Bozeman Black
W-L: (13- 0) PR = 99.9000Schedule/Results All Games
Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 411 H Missoula Wild ( 7- 6, 95.3) 17- 2 412 H Cody ( 2-10, 90.4) 18- 0 418 A Helena West ( 5-10, 93.6) 13- 3 419 A Northwest Black (12- 3, 98.8) 6- 4 425 A Sheridan ( 0-13, 87.8) 19- 1 502 H Bozeman White ( 4- 8, 92.7) 14- 1 503 H Helena East (11- 3, 98.2) 6- 3 508 H Billings Beartooth (11- 4, 97.1) 8- 6 510 A Northwest Black (12- 3, 98.8) 8- 5 510 A Northwest Green ( 5- 7, 92.9) 8- 5 517 H Helena West ( 5-10, 93.6) 8- 5 517 H Helena East (11- 3, 98.2) 12- 7 518 H Northwest Black (12- 3, 98.8) 7- 5
PREDICTION LIST
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|Real = actual goal margin |
|Pred = predicted goal margin |
|+ = slightly above prediction |
|++ = above prediction |
|+++ = well above prediction |
|- = slightly below prediction |
|-- = below prediction |
|--- = well below prediction |
|Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) |
| prediction. N/A when ten |
| goal limit is exceeded |
|n/a = Outside division |
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Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
411 H Missoula Wild 17- 2 15 5 0.18
412 H Cody 18- 0 18 10 0.00
418 A Helena West 13- 3 10 6 0.00
419 A Northwest Black 6- 4 2 1 1.18
425 A Sheridan 19- 1 18 12 0.00
502 H Bozeman White 14- 1 13 7 0.00
503 H Helena East 6- 3 3 2 1.07
508 H Billings Beartooth 8- 6 2 3 -1.03
510 A Northwest Black 8- 5 3 1 + 2.18
510 A Northwest Green 8- 5 3 7 - -2.00
517 H Helena West 8- 5 3 7 - -2.00
517 H Helena East 12- 7 5 2 + 3.07
518 H Northwest Black 7- 5 2 1 0.64
|
UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 510 A Northwest Green 8- 5 3 7 - -2.00 517 H Helena West 8- 5 3 7 - -2.00 |
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 510 A Northwest Black 8- 5 3 1 + 2.18 517 H Helena East 12- 7 5 2 + 3.07 |
Bozeman Black Evaluation
The team that earns the point in the pair-wise comparison is based on three criteria:
first is head-to-head, the winner gets the point, however, if they did not play each
other, than it considers w-l versus common opponents. If their records are tied or they
have no common opponents, than the tie-breaker becomes the better power rating.
The Common Opponent Point list in the table below has the record of the winner followed by the
record of the loser for all common opponents
| Opponent | Who Gets the Point? | Head-2-Head Point |
Common Opponent Point |
Power Rating Point |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Billings Beartooth | Bozeman Black | Bozeman Black | ||
| Bozeman White | Bozeman Black | Bozeman Black | ||
| Cody | Bozeman Black | Bozeman Black | ||
| Great Falls | Bozeman Black | Bozeman Black 9- 0 vs 3- 6 | ||
| Helena East | Bozeman Black | Bozeman Black | ||
| Helena West | Bozeman Black | Bozeman Black | ||
| Missoula Wild | Bozeman Black | Bozeman Black | ||
| Northwest Black | Bozeman Black | Bozeman Black | ||
| Northwest Green | Bozeman Black | Bozeman Black | ||
| Sheridan | Bozeman Black | Bozeman Black |
PowerWise = 10
division Games OnlyAverage number of games used in Games Correction = 13.45
Date Opponent (W-L PR) SCORE SAFE SAFE Home No Games SCI
Loss Win Field Correction Points
SLP SWP Advantage Factor
0 H Missoula Wild ( 7- 6, 95.3) 17- 2 -4.55 9.00 -0.27 1.35 11.75
0 H Cody ( 2-10, 90.4) 18- 0 -9.51 4.05 -0.27 1.35 5.08
0 A Helena West ( 5-10, 93.6) 13- 3 -6.33 7.23 0.27 1.35 10.09
0 A Northwest Blac (12- 3, 98.8) 6- 4 -1.09 12.47 0.27 1.35 17.14
0 A Sheridan ( 0-13, 87.8) 19- 1 -12.15 1.41 0.27 1.35 2.26
0 H Bozeman White ( 4- 8, 92.7) 14- 1 -7.16 6.40 -0.27 1.35 8.24
0 H Helena East (11- 3, 98.2) 6- 3 -1.66 11.90 -0.27 1.35 15.65
0 H Billings Beart (11- 4, 97.1) 8- 6 -2.76 10.80 -0.27 1.35 14.16
0 A Northwest Blac (12- 3, 98.8) 8- 5 -1.09 12.47 0.27 1.35 17.14
0 A Northwest Gree ( 5- 7, 92.9) 8- 5 -6.96 6.59 0.27 1.35 9.24
0 H Helena West ( 5-10, 93.6) 8- 5 -6.33 7.23 -0.27 1.35 9.37
0 H Helena East (11- 3, 98.2) 12- 7 -1.66 11.90 -0.27 1.35 15.65
0 H Northwest Blac (12- 3, 98.8) 7- 5 -1.09 12.47 -0.27 1.35 16.41
------
152.17
|
winning pts = 152.1657 losing points = 0.0000
SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.
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| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
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