Billings Beartooth
W-L: (11- 4) PR = 97.1388Schedule/Results All Games
Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 405 H Sheridan ( 0-13, 87.8) 15- 4 405 H Cody ( 2-10, 90.4) 9- 1 412 H Helena West ( 5-10, 93.6) 10- 4 412 H Great Falls ( 4-10, 93.3) 18- 7 418 A Bozeman White ( 4- 8, 92.7) 15- 1 419 H Cody ( 2-10, 90.4) 13- 3 419 A Missoula Wild ( 7- 6, 95.3) 10- 4 426 A Northwest Black (12- 3, 98.8) 5-13 426 A Northwest Green ( 5- 7, 92.9) 14- 2 502 H Sheridan ( 0-13, 87.8) 15- 2 503 A Bozeman White ( 4- 8, 92.7) 15- 1 508 A Bozeman Black (13- 0, 99.9) 6- 8 509 H Helena East (11- 3, 98.2) 7-17 517 H Missoula Wild ( 7- 6, 95.3) 8- 9 517 A Bozeman White ( 4- 8, 92.7) 15- 8
PREDICTION LIST
-------------------------------------
|Real = actual goal margin |
|Pred = predicted goal margin |
|+ = slightly above prediction |
|++ = above prediction |
|+++ = well above prediction |
|- = slightly below prediction |
|-- = below prediction |
|--- = well below prediction |
|Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) |
| prediction. N/A when ten |
| goal limit is exceeded |
|n/a = Outside division |
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Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
405 H Sheridan 15- 4 11 10 0.00
405 H Cody 9- 1 8 7 0.00
412 H Helena West 10- 4 6 4 1.17
412 H Great Falls 18- 7 11 4 0.93
418 A Bozeman White 15- 1 14 4 0.87
419 H Cody 13- 3 10 7 0.00
419 A Missoula Wild 10- 4 6 2 + 3.48
426 A Northwest Black 5-13 -8 -2 - -3.06
426 A Northwest Green 14- 2 12 4 1.07
502 H Sheridan 15- 2 13 10 0.00
503 A Bozeman White 15- 1 14 4 0.87
508 A Bozeman Black 6- 8 -2 -3 1.03
509 H Helena East 7-17 -10 -1 -- -4.17
517 H Missoula Wild 8- 9 -1 2 - -3.06
517 A Bozeman White 15- 8 7 4 0.87
|
UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 509 H Helena East 7-17 -10 -1 -- -4.17 426 A Northwest Black 5-13 -8 -2 - -3.06 517 H Missoula Wild 8- 9 -1 2 - -3.06 |
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 419 A Missoula Wild 10- 4 6 2 + 3.48 |
Billings Beartooth Evaluation
The team that earns the point in the pair-wise comparison is based on three criteria:
first is head-to-head, the winner gets the point, however, if they did not play each
other, than it considers w-l versus common opponents. If their records are tied or they
have no common opponents, than the tie-breaker becomes the better power rating.
The Common Opponent Point list in the table below has the record of the winner followed by the
record of the loser for all common opponents
| Opponent | Who Gets the Point? | Head-2-Head Point |
Common Opponent Point |
Power Rating Point |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bozeman Black | Bozeman Black | Bozeman Black | ||
| Bozeman White | Billings Beartooth | Billings Beartooth | ||
| Cody | Billings Beartooth | Billings Beartooth | ||
| Great Falls | Billings Beartooth | Billings Beartooth | ||
| Helena East | Helena East | Helena East | ||
| Helena West | Billings Beartooth | Billings Beartooth | ||
| Missoula Wild | Billings Beartooth | insuffient: ( 5- 3)( 4- 4) | Billings Beartooth | |
| Northwest Black | Northwest Black | Northwest Black | ||
| Northwest Green | Billings Beartooth | Billings Beartooth | ||
| Sheridan | Billings Beartooth | Billings Beartooth |
PowerWise = 7
division Games OnlyAverage number of games used in Games Correction = 13.45
Date Opponent (W-L PR) SCORE SAFE SAFE Home No Games SCI
Loss Win Field Correction Points
SLP SWP Advantage Factor
0 H Sheridan ( 0-13, 87.8) 15- 4 -12.15 1.41 -0.27 0.96 1.10
0 H Cody ( 2-10, 90.4) 9- 1 -9.51 4.05 -0.27 0.96 3.63
0 H Helena West ( 5-10, 93.6) 10- 4 -6.33 7.23 -0.27 0.96 6.69
0 H Great Falls ( 4-10, 93.3) 18- 7 -6.56 6.99 -0.27 0.96 6.46
0 A Bozeman White ( 4- 8, 92.7) 15- 1 -7.16 6.40 0.27 0.96 6.41
0 H Cody ( 2-10, 90.4) 13- 3 -9.51 4.05 -0.27 0.96 3.63
0 A Missoula Wild ( 7- 6, 95.3) 10- 4 -4.55 9.00 0.27 0.96 8.91
0 A Northwest Blac (12- 3, 98.8) 5-13 -1.09 12.47 0.27 0.96 -0.79
0 A Northwest Gree ( 5- 7, 92.9) 14- 2 -6.96 6.59 0.27 0.96 6.60
0 H Sheridan ( 0-13, 87.8) 15- 2 -12.15 1.41 -0.27 0.96 1.10
0 A Bozeman White ( 4- 8, 92.7) 15- 1 -7.16 6.40 0.27 0.96 6.41
0 A Bozeman Black (13- 0, 99.9) 6- 8 -0.00 13.56 0.27 0.96 -0.26
0 H Helena East (11- 3, 98.2) 7-17 -1.66 11.90 -0.27 0.96 -1.85
0 H Missoula Wild ( 7- 6, 95.3) 8- 9 -4.55 9.00 -0.27 0.96 -4.64
0 A Bozeman White ( 4- 8, 92.7) 15- 8 -7.16 6.40 0.27 0.96 6.41
------
49.80
|
winning pts = 57.3363 losing points = -7.5366
SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.
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| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
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