All ratings/rankings on this page are based on the state (not league) championships.
Conf =
GAME LIST
Team Power Rating = 75.7699966 home-field advantage = -0.57 Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 404 A St Dominic ( 9- 7, 76.4) 14-13 405 A Long Island Lutheran (13- 5, 78.0) 10- 9 410 A Burnt Hills-Ballston L ( 8-12, 74.1) 8- 5 412 H Minisink Valley (11- 7, 73.1) 12-10 414 A Colonie Central ( 5-12, 69.1) 11- 5 415 A South Glens Falls (14- 4, 73.7) 14- 6 422 H Bethlehem Central (10- 7, 78.1) 9- 8 424 A Guilderland ( 9- 8, 78.7) 8- 5 429 A Columbia ( 2-15, 70.0) 11- 9 502 A LaSalle Institute ( 8- 9, 73.8) 7-14 506 H Saratoga Springs ( 6-11, 75.2) 13- 8 508 A Niskayuna (16- 3, 87.6) 4-22 513 H Averill Park ( 9-10, 74.3) 14-13 515 H Ballston Spa (11- 8, 79.7) 8-17 520 H Shenendehowa (11- 7, 82.5) 5-15 522 A Shaker (14- 5, 83.6) 4-12 527 H Columbia ( 2-15, 70.0) 11- 2 530 A Ballston Spa (11- 8, 79.7) 6-17
PREDICTION LIST
------------------------------------- |Real = actual goal margin | |Pred = predicted goal margin | |+ = slightly above prediction | |++ = above prediction | |+++ = well above prediction | |- = slightly below prediction | |-- = below prediction | |--- = well below prediction | |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) | | prediction. N/A when ten | | goal limit is exceeded | |n/a = Outside division | ------------------------------------- Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 404 A St Dominic 14-13 1 -1 + 2.20 405 A Long Island Lutheran 10- 9 1 -2 + 3.84 410 A Burnt Hills-Ballston L 8- 5 3 1 1.92 412 H Minisink Valley 12-10 2 3 -1.24 414 A Colonie Central 11- 5 6 6 -0.08 415 A South Glens Falls 14- 6 8 1 ++ 5.51 422 H Bethlehem Central 9- 8 1 -1 + 2.76 424 A Guilderland 8- 5 3 -3 +++ 6.47 429 A Columbia 11- 9 2 5 - -3.24 502 A LaSalle Institute 7-14 -7 1 --- -8.40 506 H Saratoga Springs 13- 8 5 1 + 3.87 508 A Niskayuna 4-22 -18 -12 0.00 513 H Averill Park 14-13 1 1 -0.99 515 H Ballston Spa 8-17 -9 -3 - -3.66 520 H Shenendehowa 5-15 -10 -6 -0.85 522 A Shaker 4-12 -8 -8 0.00 527 H Columbia 11- 2 9 6 0.62 530 A Ballston Spa 6-17 -11 -4 - -2.52UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 502 A LaSalle Institute 7-14 -7 1 --- -8.40 429 A Columbia 11- 9 2 5 - -3.24 515 H Ballston Spa 8-17 -9 -3 - -3.66 530 A Ballston Spa 6-17 -11 -4 - -2.52OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 424 A Guilderland 8- 5 3 -3 +++ 6.47 415 A South Glens Falls 14- 6 8 1 ++ 5.51 404 A St Dominic 14-13 1 -1 + 2.20 405 A Long Island Lutheran 10- 9 1 -2 + 3.84 422 H Bethlehem Central 9- 8 1 -1 + 2.76 506 H Saratoga Springs 13- 8 5 1 + 3.87
RATING BASED ON POWER RATING Power Rating............. 75.77 Power Rank................. 147 SOS (PR) Rating.......... 51.63 SOS (PR) Rank.............. 129 SOS (RPI) Rating......... .6326 SOS (RPI) Rank............. 84 RPI Rating............... .5651 RPI Rank................... 94 Champ. Probability ...... 0.0 Championship Rank ......... 123 Selection sum ........... 294 Selection Rank ............ 83 Qual Win (PR) Rating..... -90. Qual Win (PR) Rank......... 123 Qual Win (RPI) Rating.... -85. Qual Win (RPI) Rank........ 116 PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING Ave Offensive Goals ..... 9.4 Ave Defensive Goals ....... 10.6 Wins/Losses(all )...... 12- 6 Ave Goal diff (all )..... -1.2 Wins/Losses(top 5)...... 0- 0 Ave Goal diff (top 5)..... Wins/Losses(top 10)...... 0- 0 Ave Goal diff (top 10)..... Wins/Losses(2nd 10)...... 0- 0 Ave Goal diff (top 20)..... Wins/Losses(last 3)...... 1- 2 Ave Goal diff (last 3)..... -3.3