safe3step boys Butler Area 1

  
Butler Area           
W-L: ( 5- 8)  PR =    83.4556
 Schedule/Results All Games 

 Date  Opponent               Conf/State      (W-L, PR)      Score  
 314 H Shaler Area                          ( 8- 6, 83.0)     8-11   
 317 A North Catholic                       ( 1- 9, 74.5)    10- 2   
 321 H Penn-Trafford                        ( 8- 7, 83.2)    12- 5   
 324 H Erie-McDowell                        ( 8- 4, 80.3)    13- 8   
 328 A Shady Side Academy                   (11- 7, 92.3)     1-13   
 401 H Seneca Valley                        ( 9- 6, 86.9)     5-18   
 408 A Pine Richland                        ( 8- 6, 88.6)     4-10   
 410 H Hempfield Greensburg                 ( 5- 9, 79.9)     8- 3   
 415 H North Hills                          ( 6- 9, 81.5)     9-10   
 425 A North Allegheny                      ( 8- 5, 89.8)     5- 7   
 501 A Central Catholic                     ( 8-10, 84.7)     4- 8   
 506 H Fox Chapel                           (10- 5, 86.8)     4- 8   
 508 A Knoch                                ( 1- 7, 76.9)    19- 1

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction. N/A when ten  |
               |         goal limit is exceeded    |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   314 H Shaler Area             8-11      -3     1    -     -3.65
   317 A North Catholic         10- 2       8     9           0.00
   321 H Penn-Trafford          12- 5       7     0    ++     4.54
   324 H Erie-McDowell          13- 8       5     3           1.65
   328 A Shady Side Academy      1-13     -12    -9           0.00
   401 H Seneca Valley           5-18     -13    -3          -1.76
   408 A Pine Richland           4-10      -6    -5           0.00
   410 H Hempfield Greensburg    8- 3       5     4           1.19
   415 H North Hills             9-10      -1     2    -     -3.21
   425 A North Allegheny         5- 7      -2    -7    +      3.00
   501 A Central Catholic        4- 8      -4    -1    -     -2.51
   506 H Fox Chapel              4- 8      -4    -3          -0.86
   508 A Knoch                  19- 1      18     6           0.00

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   314 H Shaler Area             8-11      -3     1    -     -3.65
   415 H North Hills             9-10      -1     2    -     -3.21
   501 A Central Catholic        4- 8      -4    -1    -     -2.51

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   321 H Penn-Trafford          12- 5       7     0    ++     4.54
   425 A North Allegheny         5- 7      -2    -7    +      3.00

Butler Area Evaluation

The team that earns the point in the pair-wise comparison is based on three criteria: 
first is head-to-head, the winner gets the point, however, if they did not play each 
other, than it considers w-l versus common opponents. If their records are tied or they 
have no common opponents, than the tie-breaker becomes the better power rating.
The Common Opponent Point list in the table below has the record of the winner followed by the 
record of the loser for all common opponents

Opponent	Who Gets the Point?	Head-2-Head Point	Common Opponent Point	Power Rating Point
Abington	Butler Area			Butler Area
Academy New Church	Academy New Church		tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1)	Academy New Church
AIM Academy	Butler Area			Butler Area
Allentown Central Ca	Allentown Central Ca			Allentown Central Ca
Archbishop Carroll	Butler Area			Butler Area
Archbishop Ryan	Butler Area			Butler Area
Archbishop Wood	Butler Area			Butler Area
Avon Grove	Avon Grove			Avon Grove
Avon Grove Charter	Butler Area			Butler Area
Bayard Rustin	Bayard Rustin			Bayard Rustin
Bethlehem Catholic	Butler Area			Butler Area
Bishop Shanahan	Bishop Shanahan			Bishop Shanahan
BL Charter	Butler Area			Butler Area
Bonner-Prendergast	Butler Area			Butler Area
Boyertown	Boyertown			Boyertown
Cardinal OHara	Butler Area			Butler Area
Central Bucks East	Central Bucks East			Central Bucks East
Central Bucks South	Central Bucks South			Central Bucks South
Central Bucks West	Central Bucks West			Central Bucks West
Central Philadelphia	Butler Area			Butler Area
Cheltenham	Butler Area			Butler Area
Church Farm School	Butler Area			Butler Area
Coatesville	Butler Area			Butler Area
Conestoga	Conestoga			Conestoga
Conwell Egan	Butler Area			Butler Area
Council Rock North	Council Rock North			Council Rock North
Council Rock South	Council Rock South			Council Rock South
Delaware Valley Frie	Butler Area			Butler Area
Devon Prep	Devon Prep			Devon Prep
Downingtown East	Downingtown East			Downingtown East
Downingtown West	Downingtown West			Downingtown West
Easton Area	Easton Area			Easton Area
Emmaus	Emmaus		tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1)	Emmaus
Episcopal Academy	Episcopal Academy		insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0)	Episcopal Academy
Father Judge	Butler Area			Butler Area
Frankford	Butler Area			Butler Area
Freedom Bethlehem	Freedom Bethlehem			Freedom Bethlehem
Garnet Valley	Garnet Valley			Garnet Valley
George School	Butler Area			Butler Area
George Washington	George Washington			George Washington
Germantown Academy	Germantown Academy			Germantown Academy
Great Valley	Great Valley			Great Valley
Harriton	Harriton			Harriton
Hatboro-Horsham	Butler Area			Butler Area
Haverford HS	Haverford HS			Haverford HS
Haverford School	Haverford School			Haverford School
Hill School	Hill School		insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0)	Hill School
Holy Ghost Prep	Butler Area			Butler Area
Interboro	Butler Area			Butler Area
Jack Barrack Academy	Butler Area			Butler Area
Kennett	Kennett			Kennett
La Salle College	La Salle College			La Salle College
Lansdale Catholic	Butler Area			Butler Area
Liberty Bethlehem	Liberty Bethlehem			Liberty Bethlehem
Lower Merion	Butler Area			Butler Area
Malvern Prep	Malvern Prep			Malvern Prep
Marple Newtown	Marple Newtown			Marple Newtown
Masterman	Butler Area			Butler Area
Mastery Charter Nort	Butler Area			Butler Area
Methacton	Methacton			Methacton
Moravian Academy	Moravian Academy			Moravian Academy
Nazareth Area	Nazareth Area			Nazareth Area
Neshaminy	Butler Area			Butler Area
New Hope-Solebury	Butler Area			Butler Area
North Penn	North Penn			North Penn
Northampton Area	Butler Area			Butler Area
Northeast	Butler Area			Butler Area
Northwestern Lehigh	Northwestern Lehigh			Northwestern Lehigh
Olney Charter	Butler Area			Butler Area
Owen J Roberts	Owen J Roberts			Owen J Roberts
Oxford Area	Butler Area			Butler Area
Parkland	Parkland			Parkland
Penn Charter	Penn Charter			Penn Charter
Penncrest	Penncrest			Penncrest
Pennridge	Pennridge			Pennridge
Pennsbury	Pennsbury			Pennsbury
Perkiomen School	Perkiomen School		insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0)	Perkiomen School
Perkiomen Valley	Perkiomen Valley		insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0)	Perkiomen Valley
Phoenixville	Butler Area			Butler Area
Pleasant Valley	Butler Area			Butler Area
Plymouth-Whitemarsh	Plymouth-Whitemarsh			Plymouth-Whitemarsh
Pope John Paul II	Pope John Paul II			Pope John Paul II
Pottsgrove	Butler Area			Butler Area
Quakertown	Butler Area			Butler Area
Radnor	Radnor		tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 0)	Radnor
Ridley	Ridley			Ridley
Roman Catholic	Butler Area			Butler Area
Saucon Valley	Butler Area			Butler Area
Shipley School	Butler Area			Butler Area
Solanco	Butler Area			Butler Area
Souderton	Souderton			Souderton
South Philadelphia	Butler Area			Butler Area
Southern Lehigh	Southern Lehigh			Southern Lehigh
Spring-Ford	Spring-Ford			Spring-Ford
Springfield Twp	Butler Area			Butler Area
Springfield-Delco	Springfield-Delco			Springfield-Delco
Springside Chestnut	Springside Chestnut			Springside Chestnut
St Josephs Prep	St Josephs Prep			St Josephs Prep
Strath Haven	Strath Haven			Strath Haven
Sun Valley	Butler Area			Butler Area
Truman	Butler Area			Butler Area
Unionville	Unionville			Unionville
Upper Darby	Butler Area			Butler Area
Upper Dublin	Upper Dublin			Upper Dublin
Upper Merion	Butler Area			Butler Area
Upper Moreland	Butler Area			Butler Area
West Chester East	Butler Area			Butler Area
West Chester Henders	West Chester Henders			West Chester Henders
West Philadelphia	Butler Area			Butler Area
Westtown	Westtown			Westtown
William Tennent	Butler Area			Butler Area
Wissahickon	Wissahickon			Wissahickon
Baldwin	Butler Area		insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 0- 2)	Butler Area
Bethel Park	Bethel Park		insuffient: ( 2- 2)( 1- 3)	Bethel Park
Canon-McMillan	Canon-McMillan		Canon-McMillan 3- 2 vs 1- 4
Cathedral Prep	Butler Area		insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1)	Butler Area
Central Catholic	Central Catholic	Central Catholic
Chartiers Valley	Butler Area		insuffient: ( 1- 2)( 0- 3)	Butler Area
Conneaut	Butler Area			Butler Area
Erie-McDowell	Butler Area	Butler Area
Fairview	Butler Area		insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1)	Butler Area
Fox Chapel	Fox Chapel	Fox Chapel
Franklin Regional	Butler Area		Butler Area 3- 1 vs 1- 3
Freeport Area	Butler Area		tied - ( 2- 1) ( 2- 1)	Butler Area
Gateway	Butler Area			Butler Area
Greensburg Central C	Butler Area		insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1)	Butler Area
Hampton	Hampton		Hampton 5- 1 vs 3- 3
Hempfield Greensburg	Butler Area	Butler Area
Hickory	Butler Area		insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1)	Butler Area
Indiana Area	Butler Area		tied - ( 2- 2) ( 2- 2)	Butler Area
Knoch	Butler Area	Butler Area
Latrobe	Butler Area		tied - ( 2- 2) ( 2- 2)	Butler Area
Mars Area	Mars Area		Mars Area 4- 0 vs 2- 2
Meadville-Crawford C	Butler Area		insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1)	Butler Area
Moon Area	Butler Area		tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1)	Butler Area
Mount Lebanon	Mount Lebanon		Mount Lebanon 5- 0 vs 1- 4
North Allegheny	North Allegheny	North Allegheny
North Catholic	Butler Area	Butler Area
North Hills	North Hills	North Hills
Norwin	Butler Area		tied - ( 1- 3) ( 1- 3)	Butler Area
Penn-Trafford	Butler Area	Butler Area
Peters Township	Peters Township		tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0)	Peters Township
Pine Richland	Pine Richland	Pine Richland
Plum	Butler Area		insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 0- 2)	Butler Area
Quaker Valley	Butler Area		insuffient: ( 2- 1)( 3- 0)	Butler Area
Seneca Valley	Seneca Valley	Seneca Valley
Seton LaSalle	Butler Area			Butler Area
Sewickley Academy	Butler Area		insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 2- 0)	Butler Area
Shady Side Academy	Shady Side Academy	Shady Side Academy
Shaler Area	Shaler Area	Shaler Area
South Fayette	South Fayette		South Fayette 3- 0 vs 1- 2
Taylor Allderdice	Butler Area		tied - ( 0- 2) ( 0- 2)	Butler Area
Trinity Area	Butler Area		insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1)	Butler Area
Upper St Clair	Upper St Clair		Upper St Clair 6- 2 vs 2- 6
West Allegheny	Butler Area		Butler Area 3- 2 vs 0- 5
Winchester Thurston	Butler Area		tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1)	Butler Area
Abington Heights	Abington Heights			Abington Heights
Bellefonte	Butler Area			Butler Area
Berks Catholic	Butler Area			Butler Area
Bishop McDevitt	Butler Area			Butler Area
Carlisle	Butler Area			Butler Area
Cedar Cliff	Butler Area			Butler Area
Cedar Crest	Butler Area			Butler Area
Central Dauphin	Central Dauphin			Central Dauphin
Central Dauphin East	Butler Area			Butler Area
Central York	Central York			Central York
Chambersburg	Butler Area			Butler Area
Cocalico	Cocalico			Cocalico
Conestoga Valley	Conestoga Valley			Conestoga Valley
Conrad Weiser	Butler Area			Butler Area
Crestwood	Crestwood			Crestwood
Cumberland Valley	Cumberland Valley			Cumberland Valley
Dallas	Butler Area			Butler Area
Dallastown	Dallastown			Dallastown
Daniel Boone	Butler Area			Butler Area
Danville Area	Butler Area			Butler Area
Delaware Valley	Delaware Valley			Delaware Valley
Delone Catholic	Butler Area			Butler Area
Dover Area	Butler Area			Butler Area
Eastern York	Butler Area			Butler Area
Elizabethtown	Butler Area			Butler Area
Ephrata	Ephrata			Ephrata
Exeter Township	Exeter Township			Exeter Township
Garden Spot	Garden Spot			Garden Spot
Gettysburg	Butler Area			Butler Area
Governor Mifflin	Butler Area			Butler Area
Hempfield	Hempfield			Hempfield
Hershey	Butler Area			Butler Area
Kennard-Dale	Butler Area			Butler Area
Lake-Lehman	Butler Area			Butler Area
Lakeland	Butler Area			Butler Area
Lampeter-Strasburg	Lampeter-Strasburg			Lampeter-Strasburg
Lancaster CDS	Butler Area			Butler Area
Lewisburg	Butler Area			Butler Area
Lower Dauphin	Lower Dauphin			Lower Dauphin
Manheim Township	Manheim Township		tied - ( 0- 2) ( 0- 0)	Manheim Township
Mechanicsburg	Mechanicsburg			Mechanicsburg
Mifflin County	Butler Area			Butler Area
Mifflinburg	Butler Area			Butler Area
Muhlenberg	Butler Area			Butler Area
New Oxford	New Oxford			New Oxford
North Pocono	Butler Area			Butler Area
Northern York	Butler Area			Butler Area
Palmyra	Palmyra			Palmyra
Penn Manor	Penn Manor			Penn Manor
Red Land	Butler Area			Butler Area
Red Lion	Red Lion			Red Lion
Schuylkill Valley	Butler Area			Butler Area
Scranton Prep	Scranton Prep			Scranton Prep
Selinsgrove	Butler Area			Butler Area
South-Western	South-Western			South-Western
Spring Grove	Butler Area			Butler Area
State College	State College		tied - ( 1- 1) ( 1- 1)	State College
Susquehannock	Butler Area			Butler Area
Trinity HS	Trinity HS			Trinity HS
Tunkhannock	Butler Area			Butler Area
Twin Valley	Twin Valley			Twin Valley
Warwick	Butler Area			Butler Area
West York	Butler Area			Butler Area
Wilkes-Barre Area	Butler Area			Butler Area
Wilson West Lawn	Wilson West Lawn			Wilson West Lawn
Wyoming Area	Butler Area			Butler Area
Wyoming Seminary	Butler Area			Butler Area
Wyomissing	Butler Area			Butler Area
York Catholic	York Catholic			York Catholic
York Suburban	Butler Area			Butler Area

PowerWise = 121

division Games Only
Average number of games used in Games Correction = 15.72

 Date  Opponent          (W-L  PR)      SCORE       SAFE        SAFE       Home       No Games           SCI              
                                                    Loss        Win       Field      Correction         Points            
                                                    SLP         SWP     Advantage      Factor                       
                                                      
   0 H Shaler Area     ( 8- 6, 83.0)     8-11      -16.89      17.45      -0.20         1.21           -20.67
   0 A North Catholic  ( 1- 9, 74.5)    10- 2      -25.42       8.92       0.20         1.21            11.03
   0 H Penn-Trafford   ( 8- 7, 83.2)    12- 5      -16.70      17.64      -0.20         1.21            21.08
   0 H Erie-McDowell   ( 8- 4, 80.3)    13- 8      -19.59      14.75      -0.20         1.21            17.59
   0 A Shady Side Aca  (11- 7, 92.3)     1-13       -7.56      26.77       0.20         1.21            -8.90
   0 H Seneca Valley   ( 9- 6, 86.9)     5-18      -13.00      21.33      -0.20         1.21           -15.97
   0 A Pine Richland   ( 8- 6, 88.6)     4-10      -11.34      23.00       0.20         1.21           -13.46
   0 H Hempfield Gree  ( 5- 9, 79.9)     8- 3      -20.05      14.29      -0.20         1.21            17.03
   0 H North Hills     ( 6- 9, 81.5)     9-10      -18.45      15.89      -0.20         1.21           -22.55
   0 A North Alleghen  ( 8- 5, 89.8)     5- 7      -10.08      24.26       0.20         1.21           -11.94
   0 A Central Cathol  ( 8-10, 84.7)     4- 8      -15.16      19.18       0.20         1.21           -18.08
   0 H Fox Chapel      (10- 5, 86.8)     4- 8      -13.10      21.24      -0.20         1.21           -16.08
   0 A Knoch           ( 1- 7, 76.9)    19- 1      -23.04      11.30       0.20         1.21            13.91
                                                                                                        ------
                                                                                                       -47.01

winning pts = 80.6367 losing points = -127.6517

SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.

------------------------------------------------------------------------
| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
------------------------------------------------------------------------