---    UPDATED: 07-28-25 23:54 PDT

safe3step boys Covington Catholic 1
  
Covington Catholic    
W-L: ( 6- 9) PR = 81.4602

Schedule/Results All Games

Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 308 A Lexington Catholic (10- 7, 87.6) 0-13 313 H St Henry ( 0-10, 71.8) 16- 3 315 H Lafayette ( 9- 6, 81.0) 5- 6 319 A Henry Clay (13- 5, 87.5) 0-11 322 H Ryle ( 8- 9, 82.8) 5-11 326 H Frederick Douglass (15- 3, 90.1) 5- 9 401 H Dixie Heights (12- 5, 84.5) 5-10 403 A Cooper ( 6- 8, 78.7) 11- 6 426 A Collins ( 6- 9, 78.4) 12- 4 430 A North Oldham ( 9-10, 84.5) 4- 7 502 A Walton-Verona ( 4-12, 73.5) 16- 0 503 H Scott County ( 2-14, 72.5) 15- 1 506 A Sayre (11- 5, 87.4) 2-16 508 N St Henry ( 0-10, 71.8) 12- 2 509 A Dixie Heights (12- 5, 84.5) 7-16

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction. N/A when ten  |
               |         goal limit is exceeded    |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   308 A Lexington Catholic      0-13     -13    -7           0.00
   313 H St Henry               16- 3      13    10           0.00
   315 H Lafayette               5- 6      -1     1    -     -2.24
   319 A Henry Clay              0-11     -11    -7           0.00
   322 H Ryle                    5-11      -6    -1    --    -4.42
   326 H Frederick Douglass      5- 9      -4    -8           1.00
   401 H Dixie Heights           5-10      -5    -2    -     -2.67
   403 A Cooper                 11- 6       5     2    +      3.02
   426 A Collins                12- 4       8     2    +      2.71
   430 A North Oldham            4- 7      -3    -4           0.81
   502 A Walton-Verona          16- 0      16     7           0.00
   503 H Scott County           15- 1      14    10           0.00
   506 A Sayre                   2-16     -14    -7           0.00
   508 N St Henry               12- 2      10    10           0.00
   509 A Dixie Heights           7-16      -9    -4          -1.16

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   322 H Ryle                    5-11      -6    -1    --    -4.42
   315 H Lafayette               5- 6      -1     1    -     -2.24
   401 H Dixie Heights           5-10      -5    -2    -     -2.67

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   403 A Cooper                 11- 6       5     2    +      3.02
   426 A Collins                12- 4       8     2    +      2.71

Covington Catholic Evaluation

The team that earns the point in the pair-wise comparison is based on three criteria: 
first is head-to-head, the winner gets the point, however, if they did not play each
other, than it considers w-l versus common opponents. If their records are tied or they
have no common opponents, than the tie-breaker becomes the better power rating.
The Common Opponent Point list in the table below has the record of the winner followed by the
record of the loser for all common opponents
Opponent Who Gets
the Point?
Head-2-Head
Point
Common Opponent
Point
Power Rating
Point
Anderson County Anderson County   Anderson County
Atherton Covington Catholic tied - ( 3- 0) ( 3- 0) Covington Catholic
Ballard Louisville Ballard Louisville Ballard Louisville   4- 0 vs 0- 4
Bluegrass Bluegrass   Bluegrass
Bowling Green Bowling Green   Bowling Green
Bryan Station Covington Catholic insuffient: ( 1- 5)( 0- 6) Covington Catholic
Central Hardin Covington Catholic tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) Covington Catholic
Christian Academy-Lo Christian Academy-Lo tied - ( 1- 1) ( 1- 1) Christian Academy-Lo
Collins Covington Catholic Covington Catholic  
Cooper Covington Catholic Covington Catholic  
DeSales Covington Catholic tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) Covington Catholic
Dixie Heights Dixie Heights Dixie Heights  
DuPont Manual DuPont Manual insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) DuPont Manual
Eastern Eastern insuffient: ( 0- 3)( 1- 2) Eastern
Frederick Douglass Frederick Douglass Frederick Douglass  
Great Crossing Covington Catholic insuffient: ( 4- 5)( 3- 6) Covington Catholic
Greenwood Covington Catholic tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) Covington Catholic
Henry Clay Henry Clay Henry Clay  
Kentucky Country Day Kentucky Country Day Kentucky Country Day   3- 2 vs 1- 4
Lafayette Lafayette Lafayette  
Lexington Catholic Lexington Catholic Lexington Catholic  
Lexington Christian Lexington Christian Lexington Christian   5- 3 vs 1- 7
Louisville Collegiat Louisville Collegiat tied - ( 1- 2) ( 1- 2) Louisville Collegiat
Male Covington Catholic insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 0- 2) Covington Catholic
North Hardin Covington Catholic insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Covington Catholic
North Oldham North Oldham North Oldham  
Oldham County Covington Catholic Covington Catholic   2- 1 vs 0- 3
Owensboro Covington Catholic   Covington Catholic
Paul Laurence Dunbar Covington Catholic tied - ( 4- 2) ( 4- 2) Covington Catholic
Ryle Ryle Ryle  
Sayre Sayre Sayre  
Scott County Covington Catholic Covington Catholic  
Shelby County Covington Catholic Covington Catholic   3- 2 vs 1- 4
South Oldham South Oldham South Oldham   5- 0 vs 1- 4
South Warren South Warren tied - ( 0- 2) ( 0- 2) South Warren
St Henry Covington Catholic Covington Catholic  
St Xavier Louisville St Xavier Louisville   St Xavier Louisville
Tates Creek Covington Catholic tied - ( 2- 7) ( 2- 7) Covington Catholic
Trinity Louisville Trinity Louisville insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Trinity Louisville
Walton-Verona Covington Catholic Covington Catholic  
Woodford County Woodford County Woodford County   5- 0 vs 0- 5

PowerWise = 18


division Games Only
Average number of games used in Games Correction = 13.62

 Date  Opponent          (W-L  PR)      SCORE       SAFE        SAFE       Home       No Games           SCI              
                                                    Loss        Win       Field      Correction         Points            
                                                    SLP         SWP     Advantage      Factor                       
                                                      
   0 A Lexington Cath  (10- 7, 87.6)     0-13      -12.29      19.69       0.75         0.91           -10.48
   0 H St Henry        ( 0-10, 71.8)    16- 3      -28.08       3.90      -0.75         0.91             2.86
   0 H Lafayette       ( 9- 6, 81.0)     5- 6      -18.93      13.05      -0.75         0.91           -17.87
   0 A Henry Clay      (13- 5, 87.5)     0-11      -12.43      19.56       0.75         0.91           -10.60
   0 H Ryle            ( 8- 9, 82.8)     5-11      -17.10      14.88      -0.75         0.91           -16.21
   0 H Frederick Doug  (15- 3, 90.1)     5- 9       -9.75      22.23      -0.75         0.91            -9.54
   0 H Dixie Heights   (12- 5, 84.5)     5-10      -15.35      16.63      -0.75         0.91           -14.62
   0 A Cooper          ( 6- 8, 78.7)    11- 6      -21.17      10.81       0.75         0.91            10.50
   0 A Collins         ( 6- 9, 78.4)    12- 4      -21.48      10.50       0.75         0.91            10.22
   0 A North Oldham    ( 9-10, 84.5)     4- 7      -15.38      16.60       0.75         0.91           -13.28
   0 A Walton-Verona   ( 4-12, 73.5)    16- 0      -26.40       5.58       0.75         0.91             5.75
   0 H Scott County    ( 2-14, 72.5)    15- 1      -27.44       4.54      -0.75         0.91             3.44
   0 A Sayre           (11- 5, 87.4)     2-16      -12.50      19.48       0.75         0.91           -10.67
   0 N St Henry        ( 0-10, 71.8)    12- 2      -28.08       3.90      -0.00         0.91             3.54
   0 A Dixie Heights   (12- 5, 84.5)     7-16      -15.35      16.63       0.75         0.91           -13.26
                                                                                                        ------
                                                                                                       -80.22

winning pts = 36.3105 losing points = -116.5325

             SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.

------------------------------------------------------------------------
| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
------------------------------------------------------------------------