Covington Catholic
W-L: ( 6- 9) PR = 81.4602
Schedule/Results All Games
Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score
308 A Lexington Catholic (10- 7, 87.6) 0-13
313 H St Henry ( 0-10, 71.8) 16- 3
315 H Lafayette ( 9- 6, 81.0) 5- 6
319 A Henry Clay (13- 5, 87.5) 0-11
322 H Ryle ( 8- 9, 82.8) 5-11
326 H Frederick Douglass (15- 3, 90.1) 5- 9
401 H Dixie Heights (12- 5, 84.5) 5-10
403 A Cooper ( 6- 8, 78.7) 11- 6
426 A Collins ( 6- 9, 78.4) 12- 4
430 A North Oldham ( 9-10, 84.5) 4- 7
502 A Walton-Verona ( 4-12, 73.5) 16- 0
503 H Scott County ( 2-14, 72.5) 15- 1
506 A Sayre (11- 5, 87.4) 2-16
508 N St Henry ( 0-10, 71.8) 12- 2
509 A Dixie Heights (12- 5, 84.5) 7-16
PREDICTION LIST
-------------------------------------
|Real = actual goal margin |
|Pred = predicted goal margin |
|+ = slightly above prediction |
|++ = above prediction |
|+++ = well above prediction |
|- = slightly below prediction |
|-- = below prediction |
|--- = well below prediction |
|Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) |
| prediction. N/A when ten |
| goal limit is exceeded |
|n/a = Outside division |
-------------------------------------
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
308 A Lexington Catholic 0-13 -13 -7 0.00
313 H St Henry 16- 3 13 10 0.00
315 H Lafayette 5- 6 -1 1 - -2.24
319 A Henry Clay 0-11 -11 -7 0.00
322 H Ryle 5-11 -6 -1 -- -4.42
326 H Frederick Douglass 5- 9 -4 -8 1.00
401 H Dixie Heights 5-10 -5 -2 - -2.67
403 A Cooper 11- 6 5 2 + 3.02
426 A Collins 12- 4 8 2 + 2.71
430 A North Oldham 4- 7 -3 -4 0.81
502 A Walton-Verona 16- 0 16 7 0.00
503 H Scott County 15- 1 14 10 0.00
506 A Sayre 2-16 -14 -7 0.00
508 N St Henry 12- 2 10 10 0.00
509 A Dixie Heights 7-16 -9 -4 -1.16
|
UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
322 H Ryle 5-11 -6 -1 -- -4.42
315 H Lafayette 5- 6 -1 1 - -2.24
401 H Dixie Heights 5-10 -5 -2 - -2.67
|
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
403 A Cooper 11- 6 5 2 + 3.02
426 A Collins 12- 4 8 2 + 2.71
|
Covington Catholic Evaluation
The team that earns the point in the pair-wise comparison is based on three criteria:
first is head-to-head, the winner gets the point, however, if they did not play each
other, than it considers w-l versus common opponents. If their records are tied or they
have no common opponents, than the tie-breaker becomes the better power rating.
The Common Opponent Point list in the table below has the record of the winner followed by the
record of the loser for all common opponents
Opponent |
Who Gets the Point?
| Head-2-Head Point |
Common Opponent Point |
Power Rating Point |
Anderson County |
Anderson County |
|
 
| Anderson County |
Atherton |
Covington Catholic |
|
tied - ( 3- 0) ( 3- 0) |
Covington Catholic |
Ballard Louisville |
Ballard Louisville |
|
Ballard Louisville   4- 0 vs 0- 4 |
|
Bluegrass |
Bluegrass |
|
 
| Bluegrass |
Bowling Green |
Bowling Green |
|
 
| Bowling Green |
Bryan Station |
Covington Catholic |
|
insuffient: ( 1- 5)( 0- 6) |
Covington Catholic |
Central Hardin |
Covington Catholic |
|
tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) |
Covington Catholic |
Christian Academy-Lo |
Christian Academy-Lo |
|
tied - ( 1- 1) ( 1- 1) |
Christian Academy-Lo |
Collins |
Covington Catholic |
Covington Catholic |
 
| |
Cooper |
Covington Catholic |
Covington Catholic |
 
| |
DeSales |
Covington Catholic |
|
tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) |
Covington Catholic |
Dixie Heights |
Dixie Heights |
Dixie Heights |
 
| |
DuPont Manual |
DuPont Manual |
|
insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) |
DuPont Manual |
Eastern |
Eastern |
|
insuffient: ( 0- 3)( 1- 2) |
Eastern |
Frederick Douglass |
Frederick Douglass |
Frederick Douglass |
 
| |
Great Crossing |
Covington Catholic |
|
insuffient: ( 4- 5)( 3- 6) |
Covington Catholic |
Greenwood |
Covington Catholic |
|
tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) |
Covington Catholic |
Henry Clay |
Henry Clay |
Henry Clay |
 
| |
Kentucky Country Day |
Kentucky Country Day |
|
Kentucky Country Day   3- 2 vs 1- 4 |
|
Lafayette |
Lafayette |
Lafayette |
 
| |
Lexington Catholic |
Lexington Catholic |
Lexington Catholic |
 
| |
Lexington Christian |
Lexington Christian |
|
Lexington Christian   5- 3 vs 1- 7 |
|
Louisville Collegiat |
Louisville Collegiat |
|
tied - ( 1- 2) ( 1- 2) |
Louisville Collegiat |
Male |
Covington Catholic |
|
insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 0- 2) |
Covington Catholic |
North Hardin |
Covington Catholic |
|
insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) |
Covington Catholic |
North Oldham |
North Oldham |
North Oldham |
 
| |
Oldham County |
Covington Catholic |
|
Covington Catholic   2- 1 vs 0- 3 |
|
Owensboro |
Covington Catholic |
|
 
| Covington Catholic |
Paul Laurence Dunbar |
Covington Catholic |
|
tied - ( 4- 2) ( 4- 2) |
Covington Catholic |
Ryle |
Ryle |
Ryle |
 
| |
Sayre |
Sayre |
Sayre |
 
| |
Scott County |
Covington Catholic |
Covington Catholic |
 
| |
Shelby County |
Covington Catholic |
|
Covington Catholic   3- 2 vs 1- 4 |
|
South Oldham |
South Oldham |
|
South Oldham   5- 0 vs 1- 4 |
|
South Warren |
South Warren |
|
tied - ( 0- 2) ( 0- 2) |
South Warren |
St Henry |
Covington Catholic |
Covington Catholic |
 
| |
St Xavier Louisville |
St Xavier Louisville |
|
 
| St Xavier Louisville |
Tates Creek |
Covington Catholic |
|
tied - ( 2- 7) ( 2- 7) |
Covington Catholic |
Trinity Louisville |
Trinity Louisville |
|
insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) |
Trinity Louisville |
Walton-Verona |
Covington Catholic |
Covington Catholic |
 
| |
Woodford County |
Woodford County |
|
Woodford County   5- 0 vs 0- 5 |
|
PowerWise = 18

division Games Only
Average number of games used in Games Correction = 13.62
Date Opponent (W-L PR) SCORE SAFE SAFE Home No Games SCI
Loss Win Field Correction Points
SLP SWP Advantage Factor
0 A Lexington Cath (10- 7, 87.6) 0-13 -12.29 19.69 0.75 0.91 -10.48
0 H St Henry ( 0-10, 71.8) 16- 3 -28.08 3.90 -0.75 0.91 2.86
0 H Lafayette ( 9- 6, 81.0) 5- 6 -18.93 13.05 -0.75 0.91 -17.87
0 A Henry Clay (13- 5, 87.5) 0-11 -12.43 19.56 0.75 0.91 -10.60
0 H Ryle ( 8- 9, 82.8) 5-11 -17.10 14.88 -0.75 0.91 -16.21
0 H Frederick Doug (15- 3, 90.1) 5- 9 -9.75 22.23 -0.75 0.91 -9.54
0 H Dixie Heights (12- 5, 84.5) 5-10 -15.35 16.63 -0.75 0.91 -14.62
0 A Cooper ( 6- 8, 78.7) 11- 6 -21.17 10.81 0.75 0.91 10.50
0 A Collins ( 6- 9, 78.4) 12- 4 -21.48 10.50 0.75 0.91 10.22
0 A North Oldham ( 9-10, 84.5) 4- 7 -15.38 16.60 0.75 0.91 -13.28
0 A Walton-Verona ( 4-12, 73.5) 16- 0 -26.40 5.58 0.75 0.91 5.75
0 H Scott County ( 2-14, 72.5) 15- 1 -27.44 4.54 -0.75 0.91 3.44
0 A Sayre (11- 5, 87.4) 2-16 -12.50 19.48 0.75 0.91 -10.67
0 N St Henry ( 0-10, 71.8) 12- 2 -28.08 3.90 -0.00 0.91 3.54
0 A Dixie Heights (12- 5, 84.5) 7-16 -15.35 16.63 0.75 0.91 -13.26
------
-80.22
|
winning pts = 36.3105 losing points = -116.5325
SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction. ------------------------------------------------------------------------
| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
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