Celebration
W-L: (10- 7) PR = 76.6627Schedule/Results All Games
Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 211 A First Academy (12- 5, 86.1) 4-18 213 A Horizon ( 8- 9, 75.5) 13- 7 218 A Winter Haven ( 6- 5, 77.3) 6-10 220 A Freedom Orlando ( 0-11, 65.2) 12- 0 228 H Windermere Prep ( 3-11, 73.2) 14-13 303 A South Lake ( 3-12, 70.2) 16- 6 305 H Lake Buena Vista ( 2-15, 71.3) 17- 3 307 A Lakeland HS (10- 6, 79.9) 5-10 312 H Lake Nona ( 8- 9, 80.0) 8-12 313 H St Cloud ( 4- 9, 73.7) 11- 6 326 A Lake Minneola (14- 6, 83.4) 5-18 328 H Tohopekaliga ( 4-12, 73.2) 6- 5 401 H East Ridge ( 7-10, 75.9) 8- 7 404 A Foundation Academy (11- 7, 78.8) 6-16 411 A Winter Haven ( 6- 5, 77.3) 13-12 416 A Lakeland HS (10- 6, 79.9) 7- 5 423 A Plant (19- 3, 94.5) 2-26
PREDICTION LIST
-------------------------------------
|Real = actual goal margin |
|Pred = predicted goal margin |
|+ = slightly above prediction |
|++ = above prediction |
|+++ = well above prediction |
|- = slightly below prediction |
|-- = below prediction |
|--- = well below prediction |
|Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) |
| prediction. N/A when ten |
| goal limit is exceeded |
|n/a = Outside division |
-------------------------------------
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
211 A First Academy 4-18 -14 -10 0.00
213 A Horizon 13- 7 6 1 ++ 4.42
218 A Winter Haven 6-10 -4 -1 - -2.73
220 A Freedom Orlando 12- 0 12 11 0.00
228 H Windermere Prep 14-13 1 4 - -3.02
303 A South Lake 16- 6 10 6 0.00
305 H Lake Buena Vista 17- 3 14 6 0.00
307 A Lakeland HS 5-10 -5 -4 -1.19
312 H Lake Nona 8-12 -4 -3 -1.22
313 H St Cloud 11- 6 5 4 1.39
326 A Lake Minneola 5-18 -13 -7 0.00
328 H Tohopekaliga 6- 5 1 4 - -3.06
401 H East Ridge 8- 7 1 1 -0.41
404 A Foundation Academy 6-16 -10 -3 - -2.28
411 A Winter Haven 13-12 1 -1 + 2.27
416 A Lakeland HS 7- 5 2 -4 ++ 5.81
423 A Plant 2-26 -24 -18 0.00
|
UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 218 A Winter Haven 6-10 -4 -1 - -2.73 228 H Windermere Prep 14-13 1 4 - -3.02 328 H Tohopekaliga 6- 5 1 4 - -3.06 404 A Foundation Academy 6-16 -10 -3 - -2.28 |
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 213 A Horizon 13- 7 6 1 ++ 4.42 416 A Lakeland HS 7- 5 2 -4 ++ 5.81 411 A Winter Haven 13-12 1 -1 + 2.27 |
Celebration Evaluation
The team that earns the point in the pair-wise comparison is based on three criteria:
first is head-to-head, the winner gets the point, however, if they did not play each
other, than it considers w-l versus common opponents. If their records are tied or they
have no common opponents, than the tie-breaker becomes the better power rating.
The Common Opponent Point list in the table below has the record of the winner followed by the
record of the loser for all common opponents
| Opponent | Who Gets the Point? | Head-2-Head Point |
Common Opponent Point |
Power Rating Point |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Admiral Farragut Aca | Admiral Farragut Aca | Admiral Farragut Aca | ||
| All Saints Academy | All Saints Academy | tied - ( 3- 3) ( 3- 1) | All Saints Academy | |
| Alonso | Alonso | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Alonso | |
| American Heritage De | American Heritage De | American Heritage De | ||
| American Heritage Pl | American Heritage Pl | American Heritage Pl | ||
| Angeline Academy | Celebration | insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 0- 1) | Celebration | |
| Apopka | Celebration | tied - ( 5- 1) ( 5- 1) | Celebration | |
| Archbishop McCarthy | Archbishop McCarthy | Archbishop McCarthy | ||
| Atlantic Coast | Celebration | Celebration | ||
| Atlantic-Delray Beac | Atlantic-Delray Beac | Atlantic-Delray Beac | ||
| Aubrey Rogers | Aubrey Rogers | Aubrey Rogers | ||
| Barron Collier | Barron Collier | Barron Collier | ||
| Bartow | Bartow | Bartow | ||
| Bartram Trail | Bartram Trail | Bartram Trail | ||
| Beachside | Beachside | Beachside | ||
| Belen Jesuit | Belen Jesuit | Belen Jesuit | ||
| Benjamin School | Benjamin School | Benjamin School | ||
| Berkeley Prep | Berkeley Prep | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Berkeley Prep | |
| Bishop McLaughlin | Celebration | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Celebration | |
| Bishop Moore | Bishop Moore | tied - ( 1- 1) ( 1- 0) | Bishop Moore | |
| Bishop Verot | Bishop Verot | Bishop Verot | ||
| Bloomingdale | Bloomingdale | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Bloomingdale | |
| Boca Ciega | Celebration | Celebration | ||
| Boca Raton | Boca Raton | Boca Raton | ||
| Bolles | Bolles | Bolles | ||
| Boone | Boone | Boone 2- 0 vs 0- 2 | ||
| Bradenton Christian | Bradenton Christian | Bradenton Christian | ||
| Buchholz | Buchholz | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Buchholz | |
| Calvary Christian Ac | Calvary Christian Ac | Calvary Christian Ac | ||
| Calvary Christian HS | Calvary Christian HS | tied - ( 1- 2) ( 1- 1) | Calvary Christian HS | |
| Canterbury School | Canterbury School | Canterbury School | ||
| Cardinal Gibbons | Cardinal Gibbons | Cardinal Gibbons | ||
| Cardinal Mooney | Cardinal Mooney | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Cardinal Mooney | |
| Cardinal Newman | Cardinal Newman | Cardinal Newman | ||
| Chiles | Chiles | Chiles | ||
| Clearwater Central C | Celebration | Celebration | ||
| Cocoa Beach | Celebration | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | Celebration | |
| Colonial | Celebration | Celebration 5- 1 vs 1- 5 | ||
| Columbus Catholic | Columbus Catholic | Columbus Catholic | ||
| Community School-Nap | Community School-Nap | Community School-Nap | ||
| Cooper City | Celebration | Celebration | ||
| Coral Glades | Celebration | Celebration | ||
| Coral Reef | Celebration | Celebration | ||
| Coral Shores | Coral Shores | Coral Shores | ||
| Coral Springs | Celebration | Celebration | ||
| Countryside | Celebration | Celebration | ||
| Creekside | Creekside | Creekside | ||
| Cypress Bay | Cypress Bay | Cypress Bay | ||
| Cypress Creek | Celebration | Celebration | ||
| Cypress Lake | Celebration | Celebration | ||
| Dr Phillips | Celebration | tied - ( 2- 0) ( 2- 0) | Celebration | |
| Durant | Celebration | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Celebration | |
| Dwyer | Dwyer | Dwyer | ||
| East Lake | East Lake | insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 0- 1) | East Lake | |
| East Ridge | Celebration | Celebration | ||
| East River | East River | tied - ( 4- 1) ( 4- 1) | East River | |
| Eastside | Celebration | Celebration | ||
| Edgewater | Edgewater | tied - ( 2- 1) ( 2- 1) | Edgewater | |
| Edgewood | Celebration | Celebration | ||
| Episcopal Jacksonvi | Episcopal Jacksonvi | Episcopal Jacksonvi | ||
| Estero | Celebration | Celebration | ||
| Evans | Evans | Evans | ||
| Father Lopez | Celebration | Celebration | ||
| Fernandina Beach | Celebration | Celebration | ||
| First Academy | First Academy | First Academy | ||
| Flagler Palm Coast | Celebration | Celebration | ||
| Fleming Island | Fleming Island | Fleming Island | ||
| Fletcher | Fletcher | Fletcher | ||
| Florida Christian | Florida Christian | Florida Christian | ||
| Forest | Celebration | tied - ( 1- 1) ( 1- 1) | Celebration | |
| Fort Myers | Fort Myers | Fort Myers | ||
| Fort Walton Beach | Celebration | Celebration | ||
| Foundation Academy | Foundation Academy | Foundation Academy | ||
| Freedom Orlando | Celebration | Celebration | ||
| Freedom Tampa | Celebration | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Celebration | |
| Golden Gate | Golden Gate | Golden Gate | ||
| Gulf Breeze | Gulf Breeze | Gulf Breeze | ||
| Gulf Coast | Gulf Coast | Gulf Coast | ||
| Gulliver Prep | Gulliver Prep | Gulliver Prep | ||
| Hagerty | Hagerty | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Hagerty | |
| Holy Trinity Episcop | Holy Trinity Episcop | Holy Trinity Episcop | ||
| Horizon | Celebration | Celebration | ||
| IMG Academy-White | IMG Academy-White | tied - ( 1- 1) ( 1- 0) | IMG Academy-White | |
| Immaculata LaSalle | Immaculata LaSalle | Immaculata LaSalle | ||
| Immokalee | Celebration | Celebration | ||
| Indian Rocks Christi | Celebration | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Celebration | |
| Innovation | Celebration | insuffient: ( 3- 2)( 2- 3) | Celebration | |
| Jensen Beach | Jensen Beach | Jensen Beach | ||
| Jesuit Tampa | Jesuit Tampa | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | Jesuit Tampa | |
| John Carroll Catholi | John Carroll Catholi | John Carroll Catholi | ||
| Jupiter | Jupiter | Jupiter | ||
| Jupiter Christian | Celebration | Celebration | ||
| Key West | Key West | Key West | ||
| Keys Gate | Celebration | Celebration | ||
| Kings Academy | Kings Academy | Kings Academy | ||
| Lake Brantley | Lake Brantley | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Lake Brantley | |
| Lake Buena Vista | Celebration | Celebration | ||
| Lake Highland Prep | Lake Highland Prep | insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 2- 0) | Lake Highland Prep | |
| Lake Howell | Celebration | insuffient: ( 3- 1)( 2- 1) | Celebration | |
| Lake Mary | Lake Mary | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | Lake Mary | |
| Lake Minneola | Lake Minneola | Lake Minneola | ||
| Lake Nona | Lake Nona | Lake Nona | ||
| Lake Wales | Lake Wales | insuffient: ( 5- 1)( 4- 1) | Lake Wales | |
| Lakeland Christian | Celebration | Celebration 4- 4 vs 2- 4 | ||
| Lakeland HS | Lakeland HS | tied - ( 5- 2) ( 5- 1) | Lakeland HS | |
| Lakewood Ranch | Lakewood Ranch | Lakewood Ranch | ||
| Land O Lakes | Land O Lakes | Land O Lakes | ||
| Lely | Celebration | Celebration | ||
| Leon | Leon | Leon | ||
| Lincoln Tallahassee | Celebration | Celebration | ||
| Lyman | Celebration | insuffient: ( 5- 0)( 4- 1) | Celebration | |
| Maclay | Maclay | Maclay | ||
| Manatee | Manatee | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Manatee | |
| Mandarin | Celebration | Celebration | ||
| Marco Island Academy | Celebration | Celebration | ||
| Martin County | Martin County | Martin County | ||
| Matanzas | Matanzas | Matanzas | ||
| Melbourne | Melbourne | tied - ( 2- 1) ( 2- 1) | Melbourne | |
| Melbourne Central Ca | Melbourne Central Ca | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | Melbourne Central Ca | |
| Menendez | Menendez | Menendez | ||
| Merritt Island | Merritt Island | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | Merritt Island | |
| Miami Country Day | Miami Country Day | Miami Country Day | ||
| Miami Palmetto | Miami Palmetto | Miami Palmetto | ||
| Milton | Celebration | Celebration | ||
| Mitchell | Mitchell | Mitchell | ||
| Montverde Academy | Montverde Academy | Montverde Academy 3- 0 vs 1- 2 | ||
| Naples | Naples | Naples | ||
| Navarre | Navarre | Navarre | ||
| Nease | Nease | Nease | ||
| Newberry | Celebration | Celebration | ||
| Newsome | Newsome | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Newsome | |
| Niceville | Niceville | Niceville | ||
| North Bay Haven | Celebration | Celebration | ||
| North Broward Prep | North Broward Prep | North Broward Prep | ||
| Northeast St Petersb | Celebration | Celebration | ||
| Northside Christian | Northside Christian | Northside Christian | ||
| NSU University Schoo | NSU University Schoo | NSU University Schoo | ||
| Oak Hall | Oak Hall | Oak Hall | ||
| Ocoee | Celebration | Celebration 6- 0 vs 1- 5 | ||
| Okeechobee | Celebration | insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 0- 2) | Celebration | |
| Olympia | Olympia | tied - ( 1- 2) ( 1- 2) | Olympia | |
| Olympic Heights | Olympic Heights | Olympic Heights | ||
| Osceola | Osceola | Osceola | ||
| Out-of-Door Academy | Out-of-Door Academy | Out-of-Door Academy | ||
| Oviedo | Oviedo | insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 2- 0) | Oviedo | |
| Oxbridge Academy | Oxbridge Academy | Oxbridge Academy | ||
| Palm Beach Central | Palm Beach Central | Palm Beach Central | ||
| Palm Beach Gardens | Celebration | Celebration | ||
| Palm Harbor Universi | Palm Harbor Universi | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Palm Harbor Universi | |
| Palmer Trinity | Celebration | Celebration | ||
| Palmetto Ridge | Celebration | Celebration | ||
| Park Vista | Celebration | Celebration | ||
| Pasco | Celebration | insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 0- 1) | Celebration | |
| Paxon Institute | Celebration | Celebration | ||
| Pensacola | Celebration | Celebration | ||
| Pensacola Catholic | Pensacola Catholic | Pensacola Catholic | ||
| Pine Crest | Pine Crest | Pine Crest | ||
| Plant | Plant | Plant | ||
| Pompano Beach | Celebration | Celebration | ||
| Ponte Vedra | Ponte Vedra | Ponte Vedra | ||
| Providence School | Providence School | Providence School | ||
| Ransom Everglades | Ransom Everglades | Ransom Everglades | ||
| Rickards | Rickards | Rickards | ||
| Riverdale | Celebration | Celebration | ||
| Riverside | Celebration | Celebration | ||
| Riverview Sarasota | Riverview Sarasota | Riverview Sarasota | ||
| Robinson | Robinson | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Robinson | |
| Rockledge | Rockledge | Rockledge | ||
| Sandalwood | Celebration | Celebration | ||
| Santa Fe | Celebration | Celebration | ||
| Sarasota HS | Sarasota HS | tied - ( 1- 1) ( 1- 0) | Sarasota HS | |
| Satellite | Satellite | Satellite | ||
| Sebastian River | Celebration | tied - ( 1- 1) ( 1- 1) | Celebration | |
| Seminole | Seminole | insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 2- 0) | Seminole | |
| Seminole Ridge | Celebration | Celebration | ||
| Sickles | Sickles | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Sickles | |
| South Fork | Celebration | Celebration | ||
| South Lake | Celebration | Celebration | ||
| South Plantation | Celebration | Celebration | ||
| South Walton | South Walton | South Walton | ||
| Spanish River | Spanish River | Spanish River | ||
| St Andrews | St Andrews | St Andrews | ||
| St Augustine | St Augustine | St Augustine | ||
| St Brendan | St Brendan | St Brendan | ||
| St Cloud | Celebration | Celebration | ||
| St Edwards School | St Edwards School | St Edwards School | ||
| St John Paul II Acad | St John Paul II Acad | St John Paul II Acad | ||
| St Joseph Academy | St Joseph Academy | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | St Joseph Academy | |
| St Petersburg Cathol | Celebration | Celebration | ||
| St Petersburg HS | Celebration | Celebration | ||
| St Stephens Episcopa | St Stephens Episcopa | St Stephens Episcopa | ||
| St Thomas Aquinas | St Thomas Aquinas | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | St Thomas Aquinas | |
| Stanton Prep | Celebration | Celebration | ||
| Steinbrenner | Steinbrenner | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Steinbrenner | |
| Stoneman Douglas | Stoneman Douglas | Stoneman Douglas | ||
| Suncoast | Celebration | Celebration | ||
| Sunlake | Sunlake | Sunlake | ||
| Tampa Catholic | Celebration | insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 0- 1) | Celebration | |
| Tampa Prep | Tampa Prep | Tampa Prep | ||
| Taravella | Celebration | Celebration | ||
| Timber Creek | Timber Creek | Timber Creek 2- 0 vs 0- 2 | ||
| Tocoi Creek | Tocoi Creek | Tocoi Creek | ||
| Tohopekaliga | Celebration | Celebration | ||
| Trinity Catholic | Trinity Catholic | insuffient: ( 1- 2)( 2- 0) | Trinity Catholic | |
| Trinity Prep | Trinity Prep | insuffient: ( 2- 3)( 3- 2) | Trinity Prep | |
| University Orlando | Celebration | insuffient: ( 1- 2)( 0- 3) | Celebration | |
| Venice | Venice | Venice | ||
| Vero Beach | Vero Beach | insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 2- 0) | Vero Beach | |
| Viera | Viera | insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 2- 0) | Viera | |
| Village School Naple | Celebration | Celebration | ||
| Washington | Celebration | Celebration | ||
| Wellington | Wellington | Wellington | ||
| Wesley Chapel | Wesley Chapel | insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 0- 1) | Wesley Chapel | |
| West Boca Raton | West Boca Raton | West Boca Raton | ||
| West Broward | West Broward | West Broward | ||
| West Florida | West Florida | West Florida | ||
| West Orange | West Orange | insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 2- 0) | West Orange | |
| West Shore | Celebration | Celebration | ||
| Western Davie | Western Davie | Western Davie | ||
| Westminster Academy | Westminster Academy | Westminster Academy | ||
| Westminster Christia | Westminster Christia | Westminster Christia | ||
| Wharton | Celebration | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Celebration | |
| Windermere HS | Windermere HS | Windermere HS 6- 0 vs 4- 2 | ||
| Windermere Prep | Celebration | Celebration | ||
| Winter Haven | Winter Haven | insuffient: ( 1- 2)( 0- 2) | Winter Haven | |
| Winter Park | Winter Park | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Winter Park | |
| Winter Springs | Celebration | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Celebration | |
| Wiregrass Ranch | Wiregrass Ranch | Wiregrass Ranch |
PowerWise = 80
division Games OnlyAverage number of games used in Games Correction = 15.16
Date Opponent (W-L PR) SCORE SAFE SAFE Home No Games SCI
Loss Win Field Correction Points
SLP SWP Advantage Factor
0 A First Academy (12- 5, 86.1) 4-18 -13.80 24.60 0.60 0.89 -11.77
0 A Horizon ( 8- 9, 75.5) 13- 7 -24.42 13.98 0.60 0.89 13.00
0 A Winter Haven ( 6- 5, 77.3) 6-10 -22.57 15.83 0.60 0.89 -19.59
0 A Freedom Orlan ( 0-11, 65.2) 12- 0 -34.71 3.69 0.60 0.89 3.82
0 H Windermere Pre ( 3-11, 73.2) 14-13 -26.66 11.74 -0.60 0.89 9.93
0 A South Lake ( 3-12, 70.2) 16- 6 -29.68 8.71 0.60 0.89 8.31
0 H Lake Buena Vis ( 2-15, 71.3) 17- 3 -28.64 9.76 -0.60 0.89 8.16
0 A Lakeland HS (10- 6, 79.9) 5-10 -20.02 18.37 0.60 0.89 -17.32
0 H Lake Nona ( 8- 9, 80.0) 8-12 -19.85 18.54 -0.60 0.89 -18.24
0 H St Cloud ( 4- 9, 73.7) 11- 6 -26.25 12.15 -0.60 0.89 10.30
0 A Lake Minneola (14- 6, 83.4) 5-18 -16.53 21.86 0.60 0.89 -14.21
0 H Tohopekaliga ( 4-12, 73.2) 6- 5 -26.70 11.70 -0.60 0.89 9.89
0 H East Ridge ( 7-10, 75.9) 8- 7 -24.05 14.35 -0.60 0.89 12.26
0 A Foundation Aca (11- 7, 78.8) 6-16 -21.11 17.28 0.60 0.89 -18.29
0 A Winter Haven ( 6- 5, 77.3) 13-12 -22.57 15.83 0.60 0.89 14.65
0 A Lakeland HS (10- 6, 79.9) 7- 5 -20.02 18.37 0.60 0.89 16.92
0 A Plant (19- 3, 94.5) 2-26 -5.41 32.99 0.60 0.89 -4.29
------
3.54
|
winning pts = 107.2555 losing points = -103.7169
SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.
------------------------------------------------------------------------
| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
------------------------------------------------------------------------