Carmel Catholic
W-L: (13- 7) PR = 87.5774Schedule/Results All Games
Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 320 H Libertyville (12- 6, 93.0) 2-14 401 A Prairie Ridge ( 7-12, 84.4) 10- 3 403 H Marist ( 9- 8, 90.4) 7-14 405 A Vernon Hills ( 6-14, 85.2) 10- 5 410 H St Viator (18- 2, 99.9) 0-25 412 H McHenry ( 8-10, 84.9) 4- 0 412 H Grant Community (13- 5, 88.3) 5- 6 414 H Warren Township (11- 8, 90.6) 5-13 417 A Notre Dame ( 5-15, 83.2) 11-10 423 H St Laurence ( 2-13, 76.6) 18- 3 424 A Benet Academy (11- 9, 89.2) 3-14 428 H Lake Forest Academy ( 7- 7, 83.5) 14- 6 501 H St Patrick ( 1-17, 72.9) 20- 1 503 A Prospect (11- 8, 86.0) 9- 2 506 H Palatine ( 3-14, 78.5) 16- 5 508 A Nazareth Academy ( 6-13, 80.2) 15- 5 509 A Stevenson (10- 7, 89.9) 12-10 512 A Latin School ( 6-15, 81.3) 16- 3 519 H Wauconda ( 1-14, 82.5) 15-12 521 A Antioch ( 8- 9, 87.0) 8- 9
PREDICTION LIST
-------------------------------------
|Real = actual goal margin |
|Pred = predicted goal margin |
|+ = slightly above prediction |
|++ = above prediction |
|+++ = well above prediction |
|- = slightly below prediction |
|-- = below prediction |
|--- = well below prediction |
|Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) |
| prediction. N/A when ten |
| goal limit is exceeded |
|n/a = Outside division |
-------------------------------------
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
320 H Libertyville 2-14 -12 -5 -0.22
401 A Prairie Ridge 10- 3 7 3 + 2.45
403 H Marist 7-14 -7 -2 - -2.80
405 A Vernon Hills 10- 5 5 2 + 3.26
410 H St Viator 0-25 -25 -12 0.00
412 H McHenry 4- 0 4 3 0.73
412 H Grant Community 5- 6 -1 0 -0.88
414 H Warren Township 5-13 -8 -2 - -2.58
417 A Notre Dame 11-10 1 4 - -2.74
423 H St Laurence 18- 3 15 12 0.00
424 A Benet Academy 3-14 -11 -2 - -2.77
428 H Lake Forest Academy 14- 6 8 5 0.29
501 H St Patrick 20- 1 19 15 0.00
503 A Prospect 9- 2 7 1 ++ 4.04
506 H Palatine 16- 5 11 10 0.00
508 A Nazareth Academy 15- 5 10 7 0.00
509 A Stevenson 12-10 2 -3 ++ 4.93
512 A Latin School 16- 3 13 6 0.00
519 H Wauconda 15-12 3 6 - -2.00
521 A Antioch 8- 9 -1 0 -0.97
|
UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 403 H Marist 7-14 -7 -2 - -2.80 414 H Warren Township 5-13 -8 -2 - -2.58 417 A Notre Dame 11-10 1 4 - -2.74 424 A Benet Academy 3-14 -11 -2 - -2.77 519 H Wauconda 15-12 3 6 - -2.00 |
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 503 A Prospect 9- 2 7 1 ++ 4.04 509 A Stevenson 12-10 2 -3 ++ 4.93 401 A Prairie Ridge 10- 3 7 3 + 2.45 405 A Vernon Hills 10- 5 5 2 + 3.26 |
Carmel Catholic Evaluation
The team that earns the point in the pair-wise comparison is based on three criteria:
first is head-to-head, the winner gets the point, however, if they did not play each
other, than it considers w-l versus common opponents. If their records are tied or they
have no common opponents, than the tie-breaker becomes the better power rating.
The Common Opponent Point list in the table below has the record of the winner followed by the
record of the loser for all common opponents
| Opponent | Who Gets the Point? | Head-2-Head Point |
Common Opponent Point |
Power Rating Point |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Andrew-Sandburg-Stag | Andrew-Sandburg-Stag | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | Andrew-Sandburg-Stag | |
| Antioch | Antioch | Antioch | ||
| Barrington | Barrington | tied - ( 2- 1) ( 2- 1) | Barrington | |
| Batavia | Carmel Catholic | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Carmel Catholic | |
| Benet Academy | Benet Academy | Benet Academy | ||
| Boylan Catholic | Carmel Catholic | insuffient: ( 2- 1)( 1- 2) | Carmel Catholic | |
| Brother Rice | Carmel Catholic | tied - ( 2- 0) ( 2- 0) | Carmel Catholic | |
| Buffalo Grove | Carmel Catholic | Carmel Catholic 2- 1 vs 0- 3 | ||
| Burlington Central | Carmel Catholic | tied - ( 2- 1) ( 2- 1) | Carmel Catholic | |
| Cary Grove | Cary Grove | Cary Grove 5- 1 vs 3- 3 | ||
| Conant | Carmel Catholic | Carmel Catholic 5- 0 vs 3- 2 | ||
| Crystal Lake Central | Carmel Catholic | insuffient: ( 3- 2)( 4- 1) | Carmel Catholic | |
| Crystal Lake South | Carmel Catholic | Carmel Catholic 2- 0 vs 0- 2 | ||
| Deerfield | Deerfield | insuffient: ( 2- 2)( 3- 1) | Deerfield | |
| DePaul Prep | DePaul Prep | insuffient: ( 3- 1)( 4- 0) | DePaul Prep | |
| Downers Grove | Downers Grove | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | Downers Grove | |
| Dundee-Crown | Carmel Catholic | Carmel Catholic 3- 0 vs 0- 3 | ||
| Dunlap | Carmel Catholic | Carmel Catholic | ||
| Elk Grove | Carmel Catholic | Carmel Catholic 3- 0 vs 1- 2 | ||
| Evanston Township | Evanston Township | tied - ( 3- 0) ( 3- 0) | Evanston Township | |
| Fenwick | Carmel Catholic | insuffient: ( 4- 0)( 3- 1) | Carmel Catholic | |
| Fremd | Fremd | insuffient: ( 2- 2)( 3- 0) | Fremd | |
| Geneva | Carmel Catholic | tied - ( 1- 1) ( 1- 1) | Carmel Catholic | |
| Glenbard North | Carmel Catholic | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Carmel Catholic | |
| Glenbard West | Glenbard West | insuffient: ( 0- 2)( 1- 1) | Glenbard West | |
| Glenbrook North | Glenbrook North | Glenbrook North 4- 1 vs 2- 3 | ||
| Glenbrook South | Carmel Catholic | tied - ( 3- 2) ( 3- 2) | Carmel Catholic | |
| Grant Community | Grant Community | Grant Community | ||
| Grayslake Co-op | Grayslake Co-op | insuffient: ( 4- 3)( 5- 2) | Grayslake Co-op | |
| Hampshire | Carmel Catholic | tied - ( 4- 0) ( 4- 0) | Carmel Catholic | |
| Hersey | Hersey | tied - ( 3- 1) ( 3- 1) | Hersey | |
| Highland Park | Carmel Catholic | insuffient: ( 5- 1)( 4- 2) | Carmel Catholic | |
| Hinsdale Central | Hinsdale Central | insuffient: ( 2- 2)( 3- 0) | Hinsdale Central | |
| Hoffman Estates | Carmel Catholic | Carmel Catholic 4- 0 vs 2- 2 | ||
| Homewood Flossmoor | Carmel Catholic | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Carmel Catholic | |
| Huntley | Huntley | insuffient: ( 2- 1)( 3- 0) | Huntley | |
| Immaculate Conceptio | Carmel Catholic | Carmel Catholic 2- 1 vs 0- 3 | ||
| Jacobs | Carmel Catholic | Carmel Catholic 3- 1 vs 0- 4 | ||
| Kaneland | Carmel Catholic | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Carmel Catholic | |
| Kenwood | Carmel Catholic | insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 0- 2) | Carmel Catholic | |
| Lake Forest Academy | Carmel Catholic | Carmel Catholic | ||
| Lake Forest HS | Lake Forest HS | Lake Forest HS 4- 1 vs 1- 4 | ||
| Lake Park | Carmel Catholic | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Carmel Catholic | |
| Lake Zurich | Lake Zurich | Lake Zurich 4- 1 vs 1- 4 | ||
| Lakes Community | Lakes Community | insuffient: ( 6- 4)( 7- 3) | Lakes Community | |
| Lane Tech | Carmel Catholic | tied - ( 1- 1) ( 1- 1) | Carmel Catholic | |
| Latin School | Carmel Catholic | Carmel Catholic | ||
| Lemont | Carmel Catholic | Carmel Catholic | ||
| Libertyville | Libertyville | Libertyville | ||
| Lincoln Park | Carmel Catholic | Carmel Catholic | ||
| Lincoln-Way | Lincoln-Way | Lincoln-Way 2- 0 vs 0- 2 | ||
| Lockport Township | Carmel Catholic | Carmel Catholic | ||
| Loyola Academy | Loyola Academy | Loyola Academy 2- 0 vs 0- 2 | ||
| Lyons Township | Lyons Township | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Lyons Township | |
| Maine South | Maine South | tied - ( 2- 0) ( 2- 0) | Maine South | |
| Marian Central Catho | Carmel Catholic | Carmel Catholic | ||
| Marist | Marist | Marist | ||
| Marmion Academy | Carmel Catholic | insuffient: ( 3- 0)( 2- 1) | Carmel Catholic | |
| McHenry | Carmel Catholic | Carmel Catholic | ||
| Minooka | Carmel Catholic | Carmel Catholic | ||
| Montini Catholic | Carmel Catholic | tied - ( 2- 0) ( 2- 0) | Carmel Catholic | |
| Mount Carmel | Mount Carmel | insuffient: ( 2- 2)( 3- 1) | Mount Carmel | |
| Mundelein | Carmel Catholic | Carmel Catholic 5- 3 vs 1- 7 | ||
| Naperville Central | Carmel Catholic | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | Carmel Catholic | |
| Naperville North | Naperville North | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Naperville North | |
| Nazareth Academy | Carmel Catholic | Carmel Catholic | ||
| Neuqua Valley | Neuqua Valley | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | Neuqua Valley | |
| New Trier | New Trier | tied - ( 2- 1) ( 2- 1) | New Trier | |
| Normal Community | Carmel Catholic | Carmel Catholic | ||
| Northside College Pr | Carmel Catholic | Carmel Catholic | ||
| Notre Dame | Carmel Catholic | Carmel Catholic | ||
| Oak Forest | Carmel Catholic | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | Carmel Catholic | |
| Oak Park-River Fores | Carmel Catholic | tied - ( 4- 1) ( 4- 1) | Carmel Catholic | |
| Palatine | Carmel Catholic | Carmel Catholic | ||
| Plainfield North | Carmel Catholic | Carmel Catholic | ||
| Prairie Ridge | Carmel Catholic | Carmel Catholic | ||
| Prospect | Carmel Catholic | Carmel Catholic | ||
| Providence Catholic | Carmel Catholic | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | Carmel Catholic | |
| Riverside Brookfield | Carmel Catholic | tied - ( 2- 0) ( 2- 0) | Carmel Catholic | |
| Rolling Meadows | Carmel Catholic | Carmel Catholic 5- 0 vs 1- 4 | ||
| Schaumburg | Schaumburg | tied - ( 2- 0) ( 2- 0) | Schaumburg | |
| South Elgin | South Elgin | insuffient: ( 0- 3)( 1- 2) | South Elgin | |
| St Charles East | St Charles East | insuffient: ( 0- 2)( 1- 1) | St Charles East | |
| St Charles North | St Charles North | St Charles North | ||
| St Francis | Carmel Catholic | tied - ( 2- 1) ( 2- 1) | Carmel Catholic | |
| St Ignatius Prep | St Ignatius Prep | St Ignatius Prep 2- 1 vs 0- 3 | ||
| St Laurence | Carmel Catholic | Carmel Catholic | ||
| St Patrick | Carmel Catholic | Carmel Catholic | ||
| St Rita | Carmel Catholic | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Carmel Catholic | |
| St Viator | St Viator | St Viator | ||
| Stevenson | Carmel Catholic | Carmel Catholic | ||
| Taft HS | Carmel Catholic | insuffient: ( 2- 0)( 1- 1) | Carmel Catholic | |
| Timothy Christian | Carmel Catholic | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Carmel Catholic | |
| Vernon Hills | Carmel Catholic | Carmel Catholic | ||
| Warren Township | Warren Township | Warren Township | ||
| Washington | Carmel Catholic | Carmel Catholic | ||
| Waubonsie-Metea Co-O | Carmel Catholic | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Carmel Catholic | |
| Wauconda | Carmel Catholic | Carmel Catholic | ||
| Wheaton Academy | Wheaton Academy | Wheaton Academy 2- 1 vs 0- 3 | ||
| Wheaton North | Wheaton North | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Wheaton North | |
| Wheaton South | Wheaton South | Wheaton South | ||
| Wheeling | Carmel Catholic | Carmel Catholic 4- 0 vs 0- 4 | ||
| Whitney Young | Carmel Catholic | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | Carmel Catholic | |
| York | York | insuffient: ( 0- 3)( 1- 2) | York |
PowerWise = 63
division Games OnlyAverage number of games used in Games Correction = 17.71
Date Opponent (W-L PR) SCORE SAFE SAFE Home No Games SCI
Loss Win Field Correction Points
SLP SWP Advantage Factor
0 H Libertyville (12- 6, 93.0) 2-14 -6.93 22.63 -0.62 0.89 -6.68
0 A Prairie Ridge ( 7-12, 84.4) 10- 3 -15.49 14.07 0.62 0.89 13.01
0 H Marist ( 9- 8, 90.4) 7-14 -9.50 20.06 -0.62 0.89 -8.96
0 A Vernon Hills ( 6-14, 85.2) 10- 5 -14.68 14.88 0.62 0.89 13.73
0 H St Viator (18- 2, 99.9) 0-25 -0.00 29.56 -0.62 0.89 -0.55
0 H McHenry ( 8-10, 84.9) 4- 0 -14.98 14.58 -0.62 0.89 12.37
0 H Grant Communit (13- 5, 88.3) 5- 6 -11.58 17.98 -0.62 0.89 -10.81
0 H Warren Townshi (11- 8, 90.6) 5-13 -9.28 20.28 -0.62 0.89 -8.77
0 A Notre Dame ( 5-15, 83.2) 11-10 -16.68 12.88 0.62 0.89 11.96
0 H St Laurence ( 2-13, 76.6) 18- 3 -23.27 6.29 -0.62 0.89 5.02
0 A Benet Academy (11- 9, 89.2) 3-14 -10.71 18.85 0.62 0.89 -8.94
0 H Lake Forest Ac ( 7- 7, 83.5) 14- 6 -16.42 13.14 -0.62 0.89 11.09
0 H St Patrick ( 1-17, 72.9) 20- 1 -27.01 2.55 -0.62 0.89 1.71
0 A Prospect (11- 8, 86.0) 9- 2 -13.90 15.66 0.62 0.89 14.42
0 H Palatine ( 3-14, 78.5) 16- 5 -21.36 8.20 -0.62 0.89 6.72
0 A Nazareth Acade ( 6-13, 80.2) 15- 5 -19.69 9.87 0.62 0.89 9.29
0 A Stevenson (10- 7, 89.9) 12-10 -10.01 19.55 0.62 0.89 17.86
0 A Latin School ( 6-15, 81.3) 16- 3 -18.57 10.99 0.62 0.89 10.28
0 H Wauconda ( 1-14, 82.5) 15-12 -17.44 12.12 -0.62 0.89 10.18
0 A Antioch ( 8- 9, 87.0) 8- 9 -12.91 16.65 0.62 0.89 -10.89
------
82.05
|
winning pts = 137.6465 losing points = -55.5956
SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.
------------------------------------------------------------------------
| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
------------------------------------------------------------------------