---    UPDATED: 07-28-25 17:10 PDT

safe3step boys Burrillville 1
  
Burrillville          
W-L: ( 3-14) PR = 78.8800

Schedule/Results All Games

Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 331 A Coventry ( 8- 8, 82.1) 2-14 401 A Mount Hope (15- 3, 86.6) 3-18 417 A Ponaganset (11- 8, 81.0) 6-11 422 A Lincoln (11- 5, 84.3) 2-15 424 A Scituate (17- 1, 85.5) 1-14 425 H Coventry ( 8- 8, 82.1) 8- 5 429 H Mount Hope (15- 3, 86.6) 4-14 430 H Providence CDS-St Ra ( 3-12, 80.4) 6- 7 505 A Narragansett (12- 6, 83.7) 7-11 507 A North Smithfield ( 8- 8, 83.1) 4-13 508 A Toll Gate ( 3-12, 78.9) 6- 5 513 H North Smithfield ( 8- 8, 83.1) 4-12 515 A Providence CDS-St Ra ( 3-12, 80.4) 5- 9 517 H Ponaganset (11- 8, 81.0) 2-11 519 H Toll Gate ( 3-12, 78.9) 9- 6 520 H Lincoln (11- 5, 84.3) 6-20 521 H Narragansett (12- 6, 83.7) 5-10

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction. N/A when ten  |
               |         goal limit is exceeded    |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   331 A Coventry                2-14     -12    -4          -1.39
   401 A Mount Hope              3-18     -15    -8           0.00
   417 A Ponaganset              6-11      -5    -3    -     -2.48
   422 A Lincoln                 2-15     -13    -6           0.00
   424 A Scituate                1-14     -13    -7           0.00
   425 H Coventry                8- 5       3    -3    ++     5.78
   429 H Mount Hope              4-14     -10    -7           0.00
   430 H Providence CDS-St Ra    6- 7      -1    -1           0.06
   505 A Narragansett            7-11      -4    -5           1.00
   507 A North Smithfield        4-13      -9    -5          -0.32
   508 A Toll Gate               6- 5       1     0           1.39
   513 H North Smithfield        4-12      -8    -4          -1.16
   515 A Providence CDS-St Ra    5- 9      -4    -2    -     -2.10
   517 H Ponaganset              2-11      -9    -2    -     -3.32
   519 H Toll Gate               9- 6       3     0    +      2.56
   520 H Lincoln                 6-20     -14    -5           0.00
   521 H Narragansett            5-10      -5    -4          -0.56

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   417 A Ponaganset              6-11      -5    -3    -     -2.48
   515 A Providence CDS-St Ra    5- 9      -4    -2    -     -2.10
   517 H Ponaganset              2-11      -9    -2    -     -3.32

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   425 H Coventry                8- 5       3    -3    ++     5.78
   519 H Toll Gate               9- 6       3     0    +      2.56

Burrillville Evaluation

The team that earns the point in the pair-wise comparison is based on three criteria: 
first is head-to-head, the winner gets the point, however, if they did not play each
other, than it considers w-l versus common opponents. If their records are tied or they
have no common opponents, than the tie-breaker becomes the better power rating.
The Common Opponent Point list in the table below has the record of the winner followed by the
record of the loser for all common opponents
Opponent Who Gets
the Point?
Head-2-Head
Point
Common Opponent
Point
Power Rating
Point
Barrington Barrington   Barrington
Bishop Hendricken Bishop Hendricken   Bishop Hendricken
Chariho Chariho insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Chariho
Classical Burrillville tied - ( 0- 2) ( 0- 2) Burrillville
Coventry Coventry Coventry   4- 2 vs 1- 5
Cranston East Burrillville tied - ( 0- 2) ( 0- 2) Burrillville
Cranston West Cranston West tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Cranston West
Cumberland Cumberland   Cumberland
East Greenwich East Greenwich   East Greenwich
East Providence Burrillville insuffient: ( 1- 2)( 0- 3) Burrillville
La Salle Academy La Salle Academy   La Salle Academy
Lincoln Lincoln Lincoln  
Middletown Middletown   Middletown
Moses Brown School Moses Brown School   Moses Brown School
Mount Hope Mount Hope Mount Hope  
Narragansett Narragansett Narragansett  
North Kingstown North Kingstown   North Kingstown
North Providence Burrillville insuffient: ( 1- 3)( 0- 4) Burrillville
North Smithfield North Smithfield North Smithfield  
Pilgrim Pilgrim   Pilgrim
Ponaganset Ponaganset Ponaganset  
Portsmouth Portsmouth tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) Portsmouth
Prout/Exeter-West Gr Prout/Exeter-West Gr   Prout/Exeter-West Gr
Providence CDS-St Ra Providence CDS-St Ra Providence CDS-St Ra  
Rogers Rogers Rogers   2- 1 vs 0- 3
Scituate Scituate Scituate  
Smithfield Smithfield insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Smithfield
South Kingstown South Kingstown   South Kingstown
Tiverton Tiverton Tiverton   2- 1 vs 0- 3
Toll Gate Burrillville Burrillville  
Westerly Westerly insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Westerly

PowerWise = 5


division Games Only
Average number of games used in Games Correction = 15.69

 Date  Opponent          (W-L  PR)      SCORE       SAFE        SAFE       Home       No Games           SCI              
                                                    Loss        Win       Field      Correction         Points            
                                                    SLP         SWP     Advantage      Factor                       
                                                      
   0 A Coventry        ( 8- 8, 82.1)     2-14      -17.82      11.80       0.42         0.92           -16.06
   0 A Mount Hope      (15- 3, 86.6)     3-18      -13.32      16.31       0.42         0.92           -11.90
   0 A Ponaganset      (11- 8, 81.0)     6-11      -18.92      10.71       0.42         0.92           -17.07
   0 A Lincoln         (11- 5, 84.3)     2-15      -15.59      14.04       0.42         0.92           -14.00
   0 A Scituate        (17- 1, 85.5)     1-14      -14.39      15.23       0.42         0.92           -12.90
   0 H Coventry        ( 8- 8, 82.1)     8- 5      -17.82      11.80      -0.42         0.92            10.51
   0 H Mount Hope      (15- 3, 86.6)     4-14      -13.32      16.31      -0.42         0.92           -12.67
   0 H Providence CDS  ( 3-12, 80.4)     6- 7      -19.54      10.09      -0.42         0.92           -18.42
   0 A Narragansett    (12- 6, 83.7)     7-11      -16.16      13.47       0.42         0.92           -14.53
   0 A North Smithfie  ( 8- 8, 83.1)     4-13      -16.76      12.87       0.42         0.92           -15.08
   0 A Toll Gate       ( 3-12, 78.9)     6- 5      -21.05       8.58       0.42         0.92             8.30
   0 H North Smithfie  ( 8- 8, 83.1)     4-12      -16.76      12.87      -0.42         0.92           -15.85
   0 A Providence CDS  ( 3-12, 80.4)     5- 9      -19.54      10.09       0.42         0.92           -17.65
   0 H Ponaganset      (11- 8, 81.0)     2-11      -18.92      10.71      -0.42         0.92           -17.84
   0 H Toll Gate       ( 3-12, 78.9)     9- 6      -21.05       8.58      -0.42         0.92             7.53
   0 H Lincoln         (11- 5, 84.3)     6-20      -15.59      14.04      -0.42         0.92           -14.77
   0 H Narragansett    (12- 6, 83.7)     5-10      -16.16      13.47      -0.42         0.92           -15.30
                                                                                                        ------
                                                                                                      -187.69

winning pts = 26.3464 losing points = -214.0379

             SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.

------------------------------------------------------------------------
| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
------------------------------------------------------------------------