Catalina Foothills
W-L: ( 9- 5) PR = 85.0026Schedule/Results All Games
Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 208 A Cactus Shadows ( 4-11, 82.0) 2- 5 212 H Salpointe Catholic ( 4-12, 83.1) 6- 5 215 H Cactus Shadows ( 4-11, 82.0) 8- 6 218 A West Valley (10- 7, 86.1) 3- 5 225 H Salpointe Catholic ( 4-12, 83.1) 10- 4 228 A Cactus ( 3-13, 81.8) 11- 5 304 H West Valley (10- 7, 86.1) 7-10 307 H Notre Dame Prep II ( 6- 8, 83.6) 6- 7 319 A Notre Dame Prep II ( 6- 8, 83.6) 5- 4 321 H Desert Vista II (11- 4, 86.1) 10- 7 405 A Brophy Prep II ( 9- 5, 85.9) 5- 6 409 A Desert Vista II (11- 4, 86.1) 4- 3 412 H Brophy Prep II ( 9- 5, 85.9) 7- 6 418 H Cactus ( 3-13, 81.8) 9- 5
PREDICTION LIST
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|Real = actual goal margin |
|Pred = predicted goal margin |
|+ = slightly above prediction |
|++ = above prediction |
|+++ = well above prediction |
|- = slightly below prediction |
|-- = below prediction |
|--- = well below prediction |
|Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) |
| prediction. N/A when ten |
| goal limit is exceeded |
|n/a = Outside division |
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Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
208 A Cactus Shadows 2- 5 -3 3 -- -5.92
212 H Salpointe Catholic 6- 5 1 2 -1.06
215 H Cactus Shadows 8- 6 2 3 -1.17
218 A West Valley 3- 5 -2 -1 -0.74
225 H Salpointe Catholic 10- 4 6 2 + 2.94
228 A Cactus 11- 5 6 3 1.89
304 H West Valley 7-10 -3 -1 -1.98
307 H Notre Dame Prep II 6- 7 -1 1 - -2.48
319 A Notre Dame Prep II 5- 4 1 1 -0.24
321 H Desert Vista II 10- 7 3 -1 ++ 4.02
405 A Brophy Prep II 5- 6 -1 -1 0.01
409 A Desert Vista II 4- 3 1 -1 + 2.26
412 H Brophy Prep II 7- 6 1 -1 1.77
418 H Cactus 9- 5 4 3 0.64
|
UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 208 A Cactus Shadows 2- 5 -3 3 -- -5.92 307 H Notre Dame Prep II 6- 7 -1 1 - -2.48 |
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 321 H Desert Vista II 10- 7 3 -1 ++ 4.02 225 H Salpointe Catholic 10- 4 6 2 + 2.94 409 A Desert Vista II 4- 3 1 -1 + 2.26 |
Catalina Foothills Evaluation
The team that earns the point in the pair-wise comparison is based on three criteria:
first is head-to-head, the winner gets the point, however, if they did not play each
other, than it considers w-l versus common opponents. If their records are tied or they
have no common opponents, than the tie-breaker becomes the better power rating.
The Common Opponent Point list in the table below has the record of the winner followed by the
record of the loser for all common opponents
| Opponent | Who Gets the Point? | Head-2-Head Point |
Common Opponent Point |
Power Rating Point |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Arcadia | Arcadia | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | Arcadia | |
| Boulder Creek | Boulder Creek | Boulder Creek | ||
| Brophy Prep | Brophy Prep | Brophy Prep | ||
| Brophy Prep II | Catalina Foothills | Catalina Foothills 5- 3 vs 3- 3 | ||
| Cactus | Catalina Foothills | Catalina Foothills | ||
| Cactus Shadows | Catalina Foothills | Catalina Foothills 5- 3 vs 2- 4 | ||
| Chandler | Chandler | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | Chandler | |
| Corona del Sol | Corona del Sol | insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 2- 0) | Corona del Sol | |
| Desert Vista | Desert Vista | Desert Vista | ||
| Desert Vista II | Catalina Foothills | Catalina Foothills | ||
| Higley | Higley | Higley | ||
| Notre Dame Prep | Notre Dame Prep | Notre Dame Prep | ||
| Notre Dame Prep II | Catalina Foothills | Catalina Foothills 5- 3 vs 2- 4 | ||
| Oro Valley | Oro Valley | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | Oro Valley | |
| Pinnacle | Pinnacle | insuffient: ( 2- 1)( 3- 0) | Pinnacle | |
| Salpointe Catholic | Catalina Foothills | Catalina Foothills | ||
| Scottsdale | Scottsdale | tied - ( 1- 1) ( 1- 0) | Scottsdale | |
| West Valley | West Valley | West Valley |
PowerWise = 6
division Games OnlyAverage number of games used in Games Correction = 13.68
Date Opponent (W-L PR) SCORE SAFE SAFE Home No Games SCI
Loss Win Field Correction Points
SLP SWP Advantage Factor
0 A Cactus Shadows ( 4-11, 82.0) 2- 5 -17.94 1.00 0.12 0.98 -17.42
0 H Salpointe Cath ( 4-12, 83.1) 6- 5 -16.84 1.29 -0.12 0.98 1.14
0 H Cactus Shadows ( 4-11, 82.0) 8- 6 -17.94 1.00 -0.12 0.98 0.86
0 A West Valley (10- 7, 86.1) 3- 5 -13.76 4.37 0.12 0.98 -13.33
0 H Salpointe Cath ( 4-12, 83.1) 10- 4 -16.84 1.29 -0.12 0.98 1.14
0 A Cactus ( 3-13, 81.8) 11- 5 -18.13 1.00 0.12 0.98 1.10
0 H West Valley (10- 7, 86.1) 7-10 -13.76 4.37 -0.12 0.98 -13.57
0 H Notre Dame Pre ( 6- 8, 83.6) 6- 7 -16.26 1.88 -0.12 0.98 -16.01
0 A Notre Dame Pre ( 6- 8, 83.6) 5- 4 -16.26 1.88 0.12 0.98 1.95
0 H Desert Vista I (11- 4, 86.1) 10- 7 -13.76 4.37 -0.12 0.98 4.16
0 A Brophy Prep II ( 9- 5, 85.9) 5- 6 -14.01 4.13 0.12 0.98 -13.57
0 A Desert Vista I (11- 4, 86.1) 4- 3 -13.76 4.37 0.12 0.98 4.40
0 H Brophy Prep II ( 9- 5, 85.9) 7- 6 -14.01 4.13 -0.12 0.98 3.91
0 H Cactus ( 3-13, 81.8) 9- 5 -18.13 1.00 -0.12 0.98 0.86
------
-54.38
|
winning pts = 19.5147 losing points = -73.8927
SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.
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| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
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