapel Hill | ||
| Jordan | Chapel Hill | Chapel Hill | ||
| Lake Norman Charter | Lake Norman Charter | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 0) | Lake Norman Charter | |
| Lake Norman HS | Lake Norman HS | Lake Norman HS 2- 0 vs 0- 2 | ||
| Laney | Laney | insuffient: ( 1- 3)( 2- 2) | Laney | |
| Leesville Road | Chapel Hill | tied - ( 2- 2) ( 2- 2) | Chapel Hill | |
| Lincoln Charter | Chapel Hill | Chapel Hill | ||
| Marvin Ridge | Chapel Hill | Chapel Hill | ||
| Middle Creek | Middle Creek | Middle Creek 3- 0 vs 0- 3 | ||
| Millbrook | Chapel Hill | Chapel Hill | ||
| Mooresville | Chapel Hill | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Chapel Hill | |
| Mount Tabor | Chapel Hill | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Chapel Hill | |
| Mountain Island Char | Chapel Hill | Chapel Hill | ||
| Myers Park | Chapel Hill | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | Chapel Hill | |
| New Bern | Chapel Hill | Chapel Hill 2- 2 vs 0- 4 | ||
| New Hanover | Chapel Hill | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Chapel Hill | |
| North Brunswick | Chapel Hill | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Chapel Hill | |
| North Davidson | Chapel Hill | Chapel Hill | ||
| North Lincoln | Chapel Hill | Chapel Hill | ||
| North Raleigh Christ | Chapel Hill | Chapel Hill 2- 1 vs 0- 3 | ||
| Northern Durham | Chapel Hill | Chapel Hill | ||
| Northern Guilford | Chapel Hill | insuffient: ( 2- 1)( 1- 1) | Chapel Hill | |
| Northside | Chapel Hill | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Chapel Hill | |
| Northwest Guilford | Northwest Guilford | tied - ( 1- 1) ( 1- 1) | Northwest Guilford | |
| Northwood | Chapel Hill | Chapel Hill 2- 2 vs 0- 3 | ||
| Page | Chapel Hill | Chapel Hill | ||
| Panther Creek | Chapel Hill | insuffient: ( 2- 4)( 1- 4) | Chapel Hill | |
| Parkwood | Chapel Hill | Chapel Hill | ||
| Patton Morganton | Chapel Hill | Chapel Hill | ||
| Pine Forest | Chapel Hill | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Chapel Hill | |
| Pine Lake Prep | Chapel Hill | Chapel Hill | ||
| Pinecrest | Chapel Hill | Chapel Hill | ||
| Porter Ridge | Chapel Hill | Chapel Hill | ||
| Providence | Chapel Hill | Chapel Hill | ||
| Providence Day | Providence Day | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Providence Day | |
| Queens Grant | Chapel Hill | Chapel Hill | ||
| Rabun Gap-Nocoochee | Rabun Gap-Nocoochee | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Rabun Gap-Nocoochee | |
| Ragsdale | Chapel Hill | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Chapel Hill | |
| Ravenscroft School | Chapel Hill | insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 0- 2) | Chapel Hill | |
| Reagan | Chapel Hill | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Chapel Hill | |
| Riverside Durham | Chapel Hill | Chapel Hill | ||
| RJ Reynolds | RJ Reynolds | tied - ( 2- 1) ( 2- 0) | RJ Reynolds | |
| Rolesville | Chapel Hill | Chapel Hill 2- 0 vs 0- 2 | ||
| Roxboro Community | Chapel Hill | Chapel Hill 2- 0 vs 0- 2 | ||
| Sanderson | Chapel Hill | Chapel Hill 2- 0 vs 0- 2 | ||
| Seaforth | Seaforth | Seaforth | ||
| South Brunswick | Chapel Hill | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Chapel Hill | |
| South Garner | Chapel Hill | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Chapel Hill | |
| South Iredell | Chapel Hill | Chapel Hill | ||
| South Mecklenburg | Chapel Hill | Chapel Hill | ||
| South View | Chapel Hill | Chapel Hill | ||
| Southeast Alamance | Chapel Hill | Chapel Hill 2- 1 vs 0- 3 | ||
| Southeast Guilford | Chapel Hill | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Chapel Hill | |
| Southern Alamance | Chapel Hill | tied - ( 2- 2) ( 2- 1) | Chapel Hill | |
| Southlake Christian | Southlake Christian | Southlake Christian | ||
| Southwest Guilford | Chapel Hill | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Chapel Hill | |
| St Davids School | Chapel Hill | Chapel Hill | ||
| St Stephens | Chapel Hill | Chapel Hill | ||
| Sun Valley | Chapel Hill | Chapel Hill | ||
| Swansboro | Chapel Hill | insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 0- 2) | Chapel Hill | |
| TC Roberson | Chapel Hill | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | Chapel Hill | |
| Terry Sanford | Chapel Hill | Chapel Hill 3- 0 vs 0- 3 | ||
| Topsail | Topsail | Topsail | ||
| Union Pines | Chapel Hill | Chapel Hill 2- 2 vs 0- 3 | ||
| Vance Charter | Chapel Hill | Chapel Hill 2- 0 vs 0- 2 | ||
| Voyager Academy | Chapel Hill | insuffient: ( 2- 0)( 1- 1) | Chapel Hill | |
| Wake Forest | Chapel Hill | Chapel Hill 4- 0 vs 2- 2 | ||
| Wake Prep | Chapel Hill | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Chapel Hill | |
| Wakefield | Chapel Hill | Chapel Hill | ||
| Walter M Williams | Chapel Hill | Chapel Hill | ||
| Watauga | Chapel Hill | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Chapel Hill | |
| Weddington | Weddington | Weddington | ||
| West Brunswick | Chapel Hill | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Chapel Hill | |
| West Carteret | Chapel Hill | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Chapel Hill | |
| West Forsyth | Chapel Hill | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | Chapel Hill | |
| West Stokes | Chapel Hill | Chapel Hill | ||
| Western Alamance | Chapel Hill | insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 0- 2) | Chapel Hill | |
| Western Guilford | Chapel Hill | Chapel Hill 2- 0 vs 0- 2 | ||
| Willow Spring | Chapel Hill | tied - ( 1- 1) ( 1- 1) | Chapel Hill |
PowerWise = 110
division Games OnlyAverage number of games used in Games Correction = 17.93
Date Opponent (W-L PR) SCORE SAFE SAFE Home No Games SCI
Loss Win Field Correction Points
SLP SWP Advantage Factor
0 H Fuquay-Varina (14- 8, 85.4) 14- 6 -14.54 19.27 -0.27 0.90 17.03
0 A Page (12-10, 87.5) 12-11 -12.37 21.44 0.27 0.90 19.47
0 A Apex Friendshi (16- 7, 94.4) 5-12 -5.48 28.32 0.27 0.90 -4.67
0 H Apex (18- 5, 95.5) 4-11 -4.36 29.45 -0.27 0.90 -4.16
0 H Wakefield ( 7-10, 82.1) 13- 4 -17.77 16.04 -0.27 0.90 14.13
0 A Croatan (21- 2, 94.4) 3-10 -5.52 28.29 0.27 0.90 -4.71
0 H Walter M Willi (11-11, 82.0) 12- 1 -17.94 15.87 -0.27 0.90 13.98
0 A East Chapel Hi (13- 8, 88.8) 7- 9 -11.10 22.71 0.27 0.90 -9.71
0 H Durham Academy (16- 2, 94.9) 10-13 -5.05 28.76 -0.27 0.90 -4.77
0 A Pinecrest (13- 8, 86.5) 8- 6 -13.41 20.40 0.27 0.90 18.53
0 A Seaforth (18- 3, 88.0) 9-10 -11.88 21.93 0.27 0.90 -10.41
0 A Millbrook (16- 5, 88.5) 9- 6 -11.42 22.39 0.27 0.90 20.32
0 H Carrboro ( 7- 9, 85.6) 8- 7 -14.27 19.54 -0.27 0.90 17.28
0 A Riverside Durh ( 9- 8, 80.1) 13- 6 -19.75 14.06 0.27 0.90 12.85
0 H Topsail (15- 6, 91.1) 7- 9 -8.75 25.06 -0.27 0.90 -8.09
0 H Northern Durha ( 2-13, 71.9) 19- 1 -27.95 5.86 -0.27 0.90 5.01
0 A Carrboro ( 7- 9, 85.6) 12- 6 -14.27 19.54 0.27 0.90 17.76
0 H East Chapel Hi (13- 8, 88.8) 11-10 -11.10 22.71 -0.27 0.90 20.12
0 H Jordan (12- 9, 87.3) 12- 4 -12.59 21.22 -0.27 0.90 18.78
0 H Green Level (13- 7, 94.0) 8-11 -5.94 27.87 -0.27 0.90 -5.57
------
143.18
|
winning pts = 195.2590 losing points = -52.0826
SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.
------------------------------------------------------------------------
| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
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