Carolina Forest
W-L: ( 7- 6) PR = 85.5142
Schedule/Results All Games
Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score
225 A Philip Simmons ( 8- 6, 83.6) 10- 3
301 A Lexington ( 7- 9, 89.9) 7- 8
311 H James Island Charter (10- 7, 90.1) 4-10
317 H North Myrtle Beach ( 9- 5, 85.1) 5- 2
320 H St James ( 5-10, 84.1) 6- 9
324 A Socastee ( 8- 8, 84.7) 5-21
327 A Myrtle Beach ( 2-12, 80.8) 10- 4
403 A St James ( 5-10, 84.1) 8- 7
407 A North Myrtle Beach ( 9- 5, 85.1) 4- 7
409 H Socastee ( 8- 8, 84.7) 14- 9
414 H Myrtle Beach ( 2-12, 80.8) 14- 3
416 H Waccamaw ( 2-10, 81.5) 10- 5
422 A Lexington ( 7- 9, 89.9) 1-14
PREDICTION LIST
-------------------------------------
|Real = actual goal margin |
|Pred = predicted goal margin |
|+ = slightly above prediction |
|++ = above prediction |
|+++ = well above prediction |
|- = slightly below prediction |
|-- = below prediction |
|--- = well below prediction |
|Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) |
| prediction. N/A when ten |
| goal limit is exceeded |
|n/a = Outside division |
-------------------------------------
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
225 A Philip Simmons 10- 3 7 2 + 3.43
301 A Lexington 7- 8 -1 -5 + 3.67
311 H James Island Charter 4-10 -6 -4 -0.78
317 H North Myrtle Beach 5- 2 3 1 + 2.24
320 H St James 6- 9 -3 2 -- -4.71
324 A Socastee 5-21 -16 1 -- -5.53
327 A Myrtle Beach 10- 4 6 4 0.66
403 A St James 8- 7 1 1 -0.05
407 A North Myrtle Beach 4- 7 -3 0 - -3.09
409 H Socastee 14- 9 5 1 + 3.80
414 H Myrtle Beach 14- 3 11 5 0.00
416 H Waccamaw 10- 5 5 4 0.67
422 A Lexington 1-14 -13 -5 -0.33
|
UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
320 H St James 6- 9 -3 2 -- -4.71
324 A Socastee 5-21 -16 1 -- -5.53
407 A North Myrtle Beach 4- 7 -3 0 - -3.09
|
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
225 A Philip Simmons 10- 3 7 2 + 3.43
301 A Lexington 7- 8 -1 -5 + 3.67
317 H North Myrtle Beach 5- 2 3 1 + 2.24
409 H Socastee 14- 9 5 1 + 3.80
|
Carolina Forest Evaluation
The team that earns the point in the pair-wise comparison is based on three criteria:
first is head-to-head, the winner gets the point, however, if they did not play each
other, than it considers w-l versus common opponents. If their records are tied or they
have no common opponents, than the tie-breaker becomes the better power rating.
The Common Opponent Point list in the table below has the record of the winner followed by the
record of the loser for all common opponents
Opponent |
Who Gets the Point?
| Head-2-Head Point |
Common Opponent Point |
Power Rating Point |
AC Flora |
AC Flora |
|
insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) |
AC Flora |
Academic Magnet Char |
Carolina Forest |
|
Carolina Forest   4- 2 vs 1- 4 |
|
Aiken |
Aiken |
|
 
| Aiken |
Atlantic Collegiate |
Atlantic Collegiate |
|
 
| Atlantic Collegiate |
Beaufort |
Carolina Forest |
|
insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 0- 2) |
Carolina Forest |
Bishop England |
Bishop England |
|
insuffient: ( 2- 1)( 3- 0) |
Bishop England |
Bluffton |
Carolina Forest |
|
insuffient: ( 1- 2)( 0- 2) |
Carolina Forest |
Blythewood |
Carolina Forest |
|
tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) |
Carolina Forest |
Boiling Springs |
Boiling Springs |
|
insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) |
Boiling Springs |
Byrnes |
Byrnes |
|
 
| Byrnes |
Camden Military Acad |
Carolina Forest |
|
insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) |
Carolina Forest |
Catawba Ridge |
Catawba Ridge |
|
tied - ( 1- 1) ( 1- 0) |
Catawba Ridge |
Chapin |
Chapin |
|
insuffient: ( 1- 2)( 2- 0) |
Chapin |
Christ Church Episco |
Christ Church Episco |
|
 
| Christ Church Episco |
Clover |
Clover |
|
 
| Clover |
Dorman |
Dorman |
|
insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) |
Dorman |
Dutch Fork |
Carolina Forest |
|
tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) |
Carolina Forest |
Eastside |
Eastside |
|
tied - ( 2- 1) ( 2- 0) |
Eastside |
Fort Mill |
Fort Mill |
|
insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) |
Fort Mill |
Fox Creek |
Carolina Forest |
|
 
| Carolina Forest |
Gilbert |
Carolina Forest |
|
 
| Carolina Forest |
Greenville |
Greenville |
|
 
| Greenville |
Hammond School |
Hammond School |
|
 
| Hammond School |
Heathwood Hall |
Heathwood Hall |
|
 
| Heathwood Hall |
Hillcrest |
Carolina Forest |
|
 
| Carolina Forest |
Hilton Head |
Hilton Head |
|
tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) |
Hilton Head |
Hilton Head Christia |
Carolina Forest |
|
 
| Carolina Forest |
James Island Charter |
James Island Charter |
James Island Charter |
 
| |
JL Mann Academy |
JL Mann Academy |
|
 
| JL Mann Academy |
Laurence Manning Aca |
Carolina Forest |
|
insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) |
Carolina Forest |
Legion Collegiate Ac |
Legion Collegiate Ac |
|
 
| Legion Collegiate Ac |
Lexington |
Lexington |
Lexington |
 
| |
Lucy Beckham |
Lucy Beckham |
|
insuffient: ( 2- 3)( 3- 0) |
Lucy Beckham |
Mauldin |
Mauldin |
|
insuffient: ( 2- 3)( 3- 0) |
Mauldin |
May River |
May River |
|
tied - ( 3- 2) ( 3- 0) |
May River |
Myrtle Beach |
Carolina Forest |
Carolina Forest |
 
| |
Nation Ford |
Nation Ford |
|
 
| Nation Ford |
North Myrtle Beach |
Carolina Forest |
|
tied - ( 4- 3) ( 4- 1) |
Carolina Forest |
Oceanside Academy |
Oceanside Academy |
|
 
| Oceanside Academy |
Philip Simmons |
Carolina Forest |
Carolina Forest |
 
| |
Porter-Gaud |
Porter-Gaud |
|
insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) |
Porter-Gaud |
River Bluff |
River Bluff |
|
insuffient: ( 0- 2)( 1- 1) |
River Bluff |
Riverside |
Riverside |
|
tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) |
Riverside |
Socastee |
Carolina Forest |
|
Carolina Forest   4- 3 vs 2- 3 |
|
Spartanburg |
Spartanburg |
|
 
| Spartanburg |
Spring Valley |
Carolina Forest |
|
tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) |
Carolina Forest |
St James |
Carolina Forest |
|
Carolina Forest   5- 3 vs 2- 4 |
|
St Joseph Catholic |
Carolina Forest |
|
 
| Carolina Forest |
TL Hanna |
Carolina Forest |
|
 
| Carolina Forest |
Trinity Collegiate |
Carolina Forest |
|
 
| Carolina Forest |
Waccamaw |
Carolina Forest |
Carolina Forest |
 
| |
Wade Hampton |
Carolina Forest |
|
 
| Carolina Forest |
Wando |
Wando |
|
Wando   2- 0 vs 0- 2 |
|
Westside |
Carolina Forest |
|
 
| Carolina Forest |
White Knoll |
Carolina Forest |
|
insuffient: ( 2- 2)( 1- 2) |
Carolina Forest |
Woodmont |
Carolina Forest |
|
 
| Carolina Forest |
PowerWise = 25

division Games Only
Average number of games used in Games Correction = 13.54
Date Opponent (W-L PR) SCORE SAFE SAFE Home No Games SCI
Loss Win Field Correction Points
SLP SWP Advantage Factor
0 A Philip Simmons ( 8- 6, 83.6) 10- 3 -16.29 10.32 0.33 1.04 11.10
0 A Lexington ( 7- 9, 89.9) 7- 8 -10.05 16.56 0.33 1.04 -10.12
0 H James Island C (10- 7, 90.1) 4-10 -9.83 16.77 -0.33 1.04 -10.59
0 H North Myrtle B ( 9- 5, 85.1) 5- 2 -14.81 11.79 -0.33 1.04 11.94
0 H St James ( 5-10, 84.1) 6- 9 -15.77 10.84 -0.33 1.04 -16.77
0 A Socastee ( 8- 8, 84.7) 5-21 -15.25 11.36 0.33 1.04 -15.54
0 A Myrtle Beach ( 2-12, 80.8) 10- 4 -19.06 7.55 0.33 1.04 8.21
0 A St James ( 5-10, 84.1) 8- 7 -15.77 10.84 0.33 1.04 11.64
0 A North Myrtle B ( 9- 5, 85.1) 4- 7 -14.81 11.79 0.33 1.04 -15.08
0 H Socastee ( 8- 8, 84.7) 14- 9 -15.25 11.36 -0.33 1.04 11.48
0 H Myrtle Beach ( 2-12, 80.8) 14- 3 -19.06 7.55 -0.33 1.04 7.51
0 H Waccamaw ( 2-10, 81.5) 10- 5 -18.38 8.22 -0.33 1.04 8.22
0 A Lexington ( 7- 9, 89.9) 1-14 -10.05 16.56 0.33 1.04 -10.12
------
-8.13
|
winning pts = 70.0946 losing points = -78.2284
SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction. ------------------------------------------------------------------------
| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
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